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A few posts from the turnip patch (#board-1125).
Jan-Dec 2006.
Dec 15/06 · Naz run to be bounded by about 2500 - #msg-15580661
Dec 14/06 · Close, maybe, but no clear signal yet - #msg-15569361
Dec 14/06 · At least another minisurge before we fail - #msg-15566259
Nov 30/06 · Short term RSIs and Level II - #msg-15194705
Nov 20/06 · For a serious decline, EPC .42 or so - #msg-14951034
Nov 20/06 · Basic trend is still quite bullish - #msg-14948998
Nov 17/06 · Doubt we breach 2500 on the NAZ - #msg-14844079
Nov 10/06 · Market is showing no signs of letting go - #msg-14703742
Nov 09/06 · Still fearing a minor retrench of 100/150 Naz points - #msg-14631824
Nov 07/06 · EPC close to .5, the market could turn - #msg-14594647 #msg-14594870
Nov 03/06 · Good chance 2400 taken out before end of first quarter - #msg-14512084
Oct 17/06 · So far, not huge excess of optimism - #msg-14065218
Oct 16/06 · Getting close to another sell signal - #msg-14054587
Oct 13/06 · EPC is approaching danger zone - #msg-13994918
Oct 13/06 · At least a minor retrench from 2350/70 - #msg-13993802
Oct 12/06 · No major corrections in the next few weeks - #msg-13968296
Oct 09/06 · Last sell signal was faulty - #msg-13892435
Sep 29/06 · Still are not developing excess enthusiasm - #msg-13662625
Sep 21/06 · Right now I do not have a "nassacre" - #msg-13465874
Sep 18/06 · A little of that long overdue shake out - #msg-13389610
Sep 12/06 · 2200/2230 should be some type of resistance here - #msg-13259996
Sep 11/06 · Sell signal is still in effect - #msg-13231234
Sep 08/06 · Not changed the sell signal from 2135 yet - #msg-13181987
Sep 04/06 · Sell signal is probably false - #msg-13093869
Aug 30/06 · Sell signal I had about two weeks back may actually be false - #msg-12997567
Aug 29/06 · A retest of 2060 or so - #msg-12980817
Aug 21/06 · EPC should not go above .9 or so - #msg-12803192
Aug 18/06 · Potential risk of bigger than 10% over the next 2 or 3 months - #msg-12769028
Aug 17/06 · EPC dropped under .5, a very dangerous market for bulls - #msg-12728814
Aug 17/06 · Calling for a retreat to at least 2060 - #msg-12725826
Aug 16/06 • Sell signal as of today - #msg-12717946 #msg-12704900
Aug 16/06 · EPC is getting pretty close to .5 - #msg-12711913
Aug 16/06 · Immediate big sell signal; not yet - #msg-12694659
Aug 15/06 · Definitely in the "danger zone" here above 2100 - #msg-12677897
Aug 14/06 · Relatively high EPC, so no "Run for the Hills" yet - #msg-12659425
Aug 11/06 · At least 2100 to create excess optimism - #msg-12593514
Aug 10/06 · At least a week of additional distribution in the 2060/2120 area - #msg-12562311
Jul 31/06 · Back and forth once or twice in the 2000/2100 area - #msg-12350847
Jul 28/06 · Sentiment indicators have not given a buy signal - #msg-12320164
Jul 24/06 · Rally, possibly to 2100/20 or so - #msg-12211548
Jul 18/06 · Now approaching my original October target - #msg-12092405
Jul 17/06 · Maybe tomorrow or the day after we set a local bottom - #msg-12075509
Jul 15/06 · Late September early October low 1850/1910 - #msg-12049816
Jul 14/06 · 2150/80 in the next three to four weeks - #msg-12034121
Jul 13/06 · A range of 2080 to 2180 - #msg-12012964
Jul 13/06 · Near a major support here - #msg-12012424
Jul 12/06 · After a visit to the sub 2000 on the Naz - #msg-12001623
Jul 11/06 · Peak around mid August and go down hard - #msg-11970662
Jun 29/06 · Another 50-75 points - #msg-11826798
Jun 19/06 · In general, still a dangerous market - #msg-11647941
Jun 16/06 · Medium term, this rally, IMTO, is not going to go very far - #msg-11613697
Jun 14/06 · Up mildly into expiry - #msg-11587207
Jun 14/06 · Don't expect a real bottom till much later in the year - #msg-11575589
Jun 10/06 · This week up, medium term still bearish - #msg-11531539
Jun 06/06 · EPC...still not large enough for a solid bottom - #msg-11457890
Jun 01/06 · Maybe a spirited summer rally after another retest - #msg-11379265
May 30/06 · By late September the Naz might very well be sub 2000 - #msg-11351681
May 30/06 · We could be doing the normal retest of last week's low - #msg-11342728
May 25/06 · Looks and smells like bottoming - #msg-11281588
May 23/06 · 2150/2172 on the Naz is strong support - #msg-11254728
May 22/06 · Very short term we are in major support area - #msg-11223489
May 22/06 · The bull may be dead till later this year, maybe longer - #msg-11222249
May 19/06 · We may see the low 1900/2000 before October - #msg-11199024
May 19/06 · Entering another support area here, 2150/72 on the Naz - #msg-11195542
May 18/06 · Additional stronger support in the 2150/2170 area - #msg-11181066
May 17/06 · 2190 as the potential low of this move - #msg-11152441
May 17/06 · Still believe we turn today - #msg-11150662
May 16/06 • We could have a solid summer rally - #msg-11137548
May 16/06 · Many many indicators are flashing major buy signals - #msg-11137508
May 16/06 · A bottom before 11:00 AM tomorrow - #msg-11137045
May 15/06 · Bounce starting no later than Wednesday morning - #msg-11122849
May 15/06 • Looks like a major not just an intermediate bottom - #msg-11120424
May 12/06 · Expect within the next three days a sizeable run up - #msg-11081347
May 11/06 · Cash is bullish 15% - #msg-11073612
May 11/06 · Deep oversold levels, intermediary bottom - #msg-11066965
May 11/06 · Still a range bound market of 2290/2390 - #msg-11064428 #msg-
May 11/06 · Naz should not have breached the 2290 area - #msg-11065696
May 08/06 · 2290/2390 area, with a positive bias - #msg-11001919
May 02/06 · VTO - #msg-10905153 #msg-10906137
Apr 16/06 · Next few weeks, 2290 to 2390 range - #msg-10689630
Apr 13/06 · Direction should be back up to 2370/90 - #msg-10659597
Apr 11/06 · I still think we tag 2390 - #msg-10629657
Apr 11/06 · A relapse should be expected - #msg-10629644
Apr 11/06 · We are still in a bull move - #msg-10628839
Apr 04/06 · I think we finish the year quite well - #msg-10511606
Mar 30/06 · 2390 before we see 2290 - #msg-10430364
Mar 30/06 · Market internals are still OK - #msg-10429988
Mar 29/06 · A challenge of the 2370/2390 area - #msg-10420508
Mar 24/06 · A solid month here of sideway action - #msg-10345740
Mar 15/06 • Moving to neutral - #msg-10168833
Mar 11/06 · I think this time we do not even get to 2300 - #msg-10112019
Mar 09/06 · The whole market might be reaching a local bottom - #msg-10084051
Mar 08/06 · Medium term, possibility we test 2180/2200 area - #msg-10064466
Mar 07/06 · We may actually get a VTO buy signal in the next few days - #msg-10043873
Feb 26/06 · Still think we have a nasty six to three months ahead of us - #msg-9896573
Feb 22/06 · Maybe a range of 2230/2290 or so for a while - #msg-9836268
Feb 18/06 · For now it looks like a trading range - #msg-9782407
Feb 15/06 · Potential debacle here till late March - #msg-9739525
Feb 13/06 · 30 Naz points from my original target - #msg-9699106
Feb 11/06 · 2200 before we challenge 2300 again - #msg-9673406
Feb 09/06 · Do not expect too big a decline yet - #msg-9646064
Feb 08/06 · Maybe another 20/30 Naz points from here - #msg-9625492
Feb 08/06 · Very short term, naz up, just to relieve oversold condition - #msg-9625479
Feb 04/06 · I'll have to wait and see if 2180 is taken out - #msg-9566964
Feb 04/06 · A narrow trading range in the 2180 to 2320 area - #msg-9566924
Feb 03/06 · May have to suffer through February after a mild bounce - #msg-9560487
Feb 03/06 · Worst case of 2180/2200 - #msg-9548194
Feb 02/06 · Still do not have a major nassacre in the cards - #msg-9530762
Feb 01/06 · No change since last week - #msg-9505625
Jan 28/06 · Medium term, a pretty good environment for stocks - #msg-9456635
Jan 28/06 · Enough of a shake out to be scary - #msg-9453915
Jan 27/06 · On internal sentiments indicators - #msg-9446559
Jan 27/06 · Next four weeks or so, 100 Naz points pull back - #msg-9443967
Jan 27/06 • In a teddy bear suit with a target of 2180/2200 - #msg-9441522
Jan 26/06 · Dangerous waters - #msg-9424775
Jan 25/06 · Most we go is just shy of 2300 and retreat - #msg-9408831
Jan 25/06 · Not bearish on the year, just the next few months - #msg-9405409
Jan 25/06 · Sell signal effective here betweem 2280 and 2300 - #msg-9401647
Jan 24/06 · Short term decline from the end of February - #msg-9391146
Jan 24/06 · I think we have few days of green - #msg-9385208
Jan 21/06 · A nasty February with a target under 2100 - #msg-9348752
Jan 12/06 · Not yet in my bear suit, but quite cautious - #msg-9230891
Jan 12/06 · Close to the 2320/2340 area - #msg-9227908
Jan 09/06 · The year in general may very well be up - #msg-9188427
Jan 08/06 • In general, I cannot be too bearish here - #msg-9169397
This is the "Sell signal" post, in case you overlooked ...
http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=12704900
A few posts from the turnip patch (#board-1125).
Jan-Dec 2005.
Dec 27/05 · Market may become a little hazardous for the longs here - #msg-9024912
Dec 22/05 · The decline may be quite murderous - #msg-8977244
Dec 20/05 · Accumulating many factors that are negative medium term - #msg-8954276
Dec 02/05 · Have not changed since removing my bear suit at 2220 - #msg-8713378
Nov 24/05 · Still coasting without too much excess - #msg-8620469
Nov 23/05 · A turn will require major extreme since we are in breakout mode - #msg-8607690
Nov 19/05 · This run will require a lot of extreme optimism to be halted - #msg-8564628
Nov 19/05 · Will need a lot of exuberance before I put my bear suit back on - #msg-8564568
Nov 17/05 • My bear suit is removed here at 2220 on the Naz - #msg-8542383
Nov 13/05 · Just a healthy retrenchment - #msg-8482070
Nov 12/05 · I expect just a healthy retrench - #msg-8477829
Nov 12/05 · Divergence between the BPCOMPQ and the COMPQ - #msg-8477639
Nov 11/05 · First target is a solid 100 Naz points, probably 120 to 2085 - #msg-8448617
Nov 11/05 • Here at 2205, the bear suit has returned from the cleaner - #msg-8447247
Nov 08/05 · The former. However 2140 is not really that far - #msg-8409780
Nov 07/05 · No extreme exuberance at all - #msg-8393394
Nov 05/05 · Neutral and expecting 2085 to 2215 for a while - #msg-8378837
Nov 02/05 · A good omen for the bulls - #msg-8338473
Nov 02/05 · Close to 2140/50, so caution is called for - #msg-8333482
Nov 01/05 · Bear suit is still at the cleaner - #msg-8327912
Oct 31/05 · Reach that target of 2140/50 soon enough - #msg-8312998
Oct 29/05 · 2040/2140 is probably a good bet - #msg-8288477
Oct 28/05 · Signals are mixed - #msg-8277837
Oct 27/05 · Target for the current retrench was around 2085 - #msg-8262247
Oct 26/05 · 2140/50, and possibly higher is still in the cards - #msg-8256644
Oct 25/05 · Healthy relief of excessive optimism - #msg-8239991
Oct 24/05 · If exuberance, maybe 200 Naz points decline into late November - #msg-8226568
Oct 24/05 · 2140/50 or so - #msg-8225549
Oct 22/05 · First 50/60 points did not bring on any excess optimism - #msg-8207334
Oct 21/05 · Early weakness Monday, before we resume our march toward the 2130/50 area - #msg-8203833
Oct 19/05 · This run may have more legs - #msg-8175085
Oct 17/05 · I expect this swoon to be temporary - #msg-8147460
Oct 13/05 · We should get at least a relief rally - #msg-8105470
Oct 13/05 · Doubt we get under 2000 on this run - #msg-8103783
Oct 13/05 · Throwing away the bear suit for now - #msg-8102212
Oct 12/05 · Pretty close to fully loaded - #msg-8085959
Oct 10/05 · I think that we will reach that 2040/50 support area - #msg-8058430
Oct 06/05 · Still have my bear suit on - #msg-8016033
Sep 25/05 · May take out 2100 - #msg-7876509
Sep 21/05 · Doubt we bounce much more than the 2150 area - #msg-7837232
Sep 15/05 · Still in my bearsuit - #msg-7761208
Sep 15/05 · 10,000 or so this time around - #msg-7748181
Sep 14/05 · Still with my July bear call - #msg-7744041
Sep 08/05 · Could be another major local top - #msg-7657334
Sep 02/05 · A good local bottom...six weeks or so - #msg-7594862
Sep 01/05 · Still have us going down hard - #msg-7593784
Aug 31/05 · Doubt we approach 2200 on the Naz on the next ramp - #msg-7568848
Aug 08/05 · 1940 area before the end of the year - #msg-7268334
Aug 07/05 · Still in that suit - #msg-7263674
Jul 26/05 · No change - #msg-7117405
Jul 22/05 · Extremes were reached about 10 (trading) days ago - #msg-7074035
Jul 22/05 · Might be a major top here - #msg-7073944
Jul 22/05 · Pessimism high, full suit on - #msg-7073005
Jul 15/05 · 2075, or a test of 2040 - #msg-6994445
Jul 14/05 · Upside is only some 30 Naz points or so, if at all - #msg-6984333
Jul 11/05 · A real rut or just a contained (2040) retrench? - #msg-6942677
Jul 11/05 · Very close to have a clear sell signal - #msg-6942609
Jul 08/05 · Still think 2130 is in the "picture" - #msg-6915522
Jul 08/05 · Not much above 2130 if at all - #msg-6914193
Jul 07/05 · 2100 territory before a major swoon down - #msg-6905922
Jun 23/05 · Not too positive on the market in general here - #msg-6772242
Jun 21/05 · I still think we take 2100 - #msg-6748122
Jun 18/05 · Not surprised if it took till late August for a local top - #msg-6719018
Jun 18/05 · Very strong possibility we get a much sharper reaction - #msg-6718988
Jun 16/05 · Still expect a fake take out of 2100 - #msg-6699314
Jun 14/05 · Still think an attempt at taking 2100 will be engineered - #msg-6665250
Jun 04/05 · August and September we give it all up - #msg-6572288
Jun 02/05 · Maybe a head fake and a retrench - #msg-6556876
Jun 02/05 · Looks as if they want to take out 2100 - #msg-6555439
Jun 02/05 · A fight here at 2100 - #msg-6547539
May 29/05 · A local peak - #msg-6511505
May 28/05 · A lot of indicators in the danger zone - #msg-6507427
May 28/05 · Gold and NEM - #msg-6506624
May 25/05 · Expecting a range between 1980 to 2100 - #msg-6470248
May 23/05 · Maybe as low as 1980 - #msg-6448552
May 23/05 · Retrenchment and then at least a challenge to 2100 - #msg-6438280
May 22/05 · A more optimistic point of view - #msg-6431212
May 21/05 · Down trend in force since January is terminated - #msg-6424551
May 21/05 · Getting ready to put in another bull leg - #msg-6424507
May 19/05 · Probably a top - #msg-6407985
May 16/05 · Major move will be down rather than up - #msg-6360160
May 14/05 · 1850, maybe even 1750 - #msg-6343207
May 13/05 · A nasty six weeks or so here - #msg-6341365
May 13/05 · More selling coming next week - #msg-6335803
May 09/05 · Major resistance here just around 2000 - #msg-6287183
May 08/05 · A range bound market - #msg-6272930
May 07/05 · A mildly bearish stance - #msg-6269763
May 07/05 · Maybe the trading range (1900/2000) continues - #msg-6268923
May 06/05 · Still think that this upleg will not go far - #msg-6257346
May 02/05 · I doubt we take 1975, but if we do - #msg-6217138
Apr 23/05 · Year low, September early October - #msg-6131080
Apr 23/05 · More ups and downs - #msg-6130980
Apr 22/05 · 1750 by July - #msg-6123564
Apr 17/05 · 80 to 120 points or so - #msg-6071887
Apr 17/05 · Pessimism has gone too far - #msg-6071691
Apr 16/05 · Definitely 1750 before 2300 - #msg-6067836
Apr 16/05 • Fast and furious run, maybe 2 to 3 weeks - #msg-6065639
Apr 15/05 · 80 to 100 Naz points ramp - #msg-6061784
Apr 14/05 · No relief till probably late in June - #msg-6053037
Apr 12/05 · A local bottom today or tomorrow - #msg-6021704
Apr 11/05 · Should hold the recent lows in the naz - #msg-6017006
Apr 11/05 · A range of 1750 to 2150 - #msg-6008552
Apr 08/05 · 2040 will be very formidable resistance - #msg-5990664
Apr 07/05 · Still mildly bullish - #msg-5978516
Mar 27/05 · Too much bearishness - #msg-5864495
Mar 24/05 · Reduced exposure a little - #msg-5849097
Mar 22/05 · Not bearish - #msg-5822924
Mar 20/05 · What will precipitate resumption of the secular bear - #msg-5791837
Mar 20/05 · Still do not see a consumer led recession - #msg-5791729
Mar 20/05 · Medium term, I think the trading range will hold - #msg-5791650
Mar 19/05 · Optimistic view - #msg-5786556
Mar 17/05 · A floor and a ceiling - #msg-5770560
Mar 17/05 · Not higher than 2100 - #msg-5770149
Mar 17/05 · Not much excess optimism - #msg-5762059
Mar 16/05 · Cash is now close to fully loaded at 12% - #msg-5756812
Mar 15/05 · Short term, quite positive on the market - #msg-5743474
Mar 10/05 · Sentiment indicators are quite neutral - #msg-5701755
Mar 07/05 · Very close to overhead supply here above 2100 - #msg-5661815
Mar 05/05 · Naz will probably catch up - #msg-5644979
Mar 05/05 · We had more exuberance in late December - #msg-5644878
Mar 05/05 · Nassacre has definitely been defenestrated - #msg-5642585
Mar 05/05 · Sharp decline will probably be led by the BTK - #msg-5642478
Mar 05/05 • Excesses in sentiment indicators did not materialize - #msg-5642414
Mar 05/05 · Nassacre, for now is definitely defenestrated - #msg-5641841
Mar 01/05 · No extremes one way or another - #msg-5593561
Feb 27/05 · 1750 is not yet off the table - #msg-5566323
Feb 27/05 • Could be the nassacre is just delayed - #msg-5565838
Feb 24/05 • We may not have that nassacre after all - #msg-5543299 #msg-5557104
Feb 24/05 · No clear signal one way or another - #msg-5534369
Feb 22/05 · A sell signal might be generated soon - #msg-5516269
Feb 22/05 · Never got the extremes - #msg-5515673
Feb 19/05 · Turn date is still 2/23 - #msg-5490438
Feb 18/05 · Strong week next week - #msg-5484501
Feb 16/05 · Some 100 Naz points - #msg-5461787
Feb 16/05 · Lack of put buying on the swoon today - #msg-5460063
Feb 15/05 · We need to take out 2106/12 - #msg-5441972
Feb 14/05 · Nominal date was supposed to be 2/23 - #msg-5427307
Feb 12/05 · This run may have a little more to go - #msg-5416472
Feb 12/05 · SMH is starting to look half decent - #msg-5415354
Feb 10/05 · Could be a sign that the map is wrong - #msg-5393473
Feb 09/05 · Still clear sailing here - #msg-5377313
Feb 07/05 · Nominal starting date (top) 2/23 - #msg-5363229
Feb 05/05 · July-November time period for a run into early 2006 - #msg-5345464
Feb 05/05 · This ramp may be quite "laborious" - #msg-5341165
Feb 04/05 · Cash position increased to 36% - #msg-5338194
Feb 03/05 · 2040 should hold - #msg-5316662
Jan 31/05 · I think the rally has started - #msg-5277401
Jan 24/05 · Maybe 2250 to 2275 - #msg-5211606
Jan 24/05 · Top may have to be lowered - #msg-5211538
Jan 24/05 · Changing current buy to sell? No - #msg-5206815
Jan 24/05 · Maybe the nassacre started already - #msg-5206376
Jan 23/05 · Low for the year is still around 1400 - #msg-5202014
Jan 22/05 · By late October, under 8000 on the dow - #msg-5196507
Jan 21/05 · Remaining bullish - #msg-5192442
Jan 21/05 · Under 10% cash - #msg-5189864
Jan 21/05 · If we bounce, not a bad area for a leg up - #msg-5183038
Jan 20/05 · Well within an orderly retreat to 2040 - #msg-5181277
Jan 20/05 · Cash at just under 15% - #msg-5178046
Jan 19/05 · We did not get the short term extremes - #msg-5168342
Jan 19/05 · Decline may still get to that 2040 - #msg-5164542
Jan 19/05 · New lows refuse to expand - #msg-5160515
Jan 18/05 · 2106 print should be enough for resuming upmarch - #msg-5148476
Jan 16/05 · Markman's excessive optimism - #msg-5133369
Jan 15/05 · Probably a first top around Feb 2-9 - #msg-5129606
Jan 15/05 · Double top before the end of February - #msg-5129211
Jan 12/05 · We hit 2066, close enough - #msg-5092624
Jan 07/05 · Maybe we get some relief next week - #msg-5049246
Jan 07/05 · Still expect another run to 2275 - #msg-5049160
Jan 06/05 · Maybe a delay into late January - #msg-5035675
Jan 05/05 · Still expect new highs - #msg-5026116
Jan 05/05 · Very strong oversold condition here - #msg-5023102
Jan 04/05 · Back in bullish mode - #msg-5013596
Jan 04/05 · We should rally before the end of the week - #msg-5011315
Jan 03/05 · Still expect a high later this month - #msg-4997879
A few posts from the turnip patch (#board-1125).
Jan-Dec 2004.
Dec 28/04 · Still neutral with a bullish bent - #msg-4940109
Dec 26/04 · SMH and BTK - #msg-4929585
Dec 26/04 • Market forecast for 2005 - #msg-4929099
Dec 23/04 · Still at a mild bullish cash position of about 35% - #msg-4920545
Dec 22/04 · Expecting a slow steady rise in the next few weeks - #msg-4912247
Dec 22/04 · May dip into the red, before we launch again - #msg-4906406
Dec 20/04 · A bottom by 12 noon Wednesday - #msg-4891112
Dec 20/04 · Maybe some weakness in the next two three days - #msg-4885051
Dec 18/04 · May go down to 35% cash by middle of next week - #msg-4874626
Dec 17/04 · Next week is the last window for a pull back - #msg-4868317
Dec 16/04 · Perhaps a breather for few days, if at all - #msg-4857712
Dec 16/04 · Neutral position, slight bullish leaning - #msg-4845786
Dec 15/04 · Market could still pull back - #msg-4843179
Dec 14/04 · Still neutral, cash still at 42% - #msg-4830231
Dec 13/04 · Could even take out 2275 - #msg-4811110
Dec 12/04 · Minimum target of 2275 on the Naz - #msg-4806961
Dec 09/04 · Switching to neutral - #msg-4788000 #msg-4788709
Dec 09/04 · At worst we get to the 2020/50 area - #msg-4779283
Dec 07/04 · Don't expect this retrench to go too far - #msg-4761905 #msg-4764579
Dec 04/04 · Potential drop for QQQQ - #msg-4735154
Dec 03/04 · Most internals point to an over extended market - #msg-4719961
Dec 02/04 · We must relieve some of the extreme bullishness - #msg-4719000
Dec 02/04 · Still with the teddy bear - #msg-4707088 #msg-4708136
Dec 01/04 · Maybe a top before the end of the week - #msg-4705187
Dec 01/04 · Still expect a retrench - #msg-4705150
Nov 28/04 · Indicators still pointing to retrench before Xmas - #msg-4670053
Nov 25/04 · Market is behaving like late 1999 - #msg-4657866
Nov 25/04 · 2020/2040 area in the next two weeks - #msg-4657393
Nov 24/04 · October 2005 maybe as deep as 1400 - #msg-4656538
Nov 24/04 · After nirvana, we get a Grand Nassacre - #msg-4656480
Nov 24/04 · 2275 before the middle of February - #msg-4655653
Nov 24/04 · 2100 ± 20 is a good point for such a retreat - #msg-4653163
Nov 24/04 · Had the decline till mid December - #msg-4652574
Nov 23/04 · We may just continue straight up - #msg-4645955
Nov 22/04 · I have early December as weak - #msg-4630234
Nov 20/04 • Internals have not reached extremes - #msg-4620916
Nov 20/04 · Not be surprised to see an overshoot to 2390 - #msg-4620591
Nov 19/04 · Naz may not do the "whole" trip to 2000 - #msg-4619202
Nov 19/04 · Not the start of a bear market - #msg-4618119
Nov 19/04 · Rezipping the suit today - #msg-4617550
Nov 18/04 · Bear suit may get rezipped - #msg-4609135
Nov 18/04 · 1990/2010, 2-3 weeks after a top - #msg-4599406
Nov 17/04 · Would like a revisit of 1990/2010 area - #msg-4596263
Nov 17/04 • Going back to a neutral stance here - #msg-4590170
Nov 16/04 · Cash is at 54% - #msg-4584989
Nov 16/04 · EPC stayed under .65 - #msg-4584939
Nov 15/04 · A possible fork extending the swoon - #msg-4576734
Nov 15/04 · Raised cash to the 60% level - #msg-4574775
Nov 15/04 · Two maybe three weeks, if that long - #msg-4572384
Nov 15/04 · Waiting for a print of 2095 to zip up the suit - #msg-4571790
Nov 15/04 • Bear suit on here at 2089 on the Naz - #msg-4571629
Nov 12/04 · Close to levels that are "unsustainable" - #msg-4557687
Nov 12/04 · Neutral - #msg-4557046 #msg-4557794
Nov 11/04 · Probably a sell signal sometime tomorrow - #msg-4547338
Nov 11/04 · Market will come down - #msg-4545620 #msg-4545365
Nov 11/04 · 85 naz points from the top, 1940 as barrier - #msg-4542791
Nov 11/04 · Still have a retrench coming - #msg-4542380 #msg-4543101
Nov 10/04 · Still expect a swoon under 2000 on the Naz - #msg-4534057
Nov 10/04 · A basket of stocks - #msg-4532896 #msg-4532994
Nov 10/04 · Much more downside - #msg-4530579
Nov 09/04 · Cycle dates are always plus minus 2 trading days - #msg-4518356
Nov 08/04 · Retrench not worse than 1940 - #msg-4507775
Nov 07/04 · Rapid retrenchment - #msg-4504958
Nov 05/04 · 10400, an important barrier on the Dow - #msg-4487469
Nov 04/04 · Still have a swoon down into the 12th - #msg-4483042
Nov 03/04 · Still have a retrench here till about the 12th - #msg-4470983
Nov 02/04 · Minor top no later than tomorrow at 2:22 - #msg-4455141
Nov 02/04 · 1940 (such a pull back into 11/12) - #msg-4453522
Nov 01/04 · A local low in mid November - #msg-4442763
Oct 27/04 · Peak between January 1 and February 20th - #msg-4403955 #msg-4406109
Oct 27/04 · If 2025, retrench could go to 1940 or so - #msg-4401985
Oct 23/04 · Dow is making a triple bottom here - #msg-4366005
Oct 21/04 · Target still 2000/2025 for this leg - #msg-4354167
Oct 20/04 · Still expect 1975 before election - #msg-4345474
Oct 18/04 · Target before election is 2000/2025 - #msg-4324079
Oct 17/04 · We still have a major leg up - #msg-4314308
Oct 15/04 · First target before a meaningful retrench is 2025 - #msg-4302590
Oct 15/04 · 1878 is not out of the question - #msg-4299110
Oct 14/04 · The horns are being fastened back on - #msg-4291209 #msg-4294164
Oct 13/04 · Lows for next year - #msg-4275720
Oct 12/04 · Maybe 1975/95 before we turn back - #msg-4273282
Oct 12/04 · 1965, was indeed a master head fake - #msg-4264387
Oct 08/04 · 1925 should now serve as major support - #msg-4239736
Oct 07/04 · This could be the leg starting mid October - #msg-4236127
Oct 06/04 · Doubt we get much under 1925 - #msg-4224965 #msg-4224981
Oct 06/04 · If we close above 1965, bear suit goes back to the cleaner - #msg-4222301
Oct 04/04 · Another attempt at 1965, then turn down - #msg-4203791
Oct 02/04 · Won't take 1965 before we revisit at least 1880 - #msg-4187084
Oct 02/04 · An explosive run to mid January early February - #msg-4186767
Oct 02/04 · We may test major resistance at 1960/65 - #msg-4186357
Oct 01/04 · I have a short ask on the QQQ at $35.86 - #msg-4176631
Sep 30/04 · 60% chance of 100 Naz point drop - #msg-4169758
Sep 29/04 · Could go to the 1780 area in October - #msg-4159166 #msg-4159850
Sep 29/04 · Likely under 1800 before October is over - #msg-4158542
Sep 29/04 · Maybe a run to 1895/7 or so - #msg-4158249 #msg-4158514
Sep 28/04 · Next swoon, probably next week - #msg-4150449
Sep 28/04 · May have to raise the top, 1875 to 1890 - #msg-4150008
Sep 27/04 · 1820 was the worst I expected for the week - #msg-4141085
Sep 24/04 · At least two tough days in semis next week - #msg-4124606
Sep 24/04 · 1820, bounce to 1875, resume the decline - #msg-4122751
Sep 24/04 · 1820 for next week's low on the Naz - #msg-4121433
Sep 21/04 • Most likely target is just 1820 or so - #msg-4093494
Sep 21/04 • Sold short the QQQ at $35.84 - #msg-4091999 #msg-4092451
Sep 21/04 · Yesterday's 1921 was indeed "it" - #msg-4087895
Sep 20/04 · After the fed, we decline in earnest - #msg-4083888
Sep 20/04 · Bear suit is on - #msg-4080518
Sep 18/04 · Likely scenario is holding above 1820 - #msg-4071069 #msg-4071124
Sep 17/04 · Have not gotten a clear sell signal here - #msg-4069166
Sep 17/04 · Bear suit is still only partially on - #msg-4068106
Sep 16/04 · Tomorrow is the most probable top - #msg-4055167 #msg-4055585
Sep 15/04 · Monday...most likely Friday - #msg-4041685
Sep 14/04 · Top may not come till Monday - #msg-4036058
Sep 13/04 · Almost into the bear suit - #msg-4026662
Sep 13/04 · Pretty close to mid September top here - #msg-4025534
Sep 12/04 · A fabulous year end rally - #msg-4018447
Sep 12/04 · 100 to 200 point retrace from 1950 area - #msg-4017690
Sep 10/04 · Short term top here in the next week or so - #msg-4010363
Sep 10/04 · A top probably in the 1920/1950 area - #msg-4005309
Sep 08/04 · Top maybe as late as the 20th - #msg-3992751
Sep 08/04 · May not get the 1900 plus - #msg-3990709
Sep 02/04 · A low in October well under 1850 - #msg-3953754
Sep 01/04 · A run above 1900 before 9/14 - #msg-3931942
Aug 25/04 · Swoon down in late September early October - #msg-3889085
Aug 25/04 · A test of 1930/50 within three weeks - #msg-3888421
Aug 23/04 · 1930/50 as target for the period 9/7 to 9/14 - #msg-3873500
Aug 21/04 · Another rally into 2005 is quite possible - #msg-3860998
Aug 20/04 · Still have 1930/50 by middle of next month - #msg-3853978
Aug 18/04 · 1930/50 for the middle of next month - #msg-3837155
Aug 14/04 · Resuming secular bear sometime in 2005 - #msg-3809515
Aug 14/04 · No change - #msg-3806753
Aug 11/04 · Expecting 460 SOX by end of January - #msg-3779968
Aug 09/04 · In a few months, end of the cyclical bull - #msg-3765029
Aug 07/04 · 150/200 Naz points in 4 to 5 weeks - #msg-3754474
Aug 07/04 · Advancing from the bottom - #msg-3754457
Aug 06/04 · A run to complete the 30% early in January - #msg-3753191
Aug 06/04 · Leaning to 30% rise from 1750 to 2275 - #msg-3751323
Aug 06/04 · Very extreme reading in many indicators - #msg-3750687
Aug 06/04 · Current map is out the window - #msg-3745022
Aug 06/04 · No longer assuming recession to be delayed - #msg-3744943
Aug 05/04 · Under 5% cash right here - #msg-3742405
Aug 04/04 · 1940 by about 8/15 or forecast in doubt - #msg-3729393
Jul 31/04 · Still feel the run will be up - #msg-3700771
Jul 29/04 · Let's see how we handle 1930 - #msg-3687842
Jul 29/04 · Not expecting sharp decline soon - #msg-3683765
Jul 28/04 · A bottom like late 02 - #msg-3673516
Jul 27/04 · 1935/40 is the first major hurdle - #msg-3663301
Jul 26/04 · New lows or not - #msg-3657589
Jul 26/04 · Sign that selling pressure is abating - #msg-3657558
Jul 26/04 · Wednesday as the "turn date" - #msg-3655021
Jul 26/04 · No run for the hills - #msg-3649176
Jul 21/04 · May still see sub 1900 in the near future - #msg-3612737
Jul 20/04 · Maintaining the bullish position is still warranted - #msg-3610744
Jul 20/04 · $37 is doable in QQQ over the next 2 weeks - #msg-3606432
Jul 19/04 · 2390 is the expected top - #msg-3593311
Jul 19/04 · If 1940 without taking it, another swoon - #msg-3592767 #msg-3593140
Jul 19/04 · Bullish scenario, delayed, still intact - #msg-3592635
Jul 17/04 · Good outfits have weathered this storm - #msg-3585920
Jul 16/04 · Quite bullish still - #msg-3582226
Jul 16/04 · Early next week we should be up - #msg-3582112 #msg-3582265
Jul 16/04 · No worse than 1880 - #msg-3577893
Jul 14/04 · Still have the bull horns on - #msg-3555054 #3561321
Jul 13/04 · Next challenge 1900; indicators still positive - #msg-3553369
Jul 12/04 · No change, very bullish, close to fully loaded - #msg-3538772
Jul 10/04 · Charts showing stealth strength - #msg-3527831
Jul 10/04 · 28% (2390) to 34% (2500) move is quite possible - #msg-3527810
Jul 10/04 · A new NAZ high before late September - #msg-3527543
Jul 09/04 · This is often how reversals are built - #msg-3517731
Jul 08/04 · Excursion back toward May lows may cause delay - #msg-3516598
Jul 08/04 · This is what bottoms are made of - #msg-3515648
Jul 08/04 · We may want to do a triple bottom here - #msg-3515313
Jul 08/04 · Still quite bullish - #msg-3508541
Jul 06/04 · Stocks for swings - #msg-3497676
Jul 06/04 · Local low today or by 11:30 tomorrow - #msg-3497503
Jul 02/04 · An attempt at 2076/88 in next 2 weeks - #msg-3478417
Jul 01/04 · 2013, satisfies "need" for a retrench - #msg-3466617
Jun 30/04 · Another retest of the 2008 or so area - #msg-3461273
Jun 28/04 · Market is doing quite fine here - #msg-3443039 #msg-3443054
Jun 25/04 · Slowly going to get off the mat here - #msg-3427799
Jun 24/04 · Reaffirmation of 2500 - #msg-3419988
Jun 23/04 · Until 2040, and then 2073, we meander - #msg-3403530
Jun 18/04 · Those that should advance - #msg-3371711
Jun 12/04 · Market should follow earnings - #msg-3318702
Jun 09/04 · No change in my very strong bullish stance - #msg-3294403
Jun 09/04 · Leaning towards a Sept 14 top - #msg-3291491
Jun 08/04 · I like what I see - #msg-3286515
Jun 08/04 · Following the tract set up in April of 2000 - #msg-3285978
Jun 08/04 · May get the high next Wednesday - #msg-3285783
Jun 08/04 · May 2001 highs will be breached - #msg-3285716
Jun 08/04 · Cyclical bull stretched into next year, unlikely - #msg-3284204
Jun 08/04 · Likely a top between 2450 and 2500 - #msg-3284031
Jun 07/04 • Roadmap to October - #msg-3275663
Jun 07/04 · Will need three attempts to take out 2076/88 - #msg-3275274
Jun 07/04 · Think we take 2300 and whistle by it - #msg-3275197
Jun 07/04 · Strong bullish signal at the March lows - #msg-3274885
Jun 07/04 · 2080, much before August - #msg-3272059
Jun 07/04 · 2040 sometime this week - #msg-3269096 #msg-3269598
Jun 06/04 · Everyone doubting target of 2500 - #msg-3261256
Jun 05/04 · Will likely raise year target to 2500 - #msg-3259204
Jun 04/04 · Have been waiting patiently for 2000 - #msg-3252926
Jun 03/04 · Still very bullish - #msg-3241354
Jun 02/04 · 1940 is the line - #msg-3226610
Jun 01/04 · Short trip to the 1950/60 area - #msg-3222651
Jun 01/04 · Had the low of the week tomorrow - #msg-3221009
Jun 01/04 · 2000 (and then some) by the end of the week - #msg-3218982
May 28/04 · 2040/60 area on the Naz - #msg-3198076
May 26/04 · Day trading technique - #msg-3180737
May 26/04 · Almost ready to push the top of this cyclical bull - #msg-3180675
May 26/04 · If we can take 1973, we may have a run - #msg-3177978
May 25/04 · Lack of expansion of new highs on the Naz - #msg-3169711
May 25/04 · 2040/60 target some time next week - #msg-3168209
May 22/04 · Looking for a turn, Monday-Wednesday - #msg-3145351
May 22/04 · Core issues and swing traders - #msg-3145336
May 21/04 · A run here till at least June 2nd - #msg-3143095
May 21/04 · Expect/hope current market malaise will dissipate - #msg-3141973
May 20/04 · Semis and the BTB - #msg-3133262
May 19/04 · Extreme sentiments and major bottom formations - #msg-3123469
May 19/04 · A few more tremors, then we should march slowly - #msg-3122970
May 17/04 · Internals have been good for almost a week - #msg-3102130
May 16/04 · Conditions are quite ripe for a sizeable run - #msg-3096262
May 12/04 · Maybe third phase in current cyclical bull - #msg-3070269
May 12/04 · Sentiments are extreme - #msg-3063446
May 11/04 · Still bullish - #msg-3062492
May 10/04 · Sign of serious buying - #msg-3053613
May 10/04 · May well print newer highs in next 3 months - #msg-3052197
May 08/04 · Can't issue a sell signal - #msg-3042617
May 07/04 · 1940 taken out; not enough to change position - #msg-3039438
May 07/04 · Possibly a longer rally to come - #msg-3039128
May 07/04 · Very close to a substantial bottom here - #msg-3039077
May 06/04 · Cyclical bull may not have many months left - #msg-3030403
May 05/04 · Still expecting new highs within next 3 months - #msg-3017090
May 03/04 · A few things to maintain a mildly bullish stance - #msg-3003283
May 03/04 · Next week or 2 will shed some light - #msg-2996310
May 02/04 · Waiting to see how the next ramp develops - #msg-2994354
Apr 30/04 · Can't find a reason for the bear suit - #msg-2988697
Apr 30/04 · The selling is too indiscriminate - #msg-2986012
Apr 30/04 · If a "run for the hills" will issued... - #msg-2985769
Apr 29/04 · Stay out of the broken stocks - #msg-2978631
Apr 29/04 · Not enough to justify a bearish stance - #msg-2978378
Apr 29/04 · Model the market may be following - #msg-2977184
Apr 29/04 · IBM and INTC to engineer a ramp - #msg-2977164
Apr 29/04 · Have to take 2011 fast and advance beyond 2088 - #msg-2977019
Apr 29/04 · New lows, spreading to the Naz - #msg-2977007
Apr 29/04 • The 12/25 map may have to be scrapped - #msg-2976890
Apr 29/04 · Until early June to get to a new high on the Naz - #msg-2976698
Apr 29/04 · 1940 held, so maybe this mini strom is over - #msg-2976527
Apr 28/04 · Wednesday before 11:30 will see the bottom - #msg-2962091
Apr 28/04 · Staying with the plan - #msg-2960326 #msg-2961765
Apr 27/04 · Last leg of the bull will be led by the BTK - #msg-2957734
Apr 27/04 · New highs before the end of June - #msg-2956784
Apr 26/04 · P/C ratio in not pointing to an imminent reversal - #msg-2920261
Apr 22/04 · These maps are not for exact timing - #msg-2921047
Apr 22/04 · If 2079/91 end of the 1st week in May - #msg-2918384
Apr 20/04 · Still fine as long as 1940 is not taken - #msg-2897820
Apr 17/04 · 2088 or 12/25 map will have to be changed - #msg-2873334
Apr 16/04 · We are still when within the framework of the plan - #msg-2870754
Apr 15/04 · No change in position right now - #msg-2860586 #msg-2861071
Apr 14/04 · SanDisk - #msg-2851505
Apr 13/04 · Sharp down opening tomorrow and closing of the gap - #msg-2839497
Apr 13/04 · 2040, if taken, then the 2007 area - #msg-2836240
Apr 13/04 · Following the plan - #msg-2835808
Apr 11/04 · Naz high in mid July - #msg-2818812
Apr 08/04 · Current map has 3 month topping process - #msg-2801047
Apr 06/04 · 2011 to 2088 here, probably till next week - #msg-2784377
Apr 02/04 · Still expect a local low 4/6 - #msg-2760777
Apr 01/04 • Forecast for the next 3 months - #msg-2749633
Apr 01/04 · Any pull back should be held at 1940 - #msg-2748440 #msg-2748957
Apr 01/04 · I have just put on back my bull horns - #msg-2742464
Mar 31/04 · Still have around 1940 before or on 4/6 - #msg-2736010
Mar 30/04 · Still neutral with a slight bearish bent - #msg-2728842
Mar 30/04 · Maybe a G&C to the 2007/11 range - #msg-2726860
Mar 30/04 · The sign on the door is still "neutral" - #msg-2727030
Mar 30/04 · Maybe another 40 Naz points in the next few days - #msg-2723760
Mar 29/04 · I don't think we go under 1940 - #msg-2718291 #msg-2718403
Mar 29/04 · Neutral for now - #msg-2716803 #msg-2716825
Mar 29/04 · If cannot close above 1983, back into bear suit - #msg-2716265
Mar 29/04 · Turnips are confused here - #msg-2714718
Mar 29/04 · Turned bullish here - #msg-2711435 #msg-2711653
Mar 29/04 · More Maginot lines ahead - #msg-2710660
Mar 26/04 · Staying with my current scenario - #msg-2692195
Mar 25/04 · Not sure we're finished with the decline - #msg-2690380 #msg-2690445
Mar 23/04 · Inflation - #msg-2671011
Mar 23/04 · Lowering the Maginot line to 1983 - #msg-2670496
Mar 23/04 · Why I selected 1887 as the likely bottom - #msg-2669662
Mar 22/04 · VIX - #msg-2660594 #msg-2660731
Mar 22/04 · Still do not have good "bottoming" action here - #msg-2659836
Mar 22/04 · Don't have the horns on yet (probably tomorrow) - #msg-2658111
Mar 21/04 · Low may be extended to as far as 4/06 - #msg-2651521
Mar 20/04 · Expect another recession within 12 to 24 months - #msg-2647321
Mar 20/04 · Not the time to get excessively bearish - #msg-2646537
Mar 20/04 · Grand Negative Tick (GNT) explained - #msg-2646445
Mar 20/04 · No way to quantify external events - #msg-2646209
Mar 20/04 · SOX and BTK targets - #msg-2646141
Mar 19/04 · Three consecutive GNTs to stop this decline - #msg-2645293
Mar 19/04 · Bottom is not too far; 20 to 60 Naz points - #msg-2643339
Mar 18/04 · Best bet is between 1887 to 1913 - #msg-2629263
Mar 17/04 · Ready to lower the Maginot line to 2007 - #msg-2625065 #msg-2626563
Mar 17/04 · We could attempt 1991 before we turn - #msg-2624742
Mar 16/04 · Extreme sentiments will prep us for 400/500 naz ramp - #msg-2616532
Mar 16/04 · Odds are good, sub 1900 within 2 weeks - #msg-2614525
Mar 16/04 · By tomorrow after noon, regularly scheduled program - #msg-2614399
Mar 16/04 · 2000 plus will have to wait until mid-to-late April - #msg-2613235
Mar 16/04 · Still think the Maginot line at 1842/50 will hold - #msg-2612174
Mar 15/04 · 1991/2007 range before the next drop - #msg-2606631
Mar 14/04 · 1887/1913 area in the next two weeks, then bullish - #msg-2596485
Mar 14/04 · BPs and their RSIs - #msg-2595742
Mar 14/04 · A bounce back to 1991/1997, maybe above 2000 - #msg-2595690
Mar 12/04 · Likely area of support for SOX is 448 - #msg-2591418
Mar 12/04 · Will the Maginot zone at 1842/50 hold - #msg-2589218
Mar 12/04 · If 2043 taken, last leg down may not happen - #msg-2589017
Mar 12/04 · Target for the bounce is still 1991/97 - #msg-2588980
Mar 12/04 · Up Mon/Tues, then regularly scheduled program - #msg-2587514
Mar 11/04 · Now is not the time to panic - #msg-2580723
Mar 11/04 · March bottom might be a coalesced one - #msg-2579319
Mar 11/04 · March recap - #msg-2577330
Mar 11/04 · 1887 is the current target low for late winter swoon - #msg-2575872
Mar 10/04 · Still have us making new highs later this summer - #msg-2570858
Mar 10/04 · I would not take a bearish stance here - #msg-2570218
Mar 10/04 · Looking at the TRIN - #msg-2569201 #msg-2569377
Mar 10/04 · 1842 has to be taken out for return to bearish pattern - #msg-2569169
Mar 10/04 · Maybe 120 Naz points down to a target of 1887 - #msg-2568949
Mar 09/04 · Starting to see the initial set up for the next bear - #msg-2561381
Mar 09/04 · 1913 could be reached, possibly exceeded - #msg-2557328
Mar 08/04 · Still have 1913 as nominal target - #msg-2551485
Mar 08/04 · We could bounce back in the next two days - #msg-2551159
Mar 08/04 · 2063 should hold, under 2000 end of next week - #msg-2547323
Mar 05/04 · Same road map is effective, no close above 2063 - #msg-2535501
Mar 05/04 · Within three weeks, 100/150 naz points lower - #msg-2533959
Mar 05/04 · Technical underpinnings are not too bad - #msg-2533636
Mar 04/04 · Tomorrow down at least 10 on the Naz - #msg-2525769
Mar 04/04 · Should hold above 2030 by EOD tomorrow - #msg-2523564
Mar 03/04 · 2063 is the Maginot line; 1913 is the target - #msg-2517889 #msg-2517944
Mar 01/04 · If 2063 close, most of the correction is over - #msg-2496079 #msg-2496283
Feb 26/04 · Could be we don't get the March drop - #msg-2469293
Feb 25/04 · Advance to be blocked in the 2045/50 area - #msg-2463330
Feb 25/04 · 950 is still in the long range forecast for 2005, or later - SI #reply-19848633
Feb 25/04 · Probably between 1980 and 2045 for a week - #msg-2462312
Feb 25/04 · Line in the sand is 2063 - #msg-2458097 #msg-2469945
Feb 24/04 · May have another 100 Naz points down - #msg-2451078
Feb 24/04 · 1970/80 area, then a bounce at least to 2015 - #msg-2445239
Feb 23/04 · Still going to 1900 or so before the end of March - #msg-2440617
Feb 23/04 · Should take out 2000 later in the week - #msg-2437562
Feb 21/04 · Bullish advisors are still at a nose bleeding level - #msg-2429178
Feb 21/04 · 12 core issues for potential OB entries - #msg-2429148
Feb 20/04 · Still have spring rally to above 2300 in the cards - #msg-2421164
Feb 19/04 · Still have 1880/1911 as bottom of March decline - #msg-2415762
Feb 18/04 · Now we have to take 2110 to be bullish again - #msg-2407513
Feb 18/04 · Model still calls for sub 1900 at least - #msg-2404116
Feb 17/04 · Watch for 2088/2110, see how much resistance it offers - #msg-2396967
Feb 16/04 · General map still calls for Feb/early March weakness - #msg-2385366
Feb 15/04 · SOX 460 to 480 in this late winter swoon - #msg-2382664
Feb 14/04 · Whole sequence may be delayed by a week - #msg-2377410
Feb 13/04 · Still sticking with the major road map - #msg-2373343
Feb 13/04 · By next week 2040 will yield - #msg-2369206
Feb 12/04 · Still in the same bearsuit - #msg-2364445
Feb 12/04 · 2044 will confirm the original sub 2000 - #msg-2360450
Feb 12/04 · Have to take 2041 for the downtrend to be reestablished - #msg-2357669
Feb 11/04 · If we close above 2110, a run to no more than 2163 - #msg-2356018
Feb 11/04 · Forced to raise the top of the band to 2110 - #msg-2354038
Feb 11/04 · EOD mark up, so not changing yet, might in the morning - #msg-2353428
Feb 11/04 · If NAZ closes above 2088, target 2163 - #msg-2351220 #msg-2352902
Feb 10/04 · Still bearish - #msg-2343389
Feb 10/04 · 2063 holding, once breached, flood gate should open - #msg-2342860
Feb 08/04 · Continued recovery, or have most of the bullets been spent? - #msg-2324450
Feb 07/04 · Nasty break August/September, recovery into election - #msg-2321447
Feb 07/04 · Swoon down, new high by early July or so - #msg-2321389
Feb 07/04 · Expect Naz to be some 150 points lower by March - #msg-2320559
Feb 07/04 · Double bottom on 3/8 and 3/24 under 1900 - #msg-2319917
Feb 06/04 · Don't expect us to close above 2088 in near future - #msg-2315458
Feb 06/04 · Still think this is just an oversold relief rally - #msg-2315181
Feb 06/04 · Bounce here expected, main model still in effect - #msg-2312240
Feb 06/04 · Resumption of the bull move is 2088 on a closing - #msg-2310117
Feb 06/04 · Best I can see here is a mild bounce to 2044 - #msg-2310036 #msg-2310183
Feb 03/04 · Starting a leg down to at least 1978 before expiry - #msg-2290163
Feb 03/04 · Window for the bounce should close tomorrow - #msg-2286996
Feb 02/04 · Equivalent to a RFTH - #msg-2279117
Feb 02/04 · The bounce might be over, we got to 2085 - #msg-2278249 #msg-2278883
Feb 02/04 · A challenge of 2100 in next day or two - #msg-2273902 #msg-2275122
Jan 30/04 · Challenging 2100 next week - #msg-2260976
Jan 29/04 · Expecting move up 50 to 70 Naz points from the low - #msg-2248709
Jan 29/04 · Medium term, still in my bear suit - #msg-2248284
Jan 28/04 · January forecast review redux - #msg-2241939
Jan 27/04 · SNDK, NVLS and CCMP; canaries for the sector - #msg-2232394
Jan 27/04 · This close fits with expectations of 2060 - #msg-2231285
Jan 26/04 · The bear is firmly in the picture - #msg-2220248
Jan 24/04 · January forecast review - #msg-2207001
Jan 23/04 · Next week, should give up 2100 - #msg-2203566 Erratum #msg-2204027
Jan 22/04 · May still have a week or so of additional topping - #msg-2188048
Jan 20/04 · Still expecting sub 1900, target date 3/24 - #msg-2173372
Jan 18/04 • 2004 forecast revisited - #msg-2157946
Jan 16/04 · Coalescence model is probably in force now - #msg-2152007
Jan 16/04 · Next stop is 2163, and we could get there - #msg-2150550
Jan 16/04 · Topping process could take another week - #msg-2146460
Jan 14/04 • Three-step decline from 2114 to sub 1900 or.... - #msg-2134556
Jan 14/04 · Sub 1900 is feasible - #msg-2132534
Jan 14/04 · Top in next few trading days, 2093 to 2163 - #msg-2131250
Jan 13/04 · May have a longer but slower relapse - #msg-2122459
Jan 13/04 · More likely just a drop to the 1975/85 area - #msg-2121564
Jan 11/04 · Continue down into Wednesday, then bounce - #msg-2103870 #msg-2103948
Jan 10/04 · Short term gloomy picture of market internals - #msg-2101414
Jan 10/04 · Bear suit for at least a 100 Naz points - #msg-2100994
Jan 08/04 • Changing target for retrench, expecting at least 1955 - #msg-2085673 #msg-2085873
Jan 08/04 · Many indicators reaching major danger readings - #msg-2080049
Jan 07/04 · If 70 point relapse, Feb relapse will be more - #msg-2077914
Jan 07/04 · Still expect a late day relapse - #msg-2073598
Jan 07/04 · Still have us retesting the 1975 area - #msg-2072858
Jan 06/04 · Still think we are in a local top here - #msg-2066689
Jan 06/04 · The low may extend to Friday - #msg-2064694
Jan 05/04 · Floor modified to 1975, once retrench starts - #msg-2057033
Jan 05/04 · Still think the top will be today - #msg-2055214
Jan 04/04 · Once more.............next week - #msg-2049473
Jan 03/04 · Equity (only) P/C ratio explained - #msg-2044956
Jan 02/04 · Ready for a fabulous G&C on Monday - #msg-2042206
Jan 02/04 · Relapse could be starting early - #msg-2041452
Jan 02/04 · Next week's relapse, 2-4 days - #msg-2039951
Jan 02/04 · EPC above .55 during the early January retrench - #msg-2035856
Jan 01/04 · Monday as high as 2025/30, then down to 1955/75 - #msg-2035017
A few posts from the turnip patch (#board-1125).
January - February 2004.
Feb 26/04 · Could be we don't get the March drop - #msg-2469293
Feb 25/04 · Advance to be blocked in the 2045/50 area - #msg-2463330
Feb 25/04 · 950 is still in the long range forecast for 2005, or later - SI #reply-19848633
Feb 25/04 · Probably between 1980 and 2045 for a week - #msg-2462312
Feb 25/04 · Line in the sand is 2063 - #msg-2458097 #msg-2469945
Feb 24/04 · May have another 100 Naz points down - #msg-2451078
Feb 24/04 · 1970/80 area, then a bounce at least to 2015 - #msg-2445239
Feb 23/04 · Still going to 1900 or so before the end of March - #msg-2440617
Feb 23/04 · Should take out 2000 later in the week - #msg-2437562
Feb 21/04 · Bullish advisors are still at a nose bleeding level - #msg-2429178
Feb 21/04 · 12 core issues for potential OB entries - #msg-2429148
Feb 20/04 · Still have spring rally to above 2300 in the cards - #msg-2421164
Feb 19/04 · Still have 1880/1911 as bottom of March decline - #msg-2415762
Feb 18/04 · Now we have to take 2110 to be bullish again - #msg-2407513
Feb 18/04 · Model still calls for sub 1900 at least - #msg-2404116
Feb 17/04 · Watch for 2088/2110, see how much resistance it offers - #msg-2396967
Feb 16/04 · General map still calls for Feb/early March weakness - #msg-2385366
Feb 15/04 · SOX 460 to 480 in this late winter swoon - #msg-2382664
Feb 14/04 · Whole sequence may be delayed by a week - #msg-2377410
Feb 13/04 · Still sticking with the major road map - #msg-2373343
Feb 13/04 · By next week 2040 will yield - #msg-2369206
Feb 12/04 · Still in the same bearsuit - #msg-2364445
Feb 12/04 · 2044 will confirm the original sub 2000 - #msg-2360450
Feb 12/04 · Have to take 2041 for the downtrend to be reestablished - #msg-2357669
Feb 11/04 · If we close above 2110, a run to no more than 2163 - #msg-2356018
Feb 11/04 · Forced to raise the top of the band to 2110 - #msg-2354038
Feb 11/04 · EOD mark up, so not changing yet, might in the morning - #msg-2353428
Feb 11/04 · If NAZ closes above 2088, target 2163 - #msg-2351220 #msg-2352902
Feb 10/04 · Still bearish - #msg-2343389
Feb 10/04 · 2063 holding, once breached, flood gate should open - #msg-2342860
Feb 08/04 · Continued recovery, or have most of the bullets been spent? - #msg-2324450
Feb 07/04 · Nasty break August/September, recovery into election - #msg-2321447
Feb 07/04 · Swoon down, new high by early July or so - #msg-2321389
Feb 07/04 · Expect Naz to be some 150 points lower by March - #msg-2320559
Feb 07/04 · Double bottom on 3/8 and 3/24 under 1900 - #msg-2319917
Feb 06/04 · Don't expect us to close above 2088 in near future - #msg-2315458
Feb 06/04 · Still think this is just an oversold relief rally - #msg-2315181
Feb 06/04 · Bounce here expected, main model still in effect - #msg-2312240
Feb 06/04 · Resumption of the bull move is 2088 on a closing - #msg-2310117
Feb 06/04 · Best I can see here is a mild bounce to 2044 - #msg-2310036 #msg-2310183
Feb 03/04 · Starting a leg down to at least 1978 before expiry - #msg-2290163
Feb 03/04 · Window for the bounce should close tomorrow - #msg-2286996
Feb 02/04 · Equivalent to a RFTH - #msg-2279117
Feb 02/04 · The bounce might be over, we got to 2085 - #msg-2278249 #msg-2278883
Feb 02/04 · A challenge of 2100 in next day or two - #msg-2273902 #msg-2275122
Jan 30/04 · Challenging 2100 next week - #msg-2260976
Jan 29/04 · Expecting move up 50 to 70 Naz points from the low - #msg-2248709
Jan 29/04 · Medium term, still in my bear suit - #msg-2248284
Jan 28/04 · January forecast review redux - #msg-2241939
Jan 27/04 · SNDK, NVLS and CCMP; canaries for the sector - #msg-2232394
Jan 27/04 · This close fits with expectations of 2060 - #msg-2231285
Jan 26/04 · The bear is firmly in the picture - #msg-2220248
Jan 24/04 · January forecast review - #msg-2207001
Jan 23/04 · Next week, should give up 2100 - #msg-2203566 Erratum #msg-2204027
Jan 22/04 · May still have a week or so of additional topping - #msg-2188048
Jan 20/04 · Still expecting sub 1900, target date 3/24 - #msg-2173372
Jan 18/04 • 2004 forecast revisited - #msg-2157946
Jan 16/04 · Coalescence model is probably in force now - #msg-2152007
Jan 16/04 · Next stop is 2163, and we could get there - #msg-2150550
Jan 16/04 · Topping process could take another week - #msg-2146460
Jan 14/04 • Three-step decline from 2114 to sub 1900 or.... - #msg-2134556
Jan 14/04 · Sub 1900 is feasible - #msg-2132534
Jan 14/04 · Top in next few trading days, 2093 to 2163 - #msg-2131250
Jan 13/04 · May have a longer but slower relapse - #msg-2122459
Jan 13/04 · More likely just a drop to the 1975/85 area - #msg-2121564
Jan 11/04 · Continue down into Wednesday, then bounce - #msg-2103870 #msg-2103948
Jan 10/04 · Short term gloomy picture of market internals - #msg-2101414
Jan 10/04 · Bear suit for at least a 100 Naz points - #msg-2100994
Jan 08/04 • Changing target for retrench, expecting at least 1955 - #msg-2085673 #msg-2085873
Jan 08/04 · Many indicators reaching major danger readings - #msg-2080049
Jan 07/04 · If 70 point relapse, Feb relapse will be more - #msg-2077914
Jan 07/04 · Still expect a late day relapse - #msg-2073598
Jan 07/04 · Still have us retesting the 1975 area - #msg-2072858
Jan 06/04 · Still think we are in a local top here - #msg-2066689
Jan 06/04 · The low may extend to Friday - #msg-2064694
Jan 05/04 · Floor modified to 1975, once retrench starts - #msg-2057033
Jan 05/04 · Still think the top will be today - #msg-2055214
Jan 04/04 · Once more.............next week - #msg-2049473
Jan 03/04 · Equity (only) P/C ratio explained - #msg-2044956
Jan 02/04 · Ready for a fabulous G&C on Monday - #msg-2042206
Jan 02/04 · Relapse could be starting early - #msg-2041452
Jan 02/04 · Next week's relapse, 2-4 days - #msg-2039951
Jan 02/04 · EPC above .55 during the early January retrench - #msg-2035856
Jan 01/04 · Monday as high as 2025/30, then down to 1955/75 - #msg-2035017
I have updated the roadmap chart as of 03/01
http://www.investorshub.com/boards/board.asp?board_id=2299
best regards
Andreas
Zeev's general market musings [#board-1125]
April 2000 - December 2003.
Dec 31/03 · EPC ratio while under .4 is not yet critical - #msg-2027188
Dec 29/03 · Sentiments getting bearish here - #msg-2018646
Dec 28/03 · Low P/C ratio is not enough - #msg-2008854
Dec 28/03 · Dow and S&P already have yielded breakout - #msg-2008740
Dec 27/03 · Big guys on the SPX are going to take out 1100 - #msg-2007355
Dec 27/03 · Until March, containment zone raised to 1903/18 - #msg-2006573
Dec 25/03 • Forecast for 2004 - #msg-2000425
Dec 23/03 · 2056/2093 is still my target for now - #msg-1991350
Dec 23/03 · Doubt a serious reversal before end of year - #msg-1990039
Dec 23/03 · Still expect run above 2000 early in the year - #msg-1989264
Dec 22/03 · Excursion under 1900 is still possible - #msg-1983349
Dec 22/03 · Close above 1955 should restart run above 2000 - #msg-1982563
Dec 19/03 · A test of 1887 or so is feasible before Christmas - #msg-1969959
Dec 16/03 · 1887-1895 should provide mild support - #msg-1947089
Dec 16/03 · At worst, meandering will be over by christmas - #msg-1944170
Dec 14/03 · Tomorrow will resolve the question for the short term - #msg-1933362
Dec 14/03 · December, January, again (2093, not 1093)- #msg-1931506
Dec 14/03 · Monday 1955, last week was December low - #msg-1931401 #msg-1931445
Dec 12/03 · Original scenario has a little more credence - #msg-1926981
Dec 12/03 · Odds slightly higher we go down in next two weeks - #msg-1924608
Dec 12/03 · Next week, don't think we take out 1955 - #msg-1924249
Dec 12/03 · Close above 1955, December low was 1887 - #msg-1921117 #msg-1921158
Dec 11/03 · 50% chance that yesterday's low was December low - #msg-1919475
Dec 11/03 · Before Christmas, a low, then 3 to 5 weeks up - #msg-1917097
Dec 10/03 · One fork indicates today's low is December low - #msg-1907184
Dec 09/03 • The roadmap going into January - #msg-1901429
Dec 08/03 · Still looking for a local low on Wednesday - #msg-1893315
Dec 06/03 · Breach of 1842 could bring cascade down to 1757 - #msg-1883601
Dec 06/03 · Target of 2056 in January - #msg-1883571
Dec 06/03 · Expect sub 1900 which should not breach 1842/50 - #msg-1883380
Dec 05/03 · Minor reversal could occur 12/10 - #msg-1879567
Dec 04/03 · 1850 will surely come - #msg-1869349
Dec 03/03 · Still have 1842/50 as a target - #msg-1864375
Dec 03/03 · Low is shifting probably between the 10th and the 17th - #msg-1862860
Dec 03/03 · Expect a sharp retrenchment; about 150 Naz points - #msg-1861286
Dec 01/03 · Sticking with scenario, a relapse well under 1900 - #msg-1848764
Nov 28/03 · A relatively significant local low on 12/10 - #msg-1835643
Nov 25/03 · Between 1850 & 1950 until Christmas - #msg-1822437 Erratum - #msg-1823478
Nov 24/03 · No 2k before year end - #msg-1816416
Nov 24/03 · 1960 in the morning, if not, 1915 could still happen - #msg-1815337
Nov 23/03 · Outside chance of a marginal lower low; < 1878 - #msg-1809511
Nov 21/03 · 1880 to 1935, a narrow meandering range - #msg-1804669
Nov 20/03 · Window for low between 1865 and 1880 is open till Tuesday - #msg-1795430
Nov 18/03 · 2000 for early next year and maybe much more - #msg-1782673
Nov 18/03 · Indicators are signaling a close bottom here - #msg-1782594
Nov 18/03 · May get a lower low, but it is close enough - #msg-1781065
Nov 18/03 · Likely no lower than 1865/80 - #msg-1778276
Nov 17/03 · Bottom could be anywhere from 1842 to about 1885 - #msg-1771698
Nov 15/03 · 1923/30 is weak support, I expect it to be taken - #msg-1763918
Nov 12/03 · Bounce allowed for as much as 60 Naz points - #msg-1742609
Nov 12/03 · Probability of 2000 before end of year is low - #msg-1742448 #msg-1744302
Nov 12/03 · We are having the mid week bounce according to plan - #msg-1741888
Nov 11/03 · The bounce is much weaker than I expected - #msg-1731149
Nov 10/03 · A move to 1923/30, a bounce, and then a continued decline - #msg-1728058
Nov 10/03 · Still have the decline contained in the 1842/65 area - #msg-1726554 #msg-1726463
Nov 07/03 · No change, still a low near expiry - #msg-1714901
Nov 06/03 · Don't have enough data; retrenchment to 1865 or 1842 - #msg-1708124
Nov 06/03 · Still expect a relapse into expiry - #msg-1702261 #msg-1702342
Nov 03/03 · Likely the next retrenchment will be shallow - #msg-1685134
Nov 03/03 · Scenario is still on - #msg-1682698
Nov 03/03 · Do not see 2000 before the end of the year - #msg-1682565
Oct 31/03 • Preliminary roadmap to 2005 - #msg-1670863 #msg-1681430
Oct 31/03 · Just some 100 or so Naz points to at worst 1842 - #msg-1669648
Oct 31/03 · We have reached (within 10 points) the target for the top - #msg-1668484
Oct 30/03 · Parameters are not in place for a major top - #msg-1664873 #msg-1665408
Oct 30/03 · High in next 1½ days, the high till late December - #msg-1664216
Oct 30/03 · No 'run for the hills' before the end of the year - #msg-1664123
Oct 30/03 · 100/120 Naz point decline over about three weeks - #msg-1663962
Oct 29/03 · November swoon bottom 1842, might raise to 1865 - #msg-1653681 #msg-1655762
Oct 28/03 · Window for new recovery high is closing - #msg-1650620 #msg-1651245
Oct 27/03 · Low coming up near the Nov. expiry - #msg-1641600
Oct 26/03 · Current model still shows a nasty 2005 - #msg-1639797
Oct 26/03 · Between 1842 and 1967 for the next six weeks - #msg-1639220 #msg-1639287
Oct 24/03 • Next potential target is 2056 - #msg-1636372
Oct 24/03 · Close enough to 1842 to signal end of retrenchment - #msg-1633425 #msg-1633382
Oct 23/03 · About six weeks of a relatively narrow trading range - #msg-1624824
Oct 22/03 · 1865 will probably hold in the next two days - #msg-1623426
Oct 22/03 · Retrenchment, then a resumption of the bull move - #msg-1621635
Oct 22/03 · 1842 or another bounce from 1900 - #msg-1621303
Oct 22/03 · 1842 as the target, nothing really severe - #msg-1617727
Oct 21/03 · General market retrenching a bit from here on - #msg-1614670
Oct 20/03 · Clear sailing and only occasional retrenches contained at 1842 - #msg-1609139
Oct 20/03 · Could go to the recent high before another mild retrenchment - #msg-1609074
Oct 20/03 · Short term, a new recovery high on the Nasdaq - #msg-1606423
Oct 18/03 · Assuming yesterday's rout was option related - #msg-1601818
Oct 17/03 · If close under 1915, we may continue down for next 2 days - #msg-1597916
Oct 16/03 · Pull back (to 1842 or so), November or early December - #msg-1592424
Oct 16/03 · Next week, possible relapse, should end by Wednesday - #msg-1588364
Oct 13/03 · This week 1940 should be taken out - #msg-1570621 #msg-1572935
Oct 11/03 · From here, 1940 and then above 2000 - #msg-1566143
Oct 11/03 · Potential top target of 2390 - #msg-1565588
Oct 11/03 · Worst case, a retreat to 1842 (1840 should be 1940) - #msg-1565373
Oct 11/03 · Bullish, just a little more cautious - #msg-1565217
Oct 10/03 · 1940 target reached yesterday might be high for 1-2 weeks - #msg-1562279
Oct 10/03 · Possible first thrust above 1940 later next week - #msg-1560094
Oct 09/03 · Not getting into bear mode - #msg-1556323
Oct 08/03 · 1940 within a week - #msg-1551377
Oct 04/03 · A breach of 1811 would be bearish - #msg-1535696
Oct 04/03 · Expect this move to hold until June, if not the elections - #msg-1535542
Oct 04/03 · Implications of N of new highs on the Nasdaq - #msg-1535292
Oct 04/03 · The next recession will be consumer led - #msg-1535256
Oct 04/03 · INTC - top of the next cycle, late next year - #msg-1535245
Oct 04/03 · Stocks to buy, and their targets - #msg-1535140
Oct 04/03 · Good chance to see Nasdaq 2400 in next 9 to 12 months - #msg-1534971
Oct 04/03 · Bullish; 1757 is off the map for now - #msg-1534827
Oct 03/03 · Turned back bullish on 1860 taken - #msg-1531425 #msg-1531237
Oct 02/03 · Still bearish, 1842 might have been it for now - #msg-1528580
Oct 01/03 · At risk of going to 1757 and then even under 1700 - #msg-1522782
Oct 01/03 · Still expect a test of 1757 in the next two weeks - #msg-1521790
Oct 01/03 · BRCM and CCMP presaging a drop in the SOX - #msg-1521713
Sep 30/03 · Minor bounce from 1757, could be the end of this decline - #msg-1516613
Sep 29/03 · Back into the bear den - #msg-1512098 #msg-1512169
Sep 26/03 · Three critical areas ahead, 1940, 2163 and 2238 - #msg-1504083
Sep 26/03 · In a cyclical bull that could last till the middle or late next year - #msg-1503924
Sep 26/03 · Bullish very short term, bearish in the intermediate term - #msg-1503121 #msg-1503269
Sep 26/03 · A bull for a few days - #msg-1500478
Sep 24/03 · Monday...well under 1800 - #msg-1491081 #msg-1492233 #msg-1497291
Sep 20/03 · Close to 1940, then start down - #msg-1471687
Sep 18/03 · Guessing a top within 30 Naz points from here - #msg-1462440
Sep 17/03 · Question is, will such a retrench stop above 1757 or not - #msg-1457055
Sep 17/03 · Next decline, if it comes, may be quite nasty - #msg-1456427
Sep 10/03 · Possible that another run will precede the actual decline - #msg-1422697
Sep 10/03 · No major stop until about 1715 (maybe 1757) - #msg-1422457
Sep 10/03 · 1715 is my first target, the ultimate low for now is 1640 - #msg-1421744
Sep 08/03 • Still in the camp that has 2005 as a nasty bear market - #msg-1412723
Sep 08/03 · Right now, I have about a 300 Naz points retreat from the top - #msg-1412635
Sep 06/03 · Still very cautious and worried for the next 6 to 8 weeks - #msg-1405527
Sep 05/03 · Expecting strong end of year and 2004; right now we are stretched - #msg-1400253
Sep 03/03 · We need a healthy and maybe even scary retrenchment - #msg-1392780
Sep 03/03 · Model has a low in the late September early October - #msg-1392511 #msg-1392562
Sep 02/03 · Volume is weak, but the new high list is expanding - #msg-1386649
Sep 02/03 · For a serious correction we will have to see expansion of new lows - #msg-1384485
Aug 30/03 · Current optimism will soon exceed the optimism in February of 2000 - #msg-1380193
Aug 30/03 • An investing primer - #msg-1379694
Aug 29/03 · Looks like a "set up" to me; going out relatively heavy in cash - #msg-1378252
Aug 28/03 · Target low on the Naz of 950 and on the Dow at 6000 - #msg-1374737
Aug 28/03 · Mounting chorus of bulls; plan calls for extreme caution - #msg-1374666
Aug 27/03 · Still within the window of 10 days (ending 8/29) where a top should occur - #msg-1369724
Aug 26/03 · Excessive call buying, excess optimism - #msg-1364830
Aug 23/03 · Short term the 1640 area should be considered as major support - #msg-1354505
Aug 23/03 · Yesterday morning, an "almost" run for the hills signal - #msg-1354294 #msg-1354442
Aug 21/03 · All indicate the market is very vulnerable here and dangerous - #msg-1346177
Aug 19/03 · Severity of the autumn decline (into the 1400s?) - #msg-1336676
Aug 18/03 · New highs was impressive....volume, however stinks - #msg-1335737
Aug 18/03 · September is when more pronounced weakness should appear - #msg-1335422
Aug 15/03 · P/C ratio indicates a top within 10 trading days - #msg-1329089
Aug 15/03 · Slow decline to start next week and accelerate as we go - #msg-1328425
Aug 13/03 · Still waiting to see expansion in Naz new lows beyond 40 - #msg-1321855
Aug 13/03 · Maybe a "to the hills" call within days - #msg-1321491
Aug 13/03 · Top of the range in the Naz here; maybe another 15/25 points - #msg-1320140
Aug 12/03 · There is a little room for further advance here - #msg-1317085
Aug 12/03 · Later on, I still think we creep up toward that 1700 level - #msg-1315499
Aug 08/03 · Current target is around 1400 - #msg-1304912
Aug 06/03 · Internal parameters suggest meandering in 1625/1725 range - #msg-1295648
Aug 06/03 · Resistance at 1700 expected - #msg-1294920
Aug 06/03 · Very short term I still expect a bounce back to the 1700 or so area - #msg-1294385
Aug 05/03 · Tomorrow, a local turn date, so expect 1625 to take longer - #msg-1290569
Aug 05/03 · We are on our way to test the lower part of the range 1625/1725 - #msg-1289004
Aug 04/03 · We may go within the next week or two to test the 1625 or so area - #msg-1283286
Jul 31/03 · General scenario is still meandering for the next few weeks - #msg-1270154
Jul 29/03 · If the market is going to mount a solid run, it will be next year - #msg-1259631
Jul 21/03 · A unique precious metal hedge proposition - #msg-1230445
Jul 17/03 · September we start more sharply down - #msg-1217194
Jul 17/03 · You need to see 40 new lows on the Naz, and more than one day - #msg-1216397
Jul 16/03 · Starting next week, we may go down with a little more vigor - #msg-1212478
Jul 13/03 · Eventually, interest rates are going to rise and slam the stock market - #msg-1197513
Jul 12/03 · Wednesday, a turn date, either a local high or a local low - #msg-1196044
Jul 11/03 · A cycle low between Tuesday and Wednesday around noon - #msg-1194730
Jul 08/03 · Model postulates an actual sharp decline into the Autumn - #msg-1181693
Jul 07/03 · Don't get carried away with the euphoria - #msg-1177921
Jul 07/03 · Rest of the week more problematic after a possible surge to 1750 - #msg-1177207
Jul 04/03 · I think AGM, SKX, ECL and even TLM around here - #msg-1170243
Jul 03/03 · Almost all my indicators point to major risk here - #msg-1167261
Jul 02/03 · Most of the ebullience for this week was spent - #msg-1161783
Jul 01/03 · Thursday and Monday will be mildly up, but after that, watch out - #msg-1158415
Jun 27/03 · A low in the third quarter - #msg-1146395
Jun 25/03 · Normal crazy post announcement up and down ending down - #msg-1138735
Jun 22/03 · Short term, the upside momentum is somewhat damaged - #msg-1130320
Jun 20/03 · I have next week down quite hard, maybe even to that 1575 - #msg-1127641
Jun 18/03 · I think we are being set up for a major retrenchment - #msg-1118982 #msg-1118633
Jun 18/03 · Still have the 1500 ±20 on the map for EOM - #msg-1117892
Jun 16/03 · Low P/C ratio into the close, it may signal the start of a possible retreat - #msg-1111312
Jun 16/03 · Once the BPCOMPQ trounces its own 14 DMA... - #msg-1110268
Jun 13/03 · A rapid decline (SOX), or the formation of a right shoulder - #msg-1106125
Jun 13/03 · I don't think it is the end of the down - #msg-1104937
Jun 11/03 · Right now, I prefer to stick to the game plan - #msg-1097456
Jun 11/03 · 1575 is probably not in the card in the next two days - #msg-1097221
Jun 10/03 · I think that these levels are going to be the top for this week - #msg-1091505
Jun 10/03 · Long and short candidates - #msg-1090331
Jun 10/03 · By the end of the month, we should probably see 1500 ±20 - #msg-1090091
Jun 10/03 · For this week, 1575 ±5 as probable low target - #msg-1088981
Jun 05/03 · While March 11 was a local low, it did not have signs of a major low - #msg-1080868
Jun 05/03 · We are going to such extremes here in many indicators - #msg-1080581
Jun 04/03 · I would treat retrenchments as buying opportunities - #msg-1074173
Jun 04/03 · Still the 1500 plus minus 20 area - #msg-1073903
Jun 04/03 · Breadth has been excellent for weeks now - #msg-1073730
Jun 03/03 · An indication of the beginning of deterioration - #msg-1069406
Jun 02/03 · Too many of my indicators are very stretched - #msg-1064199
Jun 02/03 · Best candidate [for a low] is the Wednesday of expiry week, or 6/18 - #msg-1062026 #msg-1062138
May 31/03 · 1500 ±20 should serve as very strong support - #msg-1059211
May 30/03 • Back in my bear suit...a 100+ naz points retrenchment - #msg-1056591 #msg-1056875 #msg-1058518
May 28/03 · A top occurs often at a maximum in new highs - #msg-1049155
May 28/03 · Internals point to a bearish stance being still premature here - #msg-1045585
May 27/03 · Volume is expanding, new highs are expanding, new lows are contracting - #msg-1044977
May 27/03 · I fear we do mild retrenchments and the dips are bought for now - #msg-1044483
May 23/03 · Most likely model has 1465 holding on retrenches for a little while at least - #msg-1036744
May 22/03 · Right now the nassacre is off the table - #msg-1034529 #msg-1034538
May 21/03 · No expansion of new lows, a temporary bullish sign - #msg-1026974
May 21/03 · Tomorrow and Friday up, next Tuesday or Wednesday as the top - #msg-1026880 #msg-1029707
May 20/03 · A short term relapse that should be over by tomorrow - #msg-1025407 #msg-1025426
May 19/03 · Right now, I have no choice but to stay neutral - #msg-1021506
May 19/03 · Wednesday, a bottoming action and going up into Friday - #msg-1019687
May 16/03 · A tentative top next Wednesday - #msg-1012249
May 15/03 · A bear call is still a little premature - #msg-1008521
May 12/03 · Nasdaq, a new four month high, holding above the 200 EMA - #msg-994866
May 10/03 · Equity P/C ratio - #msg-992402 #msg-992623
May 09/03 · Here at 1520 the new highs are disappointing - #msg-990878
May 09/03 · Still think there is a higher likelihood that this move will fail - #msg-989059
May 08/03 · Right now I have possible bounces from 1465 and 1414 - #msg-985665
May 07/03 · Indices and number of new highs, equity put/call ratio, BPCOMPQ - #msg-984980 #msg-985029
May 07/03 · Very unusual for a bear market to end with lack of negative extremes - #msg-984585
May 04/03 · Change back to full fledge bear requires 1391 to be breached - #msg-975089
May 04/03 · It is still not worth changing the neutral position - #msg-974628
May 04/03 • I have not turned bullish, but I am now neutral - #msg-974596
May 04/03 · First retrenchment will probably be bought with a "vengeance" - #msg-974145
May 04/03 · Quite possible to have a blow off followed by a major decline - #msg-974047
May 02/03 · Stay away from the chips, I see them relapsing more than other sectors - #msg-972647
May 02/03 • May/June major decline postulated earlier got annulled - #msg-972578 #msg-972649
Apr 30/03 · The last times we had such a stellar month, it was followed by disaster - #msg-964928
Apr 29/03 · We are still under the "to the hills flag" - #msg-961944 #msg-962033
Apr 26/03 · If 1391 is breached, two very strong down weeks to follow - #msg-952523
Apr 25/03 · If 1432 does not hold, next bounce range is from around 1414 - #msg-951616
Apr 24/03 · July bottom was modified a short while ago to 1081 nominal - #msg-947647 See #msg-932539
Apr 24/03 · May take few weeks until the setup for a waterfall - #msg-947608
Apr 23/03 · If we do not breach 1390 and we continue to have improved internals... - #msg-945553
Apr 23/03 · The test will probably be holding 1390 on any retrenchment - #msg-945266
Apr 23/03 · A low in mid to late July with a possible retest in early October - #msg-944706
Apr 23/03 · Still have a major retrenchment to just under 1100 by mid July - #msg-943349 #msg-943459
Apr 22/03 · Still do not like the "colors" of this advance - #msg-940648
Apr 18/03 · I doubt that an expansion is going to happen - #msg-932519
Apr 18/03 · RSI on the BPCOMPQ well into bearish territory - #msg-932180
Apr 17/03 · A string of three consecutive down days soon here - #msg-930808
Apr 17/03 · Stretched as can be with stinking internals - #msg-929996 #msg-930781
Apr 16/03 · Once 1330 is taken out, it will be a waterfall - #msg-927261
Apr 15/03 · A slightly protracted period of grinding nowhere - #msg-924062
Apr 15/03 · This week, a range of 1360-1400 - #msg-922351
Apr 14/03 · The resolution, IMTO will be down - #msg-920461
Apr 12/03 · Breaking 1330 before this earning season is over - #msg-917402
Apr 12/03 · Staying with the timing of the Jan 25 scenario - #msg-917155
Apr 10/03 · I think we are being set up for a major decline - #msg-912910 #msg-912933
Apr 09/03 · Nazdaq in a range of 1330-1400 - #msg-910704 #msg-910971 (range correction) #msg-911329
Apr 09/03 · 1330, while a support, will falter rapidly - #msg-909835
Apr 08/03 · Once we break the 1375/80 or so area, I think we will break fast - #msg-906903
Apr 06/03 · For another two weeks or so we are probably in a trading range - #msg-900147
Apr 05/03 · Possibility of a cyclical bull - #msg-899283
Apr 03/03 · The internals are not strengthening that much - #msg-893649 #msg-893748
Apr 02/03 · Still have a breach of 1330 sometime this month - #msg-890966
Apr 02/03 · Volume and new high indicators are double edged sword - #msg-890115
Apr 02/03 · Rally looks better, new highs expanding - #msg-889225 #msg-889418 #msg-889837
Apr 02/03 · Real resistance is probably a little higher than 1400 - #msg-889171
Apr 01/03 · A grinding decline to the 1290/1300 area - #msg-887244 #msg-887286
Mar 31/03 · Between 1330 and 1370 - #msg-884086 #msg-884149
Mar 31/03 · Later in the week, the turnips have 1330 taken out - #msg-882399
Mar 31/03 · 1330/50 is still a bounce area - #msg-881663
Mar 29/03 · Positive elements are outweighed by many negative developments - #msg-879591
Mar 27/03 · Still have a "need" to see a first test of the 1330/50 area - #msg-875915
Mar 26/03 · Before the end of the week we will test 1330/50 area - #msg-872761
Mar 25/03 · The technical underpinnings of the recent run are poor - #msg-870615
Mar 25/03 · 1400 on the Naz as a potential mini barrier - #msg-869078
Mar 24/03 · A mild bump up from the 1330/50 area - #msg-867620
Mar 21/03 · The secular bear is far from over, IMTO - #msg-861993
Mar 21/03 · We are smack into the the January highs here - #msg-861541
Mar 21/03 · Danger for the bulls - #msg-860148
Mar 21/03 · The leadership is still poor - #msg-859260
Mar 20/03 · 1420/1440 area could be the target - #msg-858717
Mar 19/03 · The quality of the move is so bad and so thin - #msg-854900
Mar 19/03 · First bounce on the Naz should be in the 1330/40 area - #msg-854663
Mar 19/03 · New highs have not reached Febraury levels - #msg-852632
Mar 18/03 · Very short term we are due for a severe relapse - #msg-848998
Mar 17/03 · Sign of a cyclical bull - #msg-848728
Mar 17/03 · Expecting a low sometime in May - #msg-848081
Mar 17/03 · Still think that this bear is far from dead - #msg-848058
Mar 17/03 · You rarely get a major move without a solid capitulation - #msg-847424
Mar 15/03 · Results of the second quarter could result in strong Summer rally - #msg-842660
Mar 15/03 · A major bear, within that we get runs to the 200 DMA - #msg-842629 #msg-842645
Mar 15/03 · Nassacre is alive and well and now we should go into Phase II - #msg-842385
Mar 15/03 • We finished the first phase of this Nassacre last Wednesday - #msg-842045
Mar 14/03 · The hall mark of a turn is that the internals improve - #msg-840428 #msg-842021
Mar 14/03 · Bear suit still fully zipped - #msg-840394
Mar 14/03 · Expecting a close repeat of the late February chart - #msg-838497
Mar 14/03 · We may be looking at phase II - #msg-838462
Mar 13/03 · Without a GNT, there is no real bottom - #msg-837223
Mar 13/03 · I think that like late last month, this will prove to be distributory - #msg-837197
Mar 13/03 · A very dangerous market and my bear suit is fully zipped - #msg-835956
Mar 13/03 · By this time next week, we should be safely under 1260 - #msg-835255 #msg-836445
Mar 13/03 · No reason to remove bear suit - #msg-834688 #msg-835188
Mar 12/03 · Too late to engage in heavy shorting or put buying - #msg-833671
Mar 12/03 · We are not ready yet for more than a bounce to 1292/1302 - #msg-833592
Mar 12/03 · Either a two day ramp to 1292, or a breach of 1260 - #msg-831622
Mar 11/03 · Resistance most likely at 1292, maybe above 1300 - #msg-830992
Mar 10/03 · First support 1280, next support 1260/63 area - #msg-825751
Mar 08/03 · When war starts, a large bump which is heavily sold - #msg-822764
Mar 07/03 · 1292 and lower next week - #msg-820418
Mar 07/03 · If 1292 holds, a small bounce could occur - #msg-819122
Mar 06/03 · Surviving the emotions of trading - #msg-818571
Mar 05/03 · Apart from the delays, we are following the schedule - #msg-813989
Mar 04/03 · By late Thursday, any ramp started tomorrow will dissipate - #msg-812413
Mar 04/03 · Tomorrow...mild up day...resumption of the decline - #msg-810798
Mar 03/03 · A mild turn back up Wednesday afternoon - #msg-808219
Mar 03/03 · Think we will at least visit sub 1300 territory this week - #msg-808208
Mar 02/03 · Market behaving worse than mid January, post the 1/6 call - #msg-805950
Feb 28/03 · Could continue this distribution for another week - #msg-803388
Feb 28/03 • Extremely dangerous level here; reiterate "run to the hills" - #msg-802739
Feb 27/03 · Attack on Iraq could be delayed until close to April - #msg-800746
Feb 27/03 · Still in a very dangerous area here on the Naz - #msg-800400
Feb 25/03 · The great majority of the technical indicators are still bearish - #msg-794954
Feb 25/03 · Phase I may not have more than a week to 2½ to go - #msg-794927
Feb 25/03 · Not bullish here yet - #msg-794876
Feb 23/03 · Maybe we are now in the early March 2-3 week run - #msg-788682
Feb 23/03 · We often get these false breakouts - #msg-788657
Feb 23/03 · Could easily drop more than 25 on the Naz tomorrow - #msg-788430
Feb 23/03 · After mid-year, the surprise could be a cyclical bull move - #msg-788375
Feb 22/03 · End of Phase I is still 1197/1223 - #msg-787342
Feb 22/03 · IMTO, this is a classic bull trap - #msg-786780
Feb 20/03 · By the end of next week, we should be in full retreat - #msg-781704
Feb 19/03 · Just an oversold relief run - #msg-776993
Feb 18/03 · I think that by the end of the day tomorrow we will be red - #msg-775342
Feb 18/03 · How can one turn bullish? IMTO, it is a trap - #msg-775293
Feb 17/03 · Bear suit still fully zipped - #msg-772918
Feb 17/03 · Bet is that tomorrow we get our traditional G&C - #msg-772059
Feb 15/03 · Bet is that we are turned back from the 1321/35 area - #msg-768059
Feb 14/03 · By the end of the month we should be testing 1197/1223 - #msg-766889
Feb 14/03 · We have not had excess pessimism - #msg-765528
Feb 13/03 · The early March bounce topped at 1327 - #msg-764223
Feb 12/03 · The low 1200s will be reserved for later this month - #msg-760470
Feb 11/03 · Now 1263 will be less of an obstacle to additional declines - #msg-756957
Feb 10/03 · We need 3 phases: complacency, concern, panic selling - #msg-753915
Feb 10/03 · Options expiration, precipitous decline, breach of today's low - #msg-753579
Feb 10/03 · No end in sight until sentiment indicators blow - #msg-753274
Feb 10/03 · 1312 is possible - #msg-753176
Feb 10/03 · I think we continue lower than 1275 - #msg-752907
Feb 10/03 · Dark siders are back in the driver seat - #msg-752529
Feb 06/03 · At least another 80 Naz points before first leg done - #msg-743382
Feb 05/03 · Low opening seems to be the path of least resistance now - #msg-740615
Feb 05/03 · We are not even close to a turning point - #msg-740370
Feb 05/03 · Sox is already failing to make a new HOD - #msg-738755
Feb 05/03 · Running into top of the box, fear we will be hit hard after that - #msg-738695
Feb 05/03 · Top of the box is still 1332 ± 5 - #msg-737722
Feb 03/03 · Expecting a bounce from 1263 - #msg-733246
Feb 03/03 · More pain is due - #msg-733033
Feb 03/03 · 1332 ± 5 will serve as strong resistance - #msg-731598
Feb 03/03 · Still calling for sub 1300 before the week is out - #msg-731274
Jan 31/03 · A red close on the Naz and under 1300 by next week - #msg-726227
Jan 30/03 · By the end of next week, 1300 will be kissed "good bye" - #msg-724032
Jan 30/03 · Tomorrow might be a good time to get out of weak longs - #msg-723740
Jan 30/03 · We are still in a major downtrend - #msg-722458
Jan 29/03 · Using the equity P/C ratio - #msg-720389
Jan 29/03 · Still have that 1377 as the barrier here - #msg-719278
Jan 28/03 · VIX collapsed today, we may not reach bottom of 1357/77 - #msg-716112
Jan 26/03 • Dow hit list for 2003 - #msg-710613
Jan 26/03 · Breach 1327, then an anemic bounce to 1357/77 - #msg-710582
Jan 25/03 • New tentative schedule for the next five/six months - #msg-708849
Jan 25/03 · Target for the Dow first leg down was already exceeded - #msg-708735
Jan 24/03 · Now well into completing the first leg of the Nassacre - #msg-706195
Jan 23/03 · Each stock has its own ideal entry (on the dark side) - #msg-704222
Jan 23/03 · The window is open until about next Wednesday - #msg-703463 #msg-703478
Jan 23/03 · Strong Naz day...just an anemic bounce - #msg-703292
Jan 22/03 · Still expect a bounce back to just under 1400 - #msg-700192
Jan 22/03 · Expect a run to 1391/7 with a possible max at 1414 - #msg-698686
Jan 21/03 · Equity P/C ratio at .42; extremely bearish - #msg-696553
Jan 21/03 · A turn tomorrow maybe to the 1391/7 area - #msg-696433
Jan 19/03 · 1391/7 will be a very strong overhead resistance - #msg-691142
Jan 18/03 · This year, Nasdaq from 1521 down to around 950 - #msg-689755
Jan 18/03 · Bottom of the first leg lowered to 1198/1223 - #msg-689476
Jan 18/03 · A bounce before we continue this first leg down - #msg-689373
Jan 17/03 · Resuming the first leg of a major decline - #msg-686497
Jan 16/03 · BTK - #msg-685638 #msg-685666 #msg-686505
Jan 15/03 · Within two months, 1263 and maybe lower - #msg-681069
Jan 14/03 · Staggered retreat with some SOX companies still climbing - #msg-679170
Jan 14/03 · "Run for the Hills" stands - #msg-678044
Jan 12/03 · We may still reach just above 1500 on the Nasdaq - #msg-672791
Jan 10/03 · End of day: Still in bear suit; out with 68% cash - #msg-669945
Jan 10/03 · If we close above 1447, "run to the hills" is cancelled - #msg-668918
Jan 10/03 · Don't have us going past 1520 - #msg-668901
Jan 10/03 · Short term now calls for a neutral to bearish stance - #msg-668371
Jan 09/03 · Reiterating "Run for the Hills" call here - #msg-665700
Jan 09/03 · Expecting 1447 to hold as a top - #msg-665399
Jan 08/03 · Minor double top of 1447, possibly next week - #msg-662286
Jan 06/03 • Dividend taxation; no economic stimulus impact - #msg-658687
Jan 06/03 · Take about 100 Naz points off each of the targets - #msg-658572
Jan 06/03 · This run was extremely underwhelming - #msg-657702
Jan 06/03 · The risk is too high here - #msg-657407
Jan 06/03 • Here at 1424, the turnips are issuing a "To the hills call" - #msg-657325
Jan 06/03 · January rally may stall badly here - #msg-657151
Jan 04/03 · If volume picks up early next week, we should be doing fine - #msg-653236
Jan 04/03 · First battle probably 1391/7, then 1426 - #msg-653062
Jan 04/03 · In risk averse environment, money goes to Dow stocks - #msg-652969
Jan 01/03 • Forecast for first half of 2003 - #msg-647289
Dec 31/02 · Lack of conviction on the sell side - #msg-646388
Dec 31/02 · No 'run for the hills'; staying with low cash position - #msg-645731
Dec 30/02 · 1391/7 probably a barrier to any advance - #msg-644348 #msg-644297
Dec 28/02 · Still think seasonal influences will reestablish themselves - #msg-641639
Dec 27/02 · Still sticking to the seasonal theme of expected strength - #msg-640961
Dec 27/02 · Nasdaq at 1347, but new lows only hit 45 - #msg-640734
Dec 26/02 · Review of Nov-Jan forecasts; still bullish here - #msg-639614
Dec 26/02 · Pre invasion run, post invasion relapse - #msg-639193
Dec 25/02 · Reducing the January high to 1550 - #msg-638162
Dec 25/02 · Still expect mild bullish trend - #msg-638161
Dec 23/02 · A solid week behind schedule - #msg-636861
Dec 23/02 · Still expecting seasonal strength until January - #msg-636638
Dec 23/02 · Not as bullish here - #msg-636623
Dec 21/02 · Don't get too bearish here - #msg-634492
Dec 21/02 · Expecting a a short term run in the SOX - SI #reply-18361963
Dec 19/02 · Still quite bullish - #msg-631960
Dec 19/02 · Should run hard into the end of the year - #msg-631451
Dec 19/02 · After this week, party should start - #msg-631082
Dec 14/02 · Not going into a 1929 depression - #msg-624925
Dec 14/02 • Quite bullish for the next 4 weeks - #msg-624829
Dec 14/02 · Probably the end of the down move - #msg-624596
Dec 13/02 · Prior tops of significance - #msg-624115
Dec 13/02 · Sept 11/02 top (1347) is major line in the sand - #msg-624043
Dec 12/02 · May close above 1470 next week - #msg-622016
Dec 12/02 · Meandering next week as well - #msg-621945
Dec 09/02 · No major move up until next week - #msg-617611
Dec 09/02 · Next week mostly up - #msg-616871
Dec 09/02 · Very bullish stance here - #msg-616495
Dec 07/02 • Forecast for first half of 2003 - #msg-614572
Dec 07/02 · Not the time to short - #msg-614538
Dec 05/02 · Bullish here around 1400 on the Naz - #msg-611879
Dec 04/02 · Still expect backing and filling - #msg-610086
Dec 04/02 · Donning not so shiny pair of horns - #msg-609508
Dec 04/02 · 1378 is the next target - #msg-609399
Dec 03/02 · First two weeks of December - #msg-607798
Nov 30/02 · Possibility of 1940 high next year - #msg-602499
Nov 25/02 • Next 7 weeks II - #msg-598082
Nov 24/02 • Next 7 weeks I - #msg-595913
Nov 23/02 · SOX target of 184 in next six to nine months - SI #reply-18268199
Nov 02/02 · Expecting a retrenchment in the semis - SI #reply-18187796
Oct 10/02 · Expecting a strong move in the semis - SI #reply-18100366
Sep 07/02 • 950 target for the bottom - #msg-491054
Jan 27/02 • Forecasted turning points since early 2000 - SI #reply-16967797
Dec 29/01 • Market scenario for 2002 (long post) - SI #reply-16842549
Apr 23/00 • Prediction of bear market - SI #reply-13483082
Earlier posts from 2000-2002 - SI #reply-18338762
Kayaker,
Sorry for clogging yr board but I'm just a lurker and I cant post private msgs, so just delete this one from the board after you've read it...
Anyway, I have formed a 'chart' of Zeev's NASDAQ roadmap (see #187498)
Feel free to add it to the roadmap post if you want to, the link is
http://www.wecus.de/other/Roadmap2004.jpg
Thanks for your work, you're doing a great job!
Happy new year & best regards from Munich, Germany
Andreas
A few posts from the turnip patch (#board-1125).
April 2000 - September 2003.
Sep 30/03 · Minor bounce from 1757, could be the end of this decline - #msg-1516613
Sep 29/03 · Back into the bear den - #msg-1512098 #msg-1512169
Sep 26/03 · Three critical areas ahead, 1940, 2163 and 2238 - #msg-1504083
Sep 26/03 · In a cyclical bull that could last till the middle or late next year - #msg-1503924
Sep 26/03 · Bullish very short term, bearish in the intermediate term - #msg-1503121 #msg-1503269
Sep 26/03 · A bull for a few days - #msg-1500478
Sep 24/03 · Monday...well under 1800 - #msg-1491081 #msg-1492233 #msg-1497291
Sep 20/03 · Close to 1940, then start down - #msg-1471687
Sep 18/03 · Guessing a top within 30 Naz points from here - #msg-1462440
Sep 17/03 · Question is, will such a retrench stop above 1757 or not - #msg-1457055
Sep 17/03 · Next decline, if it comes, may be quite nasty - #msg-1456427
Sep 10/03 · Possible that another run will precede the actual decline - #msg-1422697
Sep 10/03 · No major stop until about 1715 (maybe 1757) - #msg-1422457
Sep 10/03 · 1715 is my first target, the ultimate low for now is 1640 - #msg-1421744
Sep 08/03 • Still in the camp that has 2005 as a nasty bear market - #msg-1412723
Sep 08/03 · Right now, I have about a 300 Naz points retreat from the top - #msg-1412635
Sep 06/03 · Still very cautious and worried for the next 6 to 8 weeks - #msg-1405527
Sep 05/03 · Expecting strong end of year and 2004; right now we are stretched - #msg-1400253
Sep 03/03 · We need a healthy and maybe even scary retrenchment - #msg-1392780
Sep 03/03 · Model has a low in the late September early October - #msg-1392511 #msg-1392562
Sep 02/03 · Volume is weak, but the new high list is expanding - #msg-1386649
Sep 02/03 · For a serious correction we will have to see expansion of new lows - #msg-1384485
Aug 30/03 · Current optimism will soon exceed the optimism in February of 2000 - #msg-1380193
Aug 30/03 • An investing primer - #msg-1379694
Aug 29/03 · Looks like a "set up" to me; going out relatively heavy in cash - #msg-1378252
Aug 28/03 · Target low on the Naz of 950 and on the Dow at 6000 - #msg-1374737
Aug 28/03 · Mounting chorus of bulls; plan calls for extreme caution - #msg-1374666
Aug 27/03 · Still within the window of 10 days (ending 8/29) where a top should occur - #msg-1369724
Aug 26/03 · Excessive call buying, excess optimism - #msg-1364830
Aug 23/03 · Short term the 1640 area should be considered as major support - #msg-1354505
Aug 23/03 · Yesterday morning, an "almost" run for the hills signal - #msg-1354294 #msg-1354442
Aug 21/03 · All indicate the market is very vulnerable here and dangerous - #msg-1346177
Aug 19/03 · Severity of the autumn decline (into the 1400s?) - #msg-1336676
Aug 18/03 · New highs was impressive....volume, however stinks - #msg-1335737
Aug 18/03 · September is when more pronounced weakness should appear - #msg-1335422
Aug 15/03 · P/C ratio indicates a top within 10 trading days - #msg-1329089
Aug 15/03 · Slow decline to start next week and accelerate as we go - #msg-1328425
Aug 13/03 · Still waiting to see expansion in Naz new lows beyond 40 - #msg-1321855
Aug 13/03 · Maybe a "to the hills" call within days - #msg-1321491
Aug 13/03 · Top of the range in the Naz here; maybe another 15/25 points - #msg-1320140
Aug 12/03 · There is a little room for further advance here - #msg-1317085
Aug 12/03 · Later on, I still think we creep up toward that 1700 level - #msg-1315499
Aug 08/03 · Current target is around 1400 - #msg-1304912
Aug 06/03 · Internal parameters suggest meandering in 1625/1725 range - #msg-1295648
Aug 06/03 · Resistance at 1700 expected - #msg-1294920
Aug 06/03 · Very short term I still expect a bounce back to the 1700 or so area - #msg-1294385
Aug 05/03 · Tomorrow, a local turn date, so expect 1625 to take longer - #msg-1290569
Aug 05/03 · We are on our way to test the lower part of the range 1625/1725 - #msg-1289004
Aug 04/03 · We may go within the next week or two to test the 1625 or so area - #msg-1283286
Jul 31/03 · General scenario is still meandering for the next few weeks - #msg-1270154
Jul 29/03 · If the market is going to mount a solid run, it will be next year - #msg-1259631
Jul 21/03 · A unique precious metal hedge proposition - #msg-1230445
Jul 17/03 · September we start more sharply down - #msg-1217194
Jul 17/03 · You need to see 40 new lows on the Naz, and more than one day - #msg-1216397
Jul 16/03 · Starting next week, we may go down with a little more vigor - #msg-1212478
Jul 13/03 · Eventually, interest rates are going to rise and slam the stock market - #msg-1197513
Jul 12/03 · Wednesday, a turn date, either a local high or a local low - #msg-1196044
Jul 11/03 · A cycle low between Tuesday and Wednesday around noon - #msg-1194730
Jul 08/03 · Model postulates an actual sharp decline into the Autumn - #msg-1181693
Jul 07/03 · Don't get carried away with the euphoria - #msg-1177921
Jul 07/03 · Rest of the week more problematic after a possible surge to 1750 - #msg-1177207
Jul 04/03 · I think AGM, SKX, ECL and even TLM around here - #msg-1170243
Jul 03/03 · Almost all my indicators point to major risk here - #msg-1167261
Jul 02/03 · Most of the ebullience for this week was spent - #msg-1161783
Jul 01/03 · Thursday and Monday will be mildly up, but after that, watch out - #msg-1158415
Jun 27/03 · A low in the third quarter - #msg-1146395
Jun 25/03 · Normal crazy post announcement up and down ending down - #msg-1138735
Jun 22/03 · Short term, the upside momentum is somewhat damaged - #msg-1130320
Jun 20/03 · I have next week down quite hard, maybe even to that 1575 - #msg-1127641
Jun 18/03 · I think we are being set up for a major retrenchment - #msg-1118982 #msg-1118633
Jun 18/03 · Still have the 1500 ±20 on the map for EOM - #msg-1117892
Jun 16/03 · Low P/C ratio into the close, it may signal the start of a possible retreat - #msg-1111312
Jun 16/03 · Once the BPCOMPQ trounces its own 14 DMA... - #msg-1110268
Jun 13/03 · A rapid decline (SOX), or the formation of a right shoulder - #msg-1106125
Jun 13/03 · I don't think it is the end of the down - #msg-1104937
Jun 11/03 · Right now, I prefer to stick to the game plan - #msg-1097456
Jun 11/03 · 1575 is probably not in the card in the next two days - #msg-1097221
Jun 10/03 · I think that these levels are going to be the top for this week - #msg-1091505
Jun 10/03 · Long and short candidates - #msg-1090331
Jun 10/03 · By the end of the month, we should probably see 1500 ±20 - #msg-1090091
Jun 10/03 · For this week, 1575 ±5 as probable low target - #msg-1088981
Jun 05/03 · While March 11 was a local low, it did not have signs of a major low - #msg-1080868
Jun 05/03 · We are going to such extremes here in many indicators - #msg-1080581
Jun 04/03 · I would treat retrenchments as buying opportunities - #msg-1074173
Jun 04/03 · Still the 1500 plus minus 20 area - #msg-1073903
Jun 04/03 · Breadth has been excellent for weeks now - #msg-1073730
Jun 03/03 · An indication of the beginning of deterioration - #msg-1069406
Jun 02/03 · Too many of my indicators are very stretched - #msg-1064199
Jun 02/03 · Best candidate [for a low] is the Wednesday of expiry week, or 6/18 - #msg-1062026 #msg-1062138
May 31/03 · 1500 ±20 should serve as very strong support - #msg-1059211
May 30/03 • Back in my bear suit...a 100+ naz points retrenchment - #msg-1056591 #msg-1056875 #msg-1058518
May 28/03 · A top occurs often at a maximum in new highs - #msg-1049155
May 28/03 · Internals point to a bearish stance being still premature here - #msg-1045585
May 27/03 · Volume is expanding, new highs are expanding, new lows are contracting - #msg-1044977
May 27/03 · I fear we do mild retrenchments and the dips are bought for now - #msg-1044483
May 23/03 · Most likely model has 1465 holding on retrenches for a little while at least - #msg-1036744
May 22/03 · Right now the nassacre is off the table - #msg-1034529 #msg-1034538
May 21/03 · No expansion of new lows, a temporary bullish sign - #msg-1026974
May 21/03 · Tomorrow and Friday up, next Tuesday or Wednesday as the top - #msg-1026880 #msg-1029707
May 20/03 · A short term relapse that should be over by tomorrow - #msg-1025407 #msg-1025426
May 19/03 · Right now, I have no choice but to stay neutral - #msg-1021506
May 19/03 · Wednesday, a bottoming action and going up into Friday - #msg-1019687
May 16/03 · A tentative top next Wednesday - #msg-1012249
May 15/03 · A bear call is still a little premature - #msg-1008521
May 12/03 · Nasdaq, a new four month high, holding above the 200 EMA - #msg-994866
May 10/03 · Equity P/C ratio - #msg-992402 #msg-992623
May 09/03 · Here at 1520 the new highs are disappointing - #msg-990878
May 09/03 · Still think there is a higher likelihood that this move will fail - #msg-989059
May 08/03 · Right now I have possible bounces from 1465 and 1414 - #msg-985665
May 07/03 · Indices and number of new highs, equity put/call ratio, BPCOMPQ - #msg-984980 #msg-985029
May 07/03 · Very unusual for a bear market to end with lack of negative extremes - #msg-984585
May 04/03 · Change back to full fledge bear requires 1391 to be breached - #msg-975089
May 04/03 · It is still not worth changing the neutral position - #msg-974628
May 04/03 • I have not turned bullish, but I am now neutral - #msg-974596
May 04/03 · First retrenchment will probably be bought with a "vengeance" - #msg-974145
May 04/03 · Quite possible to have a blow off followed by a major decline - #msg-974047
May 02/03 · Stay away from the chips, I see them relapsing more than other sectors - #msg-972647
May 02/03 • May/June major decline postulated earlier got annulled - #msg-972578 #msg-972649
Apr 30/03 · The last times we had such a stellar month, it was followed by disaster - #msg-964928
Apr 29/03 · We are still under the "to the hills flag" - #msg-961944 #msg-962033
Apr 26/03 · If 1391 is breached, two very strong down weeks to follow - #msg-952523
Apr 25/03 · If 1432 does not hold, next bounce range is from around 1414 - #msg-951616
Apr 24/03 · July bottom was modified a short while ago to 1081 nominal - #msg-947647 See #msg-932539
Apr 24/03 · May take few weeks until the setup for a waterfall - #msg-947608
Apr 23/03 · If we do not breach 1390 and we continue to have improved internals... - #msg-945553
Apr 23/03 · The test will probably be holding 1390 on any retrenchment - #msg-945266
Apr 23/03 · A low in mid to late July with a possible retest in early October - #msg-944706
Apr 23/03 · Still have a major retrenchment to just under 1100 by mid July - #msg-943349 #msg-943459
Apr 22/03 · Still do not like the "colors" of this advance - #msg-940648
Apr 18/03 · I doubt that an expansion is going to happen - #msg-932519
Apr 18/03 · RSI on the BPCOMPQ well into bearish territory - #msg-932180
Apr 17/03 · A string of three consecutive down days soon here - #msg-930808
Apr 17/03 · Stretched as can be with stinking internals - #msg-929996 #msg-930781
Apr 16/03 · Once 1330 is taken out, it will be a waterfall - #msg-927261
Apr 15/03 · A slightly protracted period of grinding nowhere - #msg-924062
Apr 15/03 · This week, a range of 1360-1400 - #msg-922351
Apr 14/03 · The resolution, IMTO will be down - #msg-920461
Apr 12/03 · Breaking 1330 before this earning season is over - #msg-917402
Apr 12/03 · Staying with the timing of the Jan 25 scenario - #msg-917155
Apr 10/03 · I think we are being set up for a major decline - #msg-912910 #msg-912933
Apr 09/03 · Nazdaq in a range of 1330-1400 - #msg-910704 #msg-910971 (range correction) #msg-911329
Apr 09/03 · 1330, while a support, will falter rapidly - #msg-909835
Apr 08/03 · Once we break the 1375/80 or so area, I think we will break fast - #msg-906903
Apr 06/03 · For another two weeks or so we are probably in a trading range - #msg-900147
Apr 05/03 · Possibility of a cyclical bull - #msg-899283
Apr 03/03 · The internals are not strengthening that much - #msg-893649 #msg-893748
Apr 02/03 · Still have a breach of 1330 sometime this month - #msg-890966
Apr 02/03 · Volume and new high indicators are double edged sword - #msg-890115
Apr 02/03 · Rally looks better, new highs expanding - #msg-889225 #msg-889418 #msg-889837
Apr 02/03 · Real resistance is probably a little higher than 1400 - #msg-889171
Apr 01/03 · A grinding decline to the 1290/1300 area - #msg-887244 #msg-887286
Mar 31/03 · Between 1330 and 1370 - #msg-884086 #msg-884149
Mar 31/03 · Later in the week, the turnips have 1330 taken out - #msg-882399
Mar 31/03 · 1330/50 is still a bounce area - #msg-881663
Mar 29/03 · Positive elements are outweighed by many negative developments - #msg-879591
Mar 27/03 · Still have a "need" to see a first test of the 1330/50 area - #msg-875915
Mar 26/03 · Before the end of the week we will test 1330/50 area - #msg-872761
Mar 25/03 · The technical underpinnings of the recent run are poor - #msg-870615
Mar 25/03 · 1400 on the Naz as a potential mini barrier - #msg-869078
Mar 24/03 · A mild bump up from the 1330/50 area - #msg-867620
Mar 21/03 · The secular bear is far from over, IMTO - #msg-861993
Mar 21/03 · We are smack into the the January highs here - #msg-861541
Mar 21/03 · Danger for the bulls - #msg-860148
Mar 21/03 · The leadership is still poor - #msg-859260
Mar 20/03 · 1420/1440 area could be the target - #msg-858717
Mar 19/03 · The quality of the move is so bad and so thin - #msg-854900
Mar 19/03 · First bounce on the Naz should be in the 1330/40 area - #msg-854663
Mar 19/03 · New highs have not reached Febraury levels - #msg-852632
Mar 18/03 · Very short term we are due for a severe relapse - #msg-848998
Mar 17/03 · Sign of a cyclical bull - #msg-848728
Mar 17/03 · Expecting a low sometime in May - #msg-848081
Mar 17/03 · Still think that this bear is far from dead - #msg-848058
Mar 17/03 · You rarely get a major move without a solid capitulation - #msg-847424
Mar 15/03 · Results of the second quarter could result in strong Summer rally - #msg-842660
Mar 15/03 · A major bear, within that we get runs to the 200 DMA - #msg-842629 #msg-842645
Mar 15/03 · Nassacre is alive and well and now we should go into Phase II - #msg-842385
Mar 15/03 • We finished the first phase of this Nassacre last Wednesday - #msg-842045
Mar 14/03 · The hall mark of a turn is that the internals improve - #msg-840428 #msg-842021
Mar 14/03 · Bear suit still fully zipped - #msg-840394
Mar 14/03 · Expecting a close repeat of the late February chart - #msg-838497
Mar 14/03 · We may be looking at phase II - #msg-838462
Mar 13/03 · Without a GNT, there is no real bottom - #msg-837223
Mar 13/03 · I think that like late last month, this will prove to be distributory - #msg-837197
Mar 13/03 · A very dangerous market and my bear suit is fully zipped - #msg-835956
Mar 13/03 · By this time next week, we should be safely under 1260 - #msg-835255 #msg-836445
Mar 13/03 · No reason to remove bear suit - #msg-834688 #msg-835188
Mar 12/03 · Too late to engage in heavy shorting or put buying - #msg-833671
Mar 12/03 · We are not ready yet for more than a bounce to 1292/1302 - #msg-833592
Mar 12/03 · Either a two day ramp to 1292, or a breach of 1260 - #msg-831622
Mar 11/03 · Resistance most likely at 1292, maybe above 1300 - #msg-830992
Mar 10/03 · First support 1280, next support 1260/63 area - #msg-825751
Mar 08/03 · When war starts, a large bump which is heavily sold - #msg-822764
Mar 07/03 · 1292 and lower next week - #msg-820418
Mar 07/03 · If 1292 holds, a small bounce could occur - #msg-819122
Mar 06/03 · Surviving the emotions of trading - #msg-818571
Mar 05/03 · Apart from the delays, we are following the schedule - #msg-813989
Mar 04/03 · By late Thursday, any ramp started tomorrow will dissipate - #msg-812413
Mar 04/03 · Tomorrow...mild up day...resumption of the decline - #msg-810798
Mar 03/03 · A mild turn back up Wednesday afternoon - #msg-808219
Mar 03/03 · Think we will at least visit sub 1300 territory this week - #msg-808208
Mar 02/03 · Market behaving worse than mid January, post the 1/6 call - #msg-805950
Feb 28/03 · Could continue this distribution for another week - #msg-803388
Feb 28/03 • Extremely dangerous level here; reiterate "run to the hills" - #msg-802739
Feb 27/03 · Attack on Iraq could be delayed until close to April - #msg-800746
Feb 27/03 · Still in a very dangerous area here on the Naz - #msg-800400
Feb 25/03 · The great majority of the technical indicators are still bearish - #msg-794954
Feb 25/03 · Phase I may not have more than a week to 2½ to go - #msg-794927
Feb 25/03 · Not bullish here yet - #msg-794876
Feb 23/03 · Maybe we are now in the early March 2-3 week run - #msg-788682
Feb 23/03 · We often get these false breakouts - #msg-788657
Feb 23/03 · Could easily drop more than 25 on the Naz tomorrow - #msg-788430
Feb 23/03 · After mid-year, the surprise could be a cyclical bull move - #msg-788375
Feb 22/03 · End of Phase I is still 1197/1223 - #msg-787342
Feb 22/03 · IMTO, this is a classic bull trap - #msg-786780
Feb 20/03 · By the end of next week, we should be in full retreat - #msg-781704
Feb 19/03 · Just an oversold relief run - #msg-776993
Feb 18/03 · I think that by the end of the day tomorrow we will be red - #msg-775342
Feb 18/03 · How can one turn bullish? IMTO, it is a trap - #msg-775293
Feb 17/03 · Bear suit still fully zipped - #msg-772918
Feb 17/03 · Bet is that tomorrow we get our traditional G&C - #msg-772059
Feb 15/03 · Bet is that we are turned back from the 1321/35 area - #msg-768059
Feb 14/03 · By the end of the month we should be testing 1197/1223 - #msg-766889
Feb 14/03 · We have not had excess pessimism - #msg-765528
Feb 13/03 · The early March bounce topped at 1327 - #msg-764223
Feb 12/03 · The low 1200s will be reserved for later this month - #msg-760470
Feb 11/03 · Now 1263 will be less of an obstacle to additional declines - #msg-756957
Feb 10/03 · We need 3 phases: complacency, concern, panic selling - #msg-753915
Feb 10/03 · Options expiration, precipitous decline, breach of today's low - #msg-753579
Feb 10/03 · No end in sight until sentiment indicators blow - #msg-753274
Feb 10/03 · 1312 is possible - #msg-753176
Feb 10/03 · I think we continue lower than 1275 - #msg-752907
Feb 10/03 · Dark siders are back in the driver seat - #msg-752529
Feb 06/03 · At least another 80 Naz points before first leg done - #msg-743382
Feb 05/03 · Low opening seems to be the path of least resistance now - #msg-740615
Feb 05/03 · We are not even close to a turning point - #msg-740370
Feb 05/03 · Sox is already failing to make a new HOD - #msg-738755
Feb 05/03 · Running into top of the box, fear we will be hit hard after that - #msg-738695
Feb 05/03 · Top of the box is still 1332 ± 5 - #msg-737722
Feb 03/03 · Expecting a bounce from 1263 - #msg-733246
Feb 03/03 · More pain is due - #msg-733033
Feb 03/03 · 1332 ± 5 will serve as strong resistance - #msg-731598
Feb 03/03 · Still calling for sub 1300 before the week is out - #msg-731274
Jan 31/03 · A red close on the Naz and under 1300 by next week - #msg-726227
Jan 30/03 · By the end of next week, 1300 will be kissed "good bye" - #msg-724032
Jan 30/03 · Tomorrow might be a good time to get out of weak longs - #msg-723740
Jan 30/03 · We are still in a major downtrend - #msg-722458
Jan 29/03 · Using the equity P/C ratio - #msg-720389
Jan 29/03 · Still have that 1377 as the barrier here - #msg-719278
Jan 28/03 · VIX collapsed today, we may not reach bottom of 1357/77 - #msg-716112
Jan 26/03 • Dow hit list for 2003 - #msg-710613
Jan 26/03 · Breach 1327, then an anemic bounce to 1357/77 - #msg-710582
Jan 25/03 • New tentative schedule for the next five/six months - #msg-708849
Jan 25/03 · Target for the Dow first leg down was already exceeded - #msg-708735
Jan 24/03 · Now well into completing the first leg of the Nassacre - #msg-706195
Jan 23/03 · Each stock has its own ideal entry (on the dark side) - #msg-704222
Jan 23/03 · The window is open until about next Wednesday - #msg-703463 #msg-703478
Jan 23/03 · Strong Naz day...just an anemic bounce - #msg-703292
Jan 22/03 · Still expect a bounce back to just under 1400 - #msg-700192
Jan 22/03 · Expect a run to 1391/7 with a possible max at 1414 - #msg-698686
Jan 21/03 · Equity P/C ratio at .42; extremely bearish - #msg-696553
Jan 21/03 · A turn tomorrow maybe to the 1391/7 area - #msg-696433
Jan 19/03 · 1391/7 will be a very strong overhead resistance - #msg-691142
Jan 18/03 · This year, Nasdaq from 1521 down to around 950 - #msg-689755
Jan 18/03 · Bottom of the first leg lowered to 1198/1223 - #msg-689476
Jan 18/03 · A bounce before we continue this first leg down - #msg-689373
Jan 17/03 · Resuming the first leg of a major decline - #msg-686497
Jan 16/03 · BTK - #msg-685638 #msg-685666 #msg-686505
Jan 15/03 · Within two months, 1263 and maybe lower - #msg-681069
Jan 14/03 · Staggered retreat with some SOX companies still climbing - #msg-679170
Jan 14/03 · "Run for the Hills" stands - #msg-678044
Jan 12/03 · We may still reach just above 1500 on the Nasdaq - #msg-672791
Jan 10/03 · End of day: Still in bear suit; out with 68% cash - #msg-669945
Jan 10/03 · If we close above 1447, "run to the hills" is cancelled - #msg-668918
Jan 10/03 · Don't have us going past 1520 - #msg-668901
Jan 10/03 · Short term now calls for a neutral to bearish stance - #msg-668371
Jan 09/03 · Reiterating "Run for the Hills" call here - #msg-665700
Jan 09/03 · Expecting 1447 to hold as a top - #msg-665399
Jan 08/03 · Minor double top of 1447, possibly next week - #msg-662286
Jan 06/03 • Dividend taxation; no economic stimulus impact - #msg-658687
Jan 06/03 · Take about 100 Naz points off each of the targets - #msg-658572
Jan 06/03 · This run was extremely underwhelming - #msg-657702
Jan 06/03 · The risk is too high here - #msg-657407
Jan 06/03 • Here at 1424, the turnips are issuing a "To the hills call" - #msg-657325
Jan 06/03 · January rally may stall badly here - #msg-657151
Jan 04/03 · If volume picks up early next week, we should be doing fine - #msg-653236
Jan 04/03 · First battle probably 1391/7, then 1426 - #msg-653062
Jan 04/03 · In risk averse environment, money goes to Dow stocks - #msg-652969
Jan 01/03 • Forecast for first half of 2003 - #msg-647289
Dec 31/02 · Lack of conviction on the sell side - #msg-646388
Dec 31/02 · No 'run for the hills'; staying with low cash position - #msg-645731
Dec 30/02 · 1391/7 probably a barrier to any advance - #msg-644348 #msg-644297
Dec 28/02 · Still think seasonal influences will reestablish themselves - #msg-641639
Dec 27/02 · Still sticking to the seasonal theme of expected strength - #msg-640961
Dec 27/02 · Nasdaq at 1347, but new lows only hit 45 - #msg-640734
Dec 26/02 · Review of Nov-Jan forecasts; still bullish here - #msg-639614
Dec 26/02 · Pre invasion run, post invasion relapse - #msg-639193
Dec 25/02 · Reducing the January high to 1550 - #msg-638162
Dec 25/02 · Still expect mild bullish trend - #msg-638161
Dec 23/02 · A solid week behind schedule - #msg-636861
Dec 23/02 · Still expecting seasonal strength until January - #msg-636638
Dec 23/02 · Not as bullish here - #msg-636623
Dec 21/02 · Don't get too bearish here - #msg-634492
Dec 21/02 · Expecting a a short term run in the SOX - SI #reply-18361963
Dec 19/02 · Still quite bullish - #msg-631960
Dec 19/02 · Should run hard into the end of the year - #msg-631451
Dec 19/02 · After this week, party should start - #msg-631082
Dec 14/02 · Not going into a 1929 depression - #msg-624925
Dec 14/02 • Quite bullish for the next 4 weeks - #msg-624829
Dec 14/02 · Probably the end of the down move - #msg-624596
Dec 13/02 · Prior tops of significance - #msg-624115
Dec 13/02 · Sept 11/02 top (1347) is major line in the sand - #msg-624043
Dec 12/02 · May close above 1470 next week - #msg-622016
Dec 12/02 · Meandering next week as well - #msg-621945
Dec 09/02 · No major move up until next week - #msg-617611
Dec 09/02 · Next week mostly up - #msg-616871
Dec 09/02 · Very bullish stance here - #msg-616495
Dec 07/02 • Forecast for first half of 2003 - #msg-614572
Dec 07/02 · Not the time to short - #msg-614538
Dec 05/02 · Bullish here around 1400 on the Naz - #msg-611879
Dec 04/02 · Still expect backing and filling - #msg-610086
Dec 04/02 · Donning not so shiny pair of horns - #msg-609508
Dec 04/02 · 1378 is the next target - #msg-609399
Dec 03/02 · First two weeks of December - #msg-607798
Nov 30/02 · Possibility of 1940 high next year - #msg-602499
Nov 25/02 • Next 7 weeks II - #msg-598082
Nov 24/02 • Next 7 weeks I - #msg-595913
Nov 23/02 · SOX target of 184 in next six to nine months - SI #reply-18268199
Nov 02/02 · Expecting a retrenchment in the semis - SI #reply-18187796
Oct 10/02 · Expecting a strong move in the semis - SI #reply-18100366
Sep 07/02 • 950 target for the bottom - #msg-491054
Jan 27/02 • Forecasted turning points since early 2000 - SI #reply-16967797
Dec 29/01 • Market scenario for 2002 (long post) - SI #reply-16842549
Apr 23/00 • Prediction of bear market - SI #reply-13483082
Earlier posts from 2000-2002 - SI #reply-18338762
A few posts from the turnip patch (#board-1125).
April 2000 - August 2003.
Aug 30/03 · Current optimism will soon exceed the optimism in February of 2000 - #msg-1380193
Aug 30/03 • An investing primer - #msg-1379694
Aug 29/03 · Looks like a "set up" to me; going out relatively heavy in cash - #msg-1378252
Aug 28/03 · Target low on the Naz of 950 and on the Dow at 6000 - #msg-1374737
Aug 28/03 · Mounting chorus of bulls; plan calls for extreme caution - #msg-1374666
Aug 27/03 · Still within the window of 10 days (ending 8/29) where a top should occur - #msg-1369724
Aug 26/03 · Excessive call buying, excess optimism - #msg-1364830
Aug 23/03 · Short term the 1640 area should be considered as major support - #msg-1354505
Aug 23/03 · Yesterday morning, an "almost" run for the hills signal - #msg-1354294 #msg-1354442
Aug 21/03 · All indicate the market is very vulnerable here and dangerous - #msg-1346177
Aug 19/03 · Severity of the autumn decline (into the 1400s?) - #msg-1336676
Aug 18/03 · New highs was impressive....volume, however stinks - #msg-1335737
Aug 18/03 · September is when more pronounced weakness should appear - #msg-1335422
Aug 15/03 · P/C ratio indicates a top within 10 trading days - #msg-1329089
Aug 15/03 · Slow decline to start next week and accelerate as we go - #msg-1328425
Aug 13/03 · Still waiting to see expansion in Naz new lows beyond 40 - #msg-1321855
Aug 13/03 · Maybe a "to the hills" call within days - #msg-1321491
Aug 13/03 · Top of the range in the Naz here; maybe another 15/25 points - #msg-1320140
Aug 12/03 · There is a little room for further advance here - #msg-1317085
Aug 12/03 · Later on, I still think we creep up toward that 1700 level - #msg-1315499
Aug 08/03 · Current target is around 1400 - #msg-1304912
Aug 06/03 · Internal parameters suggest meandering in 1625/1725 range - #msg-1295648
Aug 06/03 · Resistance at 1700 expected - #msg-1294920
Aug 06/03 · Very short term I still expect a bounce back to the 1700 or so area - #msg-1294385
Aug 05/03 · Tomorrow, a local turn date, so expect 1625 to take longer - #msg-1290569
Aug 05/03 · We are on our way to test the lower part of the range 1625/1725 - #msg-1289004
Aug 04/03 · We may go within the next week or two to test the 1625 or so area - #msg-1283286
Jul 31/03 · General scenario is still meandering for the next few weeks - #msg-1270154
Jul 29/03 · If the market is going to mount a solid run, it will be next year - #msg-1259631
Jul 21/03 · A unique precious metal hedge proposition - #msg-1230445
Jul 17/03 · September we start more sharply down - #msg-1217194
Jul 17/03 · You need to see 40 new lows on the Naz, and more than one day - #msg-1216397
Jul 16/03 · Starting next week, we may go down with a little more vigor - #msg-1212478
Jul 13/03 · Eventually, interest rates are going to rise and slam the stock market - #msg-1197513
Jul 12/03 · Wednesday, a turn date, either a local high or a local low - #msg-1196044
Jul 11/03 · A cycle low between Tuesday and Wednesday around noon - #msg-1194730
Jul 08/03 · Model postulates an actual sharp decline into the Autumn - #msg-1181693
Jul 07/03 · Don't get carried away with the euphoria - #msg-1177921
Jul 07/03 · Rest of the week more problematic after a possible surge to 1750 - #msg-1177207
Jul 04/03 · I think AGM, SKX, ECL and even TLM around here - #msg-1170243
Jul 03/03 · Almost all my indicators point to major risk here - #msg-1167261
Jul 02/03 · Most of the ebullience for this week was spent - #msg-1161783
Jul 01/03 · Thursday and Monday will be mildly up, but after that, watch out - #msg-1158415
Jun 27/03 · A low in the third quarter - #msg-1146395
Jun 25/03 · Normal crazy post announcement up and down ending down - #msg-1138735
Jun 22/03 · Short term, the upside momentum is somewhat damaged - #msg-1130320
Jun 20/03 · I have next week down quite hard, maybe even to that 1575 - #msg-1127641
Jun 18/03 · I think we are being set up for a major retrenchment - #msg-1118982 #msg-1118633
Jun 18/03 · Still have the 1500 ±20 on the map for EOM - #msg-1117892
Jun 16/03 · Low P/C ratio into the close, it may signal the start of a possible retreat - #msg-1111312
Jun 16/03 · Once the BPCOMPQ trounces its own 14 DMA... - #msg-1110268
Jun 13/03 · A rapid decline (SOX), or the formation of a right shoulder - #msg-1106125
Jun 13/03 · I don't think it is the end of the down - #msg-1104937
Jun 11/03 · Right now, I prefer to stick to the game plan - #msg-1097456
Jun 11/03 · 1575 is probably not in the card in the next two days - #msg-1097221
Jun 10/03 · I think that these levels are going to be the top for this week - #msg-1091505
Jun 10/03 · Long and short candidates - #msg-1090331
Jun 10/03 · By the end of the month, we should probably see 1500 ±20 - #msg-1090091
Jun 10/03 · For this week, 1575 ±5 as probable low target - #msg-1088981
Jun 05/03 · While March 11 was a local low, it did not have signs of a major low - #msg-1080868
Jun 05/03 · We are going to such extremes here in many indicators - #msg-1080581
Jun 04/03 · I would treat retrenchments as buying opportunities - #msg-1074173
Jun 04/03 · Still the 1500 plus minus 20 area - #msg-1073903
Jun 04/03 · Breadth has been excellent for weeks now - #msg-1073730
Jun 03/03 · An indication of the beginning of deterioration - #msg-1069406
Jun 02/03 · Too many of my indicators are very stretched - #msg-1064199
Jun 02/03 · Best candidate [for a low] is the Wednesday of expiry week, or 6/18 - #msg-1062026 #msg-1062138
May 31/03 · 1500 ±20 should serve as very strong support - #msg-1059211
May 30/03 • Back in my bear suit...a 100+ naz points retrenchment - #msg-1056591 #msg-1056875 #msg-1058518
May 28/03 · A top occurs often at a maximum in new highs - #msg-1049155
May 28/03 · Internals point to a bearish stance being still premature here - #msg-1045585
May 27/03 · Volume is expanding, new highs are expanding, new lows are contracting - #msg-1044977
May 27/03 · I fear we do mild retrenchments and the dips are bought for now - #msg-1044483
May 23/03 · Most likely model has 1465 holding on retrenches for a little while at least - #msg-1036744
May 22/03 · Right now the nassacre is off the table - #msg-1034529 #msg-1034538
May 21/03 · No expansion of new lows, a temporary bullish sign - #msg-1026974
May 21/03 · Tomorrow and Friday up, next Tuesday or Wednesday as the top - #msg-1026880 #msg-1029707
May 20/03 · A short term relapse that should be over by tomorrow - #msg-1025407 #msg-1025426
May 19/03 · Right now, I have no choice but to stay neutral - #msg-1021506
May 19/03 · Wednesday, a bottoming action and going up into Friday - #msg-1019687
May 16/03 · A tentative top next Wednesday - #msg-1012249
May 15/03 · A bear call is still a little premature - #msg-1008521
May 12/03 · Nasdaq, a new four month high, holding above the 200 EMA - #msg-994866
May 10/03 · Equity P/C ratio - #msg-992402 #msg-992623
May 09/03 · Here at 1520 the new highs are disappointing - #msg-990878
May 09/03 · Still think there is a higher likelihood that this move will fail - #msg-989059
May 08/03 · Right now I have possible bounces from 1465 and 1414 - #msg-985665
May 07/03 · Indices and number of new highs, equity put/call ratio, BPCOMPQ - #msg-984980 #msg-985029
May 07/03 · Very unusual for a bear market to end with lack of negative extremes - #msg-984585
May 04/03 · Change back to full fledge bear requires 1391 to be breached - #msg-975089
May 04/03 · It is still not worth changing the neutral position - #msg-974628
May 04/03 • I have not turned bullish, but I am now neutral - #msg-974596
May 04/03 · First retrenchment will probably be bought with a "vengeance" - #msg-974145
May 04/03 · Quite possible to have a blow off followed by a major decline - #msg-974047
May 02/03 · Stay away from the chips, I see them relapsing more than other sectors - #msg-972647
May 02/03 • May/June major decline postulated earlier got annulled - #msg-972578 #msg-972649
Apr 30/03 · The last times we had such a stellar month, it was followed by disaster - #msg-964928
Apr 29/03 · We are still under the "to the hills flag" - #msg-961944 #msg-962033
Apr 26/03 · If 1391 is breached, two very strong down weeks to follow - #msg-952523
Apr 25/03 · If 1432 does not hold, next bounce range is from around 1414 - #msg-951616
Apr 24/03 · July bottom was modified a short while ago to 1081 nominal - #msg-947647 See #msg-932539
Apr 24/03 · May take few weeks until the setup for a waterfall - #msg-947608
Apr 23/03 · If we do not breach 1390 and we continue to have improved internals... - #msg-945553
Apr 23/03 · The test will probably be holding 1390 on any retrenchment - #msg-945266
Apr 23/03 · A low in mid to late July with a possible retest in early October - #msg-944706
Apr 23/03 · Still have a major retrenchment to just under 1100 by mid July - #msg-943349 #msg-943459
Apr 22/03 · Still do not like the "colors" of this advance - #msg-940648
Apr 18/03 · I doubt that an expansion is going to happen - #msg-932519
Apr 18/03 · RSI on the BPCOMPQ well into bearish territory - #msg-932180
Apr 17/03 · A string of three consecutive down days soon here - #msg-930808
Apr 17/03 · Stretched as can be with stinking internals - #msg-929996 #msg-930781
Apr 16/03 · Once 1330 is taken out, it will be a waterfall - #msg-927261
Apr 15/03 · A slightly protracted period of grinding nowhere - #msg-924062
Apr 15/03 · This week, a range of 1360-1400 - #msg-922351
Apr 14/03 · The resolution, IMTO will be down - #msg-920461
Apr 12/03 · Breaking 1330 before this earning season is over - #msg-917402
Apr 12/03 · Staying with the timing of the Jan 25 scenario - #msg-917155
Apr 10/03 · I think we are being set up for a major decline - #msg-912910 #msg-912933
Apr 09/03 · Nazdaq in a range of 1330-1400 - #msg-910704 #msg-910971 (range correction) #msg-911329
Apr 09/03 · 1330, while a support, will falter rapidly - #msg-909835
Apr 08/03 · Once we break the 1375/80 or so area, I think we will break fast - #msg-906903
Apr 06/03 · For another two weeks or so we are probably in a trading range - #msg-900147
Apr 05/03 · Possibility of a cyclical bull - #msg-899283
Apr 03/03 · The internals are not strengthening that much - #msg-893649 #msg-893748
Apr 02/03 · Still have a breach of 1330 sometime this month - #msg-890966
Apr 02/03 · Volume and new high indicators are double edged sword - #msg-890115
Apr 02/03 · Rally looks better, new highs expanding - #msg-889225 #msg-889418 #msg-889837
Apr 02/03 · Real resistance is probably a little higher than 1400 - #msg-889171
Apr 01/03 · A grinding decline to the 1290/1300 area - #msg-887244 #msg-887286
Mar 31/03 · Between 1330 and 1370 - #msg-884086 #msg-884149
Mar 31/03 · Later in the week, the turnips have 1330 taken out - #msg-882399
Mar 31/03 · 1330/50 is still a bounce area - #msg-881663
Mar 29/03 · Positive elements are outweighed by many negative developments - #msg-879591
Mar 27/03 · Still have a "need" to see a first test of the 1330/50 area - #msg-875915
Mar 26/03 · Before the end of the week we will test 1330/50 area - #msg-872761
Mar 25/03 · The technical underpinnings of the recent run are poor - #msg-870615
Mar 25/03 · 1400 on the Naz as a potential mini barrier - #msg-869078
Mar 24/03 · A mild bump up from the 1330/50 area - #msg-867620
Mar 21/03 · The secular bear is far from over, IMTO - #msg-861993
Mar 21/03 · We are smack into the the January highs here - #msg-861541
Mar 21/03 · Danger for the bulls - #msg-860148
Mar 21/03 · The leadership is still poor - #msg-859260
Mar 20/03 · 1420/1440 area could be the target - #msg-858717
Mar 19/03 · The quality of the move is so bad and so thin - #msg-854900
Mar 19/03 · First bounce on the Naz should be in the 1330/40 area - #msg-854663
Mar 19/03 · New highs have not reached Febraury levels - #msg-852632
Mar 18/03 · Very short term we are due for a severe relapse - #msg-848998
Mar 17/03 · Sign of a cyclical bull - #msg-848728
Mar 17/03 · Expecting a low sometime in May - #msg-848081
Mar 17/03 · Still think that this bear is far from dead - #msg-848058
Mar 17/03 · You rarely get a major move without a solid capitulation - #msg-847424
Mar 15/03 · Results of the second quarter could result in strong Summer rally - #msg-842660
Mar 15/03 · A major bear, within that we get runs to the 200 DMA - #msg-842629 #msg-842645
Mar 15/03 · Nassacre is alive and well and now we should go into Phase II - #msg-842385
Mar 15/03 • We finished the first phase of this Nassacre last Wednesday - #msg-842045
Mar 14/03 · The hall mark of a turn is that the internals improve - #msg-840428 #msg-842021
Mar 14/03 · Bear suit still fully zipped - #msg-840394
Mar 14/03 · Expecting a close repeat of the late February chart - #msg-838497
Mar 14/03 · We may be looking at phase II - #msg-838462
Mar 13/03 · Without a GNT, there is no real bottom - #msg-837223
Mar 13/03 · I think that like late last month, this will prove to be distributory - #msg-837197
Mar 13/03 · A very dangerous market and my bear suit is fully zipped - #msg-835956
Mar 13/03 · By this time next week, we should be safely under 1260 - #msg-835255 #msg-836445
Mar 13/03 · No reason to remove bear suit - #msg-834688 #msg-835188
Mar 12/03 · Too late to engage in heavy shorting or put buying - #msg-833671
Mar 12/03 · We are not ready yet for more than a bounce to 1292/1302 - #msg-833592
Mar 12/03 · Either a two day ramp to 1292, or a breach of 1260 - #msg-831622
Mar 11/03 · Resistance most likely at 1292, maybe above 1300 - #msg-830992
Mar 10/03 · First support 1280, next support 1260/63 area - #msg-825751
Mar 08/03 · When war starts, a large bump which is heavily sold - #msg-822764
Mar 07/03 · 1292 and lower next week - #msg-820418
Mar 07/03 · If 1292 holds, a small bounce could occur - #msg-819122
Mar 06/03 · Surviving the emotions of trading - #msg-818571
Mar 05/03 · Apart from the delays, we are following the schedule - #msg-813989
Mar 04/03 · By late Thursday, any ramp started tomorrow will dissipate - #msg-812413
Mar 04/03 · Tomorrow...mild up day...resumption of the decline - #msg-810798
Mar 03/03 · A mild turn back up Wednesday afternoon - #msg-808219
Mar 03/03 · Think we will at least visit sub 1300 territory this week - #msg-808208
Mar 02/03 · Market behaving worse than mid January, post the 1/6 call - #msg-805950
Feb 28/03 · Could continue this distribution for another week - #msg-803388
Feb 28/03 • Extremely dangerous level here; reiterate "run to the hills" - #msg-802739
Feb 27/03 · Attack on Iraq could be delayed until close to April - #msg-800746
Feb 27/03 · Still in a very dangerous area here on the Naz - #msg-800400
Feb 25/03 · The great majority of the technical indicators are still bearish - #msg-794954
Feb 25/03 · Phase I may not have more than a week to 2½ to go - #msg-794927
Feb 25/03 · Not bullish here yet - #msg-794876
Feb 23/03 · Maybe we are now in the early March 2-3 week run - #msg-788682
Feb 23/03 · We often get these false breakouts - #msg-788657
Feb 23/03 · Could easily drop more than 25 on the Naz tomorrow - #msg-788430
Feb 23/03 · After mid-year, the surprise could be a cyclical bull move - #msg-788375
Feb 22/03 · End of Phase I is still 1197/1223 - #msg-787342
Feb 22/03 · IMTO, this is a classic bull trap - #msg-786780
Feb 20/03 · By the end of next week, we should be in full retreat - #msg-781704
Feb 19/03 · Just an oversold relief run - #msg-776993
Feb 18/03 · I think that by the end of the day tomorrow we will be red - #msg-775342
Feb 18/03 · How can one turn bullish? IMTO, it is a trap - #msg-775293
Feb 17/03 · Bear suit still fully zipped - #msg-772918
Feb 17/03 · Bet is that tomorrow we get our traditional G&C - #msg-772059
Feb 15/03 · Bet is that we are turned back from the 1321/35 area - #msg-768059
Feb 14/03 · By the end of the month we should be testing 1197/1223 - #msg-766889
Feb 14/03 · We have not had excess pessimism - #msg-765528
Feb 13/03 · The early March bounce topped at 1327 - #msg-764223
Feb 12/03 · The low 1200s will be reserved for later this month - #msg-760470
Feb 11/03 · Now 1263 will be less of an obstacle to additional declines - #msg-756957
Feb 10/03 · We need 3 phases: complacency, concern, panic selling - #msg-753915
Feb 10/03 · Options expiration, precipitous decline, breach of today's low - #msg-753579
Feb 10/03 · No end in sight until sentiment indicators blow - #msg-753274
Feb 10/03 · 1312 is possible - #msg-753176
Feb 10/03 · I think we continue lower than 1275 - #msg-752907
Feb 10/03 · Dark siders are back in the driver seat - #msg-752529
Feb 06/03 · At least another 80 Naz points before first leg done - #msg-743382
Feb 05/03 · Low opening seems to be the path of least resistance now - #msg-740615
Feb 05/03 · We are not even close to a turning point - #msg-740370
Feb 05/03 · Sox is already failing to make a new HOD - #msg-738755
Feb 05/03 · Running into top of the box, fear we will be hit hard after that - #msg-738695
Feb 05/03 · Top of the box is still 1332 ± 5 - #msg-737722
Feb 03/03 · Expecting a bounce from 1263 - #msg-733246
Feb 03/03 · More pain is due - #msg-733033
Feb 03/03 · 1332 ± 5 will serve as strong resistance - #msg-731598
Feb 03/03 · Still calling for sub 1300 before the week is out - #msg-731274
Jan 31/03 · A red close on the Naz and under 1300 by next week - #msg-726227
Jan 30/03 · By the end of next week, 1300 will be kissed "good bye" - #msg-724032
Jan 30/03 · Tomorrow might be a good time to get out of weak longs - #msg-723740
Jan 30/03 · We are still in a major downtrend - #msg-722458
Jan 29/03 · Using the equity P/C ratio - #msg-720389
Jan 29/03 · Still have that 1377 as the barrier here - #msg-719278
Jan 28/03 · VIX collapsed today, we may not reach bottom of 1357/77 - #msg-716112
Jan 26/03 • Dow hit list for 2003 - #msg-710613
Jan 26/03 · Breach 1327, then an anemic bounce to 1357/77 - #msg-710582
Jan 25/03 • New tentative schedule for the next five/six months - #msg-708849
Jan 25/03 · Target for the Dow first leg down was already exceeded - #msg-708735
Jan 24/03 · Now well into completing the first leg of the Nassacre - #msg-706195
Jan 23/03 · Each stock has its own ideal entry (on the dark side) - #msg-704222
Jan 23/03 · The window is open until about next Wednesday - #msg-703463 #msg-703478
Jan 23/03 · Strong Naz day...just an anemic bounce - #msg-703292
Jan 22/03 · Still expect a bounce back to just under 1400 - #msg-700192
Jan 22/03 · Expect a run to 1391/7 with a possible max at 1414 - #msg-698686
Jan 21/03 · Equity P/C ratio at .42; extremely bearish - #msg-696553
Jan 21/03 · A turn tomorrow maybe to the 1391/7 area - #msg-696433
Jan 19/03 · 1391/7 will be a very strong overhead resistance - #msg-691142
Jan 18/03 · This year, Nasdaq from 1521 down to around 950 - #msg-689755
Jan 18/03 · Bottom of the first leg lowered to 1198/1223 - #msg-689476
Jan 18/03 · A bounce before we continue this first leg down - #msg-689373
Jan 17/03 · Resuming the first leg of a major decline - #msg-686497
Jan 16/03 · BTK - #msg-685638 #msg-685666 #msg-686505
Jan 15/03 · Within two months, 1263 and maybe lower - #msg-681069
Jan 14/03 · Staggered retreat with some SOX companies still climbing - #msg-679170
Jan 14/03 · "Run for the Hills" stands - #msg-678044
Jan 12/03 · We may still reach just above 1500 on the Nasdaq - #msg-672791
Jan 10/03 · End of day: Still in bear suit; out with 68% cash - #msg-669945
Jan 10/03 · If we close above 1447, "run to the hills" is cancelled - #msg-668918
Jan 10/03 · Don't have us going past 1520 - #msg-668901
Jan 10/03 · Short term now calls for a neutral to bearish stance - #msg-668371
Jan 09/03 · Reiterating "Run for the Hills" call here - #msg-665700
Jan 09/03 · Expecting 1447 to hold as a top - #msg-665399
Jan 08/03 · Minor double top of 1447, possibly next week - #msg-662286
Jan 06/03 • Dividend taxation; no economic stimulus impact - #msg-658687
Jan 06/03 · Take about 100 Naz points off each of the targets - #msg-658572
Jan 06/03 · This run was extremely underwhelming - #msg-657702
Jan 06/03 · The risk is too high here - #msg-657407
Jan 06/03 • Here at 1424, the turnips are issuing a "To the hills call" - #msg-657325
Jan 06/03 · January rally may stall badly here - #msg-657151
Jan 04/03 · If volume picks up early next week, we should be doing fine - #msg-653236
Jan 04/03 · First battle probably 1391/7, then 1426 - #msg-653062
Jan 04/03 · In risk averse environment, money goes to Dow stocks - #msg-652969
Jan 01/03 • Forecast for first half of 2003 - #msg-647289
Dec 31/02 · Lack of conviction on the sell side - #msg-646388
Dec 31/02 · No 'run for the hills'; staying with low cash position - #msg-645731
Dec 30/02 · 1391/7 probably a barrier to any advance - #msg-644348 #msg-644297
Dec 28/02 · Still think seasonal influences will reestablish themselves - #msg-641639
Dec 27/02 · Still sticking to the seasonal theme of expected strength - #msg-640961
Dec 27/02 · Nasdaq at 1347, but new lows only hit 45 - #msg-640734
Dec 26/02 · Review of Nov-Jan forecasts; still bullish here - #msg-639614
Dec 26/02 · Pre invasion run, post invasion relapse - #msg-639193
Dec 25/02 · Reducing the January high to 1550 - #msg-638162
Dec 25/02 · Still expect mild bullish trend - #msg-638161
Dec 23/02 · A solid week behind schedule - #msg-636861
Dec 23/02 · Still expecting seasonal strength until January - #msg-636638
Dec 23/02 · Not as bullish here - #msg-636623
Dec 21/02 · Don't get too bearish here - #msg-634492
Dec 21/02 · Expecting a a short term run in the SOX - SI #reply-18361963
Dec 19/02 · Still quite bullish - #msg-631960
Dec 19/02 · Should run hard into the end of the year - #msg-631451
Dec 19/02 · After this week, party should start - #msg-631082
Dec 14/02 · Not going into a 1929 depression - #msg-624925
Dec 14/02 • Quite bullish for the next 4 weeks - #msg-624829
Dec 14/02 · Probably the end of the down move - #msg-624596
Dec 13/02 · Prior tops of significance - #msg-624115
Dec 13/02 · Sept 11/02 top (1347) is major line in the sand - #msg-624043
Dec 12/02 · May close above 1470 next week - #msg-622016
Dec 12/02 · Meandering next week as well - #msg-621945
Dec 09/02 · No major move up until next week - #msg-617611
Dec 09/02 · Next week mostly up - #msg-616871
Dec 09/02 · Very bullish stance here - #msg-616495
Dec 07/02 • Forecast for first half of 2003 - #msg-614572
Dec 07/02 · Not the time to short - #msg-614538
Dec 05/02 · Bullish here around 1400 on the Naz - #msg-611879
Dec 04/02 · Still expect backing and filling - #msg-610086
Dec 04/02 · Donning not so shiny pair of horns - #msg-609508
Dec 04/02 · 1378 is the next target - #msg-609399
Dec 03/02 · First two weeks of December - #msg-607798
Nov 30/02 · Possibility of 1940 high next year - #msg-602499
Nov 25/02 • Next 7 weeks II - #msg-598082
Nov 24/02 • Next 7 weeks I - #msg-595913
Nov 23/02 · SOX target of 184 in next six to nine months - SI #reply-18268199
Nov 02/02 · Expecting a retrenchment in the semis - SI #reply-18187796
Oct 10/02 · Expecting a strong move in the semis - SI #reply-18100366
Sep 07/02 • 950 target for the bottom - #msg-491054
Jan 27/02 • Forecasted turning points since early 2000 - SI #reply-16967797
Dec 29/01 • Market scenario for 2002 (long post) - SI #reply-16842549
Apr 23/00 • Prediction of bear market - SI #reply-13483082
Earlier posts from 2000-2002 - SI #reply-18338762
A few posts from the turnip patch (#board-1125).
April 2000 - July 2003.
Jul 31/03 · General scenario is still meandering for the next few weeks - #msg-1270154
Jul 29/03 · If the market is going to mount a solid run, it will be next year - #msg-1259631
Jul 21/03 · A unique precious metal hedge proposition - #msg-1230445
Jul 17/03 · September we start more sharply down - #msg-1217194
Jul 17/03 · You need to see 40 new lows on the Naz, and more than one day - #msg-1216397
Jul 16/03 · Starting next week, we may go down with a little more vigor - #msg-1212478
Jul 13/03 · Eventually, interest rates are going to rise and slam the stock market - #msg-1197513
Jul 12/03 · Wednesday, a turn date, either a local high or a local low - #msg-1196044
Jul 11/03 · A cycle low between Tuesday and Wednesday around noon - #msg-1194730
Jul 08/03 · Model postulates an actual sharp decline into the Autumn - #msg-1181693
Jul 07/03 · Don't get carried away with the euphoria - #msg-1177921
Jul 07/03 · Rest of the week more problematic after a possible surge to 1750 - #msg-1177207
Jul 04/03 · I think AGM, SKX, ECL and even TLM around here - #msg-1170243
Jul 03/03 · Almost all my indicators point to major risk here - #msg-1167261
Jul 02/03 · Most of the ebullience for this week was spent - #msg-1161783
Jul 01/03 · Thursday and Monday will be mildly up, but after that, watch out - #msg-1158415
Jun 27/03 · A low in the third quarter - #msg-1146395
Jun 25/03 · Normal crazy post announcement up and down ending down - #msg-1138735
Jun 22/03 · Short term, the upside momentum is somewhat damaged - #msg-1130320
Jun 20/03 · I have next week down quite hard, maybe even to that 1575 - #msg-1127641
Jun 18/03 · I think we are being set up for a major retrenchment - #msg-1118982 #msg-1118633
Jun 18/03 · Still have the 1500 ±20 on the map for EOM - #msg-1117892
Jun 16/03 · Low P/C ratio into the close, it may signal the start of a possible retreat - #msg-1111312
Jun 16/03 · Once the BPCOMPQ trounces its own 14 DMA... - #msg-1110268
Jun 13/03 · A rapid decline (SOX), or the formation of a right shoulder - #msg-1106125
Jun 13/03 · I don't think it is the end of the down - #msg-1104937
Jun 11/03 · Right now, I prefer to stick to the game plan - #msg-1097456
Jun 11/03 · 1575 is probably not in the card in the next two days - #msg-1097221
Jun 10/03 · I think that these levels are going to be the top for this week - #msg-1091505
Jun 10/03 · Long and short candidates - #msg-1090331
Jun 10/03 · By the end of the month, we should probably see 1500 ±20 - #msg-1090091
Jun 10/03 · For this week, 1575 ±5 as probable low target - #msg-1088981
Jun 05/03 · While March 11 was a local low, it did not have signs of a major low - #msg-1080868
Jun 05/03 · We are going to such extremes here in many indicators - #msg-1080581
Jun 04/03 · I would treat retrenchments as buying opportunities - #msg-1074173
Jun 04/03 · Still the 1500 plus minus 20 area - #msg-1073903
Jun 04/03 · Breadth has been excellent for weeks now - #msg-1073730
Jun 03/03 · An indication of the beginning of deterioration - #msg-1069406
Jun 02/03 · Too many of my indicators are very stretched - #msg-1064199
Jun 02/03 · Best candidate [for a low] is the Wednesday of expiry week, or 6/18 - #msg-1062026 #msg-1062138
May 31/03 · 1500 ±20 should serve as very strong support - #msg-1059211
May 30/03 • Back in my bear suit...a 100+ naz points retrenchment - #msg-1056591 #msg-1056875 #msg-1058518
May 28/03 · A top occurs often at a maximum in new highs - #msg-1049155
May 28/03 · Internals point to a bearish stance being still premature here - #msg-1045585
May 27/03 · Volume is expanding, new highs are expanding, new lows are contracting - #msg-1044977
May 27/03 · I fear we do mild retrenchments and the dips are bought for now - #msg-1044483
May 23/03 · Most likely model has 1465 holding on retrenches for a little while at least - #msg-1036744
May 22/03 · Right now the nassacre is off the table - #msg-1034529 #msg-1034538
May 21/03 · No expansion of new lows, a temporary bullish sign - #msg-1026974
May 21/03 · Tomorrow and Friday up, next Tuesday or Wednesday as the top - #msg-1026880 #msg-1029707
May 20/03 · A short term relapse that should be over by tomorrow - #msg-1025407 #msg-1025426
May 19/03 · Right now, I have no choice but to stay neutral - #msg-1021506
May 19/03 · Wednesday, a bottoming action and going up into Friday - #msg-1019687
May 16/03 · A tentative top next Wednesday - #msg-1012249
May 15/03 · A bear call is still a little premature - #msg-1008521
May 12/03 · Nasdaq, a new four month high, holding above the 200 EMA - #msg-994866
May 10/03 · Equity P/C ratio - #msg-992402 #msg-992623
May 09/03 · Here at 1520 the new highs are disappointing - #msg-990878
May 09/03 · Still think there is a higher likelihood that this move will fail - #msg-989059
May 08/03 · Right now I have possible bounces from 1465 and 1414 - #msg-985665
May 07/03 · Indices and number of new highs, equity put/call ratio, BPCOMPQ - #msg-984980 #msg-985029
May 07/03 · Very unusual for a bear market to end with lack of negative extremes - #msg-984585
May 04/03 · Change back to full fledge bear requires 1391 to be breached - #msg-975089
May 04/03 · It is still not worth changing the neutral position - #msg-974628
May 04/03 • I have not turned bullish, but I am now neutral - #msg-974596
May 04/03 · First retrenchment will probably be bought with a "vengeance" - #msg-974145
May 04/03 · Quite possible to have a blow off followed by a major decline - #msg-974047
May 02/03 · Stay away from the chips, I see them relapsing more than other sectors - #msg-972647
May 02/03 • May/June major decline postulated earlier got annulled - #msg-972578 #msg-972649
Apr 30/03 · The last times we had such a stellar month, it was followed by disaster - #msg-964928
Apr 29/03 · We are still under the "to the hills flag" - #msg-961944 #msg-962033
Apr 26/03 · If 1391 is breached, two very strong down weeks to follow - #msg-952523
Apr 25/03 · If 1432 does not hold, next bounce range is from around 1414 - #msg-951616
Apr 24/03 · July bottom was modified a short while ago to 1081 nominal - #msg-947647 See #msg-932539
Apr 24/03 · May take few weeks until the setup for a waterfall - #msg-947608
Apr 23/03 · If we do not breach 1390 and we continue to have improved internals... - #msg-945553
Apr 23/03 · The test will probably be holding 1390 on any retrenchment - #msg-945266
Apr 23/03 · A low in mid to late July with a possible retest in early October - #msg-944706
Apr 23/03 · Still have a major retrenchment to just under 1100 by mid July - #msg-943349 #msg-943459
Apr 22/03 · Still do not like the "colors" of this advance - #msg-940648
Apr 18/03 · I doubt that an expansion is going to happen - #msg-932519
Apr 18/03 · RSI on the BPCOMPQ well into bearish territory - #msg-932180
Apr 17/03 · A string of three consecutive down days soon here - #msg-930808
Apr 17/03 · Stretched as can be with stinking internals - #msg-929996 #msg-930781
Apr 16/03 · Once 1330 is taken out, it will be a waterfall - #msg-927261
Apr 15/03 · A slightly protracted period of grinding nowhere - #msg-924062
Apr 15/03 · This week, a range of 1360-1400 - #msg-922351
Apr 14/03 · The resolution, IMTO will be down - #msg-920461
Apr 12/03 · Breaking 1330 before this earning season is over - #msg-917402
Apr 12/03 · Staying with the timing of the Jan 25 scenario - #msg-917155
Apr 10/03 · I think we are being set up for a major decline - #msg-912910 #msg-912933
Apr 09/03 · Nazdaq in a range of 1330-1400 - #msg-910704 #msg-910971 (range correction) #msg-911329
Apr 09/03 · 1330, while a support, will falter rapidly - #msg-909835
Apr 08/03 · Once we break the 1375/80 or so area, I think we will break fast - #msg-906903
Apr 06/03 · For another two weeks or so we are probably in a trading range - #msg-900147
Apr 05/03 · Possibility of a cyclical bull - #msg-899283
Apr 03/03 · The internals are not strengthening that much - #msg-893649 #msg-893748
Apr 02/03 · Still have a breach of 1330 sometime this month - #msg-890966
Apr 02/03 · Volume and new high indicators are double edged sword - #msg-890115
Apr 02/03 · Rally looks better, new highs expanding - #msg-889225 #msg-889418 #msg-889837
Apr 02/03 · Real resistance is probably a little higher than 1400 - #msg-889171
Apr 01/03 · A grinding decline to the 1290/1300 area - #msg-887244 #msg-887286
Mar 31/03 · Between 1330 and 1370 - #msg-884086 #msg-884149
Mar 31/03 · Later in the week, the turnips have 1330 taken out - #msg-882399
Mar 31/03 · 1330/50 is still a bounce area - #msg-881663
Mar 29/03 · Positive elements are outweighed by many negative developments - #msg-879591
Mar 27/03 · Still have a "need" to see a first test of the 1330/50 area - #msg-875915
Mar 26/03 · Before the end of the week we will test 1330/50 area - #msg-872761
Mar 25/03 · The technical underpinnings of the recent run are poor - #msg-870615
Mar 25/03 · 1400 on the Naz as a potential mini barrier - #msg-869078
Mar 24/03 · A mild bump up from the 1330/50 area - #msg-867620
Mar 21/03 · The secular bear is far from over, IMTO - #msg-861993
Mar 21/03 · We are smack into the the January highs here - #msg-861541
Mar 21/03 · Danger for the bulls - #msg-860148
Mar 21/03 · The leadership is still poor - #msg-859260
Mar 20/03 · 1420/1440 area could be the target - #msg-858717
Mar 19/03 · The quality of the move is so bad and so thin - #msg-854900
Mar 19/03 · First bounce on the Naz should be in the 1330/40 area - #msg-854663
Mar 19/03 · New highs have not reached Febraury levels - #msg-852632
Mar 18/03 · Very short term we are due for a severe relapse - #msg-848998
Mar 17/03 · Sign of a cyclical bull - #msg-848728
Mar 17/03 · Expecting a low sometime in May - #msg-848081
Mar 17/03 · Still think that this bear is far from dead - #msg-848058
Mar 17/03 · You rarely get a major move without a solid capitulation - #msg-847424
Mar 15/03 · Results of the second quarter could result in strong Summer rally - #msg-842660
Mar 15/03 · A major bear, within that we get runs to the 200 DMA - #msg-842629 #msg-842645
Mar 15/03 · Nassacre is alive and well and now we should go into Phase II - #msg-842385
Mar 15/03 • We finished the first phase of this Nassacre last Wednesday - #msg-842045
Mar 14/03 · The hall mark of a turn is that the internals improve - #msg-840428 #msg-842021
Mar 14/03 · Bear suit still fully zipped - #msg-840394
Mar 14/03 · Expecting a close repeat of the late February chart - #msg-838497
Mar 14/03 · We may be looking at phase II - #msg-838462
Mar 13/03 · Without a GNT, there is no real bottom - #msg-837223
Mar 13/03 · I think that like late last month, this will prove to be distributory - #msg-837197
Mar 13/03 · A very dangerous market and my bear suit is fully zipped - #msg-835956
Mar 13/03 · By this time next week, we should be safely under 1260 - #msg-835255 #msg-836445
Mar 13/03 · No reason to remove bear suit - #msg-834688 #msg-835188
Mar 12/03 · Too late to engage in heavy shorting or put buying - #msg-833671
Mar 12/03 · We are not ready yet for more than a bounce to 1292/1302 - #msg-833592
Mar 12/03 · Either a two day ramp to 1292, or a breach of 1260 - #msg-831622
Mar 11/03 · Resistance most likely at 1292, maybe above 1300 - #msg-830992
Mar 10/03 · First support 1280, next support 1260/63 area - #msg-825751
Mar 08/03 · When war starts, a large bump which is heavily sold - #msg-822764
Mar 07/03 · 1292 and lower next week - #msg-820418
Mar 07/03 · If 1292 holds, a small bounce could occur - #msg-819122
Mar 06/03 · Surviving the emotions of trading - #msg-818571
Mar 05/03 · Apart from the delays, we are following the schedule - #msg-813989
Mar 04/03 · By late Thursday, any ramp started tomorrow will dissipate - #msg-812413
Mar 04/03 · Tomorrow...mild up day...resumption of the decline - #msg-810798
Mar 03/03 · A mild turn back up Wednesday afternoon - #msg-808219
Mar 03/03 · Think we will at least visit sub 1300 territory this week - #msg-808208
Mar 02/03 · Market behaving worse than mid January, post the 1/6 call - #msg-805950
Feb 28/03 · Could continue this distribution for another week - #msg-803388
Feb 28/03 • Extremely dangerous level here; reiterate "run to the hills" - #msg-802739
Feb 27/03 · Attack on Iraq could be delayed until close to April - #msg-800746
Feb 27/03 · Still in a very dangerous area here on the Naz - #msg-800400
Feb 25/03 · The great majority of the technical indicators are still bearish - #msg-794954
Feb 25/03 · Phase I may not have more than a week to 2½ to go - #msg-794927
Feb 25/03 · Not bullish here yet - #msg-794876
Feb 23/03 · Maybe we are now in the early March 2-3 week run - #msg-788682
Feb 23/03 · We often get these false breakouts - #msg-788657
Feb 23/03 · Could easily drop more than 25 on the Naz tomorrow - #msg-788430
Feb 23/03 · After mid-year, the surprise could be a cyclical bull move - #msg-788375
Feb 22/03 · End of Phase I is still 1197/1223 - #msg-787342
Feb 22/03 · IMTO, this is a classic bull trap - #msg-786780
Feb 20/03 · By the end of next week, we should be in full retreat - #msg-781704
Feb 19/03 · Just an oversold relief run - #msg-776993
Feb 18/03 · I think that by the end of the day tomorrow we will be red - #msg-775342
Feb 18/03 · How can one turn bullish? IMTO, it is a trap - #msg-775293
Feb 17/03 · Bear suit still fully zipped - #msg-772918
Feb 17/03 · Bet is that tomorrow we get our traditional G&C - #msg-772059
Feb 15/03 · Bet is that we are turned back from the 1321/35 area - #msg-768059
Feb 14/03 · By the end of the month we should be testing 1197/1223 - #msg-766889
Feb 14/03 · We have not had excess pessimism - #msg-765528
Feb 13/03 · The early March bounce topped at 1327 - #msg-764223
Feb 12/03 · The low 1200s will be reserved for later this month - #msg-760470
Feb 11/03 · Now 1263 will be less of an obstacle to additional declines - #msg-756957
Feb 10/03 · We need 3 phases: complacency, concern, panic selling - #msg-753915
Feb 10/03 · Options expiration, precipitous decline, breach of today's low - #msg-753579
Feb 10/03 · No end in sight until sentiment indicators blow - #msg-753274
Feb 10/03 · 1312 is possible - #msg-753176
Feb 10/03 · I think we continue lower than 1275 - #msg-752907
Feb 10/03 · Dark siders are back in the driver seat - #msg-752529
Feb 06/03 · At least another 80 Naz points before first leg done - #msg-743382
Feb 05/03 · Low opening seems to be the path of least resistance now - #msg-740615
Feb 05/03 · We are not even close to a turning point - #msg-740370
Feb 05/03 · Sox is already failing to make a new HOD - #msg-738755
Feb 05/03 · Running into top of the box, fear we will be hit hard after that - #msg-738695
Feb 05/03 · Top of the box is still 1332 ± 5 - #msg-737722
Feb 03/03 · Expecting a bounce from 1263 - #msg-733246
Feb 03/03 · More pain is due - #msg-733033
Feb 03/03 · 1332 ± 5 will serve as strong resistance - #msg-731598
Feb 03/03 · Still calling for sub 1300 before the week is out - #msg-731274
Jan 31/03 · A red close on the Naz and under 1300 by next week - #msg-726227
Jan 30/03 · By the end of next week, 1300 will be kissed "good bye" - #msg-724032
Jan 30/03 · Tomorrow might be a good time to get out of weak longs - #msg-723740
Jan 30/03 · We are still in a major downtrend - #msg-722458
Jan 29/03 · Using the equity P/C ratio - #msg-720389
Jan 29/03 · Still have that 1377 as the barrier here - #msg-719278
Jan 28/03 · VIX collapsed today, we may not reach bottom of 1357/77 - #msg-716112
Jan 26/03 • Dow hit list for 2003 - #msg-710613
Jan 26/03 · Breach 1327, then an anemic bounce to 1357/77 - #msg-710582
Jan 25/03 • New tentative schedule for the next five/six months - #msg-708849
Jan 25/03 · Target for the Dow first leg down was already exceeded - #msg-708735
Jan 24/03 · Now well into completing the first leg of the Nassacre - #msg-706195
Jan 23/03 · Each stock has its own ideal entry (on the dark side) - #msg-704222
Jan 23/03 · The window is open until about next Wednesday - #msg-703463 #msg-703478
Jan 23/03 · Strong Naz day...just an anemic bounce - #msg-703292
Jan 22/03 · Still expect a bounce back to just under 1400 - #msg-700192
Jan 22/03 · Expect a run to 1391/7 with a possible max at 1414 - #msg-698686
Jan 21/03 · Equity P/C ratio at .42; extremely bearish - #msg-696553
Jan 21/03 · A turn tomorrow maybe to the 1391/7 area - #msg-696433
Jan 19/03 · 1391/7 will be a very strong overhead resistance - #msg-691142
Jan 18/03 · This year, Nasdaq from 1521 down to around 950 - #msg-689755
Jan 18/03 · Bottom of the first leg lowered to 1198/1223 - #msg-689476
Jan 18/03 · A bounce before we continue this first leg down - #msg-689373
Jan 17/03 · Resuming the first leg of a major decline - #msg-686497
Jan 16/03 · BTK - #msg-685638 #msg-685666 #msg-686505
Jan 15/03 · Within two months, 1263 and maybe lower - #msg-681069
Jan 14/03 · Staggered retreat with some SOX companies still climbing - #msg-679170
Jan 14/03 · "Run for the Hills" stands - #msg-678044
Jan 12/03 · We may still reach just above 1500 on the Nasdaq - #msg-672791
Jan 10/03 · End of day: Still in bear suit; out with 68% cash - #msg-669945
Jan 10/03 · If we close above 1447, "run to the hills" is cancelled - #msg-668918
Jan 10/03 · Don't have us going past 1520 - #msg-668901
Jan 10/03 · Short term now calls for a neutral to bearish stance - #msg-668371
Jan 09/03 · Reiterating "Run for the Hills" call here - #msg-665700
Jan 09/03 · Expecting 1447 to hold as a top - #msg-665399
Jan 08/03 · Minor double top of 1447, possibly next week - #msg-662286
Jan 06/03 • Dividend taxation; no economic stimulus impact - #msg-658687
Jan 06/03 · Take about 100 Naz points off each of the targets - #msg-658572
Jan 06/03 · This run was extremely underwhelming - #msg-657702
Jan 06/03 · The risk is too high here - #msg-657407
Jan 06/03 • Here at 1424, the turnips are issuing a "To the hills call" - #msg-657325
Jan 06/03 · January rally may stall badly here - #msg-657151
Jan 04/03 · If volume picks up early next week, we should be doing fine - #msg-653236
Jan 04/03 · First battle probably 1391/7, then 1426 - #msg-653062
Jan 04/03 · In risk averse environment, money goes to Dow stocks - #msg-652969
Jan 01/03 • Forecast for first half of 2003 - #msg-647289
Dec 31/02 · Lack of conviction on the sell side - #msg-646388
Dec 31/02 · No 'run for the hills'; staying with low cash position - #msg-645731
Dec 30/02 · 1391/7 probably a barrier to any advance - #msg-644348 #msg-644297
Dec 28/02 · Still think seasonal influences will reestablish themselves - #msg-641639
Dec 27/02 · Still sticking to the seasonal theme of expected strength - #msg-640961
Dec 27/02 · Nasdaq at 1347, but new lows only hit 45 - #msg-640734
Dec 26/02 · Review of Nov-Jan forecasts; still bullish here - #msg-639614
Dec 26/02 · Pre invasion run, post invasion relapse - #msg-639193
Dec 25/02 · Reducing the January high to 1550 - #msg-638162
Dec 25/02 · Still expect mild bullish trend - #msg-638161
Dec 23/02 · A solid week behind schedule - #msg-636861
Dec 23/02 · Still expecting seasonal strength until January - #msg-636638
Dec 23/02 · Not as bullish here - #msg-636623
Dec 21/02 · Don't get too bearish here - #msg-634492
Dec 21/02 · Expecting a a short term run in the SOX - SI #reply-18361963
Dec 19/02 · Still quite bullish - #msg-631960
Dec 19/02 · Should run hard into the end of the year - #msg-631451
Dec 19/02 · After this week, party should start - #msg-631082
Dec 14/02 · Not going into a 1929 depression - #msg-624925
Dec 14/02 • Quite bullish for the next 4 weeks - #msg-624829
Dec 14/02 · Probably the end of the down move - #msg-624596
Dec 13/02 · Prior tops of significance - #msg-624115
Dec 13/02 · Sept 11/02 top (1347) is major line in the sand - #msg-624043
Dec 12/02 · May close above 1470 next week - #msg-622016
Dec 12/02 · Meandering next week as well - #msg-621945
Dec 09/02 · No major move up until next week - #msg-617611
Dec 09/02 · Next week mostly up - #msg-616871
Dec 09/02 · Very bullish stance here - #msg-616495
Dec 07/02 • Forecast for first half of 2003 - #msg-614572
Dec 07/02 · Not the time to short - #msg-614538
Dec 05/02 · Bullish here around 1400 on the Naz - #msg-611879
Dec 04/02 · Still expect backing and filling - #msg-610086
Dec 04/02 · Donning not so shiny pair of horns - #msg-609508
Dec 04/02 · 1378 is the next target - #msg-609399
Dec 03/02 · First two weeks of December - #msg-607798
Nov 30/02 · Possibility of 1940 high next year - #msg-602499
Nov 25/02 • Next 7 weeks II - #msg-598082
Nov 24/02 • Next 7 weeks I - #msg-595913
Nov 23/02 · SOX target of 184 in next six to nine months - SI #reply-18268199
Nov 02/02 · Expecting a retrenchment in the semis - SI #reply-18187796
Oct 10/02 · Expecting a strong move in the semis - SI #reply-18100366
Sep 07/02 • 950 target for the bottom - #msg-491054
Jan 27/02 • Forecasted turning points since early 2000 - SI #reply-16967797
Dec 29/01 • Market scenario for 2002 (long post) - SI #reply-16842549
Apr 23/00 • Prediction of bear market - SI #reply-13483082
Earlier posts from 2000-2002 - SI #reply-18338762
A few posts from the turnip patch (#board-1125).
April 2000 - May 2003.
May 31/03 · 1500 ±20 should serve as very strong support - #msg-1059211
May 30/03 • Back in my bear suit...a 100+ naz points retrenchment - #msg-1056591 #msg-1056875 #msg-1058518
May 28/03 · A top occurs often at a maximum in new highs - #msg-1049155
May 28/03 · Internals point to a bearish stance being still premature here - #msg-1045585
May 27/03 · Volume is expanding, new highs are expanding, new lows are contracting - #msg-1044977
May 27/03 · I fear we do mild retrenchments and the dips are bought for now - #msg-1044483
May 23/03 · Most likely model has 1465 holding on retrenches for a little while at least - #msg-1036744
May 22/03 · Right now the nassacre is off the table - #msg-1034529 #msg-1034538
May 21/03 · No expansion of new lows, a temporary bullish sign - #msg-1026974
May 21/03 · Tomorrow and Friday up, next Tuesday or Wednesday as the top - #msg-1026880 #msg-1029707
May 20/03 · A short term relapse that should be over by tomorrow - #msg-1025407 #msg-1025426
May 19/03 · Right now, I have no choice but to stay neutral - #msg-1021506
May 19/03 · Wednesday, a bottoming action and going up into Friday - #msg-1019687
May 16/03 · A tentative top next Wednesday - #msg-1012249
May 15/03 · A bear call is still a little premature - #msg-1008521
May 12/03 · Nasdaq, a new four month high, holding above the 200 EMA - #msg-994866
May 10/03 · Equity P/C ratio - #msg-992402 #msg-992623
May 09/03 · Here at 1520 the new highs are disappointing - #msg-990878
May 09/03 · Still think there is a higher likelihood that this move will fail - #msg-989059
May 08/03 · Right now I have possible bounces from 1465 and 1414 - #msg-985665
May 07/03 · Indices and number of new highs, equity put/call ratio, BPCOMPQ - #msg-984980 #msg-985029
May 07/03 · Very unusual for a bear market to end with lack of negative extremes - #msg-984585
May 04/03 · Change back to full fledge bear requires 1391 to be breached - #msg-975089
May 04/03 · It is still not worth changing the neutral position - #msg-974628
May 04/03 • I have not turned bullish, but I am now neutral - #msg-974596
May 04/03 · First retrenchment will probably be bought with a "vengeance" - #msg-974145
May 04/03 · Quite possible to have a blow off followed by a major decline - #msg-974047
May 02/03 · Stay away from the chips, I see them relapsing more than other sectors - #msg-972647
May 02/03 • May/June major decline postulated earlier got annulled - #msg-972578 #msg-972649
Apr 30/03 · The last times we had such a stellar month, it was followed by disaster - #msg-964928
Apr 29/03 · We are still under the "to the hills flag" - #msg-961944 #msg-962033
Apr 26/03 · If 1391 is breached, two very strong down weeks to follow - #msg-952523
Apr 25/03 · If 1432 does not hold, next bounce range is from around 1414 - #msg-951616
Apr 24/03 · July bottom was modified a short while ago to 1081 nominal - #msg-947647 See #msg-932539
Apr 24/03 · May take few weeks until the setup for a waterfall - #msg-947608
Apr 23/03 · If we do not breach 1390 and we continue to have improved internals... - #msg-945553
Apr 23/03 · The test will probably be holding 1390 on any retrenchment - #msg-945266
Apr 23/03 · A low in mid to late July with a possible retest in early October - #msg-944706
Apr 23/03 · Still have a major retrenchment to just under 1100 by mid July - #msg-943349 #msg-943459
Apr 22/03 · Still do not like the "colors" of this advance - #msg-940648
Apr 18/03 · I doubt that an expansion is going to happen - #msg-932519
Apr 18/03 · RSI on the BPCOMPQ well into bearish territory - #msg-932180
Apr 17/03 · A string of three consecutive down days soon here - #msg-930808
Apr 17/03 · Stretched as can be with stinking internals - #msg-929996 #msg-930781
Apr 16/03 · Once 1330 is taken out, it will be a waterfall - #msg-927261
Apr 15/03 · A slightly protracted period of grinding nowhere - #msg-924062
Apr 15/03 · This week, a range of 1360-1400 - #msg-922351
Apr 14/03 · The resolution, IMTO will be down - #msg-920461
Apr 12/03 · Breaking 1330 before this earning season is over - #msg-917402
Apr 12/03 · Staying with the timing of the Jan 25 scenario - #msg-917155
Apr 10/03 · I think we are being set up for a major decline - #msg-912910 #msg-912933
Apr 09/03 · Nazdaq in a range of 1330-1400 - #msg-910704 #msg-910971 (range correction) #msg-911329
Apr 09/03 · 1330, while a support, will falter rapidly - #msg-909835
Apr 08/03 · Once we break the 1375/80 or so area, I think we will break fast - #msg-906903
Apr 06/03 · For another two weeks or so we are probably in a trading range - #msg-900147
Apr 05/03 · Possibility of a cyclical bull - #msg-899283
Apr 03/03 · The internals are not strengthening that much - #msg-893649 #msg-893748
Apr 02/03 · Still have a breach of 1330 sometime this month - #msg-890966
Apr 02/03 · Volume and new high indicators are double edged sword - #msg-890115
Apr 02/03 · Rally looks better, new highs expanding - #msg-889225 #msg-889418 #msg-889837
Apr 02/03 · Real resistance is probably a little higher than 1400 - #msg-889171
Apr 01/03 · A grinding decline to the 1290/1300 area - #msg-887244 #msg-887286
Mar 31/03 · Between 1330 and 1370 - #msg-884086 #msg-884149
Mar 31/03 · Later in the week, the turnips have 1330 taken out - #msg-882399
Mar 31/03 · 1330/50 is still a bounce area - #msg-881663
Mar 29/03 · Positive elements are outweighed by many negative developments - #msg-879591
Mar 27/03 · Still have a "need" to see a first test of the 1330/50 area - #msg-875915
Mar 26/03 · Before the end of the week we will test 1330/50 area - #msg-872761
Mar 25/03 · The technical underpinnings of the recent run are poor - #msg-870615
Mar 25/03 · 1400 on the Naz as a potential mini barrier - #msg-869078
Mar 24/03 · A mild bump up from the 1330/50 area - #msg-867620
Mar 21/03 · The secular bear is far from over, IMTO - #msg-861993
Mar 21/03 · We are smack into the the January highs here - #msg-861541
Mar 21/03 · Danger for the bulls - #msg-860148
Mar 21/03 · The leadership is still poor - #msg-859260
Mar 20/03 · 1420/1440 area could be the target - #msg-858717
Mar 19/03 · The quality of the move is so bad and so thin - #msg-854900
Mar 19/03 · First bounce on the Naz should be in the 1330/40 area - #msg-854663
Mar 19/03 · New highs have not reached Febraury levels - #msg-852632
Mar 18/03 · Very short term we are due for a severe relapse - #msg-848998
Mar 17/03 · Sign of a cyclical bull - #msg-848728
Mar 17/03 · Expecting a low sometime in May - #msg-848081
Mar 17/03 · Still think that this bear is far from dead - #msg-848058
Mar 17/03 · You rarely get a major move without a solid capitulation - #msg-847424
Mar 15/03 · Results of the second quarter could result in strong Summer rally - #msg-842660
Mar 15/03 · A major bear, within that we get runs to the 200 DMA - #msg-842629 #msg-842645
Mar 15/03 · Nassacre is alive and well and now we should go into Phase II - #msg-842385
Mar 15/03 • We finished the first phase of this Nassacre last Wednesday - #msg-842045
Mar 14/03 · The hall mark of a turn is that the internals improve - #msg-840428 #msg-842021
Mar 14/03 · Bear suit still fully zipped - #msg-840394
Mar 14/03 · Expecting a close repeat of the late February chart - #msg-838497
Mar 14/03 · We may be looking at phase II - #msg-838462
Mar 13/03 · Without a GNT, there is no real bottom - #msg-837223
Mar 13/03 · I think that like late last month, this will prove to be distributory - #msg-837197
Mar 13/03 · A very dangerous market and my bear suit is fully zipped - #msg-835956
Mar 13/03 · By this time next week, we should be safely under 1260 - #msg-835255 #msg-836445
Mar 13/03 · No reason to remove bear suit - #msg-834688 #msg-835188
Mar 12/03 · Too late to engage in heavy shorting or put buying - #msg-833671
Mar 12/03 · We are not ready yet for more than a bounce to 1292/1302 - #msg-833592
Mar 12/03 · Either a two day ramp to 1292, or a breach of 1260 - #msg-831622
Mar 11/03 · Resistance most likely at 1292, maybe above 1300 - #msg-830992
Mar 10/03 · First support 1280, next support 1260/63 area - #msg-825751
Mar 08/03 · When war starts, a large bump which is heavily sold - #msg-822764
Mar 07/03 · 1292 and lower next week - #msg-820418
Mar 07/03 · If 1292 holds, a small bounce could occur - #msg-819122
Mar 06/03 · Surviving the emotions of trading - #msg-818571
Mar 05/03 · Apart from the delays, we are following the schedule - #msg-813989
Mar 04/03 · By late Thursday, any ramp started tomorrow will dissipate - #msg-812413
Mar 04/03 · Tomorrow...mild up day...resumption of the decline - #msg-810798
Mar 03/03 · A mild turn back up Wednesday afternoon - #msg-808219
Mar 03/03 · Think we will at least visit sub 1300 territory this week - #msg-808208
Mar 02/03 · Market behaving worse than mid January, post the 1/6 call - #msg-805950
Feb 28/03 · Could continue this distribution for another week - #msg-803388
Feb 28/03 • Extremely dangerous level here; reiterate "run to the hills" - #msg-802739
Feb 27/03 · Attack on Iraq could be delayed until close to April - #msg-800746
Feb 27/03 · Still in a very dangerous area here on the Naz - #msg-800400
Feb 25/03 · The great majority of the technical indicators are still bearish - #msg-794954
Feb 25/03 · Phase I may not have more than a week to 2½ to go - #msg-794927
Feb 25/03 · Not bullish here yet - #msg-794876
Feb 23/03 · Maybe we are now in the early March 2-3 week run - #msg-788682
Feb 23/03 · We often get these false breakouts - #msg-788657
Feb 23/03 · Could easily drop more than 25 on the Naz tomorrow - #msg-788430
Feb 23/03 · After mid-year, the surprise could be a cyclical bull move - #msg-788375
Feb 22/03 · End of Phase I is still 1197/1223 - #msg-787342
Feb 22/03 · IMTO, this is a classic bull trap - #msg-786780
Feb 20/03 · By the end of next week, we should be in full retreat - #msg-781704
Feb 19/03 · Just an oversold relief run - #msg-776993
Feb 18/03 · I think that by the end of the day tomorrow we will be red - #msg-775342
Feb 18/03 · How can one turn bullish? IMTO, it is a trap - #msg-775293
Feb 17/03 · Bear suit still fully zipped - #msg-772918
Feb 17/03 · Bet is that tomorrow we get our traditional G&C - #msg-772059
Feb 15/03 · Bet is that we are turned back from the 1321/35 area - #msg-768059
Feb 14/03 · By the end of the month we should be testing 1197/1223 - #msg-766889
Feb 14/03 · We have not had excess pessimism - #msg-765528
Feb 13/03 · The early March bounce topped at 1327 - #msg-764223
Feb 12/03 · The low 1200s will be reserved for later this month - #msg-760470
Feb 11/03 · Now 1263 will be less of an obstacle to additional declines - #msg-756957
Feb 10/03 · We need 3 phases: complacency, concern, panic selling - #msg-753915
Feb 10/03 · Options expiration, precipitous decline, breach of today's low - #msg-753579
Feb 10/03 · No end in sight until sentiment indicators blow - #msg-753274
Feb 10/03 · 1312 is possible - #msg-753176
Feb 10/03 · I think we continue lower than 1275 - #msg-752907
Feb 10/03 · Dark siders are back in the driver seat - #msg-752529
Feb 06/03 · At least another 80 Naz points before first leg done - #msg-743382
Feb 05/03 · Low opening seems to be the path of least resistance now - #msg-740615
Feb 05/03 · We are not even close to a turning point - #msg-740370
Feb 05/03 · Sox is already failing to make a new HOD - #msg-738755
Feb 05/03 · Running into top of the box, fear we will be hit hard after that - #msg-738695
Feb 05/03 · Top of the box is still 1332 ± 5 - #msg-737722
Feb 03/03 · Expecting a bounce from 1263 - #msg-733246
Feb 03/03 · More pain is due - #msg-733033
Feb 03/03 · 1332 ± 5 will serve as strong resistance - #msg-731598
Feb 03/03 · Still calling for sub 1300 before the week is out - #msg-731274
Jan 31/03 · A red close on the Naz and under 1300 by next week - #msg-726227
Jan 30/03 · By the end of next week, 1300 will be kissed "good bye" - #msg-724032
Jan 30/03 · Tomorrow might be a good time to get out of weak longs - #msg-723740
Jan 30/03 · We are still in a major downtrend - #msg-722458
Jan 29/03 · Using the equity P/C ratio - #msg-720389
Jan 29/03 · Still have that 1377 as the barrier here - #msg-719278
Jan 28/03 · VIX collapsed today, we may not reach bottom of 1357/77 - #msg-716112
Jan 26/03 • Dow hit list for 2003 - #msg-710613
Jan 26/03 · Breach 1327, then an anemic bounce to 1357/77 - #msg-710582
Jan 25/03 • New tentative schedule for the next five/six months - #msg-708849
Jan 25/03 · Target for the Dow first leg down was already exceeded - #msg-708735
Jan 24/03 · Now well into completing the first leg of the Nassacre - #msg-706195
Jan 23/03 · Each stock has its own ideal entry (on the dark side) - #msg-704222
Jan 23/03 · The window is open until about next Wednesday - #msg-703463 #msg-703478
Jan 23/03 · Strong Naz day...just an anemic bounce - #msg-703292
Jan 22/03 · Still expect a bounce back to just under 1400 - #msg-700192
Jan 22/03 · Expect a run to 1391/7 with a possible max at 1414 - #msg-698686
Jan 21/03 · Equity P/C ratio at .42; extremely bearish - #msg-696553
Jan 21/03 · A turn tomorrow maybe to the 1391/7 area - #msg-696433
Jan 19/03 · 1391/7 will be a very strong overhead resistance - #msg-691142
Jan 18/03 · This year, Nasdaq from 1521 down to around 950 - #msg-689755
Jan 18/03 · Bottom of the first leg lowered to 1198/1223 - #msg-689476
Jan 18/03 · A bounce before we continue this first leg down - #msg-689373
Jan 17/03 · Resuming the first leg of a major decline - #msg-686497
Jan 16/03 · BTK - #msg-685638 #msg-685666 #msg-686505
Jan 15/03 · Within two months, 1263 and maybe lower - #msg-681069
Jan 14/03 · Staggered retreat with some SOX companies still climbing - #msg-679170
Jan 14/03 · "Run for the Hills" stands - #msg-678044
Jan 12/03 · We may still reach just above 1500 on the Nasdaq - #msg-672791
Jan 10/03 · End of day: Still in bear suit; out with 68% cash - #msg-669945
Jan 10/03 · If we close above 1447, "run to the hills" is cancelled - #msg-668918
Jan 10/03 · Don't have us going past 1520 - #msg-668901
Jan 10/03 · Short term now calls for a neutral to bearish stance - #msg-668371
Jan 09/03 · Reiterating "Run for the Hills" call here - #msg-665700
Jan 09/03 · Expecting 1447 to hold as a top - #msg-665399
Jan 08/03 · Minor double top of 1447, possibly next week - #msg-662286
Jan 06/03 • Dividend taxation; no economic stimulus impact - #msg-658687
Jan 06/03 · Take about 100 Naz points off each of the targets - #msg-658572
Jan 06/03 · This run was extremely underwhelming - #msg-657702
Jan 06/03 · The risk is too high here - #msg-657407
Jan 06/03 • Here at 1424, the turnips are issuing a "To the hills call" - #msg-657325
Jan 06/03 · January rally may stall badly here - #msg-657151
Jan 04/03 · If volume picks up early next week, we should be doing fine - #msg-653236
Jan 04/03 · First battle probably 1391/7, then 1426 - #msg-653062
Jan 04/03 · In risk averse environment, money goes to Dow stocks - #msg-652969
Jan 01/03 • Forecast for first half of 2003 - #msg-647289
Dec 31/02 · Lack of conviction on the sell side - #msg-646388
Dec 31/02 · No 'run for the hills'; staying with low cash position - #msg-645731
Dec 30/02 · 1391/7 probably a barrier to any advance - #msg-644348 #msg-644297
Dec 28/02 · Still think seasonal influences will reestablish themselves - #msg-641639
Dec 27/02 · Still sticking to the seasonal theme of expected strength - #msg-640961
Dec 27/02 · Nasdaq at 1347, but new lows only hit 45 - #msg-640734
Dec 26/02 · Review of Nov-Jan forecasts; still bullish here - #msg-639614
Dec 26/02 · Pre invasion run, post invasion relapse - #msg-639193
Dec 25/02 · Reducing the January high to 1550 - #msg-638162
Dec 25/02 · Still expect mild bullish trend - #msg-638161
Dec 23/02 · A solid week behind schedule - #msg-636861
Dec 23/02 · Still expecting seasonal strength until January - #msg-636638
Dec 23/02 · Not as bullish here - #msg-636623
Dec 21/02 · Don't get too bearish here - #msg-634492
Dec 21/02 · Expecting a a short term run in the SOX - SI #reply-18361963
Dec 19/02 · Still quite bullish - #msg-631960
Dec 19/02 · Should run hard into the end of the year - #msg-631451
Dec 19/02 · After this week, party should start - #msg-631082
Dec 14/02 · Not going into a 1929 depression - #msg-624925
Dec 14/02 • Quite bullish for the next 4 weeks - #msg-624829
Dec 14/02 · Probably the end of the down move - #msg-624596
Dec 13/02 · Prior tops of significance - #msg-624115
Dec 13/02 · Sept 11/02 top (1347) is major line in the sand - #msg-624043
Dec 12/02 · May close above 1470 next week - #msg-622016
Dec 12/02 · Meandering next week as well - #msg-621945
Dec 09/02 · No major move up until next week - #msg-617611
Dec 09/02 · Next week mostly up - #msg-616871
Dec 09/02 · Very bullish stance here - #msg-616495
Dec 07/02 • Forecast for first half of 2003 - #msg-614572
Dec 07/02 · Not the time to short - #msg-614538
Dec 05/02 · Bullish here around 1400 on the Naz - #msg-611879
Dec 04/02 · Still expect backing and filling - #msg-610086
Dec 04/02 · Donning not so shiny pair of horns - #msg-609508
Dec 04/02 · 1378 is the next target - #msg-609399
Dec 03/02 · First two weeks of December - #msg-607798
Nov 30/02 · Possibility of 1940 high next year - #msg-602499
Nov 25/02 • Next 7 weeks II - #msg-598082
Nov 24/02 • Next 7 weeks I - #msg-595913
Nov 23/02 · SOX target of 184 in next six to nine months - SI #reply-18268199
Nov 02/02 · Expecting a retrenchment in the semis - SI #reply-18187796
Oct 10/02 · Expecting a strong move in the semis - SI #reply-18100366
Sep 07/02 • 950 target for the bottom - #msg-491054
Jan 27/02 • Forecasted turning points since early 2000 - SI #reply-16967797
Dec 29/01 • Market scenario for 2002 (long post) - SI #reply-16842549
Apr 23/00 • Prediction of bear market - SI #reply-13483082
Earlier posts from 2000-2002 - SI #reply-18338762
A few posts from the turnip patch (#board-1125).
April 2000 - April 2003.
Apr 30/03 · The last times we had such a stellar month, it was followed by disaster - #msg-964928
Apr 29/03 · We are still under the "to the hills flag" - #msg-961944 #msg-962033
Apr 26/03 · If 1391 is breached, two very strong down weeks to follow - #msg-952523
Apr 25/03 · If 1432 does not hold, next bounce range is from around 1414 - #msg-951616
Apr 24/03 · July bottom was modified a short while ago to 1081 nominal - #msg-947647 See #msg-932539
Apr 24/03 · May take few weeks until the setup for a waterfall - #msg-947608
Apr 23/03 · If we do not breach 1390 and we continue to have improved internals... - #msg-945553
Apr 23/03 · The test will probably be holding 1390 on any retrenchment - #msg-945266
Apr 23/03 · A low in mid to late July with a possible retest in early October - #msg-944706
Apr 23/03 · Still have a major retrenchment to just under 1100 by mid July - #msg-943349 #msg-943459
Apr 22/03 · Still do not like the "colors" of this advance - #msg-940648
Apr 18/03 · I doubt that an expansion is going to happen - #msg-932519
Apr 18/03 · RSI on the BPCOMPQ well into bearish territory - #msg-932180
Apr 17/03 · A string of three consecutive down days soon here - #msg-930808
Apr 17/03 · Stretched as can be with stinking internals - #msg-929996 #msg-930781
Apr 16/03 · Once 1330 is taken out, it will be a waterfall - #msg-927261
Apr 15/03 · A slightly protracted period of grinding nowhere - #msg-924062
Apr 15/03 · This week, a range of 1360-1400 - #msg-922351
Apr 14/03 · The resolution, IMTO will be down - #msg-920461
Apr 12/03 · Breaking 1330 before this earning season is over - #msg-917402
Apr 12/03 · Staying with the timing of the Jan 25 scenario - #msg-917155
Apr 10/03 · I think we are being set up for a major decline - #msg-912910 #msg-912933
Apr 09/03 · Nazdaq in a range of 1330-1400 - #msg-910704 #msg-910971 (range correction) #msg-911329
Apr 09/03 · 1330, while a support, will falter rapidly - #msg-909835
Apr 08/03 · Once we break the 1375/80 or so area, I think we will break fast - #msg-906903
Apr 06/03 · For another two weeks or so we are probably in a trading range - #msg-900147
Apr 05/03 · Possibility of a cyclical bull - #msg-899283
Apr 03/03 · The internals are not strengthening that much - #msg-893649 #msg-893748
Apr 02/03 · Still have a breach of 1330 sometime this month - #msg-890966
Apr 02/03 · Volume and new high indicators are double edged sword - #msg-890115
Apr 02/03 · Rally looks better, new highs expanding - #msg-889225 #msg-889418 #msg-889837
Apr 02/03 · Real resistance is probably a little higher than 1400 - #msg-889171
Apr 01/03 · A grinding decline to the 1290/1300 area - #msg-887244 #msg-887286
Mar 31/03 · Between 1330 and 1370 - #msg-884086 #msg-884149
Mar 31/03 · Later in the week, the turnips have 1330 taken out - #msg-882399
Mar 31/03 · 1330/50 is still a bounce area - #msg-881663
Mar 29/03 · Positive elements are outweighed by many negative developments - #msg-879591
Mar 27/03 · Still have a "need" to see a first test of the 1330/50 area - #msg-875915
Mar 26/03 · Before the end of the week we will test 1330/50 area - #msg-872761
Mar 25/03 · The technical underpinnings of the recent run are poor - #msg-870615
Mar 25/03 · 1400 on the Naz as a potential mini barrier - #msg-869078
Mar 24/03 · A mild bump up from the 1330/50 area - #msg-867620
Mar 21/03 · The secular bear is far from over, IMTO - #msg-861993
Mar 21/03 · We are smack into the the January highs here - #msg-861541
Mar 21/03 · Danger for the bulls - #msg-860148
Mar 21/03 · The leadership is still poor - #msg-859260
Mar 20/03 · 1420/1440 area could be the target - #msg-858717
Mar 19/03 · The quality of the move is so bad and so thin - #msg-854900
Mar 19/03 · First bounce on the Naz should be in the 1330/40 area - #msg-854663
Mar 19/03 · New highs have not reached Febraury levels - #msg-852632
Mar 18/03 · Very short term we are due for a severe relapse - #msg-848998
Mar 17/03 · Sign of a cyclical bull - #msg-848728
Mar 17/03 · Expecting a low sometime in May - #msg-848081
Mar 17/03 · Still think that this bear is far from dead - #msg-848058
Mar 17/03 · You rarely get a major move without a solid capitulation - #msg-847424
Mar 15/03 · Results of the second quarter could result in strong Summer rally - #msg-842660
Mar 15/03 · A major bear, within that we get runs to the 200 DMA - #msg-842629 #msg-842645
Mar 15/03 · Nassacre is alive and well and now we should go into Phase II - #msg-842385
Mar 15/03 • We finished the first phase of this Nassacre last Wednesday - #msg-842045
Mar 14/03 · The hall mark of a turn is that the internals improve - #msg-840428 #msg-842021
Mar 14/03 · Bear suit still fully zipped - #msg-840394
Mar 14/03 · Expecting a close repeat of the late February chart - #msg-838497
Mar 14/03 · We may be looking at phase II - #msg-838462
Mar 13/03 · Without a GNT, there is no real bottom - #msg-837223
Mar 13/03 · I think that like late last month, this will prove to be distributory - #msg-837197
Mar 13/03 · A very dangerous market and my bear suit is fully zipped - #msg-835956
Mar 13/03 · By this time next week, we should be safely under 1260 - #msg-835255 #msg-836445
Mar 13/03 · No reason to remove bear suit - #msg-834688 #msg-835188
Mar 12/03 · Too late to engage in heavy shorting or put buying - #msg-833671
Mar 12/03 · We are not ready yet for more than a bounce to 1292/1302 - #msg-833592
Mar 12/03 · Either a two day ramp to 1292, or a breach of 1260 - #msg-831622
Mar 11/03 · Resistance most likely at 1292, maybe above 1300 - #msg-830992
Mar 10/03 · First support 1280, next support 1260/63 area - #msg-825751
Mar 08/03 · When war starts, a large bump which is heavily sold - #msg-822764
Mar 07/03 · 1292 and lower next week - #msg-820418
Mar 07/03 · If 1292 holds, a small bounce could occur - #msg-819122
Mar 06/03 · Surviving the emotions of trading - #msg-818571
Mar 05/03 · Apart from the delays, we are following the schedule - #msg-813989
Mar 04/03 · By late Thursday, any ramp started tomorrow will dissipate - #msg-812413
Mar 04/03 · Tomorrow...mild up day...resumption of the decline - #msg-810798
Mar 03/03 · A mild turn back up Wednesday afternoon - #msg-808219
Mar 03/03 · Think we will at least visit sub 1300 territory this week - #msg-808208
Mar 02/03 · Market behaving worse than mid January, post the 1/6 call - #msg-805950
Feb 28/03 · Could continue this distribution for another week - #msg-803388
Feb 28/03 • Extremely dangerous level here; reiterate "run to the hills" - #msg-802739
Feb 27/03 · Attack on Iraq could be delayed until close to April - #msg-800746
Feb 27/03 · Still in a very dangerous area here on the Naz - #msg-800400
Feb 25/03 · The great majority of the technical indicators are still bearish - #msg-794954
Feb 25/03 · Phase I may not have more than a week to 2½ to go - #msg-794927
Feb 25/03 · Not bullish here yet - #msg-794876
Feb 23/03 · Maybe we are now in the early March 2-3 week run - #msg-788682
Feb 23/03 · We often get these false breakouts - #msg-788657
Feb 23/03 · Could easily drop more than 25 on the Naz tomorrow - #msg-788430
Feb 23/03 · After mid-year, the surprise could be a cyclical bull move - #msg-788375
Feb 22/03 · End of Phase I is still 1197/1223 - #msg-787342
Feb 22/03 · IMTO, this is a classic bull trap - #msg-786780
Feb 20/03 · By the end of next week, we should be in full retreat - #msg-781704
Feb 19/03 · Just an oversold relief run - #msg-776993
Feb 18/03 · I think that by the end of the day tomorrow we will be red - #msg-775342
Feb 18/03 · How can one turn bullish? IMTO, it is a trap - #msg-775293
Feb 17/03 · Bear suit still fully zipped - #msg-772918
Feb 17/03 · Bet is that tomorrow we get our traditional G&C - #msg-772059
Feb 15/03 · Bet is that we are turned back from the 1321/35 area - #msg-768059
Feb 14/03 · By the end of the month we should be testing 1197/1223 - #msg-766889
Feb 14/03 · We have not had excess pessimism - #msg-765528
Feb 13/03 · The early March bounce topped at 1327 - #msg-764223
Feb 12/03 · The low 1200s will be reserved for later this month - #msg-760470
Feb 11/03 · Now 1263 will be less of an obstacle to additional declines - #msg-756957
Feb 10/03 · We need 3 phases: complacency, concern, panic selling - #msg-753915
Feb 10/03 · Options expiration, precipitous decline, breach of today's low - #msg-753579
Feb 10/03 · No end in sight until sentiment indicators blow - #msg-753274
Feb 10/03 · 1312 is possible - #msg-753176
Feb 10/03 · I think we continue lower than 1275 - #msg-752907
Feb 10/03 · Dark siders are back in the driver seat - #msg-752529
Feb 06/03 · At least another 80 Naz points before first leg done - #msg-743382
Feb 05/03 · Low opening seems to be the path of least resistance now - #msg-740615
Feb 05/03 · We are not even close to a turning point - #msg-740370
Feb 05/03 · Sox is already failing to make a new HOD - #msg-738755
Feb 05/03 · Running into top of the box, fear we will be hit hard after that - #msg-738695
Feb 05/03 · Top of the box is still 1332 ± 5 - #msg-737722
Feb 03/03 · Expecting a bounce from 1263 - #msg-733246
Feb 03/03 · More pain is due - #msg-733033
Feb 03/03 · 1332 ± 5 will serve as strong resistance - #msg-731598
Feb 03/03 · Still calling for sub 1300 before the week is out - #msg-731274
Jan 31/03 · A red close on the Naz and under 1300 by next week - #msg-726227
Jan 30/03 · By the end of next week, 1300 will be kissed "good bye" - #msg-724032
Jan 30/03 · Tomorrow might be a good time to get out of weak longs - #msg-723740
Jan 30/03 · We are still in a major downtrend - #msg-722458
Jan 29/03 · Using the equity P/C ratio - #msg-720389
Jan 29/03 · Still have that 1377 as the barrier here - #msg-719278
Jan 28/03 · VIX collapsed today, we may not reach bottom of 1357/77 - #msg-716112
Jan 26/03 • Dow hit list for 2003 - #msg-710613
Jan 26/03 · Breach 1327, then an anemic bounce to 1357/77 - #msg-710582
Jan 25/03 • New tentative schedule for the next five/six months - #msg-708849
Jan 25/03 · Target for the Dow first leg down was already exceeded - #msg-708735
Jan 24/03 · Now well into completing the first leg of the Nassacre - #msg-706195
Jan 23/03 · Each stock has its own ideal entry (on the dark side) - #msg-704222
Jan 23/03 · The window is open until about next Wednesday - #msg-703463 #msg-703478
Jan 23/03 · Strong Naz day...just an anemic bounce - #msg-703292
Jan 22/03 · Still expect a bounce back to just under 1400 - #msg-700192
Jan 22/03 · Expect a run to 1391/7 with a possible max at 1414 - #msg-698686
Jan 21/03 · Equity P/C ratio at .42; extremely bearish - #msg-696553
Jan 21/03 · A turn tomorrow maybe to the 1391/7 area - #msg-696433
Jan 19/03 · 1391/7 will be a very strong overhead resistance - #msg-691142
Jan 18/03 · This year, Nasdaq from 1521 down to around 950 - #msg-689755
Jan 18/03 · Bottom of the first leg lowered to 1198/1223 - #msg-689476
Jan 18/03 · A bounce before we continue this first leg down - #msg-689373
Jan 17/03 · Resuming the first leg of a major decline - #msg-686497
Jan 16/03 · BTK - #msg-685638 #msg-685666 #msg-686505
Jan 15/03 · Within two months, 1263 and maybe lower - #msg-681069
Jan 14/03 · Staggered retreat with some SOX companies still climbing - #msg-679170
Jan 14/03 · "Run for the Hills" stands - #msg-678044
Jan 12/03 · We may still reach just above 1500 on the Nasdaq - #msg-672791
Jan 10/03 · End of day: Still in bear suit; out with 68% cash - #msg-669945
Jan 10/03 · If we close above 1447, "run to the hills" is cancelled - #msg-668918
Jan 10/03 · Don't have us going past 1520 - #msg-668901
Jan 10/03 · Short term now calls for a neutral to bearish stance - #msg-668371
Jan 09/03 · Reiterating "Run for the Hills" call here - #msg-665700
Jan 09/03 · Expecting 1447 to hold as a top - #msg-665399
Jan 08/03 · Minor double top of 1447, possibly next week - #msg-662286
Jan 06/03 • Dividend taxation; no economic stimulus impact - #msg-658687
Jan 06/03 · Take about 100 Naz points off each of the targets - #msg-658572
Jan 06/03 · This run was extremely underwhelming - #msg-657702
Jan 06/03 · The risk is too high here - #msg-657407
Jan 06/03 • Here at 1424, the turnips are issuing a "To the hills call" - #msg-657325
Jan 06/03 · January rally may stall badly here - #msg-657151
Jan 04/03 · If volume picks up early next week, we should be doing fine - #msg-653236
Jan 04/03 · First battle probably 1391/7, then 1426 - #msg-653062
Jan 04/03 · In risk averse environment, money goes to Dow stocks - #msg-652969
Jan 01/03 • Forecast for first half of 2003 - #msg-647289
Dec 31/02 · Lack of conviction on the sell side - #msg-646388
Dec 31/02 · No 'run for the hills'; staying with low cash position - #msg-645731
Dec 30/02 · 1391/7 probably a barrier to any advance - #msg-644348 #msg-644297
Dec 28/02 · Still think seasonal influences will reestablish themselves - #msg-641639
Dec 27/02 · Still sticking to the seasonal theme of expected strength - #msg-640961
Dec 27/02 · Nasdaq at 1347, but new lows only hit 45 - #msg-640734
Dec 26/02 · Review of Nov-Jan forecasts; still bullish here - #msg-639614
Dec 26/02 · Pre invasion run, post invasion relapse - #msg-639193
Dec 25/02 · Reducing the January high to 1550 - #msg-638162
Dec 25/02 · Still expect mild bullish trend - #msg-638161
Dec 23/02 · A solid week behind schedule - #msg-636861
Dec 23/02 · Still expecting seasonal strength until January - #msg-636638
Dec 23/02 · Not as bullish here - #msg-636623
Dec 21/02 · Don't get too bearish here - #msg-634492
Dec 21/02 · Expecting a a short term run in the SOX - SI #reply-18361963
Dec 19/02 · Still quite bullish - #msg-631960
Dec 19/02 · Should run hard into the end of the year - #msg-631451
Dec 19/02 · After this week, party should start - #msg-631082
Dec 14/02 · Not going into a 1929 depression - #msg-624925
Dec 14/02 • Quite bullish for the next 4 weeks - #msg-624829
Dec 14/02 · Probably the end of the down move - #msg-624596
Dec 13/02 · Prior tops of significance - #msg-624115
Dec 13/02 · Sept 11/02 top (1347) is major line in the sand - #msg-624043
Dec 12/02 · May close above 1470 next week - #msg-622016
Dec 12/02 · Meandering next week as well - #msg-621945
Dec 09/02 · No major move up until next week - #msg-617611
Dec 09/02 · Next week mostly up - #msg-616871
Dec 09/02 · Very bullish stance here - #msg-616495
Dec 07/02 • Forecast for first half of 2003 - #msg-614572
Dec 07/02 · Not the time to short - #msg-614538
Dec 05/02 · Bullish here around 1400 on the Naz - #msg-611879
Dec 04/02 · Still expect backing and filling - #msg-610086
Dec 04/02 · Donning not so shiny pair of horns - #msg-609508
Dec 04/02 · 1378 is the next target - #msg-609399
Dec 03/02 · First two weeks of December - #msg-607798
Nov 30/02 · Possibility of 1940 high next year - #msg-602499
Nov 25/02 • Next 7 weeks II - #msg-598082
Nov 24/02 • Next 7 weeks I - #msg-595913
Nov 23/02 · SOX target of 184 in next six to nine months - SI #reply-18268199
Nov 02/02 · Expecting a retrenchment in the semis - SI #reply-18187796
Oct 10/02 · Expecting a strong move in the semis - SI #reply-18100366
Sep 07/02 • 950 target for the bottom - #msg-491054
Jan 27/02 • Forecasted turning points since early 2000 - SI #reply-16967797
Dec 29/01 • Market scenario for 2002 (long post) - SI #reply-16842549
Apr 23/00 • Prediction of bear market - SI #reply-13483082
Earlier posts from 2000-2002 - SI #reply-18338762
A few posts from the turnip patch (#board-1125).
April 2000 - Mar 2003.
Mar 31/03 · Between 1330 and 1370 - #msg-884086 #msg-884149
Mar 31/03 · Later in the week, the turnips have 1330 taken out - #msg-882399
Mar 31/03 · 1330/50 is still a bounce area - #msg-881663
Mar 29/03 · Positive elements are outweighed by many negative developments - #msg-879591
Mar 27/03 · Still have a "need" to see a first test of the 1330/50 area - #msg-875915
Mar 26/03 · Before the end of the week we will test 1330/50 area - #msg-872761
Mar 25/03 · The technical underpinnings of the recent run are poor - #msg-870615
Mar 25/03 · 1400 on the Naz as a potential mini barrier - #msg-869078
Mar 24/03 · A mild bump up from the 1330/50 area - #msg-867620
Mar 21/03 · The secular bear is far from over, IMTO - #msg-861993
Mar 21/03 · We are smack into the the January highs here - #msg-861541
Mar 21/03 · Danger for the bulls - #msg-860148
Mar 21/03 · The leadership is still poor - #msg-859260
Mar 20/03 · 1420/1440 area could be the target - #msg-858717
Mar 19/03 · The quality of the move is so bad and so thin - #msg-854900
Mar 19/03 · First bounce on the Naz should be in the 1330/40 area - #msg-854663
Mar 19/03 · New highs have not reached Febraury levels - #msg-852632
Mar 18/03 · Very short term we are due for a severe relapse - #msg-848998
Mar 17/03 · Sign of a cyclical bull - #msg-848728
Mar 17/03 · Expecting a low sometime in May - #msg-848081
Mar 17/03 · Still think that this bear is far from dead - #msg-848058
Mar 17/03 · You rarely get a major move without a solid capitulation - #msg-847424
Mar 15/03 · Results of the second quarter could result in strong Summer rally - #msg-842660
Mar 15/03 · A major bear, within that we get runs to the 200 DMA - #msg-842629 #msg-842645
Mar 15/03 · Nassacre is alive and well and now we should go into Phase II - #msg-842385
Mar 15/03 • We finished the first phase of this Nassacre last Wednesday - #msg-842045
Mar 14/03 · The hall mark of a turn is that the internals improve - #msg-840428 #msg-842021
Mar 14/03 · Bear suit still fully zipped - #msg-840394
Mar 14/03 · Expecting a close repeat of the late February chart - #msg-838497
Mar 14/03 · We may be looking at phase II - #msg-838462
Mar 13/03 · Without a GNT, there is no real bottom - #msg-837223
Mar 13/03 · I think that like late last month, this will prove to be distributory - #msg-837197
Mar 13/03 · A very dangerous market and my bear suit is fully zipped - #msg-835956
Mar 13/03 · By this time next week, we should be safely under 1260 - #msg-835255 #msg-836445
Mar 13/03 · No reason to remove bear suit - #msg-834688 #msg-835188
Mar 12/03 · Too late to engage in heavy shorting or put buying - #msg-833671
Mar 12/03 · We are not ready yet for more than a bounce to 1292/1302 - #msg-833592
Mar 12/03 · Either a two day ramp to 1292, or a breach of 1260 - #msg-831622
Mar 11/03 · Resistance most likely at 1292, maybe above 1300 - #msg-830992
Mar 10/03 · First support 1280, next support 1260/63 area - #msg-825751
Mar 08/03 · When war starts, a large bump which is heavily sold - #msg-822764
Mar 07/03 · 1292 and lower next week - #msg-820418
Mar 07/03 · If 1292 holds, a small bounce could occur - #msg-819122
Mar 06/03 · Surviving the emotions of trading - #msg-818571
Mar 05/03 · Apart from the delays, we are following the schedule - #msg-813989
Mar 04/03 · By late Thursday, any ramp started tomorrow will dissipate - #msg-812413
Mar 04/03 · Tomorrow...mild up day...resumption of the decline - #msg-810798
Mar 03/03 · A mild turn back up Wednesday afternoon - #msg-808219
Mar 03/03 · Think we will at least visit sub 1300 territory this week - #msg-808208
Mar 02/03 · Market behaving worse than mid January, post the 1/6 call - #msg-805950
Feb 28/03 · Could continue this distribution for another week - #msg-803388
Feb 28/03 • Extremely dangerous level here; reiterate "run to the hills" - #msg-802739
Feb 27/03 · Attack on Iraq could be delayed until close to April - #msg-800746
Feb 27/03 · Still in a very dangerous area here on the Naz - #msg-800400
Feb 25/03 · The great majority of the technical indicators are still bearish - #msg-794954
Feb 25/03 · Phase I may not have more than a week to 2½ to go - #msg-794927
Feb 25/03 · Not bullish here yet - #msg-794876
Feb 23/03 · Maybe we are now in the early March 2-3 week run - #msg-788682
Feb 23/03 · We often get these false breakouts - #msg-788657
Feb 23/03 · Could easily drop more than 25 on the Naz tomorrow - #msg-788430
Feb 23/03 · After mid-year, the surprise could be a cyclical bull move - #msg-788375
Feb 22/03 · End of Phase I is still 1197/1223 - #msg-787342
Feb 22/03 · IMTO, this is a classic bull trap - #msg-786780
Feb 20/03 · By the end of next week, we should be in full retreat - #msg-781704
Feb 19/03 · Just an oversold relief run - #msg-776993
Feb 18/03 · I think that by the end of the day tomorrow we will be red - #msg-775342
Feb 18/03 · How can one turn bullish? IMTO, it is a trap - #msg-775293
Feb 17/03 · Bear suit still fully zipped - #msg-772918
Feb 17/03 · Bet is that tomorrow we get our traditional G&C - #msg-772059
Feb 15/03 · Bet is that we are turned back from the 1321/35 area - #msg-768059
Feb 14/03 · By the end of the month we should be testing 1197/1223 - #msg-766889
Feb 14/03 · We have not had excess pessimism - #msg-765528
Feb 13/03 · The early March bounce topped at 1327 - #msg-764223
Feb 12/03 · The low 1200s will be reserved for later this month - #msg-760470
Feb 11/03 · Now 1263 will be less of an obstacle to additional declines - #msg-756957
Feb 10/03 · We need 3 phases: complacency, concern, panic selling - #msg-753915
Feb 10/03 · Options expiration, precipitous decline, breach of today's low - #msg-753579
Feb 10/03 · No end in sight until sentiment indicators blow - #msg-753274
Feb 10/03 · 1312 is possible - #msg-753176
Feb 10/03 · I think we continue lower than 1275 - #msg-752907
Feb 10/03 · Dark siders are back in the driver seat - #msg-752529
Feb 06/03 · At least another 80 Naz points before first leg done - #msg-743382
Feb 05/03 · Low opening seems to be the path of least resistance now - #msg-740615
Feb 05/03 · We are not even close to a turning point - #msg-740370
Feb 05/03 · Sox is already failing to make a new HOD - #msg-738755
Feb 05/03 · Running into top of the box, fear we will be hit hard after that - #msg-738695
Feb 05/03 · Top of the box is still 1332 ± 5 - #msg-737722
Feb 03/03 · Expecting a bounce from 1263 - #msg-733246
Feb 03/03 · More pain is due - #msg-733033
Feb 03/03 · 1332 ± 5 will serve as strong resistance - #msg-731598
Feb 03/03 · Still calling for sub 1300 before the week is out - #msg-731274
Jan 31/03 · A red close on the Naz and under 1300 by next week - #msg-726227
Jan 30/03 · By the end of next week, 1300 will be kissed "good bye" - #msg-724032
Jan 30/03 · Tomorrow might be a good time to get out of weak longs - #msg-723740
Jan 30/03 · We are still in a major downtrend - #msg-722458
Jan 29/03 · Using the equity P/C ratio - #msg-720389
Jan 29/03 · Still have that 1377 as the barrier here - #msg-719278
Jan 28/03 · VIX collapsed today, we may not reach bottom of 1357/77 - #msg-716112
Jan 26/03 • Dow hit list for 2003 - #msg-710613
Jan 26/03 · Breach 1327, then an anemic bounce to 1357/77 - #msg-710582
Jan 25/03 • New tentative schedule for the next five/six months - #msg-708849
Jan 25/03 · Target for the Dow first leg down was already exceeded - #msg-708735
Jan 24/03 · Now well into completing the first leg of the Nassacre - #msg-706195
Jan 23/03 · Each stock has its own ideal entry (on the dark side) - #msg-704222
Jan 23/03 · The window is open until about next Wednesday - #msg-703463 #msg-703478
Jan 23/03 · Strong Naz day...just an anemic bounce - #msg-703292
Jan 22/03 · Still expect a bounce back to just under 1400 - #msg-700192
Jan 22/03 · Expect a run to 1391/7 with a possible max at 1414 - #msg-698686
Jan 21/03 · Equity P/C ratio at .42; extremely bearish - #msg-696553
Jan 21/03 · A turn tomorrow maybe to the 1391/7 area - #msg-696433
Jan 19/03 · 1391/7 will be a very strong overhead resistance - #msg-691142
Jan 18/03 · This year, Nasdaq from 1521 down to around 950 - #msg-689755
Jan 18/03 · Bottom of the first leg lowered to 1198/1223 - #msg-689476
Jan 18/03 · A bounce before we continue this first leg down - #msg-689373
Jan 17/03 · Resuming the first leg of a major decline - #msg-686497
Jan 16/03 · BTK - #msg-685638 #msg-685666 #msg-686505
Jan 15/03 · Within two months, 1263 and maybe lower - #msg-681069
Jan 14/03 · Staggered retreat with some SOX companies still climbing - #msg-679170
Jan 14/03 · "Run for the Hills" stands - #msg-678044
Jan 12/03 · We may still reach just above 1500 on the Nasdaq - #msg-672791
Jan 10/03 · End of day: Still in bear suit; out with 68% cash - #msg-669945
Jan 10/03 · If we close above 1447, "run to the hills" is cancelled - #msg-668918
Jan 10/03 · Don't have us going past 1520 - #msg-668901
Jan 10/03 · Short term now calls for a neutral to bearish stance - #msg-668371
Jan 09/03 · Reiterating "Run for the Hills" call here - #msg-665700
Jan 09/03 · Expecting 1447 to hold as a top - #msg-665399
Jan 08/03 · Minor double top of 1447, possibly next week - #msg-662286
Jan 06/03 • Dividend taxation; no economic stimulus impact - #msg-658687
Jan 06/03 · Take about 100 Naz points off each of the targets - #msg-658572
Jan 06/03 · This run was extremely underwhelming - #msg-657702
Jan 06/03 · The risk is too high here - #msg-657407
Jan 06/03 • Here at 1424, the turnips are issuing a "To the hills call" - #msg-657325
Jan 06/03 · January rally may stall badly here - #msg-657151
Jan 04/03 · If volume picks up early next week, we should be doing fine - #msg-653236
Jan 04/03 · First battle probably 1391/7, then 1426 - #msg-653062
Jan 04/03 · In risk averse environment, money goes to Dow stocks - #msg-652969
Jan 01/03 • Forecast for first half of 2003 - #msg-647289
Dec 31/02 · Lack of conviction on the sell side - #msg-646388
Dec 31/02 · No 'run for the hills'; staying with low cash position - #msg-645731
Dec 30/02 · 1391/7 probably a barrier to any advance - #msg-644348 #msg-644297
Dec 28/02 · Still think seasonal influences will reestablish themselves - #msg-641639
Dec 27/02 · Still sticking to the seasonal theme of expected strength - #msg-640961
Dec 27/02 · Nasdaq at 1347, but new lows only hit 45 - #msg-640734
Dec 26/02 · Review of Nov-Jan forecasts; still bullish here - #msg-639614
Dec 26/02 · Pre invasion run, post invasion relapse - #msg-639193
Dec 25/02 · Reducing the January high to 1550 - #msg-638162
Dec 25/02 · Still expect mild bullish trend - #msg-638161
Dec 23/02 · A solid week behind schedule - #msg-636861
Dec 23/02 · Still expecting seasonal strength until January - #msg-636638
Dec 23/02 · Not as bullish here - #msg-636623
Dec 21/02 · Don't get too bearish here - #msg-634492
Dec 21/02 · Expecting a a short term run in the SOX - SI #reply-18361963
Dec 19/02 · Still quite bullish - #msg-631960
Dec 19/02 · Should run hard into the end of the year - #msg-631451
Dec 19/02 · After this week, party should start - #msg-631082
Dec 14/02 · Not going into a 1929 depression - #msg-624925
Dec 14/02 • Quite bullish for the next 4 weeks - #msg-624829
Dec 14/02 · Probably the end of the down move - #msg-624596
Dec 13/02 · Prior tops of significance - #msg-624115
Dec 13/02 · Sept 11/02 top (1347) is major line in the sand - #msg-624043
Dec 12/02 · May close above 1470 next week - #msg-622016
Dec 12/02 · Meandering next week as well - #msg-621945
Dec 09/02 · No major move up until next week - #msg-617611
Dec 09/02 · Next week mostly up - #msg-616871
Dec 09/02 · Very bullish stance here - #msg-616495
Dec 07/02 • Forecast for first half of 2003 - #msg-614572
Dec 07/02 · Not the time to short - #msg-614538
Dec 05/02 · Bullish here around 1400 on the Naz - #msg-611879
Dec 04/02 · Still expect backing and filling - #msg-610086
Dec 04/02 · Donning not so shiny pair of horns - #msg-609508
Dec 04/02 · 1378 is the next target - #msg-609399
Dec 03/02 · First two weeks of December - #msg-607798
Nov 30/02 · Possibility of 1940 high next year - #msg-602499
Nov 25/02 • Next 7 weeks II - #msg-598082
Nov 24/02 • Next 7 weeks I - #msg-595913
Nov 23/02 · SOX target of 184 in next six to nine months - SI #reply-18268199
Nov 02/02 · Expecting a retrenchment in the semis - SI #reply-18187796
Oct 10/02 · Expecting a strong move in the semis - SI #reply-18100366
Sep 07/02 • 950 target for the bottom - #msg-491054
Jan 27/02 • Forecasted turning points since early 2000 - SI #reply-16967797
Dec 29/01 • Market scenario for 2002 (long post) - SI #reply-16842549
Apr 23/00 • Prediction of bear market - SI #reply-13483082
Earlier posts from 2000-2002 - SI #reply-18338762
A few posts from the turnip patch (#board-1125).
April 2000 - Feb 2003.
Feb 28/03 · Could continue this distribution for another week - #msg-803388
Feb 28/03 • Extremely dangerous level here; reiterate "run to the hills" - #msg-802739
Feb 27/03 · Attack on Iraq could be delayed until close to April - #msg-800746
Feb 27/03 · Still in a very dangerous area here on the Naz - #msg-800400
Feb 25/03 · The great majority of the technical indicators are still bearish - #msg-794954
Feb 25/03 · Phase I may not have more than a week to 2½ to go - #msg-794927
Feb 25/03 · Not bullish here yet - #msg-794876
Feb 23/03 · Maybe we are now in the early March 2-3 week run - #msg-788682
Feb 23/03 · We often get these false breakouts - #msg-788657
Feb 23/03 · Could easily drop more than 25 on the Naz tomorrow - #msg-788430
Feb 23/03 · After mid-year, the surprise could be a cyclical bull move - #msg-788375
Feb 22/03 · End of Phase I is still 1197/1223 - #msg-787342
Feb 22/03 · IMTO, this is a classic bull trap - #msg-786780
Feb 20/03 · By the end of next week, we should be in full retreat - #msg-781704
Feb 19/03 · Just an oversold relief run - #msg-776993
Feb 18/03 · I think that by the end of the day tomorrow we will be red - #msg-775342
Feb 18/03 · How can one turn bullish? IMTO, it is a trap - #msg-775293
Feb 17/03 · Bear suit still fully zipped - #msg-772918
Feb 17/03 · Bet is that tomorrow we get our traditional G&C - #msg-772059
Feb 15/03 · Bet is that we are turned back from the 1321/35 area - #msg-768059
Feb 14/03 · By the end of the month we should be testing 1197/1223 - #msg-766889
Feb 14/03 · We have not had excess pessimism - #msg-765528
Feb 13/03 · The early March bounce topped at 1327 - #msg-764223
Feb 12/03 · The low 1200s will be reserved for later this month - #msg-760470
Feb 11/03 · Now 1263 will be less of an obstacle to additional declines - #msg-756957
Feb 10/03 · We need 3 phases: complacency, concern, panic selling - #msg-753915
Feb 10/03 · Options expiration, precipitous decline, breach of today's low - #msg-753579
Feb 10/03 · No end in sight until sentiment indicators blow - #msg-753274
Feb 10/03 · 1312 is possible - #msg-753176
Feb 10/03 · I think we continue lower than 1275 - #msg-752907
Feb 10/03 · Dark siders are back in the driver seat - #msg-752529
Feb 06/03 · At least another 80 Naz points before first leg done - #msg-743382
Feb 05/03 · Low opening seems to be the path of least resistance now - #msg-740615
Feb 05/03 · We are not even close to a turning point - #msg-740370
Feb 05/03 · Sox is already failing to make a new HOD - #msg-738755
Feb 05/03 · Running into top of the box, fear we will be hit hard after that - #msg-738695
Feb 05/03 · Top of the box is still 1332 ± 5 - #msg-737722
Feb 03/03 · Expecting a bounce from 1263 - #msg-733246
Feb 03/03 · More pain is due - #msg-733033
Feb 03/03 · 1332 ± 5 will serve as strong resistance - #msg-731598
Feb 03/03 · Still calling for sub 1300 before the week is out - #msg-731274
Jan 31/03 · A red close on the Naz and under 1300 by next week - #msg-726227
Jan 30/03 · By the end of next week, 1300 will be kissed "good bye" - #msg-724032
Jan 30/03 · Tomorrow might be a good time to get out of weak longs - #msg-723740
Jan 30/03 · We are still in a major downtrend - #msg-722458
Jan 29/03 · Using the equity P/C ratio - #msg-720389
Jan 29/03 · Still have that 1377 as the barrier here - #msg-719278
Jan 28/03 · VIX collapsed today, we may not reach bottom of 1357/77 - #msg-716112
Jan 26/03 • Dow hit list for 2003 - #msg-710613
Jan 26/03 · Breach 1327, then an anemic bounce to 1357/77 - #msg-710582
Jan 25/03 • New tentative schedule for the next five/six months - #msg-708849
Jan 25/03 · Target for the Dow first leg down was already exceeded - #msg-708735
Jan 24/03 · Now well into completing the first leg of the Nassacre - #msg-706195
Jan 23/03 · Each stock has its own ideal entry (on the dark side) - #msg-704222
Jan 23/03 · The window is open until about next Wednesday - #msg-703463 #msg-703478
Jan 23/03 · Strong Naz day...just an anemic bounce - #msg-703292
Jan 22/03 · Still expect a bounce back to just under 1400 - #msg-700192
Jan 22/03 · Expect a run to 1391/7 with a possible max at 1414 - #msg-698686
Jan 21/03 · Equity P/C ratio at .42; extremely bearish - #msg-696553
Jan 21/03 · A turn tomorrow maybe to the 1391/7 area - #msg-696433
Jan 19/03 · 1391/7 will be a very strong overhead resistance - #msg-691142
Jan 18/03 · This year, Nasdaq from 1521 down to around 950 - #msg-689755
Jan 18/03 · Bottom of the first leg lowered to 1198/1223 - #msg-689476
Jan 18/03 · A bounce before we continue this first leg down - #msg-689373
Jan 17/03 · Resuming the first leg of a major decline - #msg-686497
Jan 16/03 · BTK - #msg-685638 #msg-685666 #msg-686505
Jan 15/03 · Within two months, 1263 and maybe lower - #msg-681069
Jan 14/03 · Staggered retreat with some SOX companies still climbing - #msg-679170
Jan 14/03 · "Run for the Hills" stands - #msg-678044
Jan 12/03 · We may still reach just above 1500 on the Nasdaq - #msg-672791
Jan 10/03 · End of day: Still in bear suit; out with 68% cash - #msg-669945
Jan 10/03 · If we close above 1447, "run to the hills" is cancelled - #msg-668918
Jan 10/03 · Don't have us going past 1520 - #msg-668901
Jan 10/03 · Short term now calls for a neutral to bearish stance - #msg-668371
Jan 09/03 · Reiterating "Run for the Hills" call here - #msg-665700
Jan 09/03 · Expecting 1447 to hold as a top - #msg-665399
Jan 08/03 · Minor double top of 1447, possibly next week - #msg-662286
Jan 06/03 • Dividend taxation; no economic stimulus impact - #msg-658687
Jan 06/03 · Take about 100 Naz points off each of the targets - #msg-658572
Jan 06/03 · This run was extremely underwhelming - #msg-657702
Jan 06/03 · The risk is too high here - #msg-657407
Jan 06/03 • Here at 1424, the turnips are issuing a "To the hills call" - #msg-657325
Jan 06/03 · January rally may stall badly here - #msg-657151
Jan 04/03 · If volume picks up early next week, we should be doing fine - #msg-653236
Jan 04/03 · First battle probably 1391/7, then 1426 - #msg-653062
Jan 04/03 · In risk averse environment, money goes to Dow stocks - #msg-652969
Jan 01/03 • Forecast for first half of 2003 - #msg-647289
Dec 31/02 · Lack of conviction on the sell side - #msg-646388
Dec 31/02 · No 'run for the hills'; staying with low cash position - #msg-645731
Dec 30/02 · 1391/7 probably a barrier to any advance - #msg-644348 #msg-644297
Dec 28/02 · Still think seasonal influences will reestablish themselves - #msg-641639
Dec 27/02 · Still sticking to the seasonal theme of expected strength - #msg-640961
Dec 27/02 · Nasdaq at 1347, but new lows only hit 45 - #msg-640734
Dec 26/02 · Review of Nov-Jan forecasts; still bullish here - #msg-639614
Dec 26/02 · Pre invasion run, post invasion relapse - #msg-639193
Dec 25/02 · Reducing the January high to 1550 - #msg-638162
Dec 25/02 · Still expect mild bullish trend - #msg-638161
Dec 23/02 · A solid week behind schedule - #msg-636861
Dec 23/02 · Still expecting seasonal strength until January - #msg-636638
Dec 23/02 · Not as bullish here - #msg-636623
Dec 21/02 · Don't get too bearish here - #msg-634492
Dec 21/02 · Expecting a a short term run in the SOX - SI #reply-18361963
Dec 19/02 · Still quite bullish - #msg-631960
Dec 19/02 · Should run hard into the end of the year - #msg-631451
Dec 19/02 · After this week, party should start - #msg-631082
Dec 14/02 · Not going into a 1929 depression - #msg-624925
Dec 14/02 • Quite bullish for the next 4 weeks - #msg-624829
Dec 14/02 · Probably the end of the down move - #msg-624596
Dec 13/02 · Prior tops of significance - #msg-624115
Dec 13/02 · Sept 11/02 top (1347) is major line in the sand - #msg-624043
Dec 12/02 · May close above 1470 next week - #msg-622016
Dec 12/02 · Meandering next week as well - #msg-621945
Dec 09/02 · No major move up until next week - #msg-617611
Dec 09/02 · Next week mostly up - #msg-616871
Dec 09/02 · Very bullish stance here - #msg-616495
Dec 07/02 • Forecast for first half of 2003 - #msg-614572
Dec 07/02 · Not the time to short - #msg-614538
Dec 05/02 · Bullish here around 1400 on the Naz - #msg-611879
Dec 04/02 · Still expect backing and filling - #msg-610086
Dec 04/02 · Donning not so shiny pair of horns - #msg-609508
Dec 04/02 · 1378 is the next target - #msg-609399
Dec 03/02 · First two weeks of December - #msg-607798
Nov 30/02 · Possibility of 1940 high next year - #msg-602499
Nov 25/02 • Next 7 weeks II - #msg-598082
Nov 24/02 • Next 7 weeks I - #msg-595913
Nov 23/02 · SOX target of 184 in next six to nine months - SI #reply-18268199
Nov 02/02 · Expecting a retrenchment in the semis - SI #reply-18187796
Oct 10/02 · Expecting a strong move in the semis - SI #reply-18100366
Sep 07/02 • 950 target for the bottom - #msg-491054
Jan 27/02 • Forecasted turning points since early 2000 - SI #reply-16967797
Dec 29/01 • Market scenario for 2002 (long post) - SI #reply-16842549
Apr 23/00 • Prediction of bear market - SI #reply-13483082
Earlier posts from 2000-2002 - SI #reply-18338762
A few posts from the turnip patch (#board-1125).
April 2000 - January 2003.
Jan 31/03 · A red close on the Naz and under 1300 by next week - #msg-726227
Jan 30/03 · By the end of next week, 1300 will be kissed "good bye" - #msg-724032
Jan 30/03 · Tomorrow might be a good time to get out of weak longs - #msg-723740
Jan 30/03 · We are still in a major downtrend - #msg-722458
Jan 29/03 · Using the equity P/C ratio - #msg-720389
Jan 29/03 · Still have that 1377 as the barrier here - #msg-719278
Jan 28/03 · VIX collapsed today, we may not reach bottom of 1357/77 - #msg-716112
Jan 26/03 • Dow hit list for 2003 - #msg-710613
Jan 26/03 · Breach 1327, then an anemic bounce to 1357/77 - #msg-710582
Jan 25/03 • New tentative schedule for the next five/six months - #msg-708849
Jan 25/03 · Target for the Dow first leg down was already exceeded - #msg-708735
Jan 24/03 · Now well into completing the first leg of the Nassacre - #msg-706195
Jan 23/03 · Each stock has its own ideal entry (on the dark side) - #msg-704222
Jan 23/03 · The window is open until about next Wednesday - #msg-703463 #msg-703478
Jan 23/03 · Strong Naz day...just an anemic bounce - #msg-703292
Jan 22/03 · Still expect a bounce back to just under 1400 - #msg-700192
Jan 22/03 · Expect a run to 1391/7 with a possible max at 1414 - #msg-698686
Jan 21/03 · Equity P/C ratio at .42; extremely bearish - #msg-696553
Jan 21/03 · A turn tomorrow maybe to the 1391/7 area - #msg-696433
Jan 19/03 · 1391/7 will be a very strong overhead resistance - #msg-691142
Jan 18/03 · This year, Nasdaq from 1521 down to around 950 - #msg-689755
Jan 18/03 · Bottom of the first leg lowered to 1198/1223 - #msg-689476
Jan 18/03 · A bounce before we continue this first leg down - #msg-689373
Jan 17/03 · Resuming the first leg of a major decline - #msg-686497
Jan 16/03 · BTK - #msg-685638 #msg-685666 #msg-686505
Jan 15/03 · Within two months, 1263 and maybe lower - #msg-681069
Jan 14/03 · Staggered retreat with some SOX companies still climbing - #msg-679170
Jan 14/03 · "Run for the Hills" stands - #msg-678044
Jan 12/03 · We may still reach just above 1500 on the Nasdaq - #msg-672791
Jan 10/03 · End of day: Still in bear suit; out with 68% cash - #msg-669945
Jan 10/03 · If we close above 1447, "run to the hills" is cancelled - #msg-668918
Jan 10/03 · Don't have us going past 1520 - #msg-668901
Jan 10/03 · Short term now calls for a neutral to bearish stance - #msg-668371
Jan 09/03 · Reiterating "Run for the Hills" call here - #msg-665700
Jan 09/03 · Expecting 1447 to hold as a top - #msg-665399
Jan 08/03 · Minor double top of 1447, possibly next week - #msg-662286
Jan 06/03 • Dividend taxation; no economic stimulus impact - #msg-658687
Jan 06/03 · Take about 100 Naz points off each of the targets - #msg-658572
Jan 06/03 · This run was extremely underwhelming - #msg-657702
Jan 06/03 · The risk is too high here - #msg-657407
Jan 06/03 • Here at 1424, the turnips are issuing a "To the hills call" - #msg-657325
Jan 06/03 · January rally may stall badly here - #msg-657151
Jan 04/03 · If volume picks up early next week, we should be doing fine - #msg-653236
Jan 04/03 · First battle probably 1391/7, then 1426 - #msg-653062
Jan 04/03 · In risk averse environment, money goes to Dow stocks - #msg-652969
Jan 01/03 • Forecast for first half of 2003 - #msg-647289
Dec 31/02 · Lack of conviction on the sell side - #msg-646388
Dec 31/02 · No 'run for the hills'; staying with low cash position - #msg-645731
Dec 30/02 · 1391/7 probably a barrier to any advance - #msg-644348 #msg-644297
Dec 28/02 · Still think seasonal influences will reestablish themselves - #msg-641639
Dec 27/02 · Still sticking to the seasonal theme of expected strength - #msg-640961
Dec 27/02 · Nasdaq at 1347, but new lows only hit 45 - #msg-640734
Dec 26/02 · Review of Nov-Jan forecasts; still bullish here - #msg-639614
Dec 26/02 · Pre invasion run, post invasion relapse - #msg-639193
Dec 25/02 · Reducing the January high to 1550 - #msg-638162
Dec 25/02 · Still expect mild bullish trend - #msg-638161
Dec 23/02 · A solid week behind schedule - #msg-636861
Dec 23/02 · Still expecting seasonal strength until January - #msg-636638
Dec 23/02 · Not as bullish here - #msg-636623
Dec 21/02 · Don't get too bearish here - #msg-634492
Dec 21/02 · Expecting a a short term run in the SOX - SI #reply-18361963
Dec 19/02 · Still quite bullish - #msg-631960
Dec 19/02 · Should run hard into the end of the year - #msg-631451
Dec 19/02 · After this week, party should start - #msg-631082
Dec 14/02 · Not going into a 1929 depression - #msg-624925
Dec 14/02 • Quite bullish for the next 4 weeks - #msg-624829
Dec 14/02 · Probably the end of the down move - #msg-624596
Dec 13/02 · Prior tops of significance - #msg-624115
Dec 13/02 · Sept 11/02 top (1347) is major line in the sand - #msg-624043
Dec 12/02 · May close above 1470 next week - #msg-622016
Dec 12/02 · Meandering next week as well - #msg-621945
Dec 09/02 · No major move up until next week - #msg-617611
Dec 09/02 · Next week mostly up - #msg-616871
Dec 09/02 · Very bullish stance here - #msg-616495
Dec 07/02 • Forecast for first half of 2003 - #msg-614572
Dec 07/02 · Not the time to short - #msg-614538
Dec 05/02 · Bullish here around 1400 on the Naz - #msg-611879
Dec 04/02 · Still expect backing and filling - #msg-610086
Dec 04/02 · Donning not so shiny pair of horns - #msg-609508
Dec 04/02 · 1378 is the next target - #msg-609399
Dec 03/02 · First two weeks of December - #msg-607798
Nov 30/02 · Possibility of 1940 high next year - #msg-602499
Nov 25/02 • Next 7 weeks II - #msg-598082
Nov 24/02 • Next 7 weeks I - #msg-595913
Nov 23/02 · SOX target of 184 in next six to nine months - SI #reply-18268199
Nov 02/02 · Expecting a retrenchment in the semis - SI #reply-18187796
Oct 10/02 · Expecting a strong move in the semis - SI #reply-18100366
Sep 07/02 • 950 target for the bottom - #msg-491054
Jan 27/02 • Forecasted turning points since early 2000 - SI #reply-16967797
Dec 29/01 • Market scenario for 2002 (long post) - SI #reply-16842549
Apr 23/00 • Prediction of bear market - SI #reply-13483082
Earlier posts from 2000-2002 - SI #reply-18338762
kayaker, this board is simply great. Thanks for keeping it updated. I'm sure it prevents us from asking Zeev the same questions over and over again.
Kayaker, thanks for restarting that "tradition" you kept on SI. It sure will make it easy to follow on and retrieve some older posts. You may want to include in the board title, turnips or Zeev so people can find it more easily.
Zeev
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