Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.
Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.
Dr. Faessel has published a nice update and I don't see where anyone's posted it here. It looks like he reads the MBs since he used the summary of 4 peer-reviewed articles I posted previously.
http://seekingalpha.com/author/dr-john-faessel/instablog
Edited repost - Since all the recent good news did not move our stock, I guess we will just have to wait for the income to materialize. So when will that income appear? I don't know, but in about one month we will see the 2012 Annual Report (which includes the 4th Qtr). Then two months after that, the 1st Qtr 2013 report will be released. Then three months later, the 2nd Qtr 2013 report will be available.
That's 3 financial reports in 6 months. I think it highly likely that the market moving numbers will be in one (or more) of those reports. Only 6 months... I think I can wait.
Kudos to GNC for Restoring the Testimonials!
Below you will find the email trail of my correspondence with GNC customer service. (Start at the bottom.) I am gratified to find that someone who understands marketing is apparently in charge at GNC.
_________________________________________________________
From: g******@******.com
Sent: Thursday, January 24, 2013
To: customerservice@gnc.com
Subject: Product Questions
Thank you. But as a stockholder I will instead contact someone higher up in our company who might care that OUR "website team" is costing us sales on one of our highest grossing products. It sounds like we need personnel in that department with a better understanding of the "big picture".
________________________________________
From: Customer Service [Customer-Service@gnc-hq.com]
Sent: Thursday, January 24, 2013 12:35 PM
Subject: RE: Product Questions
Dear Greg,
Thank you for taking the time to contact GNC, we appreciate your interest in our company. As the largest manufacturer and retailer of nutritional supplements, we understand that customers depend on us for quality products and quality information.
After reaching out to our Website Team for a direct response, they stated that the product is technically "new" because of the new higher count. They had discussions to transfer to the reviews to the new 300 count, but they were unable to because it was considered to be a new product. You are able to provide a comment on how the Anatabloc worked and your feedback.
If you have any more questions or comments, please do not hesitate to reply to this email or call our Customer Service Department toll-free at 1-888-462-2548
GNC Customer Service Representative I
Live Well
________________________________________
From: g******@******.com
Sent: Tuesday, January 22, 2013 7:05 PM
To: customerserviceATgnc.com
Subject: Product Questions
Wrote: When the new size of Anatabloc came out, the testimonials
disappeared. I was referring people to those testimonials. Can you please associate those testimonials with the new 300 count bottle of Anatabloc. It is exactly the same product. The bottle just contains 300 instead of the original 200. This product is special. Please connect those testimonials with this new 300 count bottle. Thank you.
You are gonna be SO surprised...
The Street is a disreputable rag and Adam Feuerstein is a lying shill for the shorts. To prove my point, despite significant evidence to the contrary, he has been referring to Anatabloc as "snake oil" for quite a while now. His latest slander of well respected doctors and researchers is further evidence of his lack of credibility.
But then something tells me you already knew that...
It has been a while since we posted a warning to new investors about the use of stop-losses. The manipulators of this stock will take advantage of investors who are naive enough to use stop-losses. Most people don't realize that the big boys can see where all those stop-loss orders are placed. They then use tools such as Adam and high-frequency trading to achieve their goals.
Teedlum -
Thanks to those who placed stop loss orders. Your loss is my gain.
Adam cannot be trusted. He has been recommending that people short STSI for a long time now. He and his minions, in their efforts to support their short recos and positions, have repeatedly referred to Anatabloc as "snakeoil" and "a scam". The recent study results prove them to be liars and they are getting desperate.
Just like in a dirty political campaign, now that the message strongly puts the lie to their claims; they are attacking the messenger. It's a dirty tactic but standard practice for people like Adam. Anyone who thinks that Dr. Ladenson would trash his reputation by telling lies for anatabine is either deliberately lying or looney-tunes crazy.
No time to review the math right now, but NJ included projected sales from GNC. Your post does not mention the sales from GNC. Also, did NJ use $40 for all sales? The sales from Anatabloc.com should have a substantially higher profit margin than sales from GNC.
New article about treating Traumatic Brain Injury with anatabine. Credit to mad_1957 on Yahoo for the find.
https://www.dana.org/news/features/detail.aspx?id=40318
From the article -
David Loane, a scientist at the Center for Shock, Trauma, and Anesthesiology Research (STAR) at the University of Maryland, says new research suggests that TBI results in chronic microglia activation, which changes the brain’s white matter. “We’re beginning to see that microglia activation and neuroinflammation is a chronic pathology that’s associated with TBI,” he says. “It’s a progressive and chronic disorder that continues indefinitely after the initial traumatic insult.”
Given that inflammatory pathways are so significantly affected, Fiona Crawford, a researcher at the Roskamp Institute, wondered if some of the long-term damage, particularly memory problems, could be avoided by using a compound that dampens the brain’s natural inflammatory response. She and her colleagues had already found evidence that anatabine, a dietary supplement found in tobacco leaves, tomatoes, and eggplant, was a powerful anti-inflammatory agent.
The group compared mice with brain injuries after being given anatabine versus a placebo. When they were put into the Barnes Maze task, a tool to measure spatial learning and memory, the mice who had received the anatabine after TBI performed as well as uninjured mice. Crawford presented the research at the Society for Neuroscience's annual meeting in 2012.
Are talking about the law firm of Levi & Kornhole? Go to the hyperlink in their announcement. The last time I checked they still did not even have a client. They are just phishing for suckers.
One of the causes (perhaps the only cause?) of diabetes is where the immune system attacks the insulin producing cells. Since inflammation is an immune response, would controlling it (via Anatabloc) correct this problem?
If the answer to that question is "yes"; the next question is, assuming that you can stop the immune system's attacks on the insulin producing cells, will the body regain the ability to produce insulin thus reversing diabetes?
There is also the question of will it be the same for Type 1 and Type 2 diabetes?
At the risk of jinxing myself;(knock on wood)... I did not get the flu shot. I know several people who have or have had the flu. (None of them are on Anatabloc.) This strain is not one of those bugs that goes away in a day or two. Most around here have a fever for over a week, sometimes two. One of my co-workers is out with it this week. He went home early last Friday feeling bad.
I don't expect that Anatabloc will confer any special immunity other than a better performing immune system. However, since many of the negatives from the flu are due to the body's inflammatory immune response; I expect that the symptoms may be reduced and recovery could be quicker for someone on Anatabloc. But I really don't want to find out...
mugs57 - "just curious-anyone get the flu while on anatabloc this year yet? i got flu shot with coworker he got the flu out 7 days so far i'm still ok."
Roskamp has not sold. He has "registered" a portion of his holdings so that he can sell. At least that is the story told emphatically by someone on Yahoo who sounds like he is knowledgeable in this arena. That being the case, he may be expecting the share price to pop and he plans to use the opportunity to take his cost basis off the table. (I think it would take a share price of $18 to $20 per share for him to get his cost basis back with a 250K share sale.)
In any event, there are many reasons to sell and it is only a small portion of his holdings so, "No, I am not concerned."
mannyt - "Anyone concerned about this? In this amended filing for selling stockholders Robert Roskamp of the Roskamp Institute is selling approximately 250,000 shares out of about 1.2 million.Why would he sell if positive news is coming shortly?"
I have wondered if the company deliberately set the recommended dose low to leave room for the higher doses to become "prescription strength".
In any event, I started taking Anatabloc at the 2x3 (6mg) recommended dosing level September was a year ago. It resolved a decades long condition but not the 4 year old shoulder issue which was the primary reason for trying it. (That was one thing that convinced me it was not the placebo effect. I had not even considered that it might help that decades long condition.)
However, about a year ago, after reading where some who were taking it for arthritis did not see benefits until they upped their dose to 3x3 (9mg). I did the same and my shoulder issue gradually began to get better. It took months for it to finally resolve.
I read somewhere a long time ago a formula that used 3.89 mg of anatabine per 100 pounds of body weight. I weigh about 260 so that would work out to about 10 Anatabloc per day. Obviously the recent thyroid study used more than that. But I also suspect that the amount of anatabine necessary is a function of body weight and the amount of inflammation. Apparently the anatabine molecule hooks up with the inflammed cell; so it stands to reason that if you have more inflammed cells, then more anatabine will be needed.
I don't know who's shorting, but it's somebody...
http://shortanalytics.com/getshortchart.php?tsymbol=Stsi
Could this be our next Anatabloc Ambassador. I think he would make a good choice.
http://msn.foxsports.com/nfl/story/Terry-Bradshaw-explains-concussions-short-term-memory-concerns-041211
We already knew that anatabine crosses the blood/brain barrier. Now that we know the mouse study benefits for treating thyroiditis with anatabine are also seen in humans there is every reason to assume that the tremendously positive results of the mouse study for treating Traumatic Brain Injury (TBI) will also be found in humans.
http://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/research-presented-neuroscience-2012-indicates-162900432.html
In another article, neuroscientist Fiona Crawford of the Roskamp Institute was quoted as saying that "Soldiers, athletes and other people at risk of head injuries may benefit from taking anatabine prophylactically."
Since Anatabloc has now been approved by the appropriate sports authorities, every person playing football in high school, college, or professionally should already be taking Anatabloc "prophylactically". You never know when that concussion will occur that results in massively debilitating trauma that does not show up until DECADES later. Why would any parent, or health concious adult, take that chance?
If you think I'm exaggerating, read this...
http://www.sfgate.com/opinion/article/NFL-brain-injuries-nearing-crisis-level-3884267.php
There are literally thousands of former NFL players suing the NFL.
Their individual stories are heart rending...
Very true. It is also an indication that the results of the other mouse studies will translate to humans. (i.e. It is now extremely likely that the very positive results seen in the mouse studies for MS, alzheimers, and traumatic brain injury will also occur in humans.)
leifsmith -
Results of thyroid study add credibility to the anecdotal reports on a variety of benefits for other afflictions, and increases expectation that thorough science will validate those reports. This is not going to hurt the stock price.
It's almost as if they wanted to catch somebody sleeping...
Idcc -
"Odd hour to release a potentially good news."
We learned about the mouse study on thyroiditis through a company PR when JH and Dr. Ladenson were doing a presentation at a medical conference. There was no company PR when the mouse study was submitted for publication and no company PR when the study was accepted for publication 6 months later.
idcc -
My opinion is that a brief news of JH result will come when JH submits the manuscript to the journal for review. More fanfare news will come when the manuscript is finally accepted for publication.
It could be that the problem is with GNC. Perhaps they have underestimated demand and are behind on their orders to Rock Creek...
Nuke -
It appears that some GNC stores are sold out Anatabloc and are awaiting shipments. I have encountered this at three out of the last five stores I visited, and I have seen others make similar posts on the internet. At least in the short term, it appears that demand is outstripping supply. Maybe that is why one store I visited said that a guy comes in and buys all the Anatabloc on the shelf when a shipment comes in (because he is concerned about a shortage after the Thyroid results come out).
I certainly hope that Star's management has considered how big and how fast the ramp could be after word gets out. It's not hard to imagine every GNC store selling a bottle or two per day (after a big name doctor appears on a show like Dr. Oz).
And you are assuming that they are "being closed out and reopened on each spike".
Shank -
"You're assuming that short positions aren't being closed out and reopened on each spike."
The short position to close out 2011 was 19.9 million shares. It's up ~50% since then. Most of the shorts are probably NOT green now.
Shank -
"As far as shorts are concerned, they've been around sine the PPS was in the $4-5 range. Most of them are probably very green now."
"The only people making money here are the traders and the short-sellers."
STSI closed 2011 at $2.18. The price closed today at $2.64. That's an increase of 21.1%.
Shank -
"... Longs have had a tough year. ..."
Tough? I don't think so.
I have had seasonal allergies for as long as I can remember. (Spring and fall - spring is the worst.) I'm not sure what kind of allergies you have that occur this time of year? But since I have been on Anatabloc, my seasonal allergies are practically nonexistent. I'm 6' 260 lbs and take 9 per day. If I feel the "fuzziness" start around my eyes, or my sinuses start draining, I just pop a couple of extra Anatabloc. The effect on my allergies was another surprise benefit that I did not notice until someone on one of these message boards commented last spring about hearing on the radio, "that it was the worst pollen season..." and he just realized he was not experiencing his usual allergies.
The effect of Anatabloc on an area of Eczema in my scalp was what hooked me on Anatabloc in the first place. I had fought that crap for 20+ years. It was GONE within just a few days of my going on the Anatabloc. I was taking Anatabloc for a shoulder issue so I was very surprised when those huge flakes of skin suddenly stopped falling out of my hair. After a few weeks I went on a trip and forgot my Anatabloc. The Eczema came back. When I went back on the Anatabloc, it went away again.
Good luck to you and yours!
Pipi -
Psoriasis update, well I have to say I am a bit in shock that my psoriasis keeps getting better. Really interesting to me, my elbows are healing faster than my knee. The patches on my elbows are now blending in to my skin color and much smaller and thinner- they usually look like huge cherries, with lots of scales. Sometimes the scales will lighten up due to my consistent aquaphor use, but the cherry colored redness never goes away, unless I have been in the sun for days. Wow, there is no doubt mine is way better.
The other day I said I was going to up my dose, but I didn't. I have been taking 6 per day. My allergies have been awful the last few weeks. I hope it isn't making them worse. I live in DC and the weather has been warm and cold, so could just be my allergies, but this is the worse I have had them in years. My sister's allergies have been awful as well, she thinks it is just the season and not the Anatabloc. I hope not, but it is on my mind.
leifsmith - "I'll say "no" too. I think this "investigation," not lawsuit, is complete garbage, probably intended to help short positions."
I agree. In this situation, you should always ask who stands to benefit. There is no way that the individual shareholder is going to benefit from this. The negative publicity hurts the stock price and the company is certainly not "cash rich".
The only ones that could possibly benefit are the lawyers and the shorts. This is just more FUD material brought to you courtesy of our short friends who are increasingly desperate to cover.
Watch for an article on this topic from Adam Feuerstein that will then be extensively "quoted" by skiguy here on IHub.
Westeffer - "That type of price discount to GNC sure would turn off the people buying direct from the Company at full price."
It shouldn't. Someone has to pay for marketing. And we needed some company like GNC to take a chance on our product. They are a for-profit company and can't be expected to do it for free.
Good article.
I agree with the 5% reporting requirement for shorts. But the problem is bigger than that. Profits from shorting get tax advantages that longs do not. Shorts are allowed to do things to manipulate prices that longs are not allowed to do. The rules should be the same on both sides.
Further, shorts are "allowed" to game the system by "failing to deliver". There should NEVER be a valid excuse for this. If they cannot locate shares to borrow, they should NOT be allowed to short. All this crap about how "fails" are necessary for market liquidity is just that... "CRAP"!
shank - "The only similarity is in the way it's been shorted and distorted."
FIFU
IDK when on the 10Q. But I've seen posts by others saying it would be after-hours on Friday.
Thanks Jim. I was going to try to figure it out when I had some time. But now I can put my attention to other matters! Thanks again.
Is there a way to post pictures here? Dr. Faessel has emailed a couple of before and after pics. The lady has been using Anatabloc Creme for 3 days...
I don't make bets with people that can't be trusted to pay up.
RAI has filed an 8K
Thanks to williamjay63 on Yahoo for finding this nugget...
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement, Creation of a Direct Financial
Item 1.01. Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement.
On October 24, 2012, Reynolds American Inc. ("RAI") entered into an Underwriting Agreement related to the underwritten public offering of $2.55 billion aggregate principal amount of its senior notes, consisting of: (i) $450,000,000 aggregate principal amount of its 1.050% Senior Notes due 2015 (the "2015 Notes");
(ii) $1,100,000,000 aggregate principal amount of its 3.250% Senior Notes due 2022 (the "2022 Notes"); and (iii) $1,000,000,000 aggregate principal amount of its 4.750% Senior Notes due 2042 (the "2042 Notes," and together with the 2015 Notes and the 2022 Notes, the "Notes"). The Notes were registered pursuant to RAI's shelf registration statement (File No. 333-167129) under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on May 27, 2010 (the "Registration Statement"). The sale of the Notes is expected to close on October 31, 2012, subject to customary closing conditions.
RAI intends to use the net proceeds from the offering of the Notes to redeem or repurchase the $625 million aggregate principal amount of RAI's 7.25% notes due 2013, to repay or prepay in full the $550 million amount currently outstanding under RAI's term loan facility, plus accrued interest, to repurchase shares of RAI's common stock, and for other general corporate purposes.
Exerpt from the latest Patrick Cox email on the info in the recent PR about the on-going thyroid study.
Nevertheless, it's clear that with the data that's already available from 48 of 165 subjects, the treated and untreated test subjects are showing significant differences. Moreover, the interleukins associated with thyroiditis are presumably reduced, as they were in the animal studies.
I believe, therefore, that the human thyroiditis results are going to be similar to those of the already completed animal thyroiditis study. That study, showing significant amelioration of thyroiditis, was historic, as nothing else has ever demonstrated reversal of thyroid disease.
He's referring to this verbiage from the PR...
“The raters who reviewed the data agreed that there were sufficiently large enough intertreatment differences, in both anti-thyroid antibody and interleukins, that the study was likely to reach its designed objectives. The statistical team that conducted the interim look recommended continuing the study as planned, and the company anticipates completion and data base lock in December 2012.”
Right now I would settle for a version that has two or three times the strength of the current Anatabloc pills. A 2X version that cost the same as what we have now would be price pointed about right IMO.
Short Interest Update...
Short interest increases to 29.8 million shares.
That's an increase of almost 2.75 million shares. Since there were less than 21 million shares traded during that time frame, that means that over 13% of the shares traded were CREATED by shorts. The net result of that huge influx of fictional shares was that the stock price fell from the close at $3.46 on September 28th to a close of $3.40 on October 15th. 1 OUT OF EVERY 8 SHARES WAS CREATED OUT OF THIN AIR AND IT ONLY DROPPED THE STOCK PRICE 6 CENTS!
CONCLUSION: The actual opinion of the market regarding our deal with RAI is positive.
I did NOT misunderstand and you AGAIN did NOT answer the questions. The scam arguments does not make sense unless Dr. Ladenson and Dr. Mullen are faking the tremendously positive study results. (For example, Dr. Ladenson saying that anatabine is the ONLY substance KNOWN to ameliorate thyroiditis.) When the reader cuts thru all that miscelaneous bullshit you purvey, it is obvious that you are accusing these men of being dishonest co-conspirators in a fraud.
You know that's a lie, that's why you don't have the courage to come right out and say it. it's a lie just like your imaginary Ivy League doctors and cosmetic formulators.
Dr. Ladenson and Dr. Mullen are some of the most respected men in their profession and you should be ashamed of yourself for your false and defamatory bullshit.
In fact, in the final analysis, the knowledge that Dr. Ladenson and Dr. Mullen believe in anatabine is all it takes to prove that you are not being honest in your posts.
And you STILL did NOT answer the question and you cannot possibly be that dense.
The peer-reviewed research STRONGLY supported the use of anatabine to treat thyroid disease. Either you are wrong and anatabine is NOT a "scam", or the researchers falsified the data to support the "scam". There is no other possibility. If you think that Dr. Ladenson has been bought off, then have the balls to say so. If not, then your argument that Anatabloc is a "scam" is ENTIRELY baseless.
If Anatabloc is a "scam" there are a LOT of people in on it. Jonnie Williams is not doing the research himself. And the Flint Study that you and "Adam" are trying to minimize actually proves that the researchers have not been "bought off". After all, if the data was being falsified to support the "scam", don't you think those results would have been much more impressive? If those researchers were bought off, JW sure did not get his money's worth.
You are not fooling anyone. You know that your claim that Anatabloc is a "scam" only makes sense if Dr. Ladenson AND Dr. Mullen are active participants. But you also know that if you come out and say that they are participants in a massive fraud, then you'll be hearing from their lawyers. Their reputation is the most valuable asset that they or any researcher has. If they lose it, their life's work is called into question. Why would such men risk losing their reputation by doing what you suggest? The answer is of course that they would NOT do so under ANY circumstances.
The only possible conclusion is that Anatabloc is NOT a "scam" but then you and "Adam" already know that...
You didn't answer the questions...
Skiguy/Feuerstein/silencetwain -
"I could care less about Hopkins. They have done many studies that failed."
"If someone pays a university to research something, the university will research it."
Familyman: I guess you don't have a response to why I have posted on SeekingAlpha as silencetwain under stocks that Adam has never written about. How would you suggest I prove I am not Adam?