Jul 31/03 · General scenario is still meandering for the next few weeks - #msg-1270154 Jul 29/03 · If the market is going to mount a solid run, it will be next year - #msg-1259631 Jul 21/03 · A unique precious metal hedge proposition - #msg-1230445 Jul 17/03 · September we start more sharply down - #msg-1217194 Jul 17/03 · You need to see 40 new lows on the Naz, and more than one day - #msg-1216397 Jul 16/03 · Starting next week, we may go down with a little more vigor - #msg-1212478 Jul 13/03 · Eventually, interest rates are going to rise and slam the stock market - #msg-1197513 Jul 12/03 · Wednesday, a turn date, either a local high or a local low - #msg-1196044 Jul 11/03 · A cycle low between Tuesday and Wednesday around noon - #msg-1194730 Jul 08/03 · Model postulates an actual sharp decline into the Autumn - #msg-1181693 Jul 07/03 · Don't get carried away with the euphoria - #msg-1177921 Jul 07/03 · Rest of the week more problematic after a possible surge to 1750 - #msg-1177207 Jul 04/03 · I think AGM, SKX, ECL and even TLM around here - #msg-1170243 Jul 03/03 · Almost all my indicators point to major risk here - #msg-1167261 Jul 02/03 · Most of the ebullience for this week was spent - #msg-1161783 Jul 01/03 · Thursday and Monday will be mildly up, but after that, watch out - #msg-1158415 Jun 27/03 · A low in the third quarter - #msg-1146395 Jun 25/03 · Normal crazy post announcement up and down ending down - #msg-1138735 Jun 22/03 · Short term, the upside momentum is somewhat damaged - #msg-1130320 Jun 20/03 · I have next week down quite hard, maybe even to that 1575 - #msg-1127641 Jun 18/03 · I think we are being set up for a major retrenchment - #msg-1118982#msg-1118633 Jun 18/03 · Still have the 1500 ±20 on the map for EOM - #msg-1117892 Jun 16/03 · Low P/C ratio into the close, it may signal the start of a possible retreat - #msg-1111312 Jun 16/03 · Once the BPCOMPQ trounces its own 14 DMA... - #msg-1110268 Jun 13/03 · A rapid decline (SOX), or the formation of a right shoulder - #msg-1106125 Jun 13/03 · I don't think it is the end of the down - #msg-1104937 Jun 11/03 · Right now, I prefer to stick to the game plan - #msg-1097456 Jun 11/03 · 1575 is probably not in the card in the next two days - #msg-1097221 Jun 10/03 · I think that these levels are going to be the top for this week - #msg-1091505 Jun 10/03 · Long and short candidates - #msg-1090331 Jun 10/03 · By the end of the month, we should probably see 1500 ±20 - #msg-1090091 Jun 10/03 · For this week, 1575 ±5 as probable low target - #msg-1088981 Jun 05/03 · While March 11 was a local low, it did not have signs of a major low - #msg-1080868 Jun 05/03 · We are going to such extremes here in many indicators - #msg-1080581 Jun 04/03 · I would treat retrenchments as buying opportunities - #msg-1074173 Jun 04/03 · Still the 1500 plus minus 20 area - #msg-1073903 Jun 04/03 · Breadth has been excellent for weeks now - #msg-1073730 Jun 03/03 · An indication of the beginning of deterioration - #msg-1069406 Jun 02/03 · Too many of my indicators are very stretched - #msg-1064199 Jun 02/03 · Best candidate [for a low] is the Wednesday of expiry week, or 6/18 - #msg-1062026#msg-1062138 May 31/03 · 1500 ±20 should serve as very strong support - #msg-1059211 May 30/03 • Back in my bear suit...a 100+ naz points retrenchment - #msg-1056591#msg-1056875#msg-1058518 May 28/03 · A top occurs often at a maximum in new highs - #msg-1049155 May 28/03 · Internals point to a bearish stance being still premature here - #msg-1045585 May 27/03 · Volume is expanding, new highs are expanding, new lows are contracting - #msg-1044977 May 27/03 · I fear we do mild retrenchments and the dips are bought for now - #msg-1044483 May 23/03 · Most likely model has 1465 holding on retrenches for a little while at least - #msg-1036744 May 22/03 · Right now the nassacre is off the table - #msg-1034529#msg-1034538 May 21/03 · No expansion of new lows, a temporary bullish sign - #msg-1026974 May 21/03 · Tomorrow and Friday up, next Tuesday or Wednesday as the top - #msg-1026880#msg-1029707 May 20/03 · A short term relapse that should be over by tomorrow - #msg-1025407#msg-1025426 May 19/03 · Right now, I have no choice but to stay neutral - #msg-1021506 May 19/03 · Wednesday, a bottoming action and going up into Friday - #msg-1019687 May 16/03 · A tentative top next Wednesday - #msg-1012249 May 15/03 · A bear call is still a little premature - #msg-1008521 May 12/03 · Nasdaq, a new four month high, holding above the 200 EMA - #msg-994866 May 10/03 · Equity P/C ratio - #msg-992402#msg-992623 May 09/03 · Here at 1520 the new highs are disappointing - #msg-990878 May 09/03 · Still think there is a higher likelihood that this move will fail - #msg-989059 May 08/03 · Right now I have possible bounces from 1465 and 1414 - #msg-985665 May 07/03 · Indices and number of new highs, equity put/call ratio, BPCOMPQ - #msg-984980#msg-985029 May 07/03 · Very unusual for a bear market to end with lack of negative extremes - #msg-984585 May 04/03 · Change back to full fledge bear requires 1391 to be breached - #msg-975089 May 04/03 · It is still not worth changing the neutral position - #msg-974628 May 04/03 • I have not turned bullish, but I am now neutral - #msg-974596 May 04/03 · First retrenchment will probably be bought with a "vengeance" - #msg-974145 May 04/03 · Quite possible to have a blow off followed by a major decline - #msg-974047 May 02/03 · Stay away from the chips, I see them relapsing more than other sectors - #msg-972647 May 02/03 • May/June major decline postulated earlier got annulled - #msg-972578#msg-972649 Apr 30/03 · The last times we had such a stellar month, it was followed by disaster - #msg-964928 Apr 29/03 · We are still under the "to the hills flag" - #msg-961944#msg-962033 Apr 26/03 · If 1391 is breached, two very strong down weeks to follow - #msg-952523 Apr 25/03 · If 1432 does not hold, next bounce range is from around 1414 - #msg-951616 Apr 24/03 · July bottom was modified a short while ago to 1081 nominal - #msg-947647 See #msg-932539 Apr 24/03 · May take few weeks until the setup for a waterfall - #msg-947608 Apr 23/03 · If we do not breach 1390 and we continue to have improved internals... - #msg-945553 Apr 23/03 · The test will probably be holding 1390 on any retrenchment - #msg-945266 Apr 23/03 · A low in mid to late July with a possible retest in early October - #msg-944706 Apr 23/03 · Still have a major retrenchment to just under 1100 by mid July - #msg-943349#msg-943459 Apr 22/03 · Still do not like the "colors" of this advance - #msg-940648 Apr 18/03 · I doubt that an expansion is going to happen - #msg-932519 Apr 18/03 · RSI on the BPCOMPQ well into bearish territory - #msg-932180 Apr 17/03 · A string of three consecutive down days soon here - #msg-930808 Apr 17/03 · Stretched as can be with stinking internals - #msg-929996#msg-930781 Apr 16/03 · Once 1330 is taken out, it will be a waterfall - #msg-927261 Apr 15/03 · A slightly protracted period of grinding nowhere - #msg-924062 Apr 15/03 · This week, a range of 1360-1400 - #msg-922351 Apr 14/03 · The resolution, IMTO will be down - #msg-920461 Apr 12/03 · Breaking 1330 before this earning season is over - #msg-917402 Apr 12/03 · Staying with the timing of the Jan 25 scenario - #msg-917155 Apr 10/03 · I think we are being set up for a major decline - #msg-912910#msg-912933 Apr 09/03 · Nazdaq in a range of 1330-1400 - #msg-910704#msg-910971 (range correction) #msg-911329 Apr 09/03 · 1330, while a support, will falter rapidly - #msg-909835 Apr 08/03 · Once we break the 1375/80 or so area, I think we will break fast - #msg-906903 Apr 06/03 · For another two weeks or so we are probably in a trading range - #msg-900147 Apr 05/03 · Possibility of a cyclical bull - #msg-899283 Apr 03/03 · The internals are not strengthening that much - #msg-893649#msg-893748 Apr 02/03 · Still have a breach of 1330 sometime this month - #msg-890966 Apr 02/03 · Volume and new high indicators are double edged sword - #msg-890115 Apr 02/03 · Rally looks better, new highs expanding - #msg-889225#msg-889418#msg-889837 Apr 02/03 · Real resistance is probably a little higher than 1400 - #msg-889171 Apr 01/03 · A grinding decline to the 1290/1300 area - #msg-887244#msg-887286 Mar 31/03 · Between 1330 and 1370 - #msg-884086#msg-884149 Mar 31/03 · Later in the week, the turnips have 1330 taken out - #msg-882399 Mar 31/03 · 1330/50 is still a bounce area - #msg-881663 Mar 29/03 · Positive elements are outweighed by many negative developments - #msg-879591 Mar 27/03 · Still have a "need" to see a first test of the 1330/50 area - #msg-875915 Mar 26/03 · Before the end of the week we will test 1330/50 area - #msg-872761 Mar 25/03 · The technical underpinnings of the recent run are poor - #msg-870615 Mar 25/03 · 1400 on the Naz as a potential mini barrier - #msg-869078 Mar 24/03 · A mild bump up from the 1330/50 area - #msg-867620 Mar 21/03 · The secular bear is far from over, IMTO - #msg-861993 Mar 21/03 · We are smack into the the January highs here - #msg-861541 Mar 21/03 · Danger for the bulls - #msg-860148 Mar 21/03 · The leadership is still poor - #msg-859260 Mar 20/03 · 1420/1440 area could be the target - #msg-858717 Mar 19/03 · The quality of the move is so bad and so thin - #msg-854900 Mar 19/03 · First bounce on the Naz should be in the 1330/40 area - #msg-854663 Mar 19/03 · New highs have not reached Febraury levels - #msg-852632 Mar 18/03 · Very short term we are due for a severe relapse - #msg-848998 Mar 17/03 · Sign of a cyclical bull - #msg-848728 Mar 17/03 · Expecting a low sometime in May - #msg-848081 Mar 17/03 · Still think that this bear is far from dead - #msg-848058 Mar 17/03 · You rarely get a major move without a solid capitulation - #msg-847424 Mar 15/03 · Results of the second quarter could result in strong Summer rally - #msg-842660 Mar 15/03 · A major bear, within that we get runs to the 200 DMA - #msg-842629#msg-842645 Mar 15/03 · Nassacre is alive and well and now we should go into Phase II - #msg-842385 Mar 15/03 • We finished the first phase of this Nassacre last Wednesday - #msg-842045 Mar 14/03 · The hall mark of a turn is that the internals improve - #msg-840428#msg-842021 Mar 14/03 · Bear suit still fully zipped - #msg-840394 Mar 14/03 · Expecting a close repeat of the late February chart - #msg-838497 Mar 14/03 · We may be looking at phase II - #msg-838462 Mar 13/03 · Without a GNT, there is no real bottom - #msg-837223 Mar 13/03 · I think that like late last month, this will prove to be distributory - #msg-837197 Mar 13/03 · A very dangerous market and my bear suit is fully zipped - #msg-835956 Mar 13/03 · By this time next week, we should be safely under 1260 - #msg-835255#msg-836445 Mar 13/03 · No reason to remove bear suit - #msg-834688#msg-835188 Mar 12/03 · Too late to engage in heavy shorting or put buying - #msg-833671 Mar 12/03 · We are not ready yet for more than a bounce to 1292/1302 - #msg-833592 Mar 12/03 · Either a two day ramp to 1292, or a breach of 1260 - #msg-831622 Mar 11/03 · Resistance most likely at 1292, maybe above 1300 - #msg-830992 Mar 10/03 · First support 1280, next support 1260/63 area - #msg-825751 Mar 08/03 · When war starts, a large bump which is heavily sold - #msg-822764 Mar 07/03 · 1292 and lower next week - #msg-820418 Mar 07/03 · If 1292 holds, a small bounce could occur - #msg-819122 Mar 06/03 · Surviving the emotions of trading - #msg-818571 Mar 05/03 · Apart from the delays, we are following the schedule - #msg-813989 Mar 04/03 · By late Thursday, any ramp started tomorrow will dissipate - #msg-812413 Mar 04/03 · Tomorrow...mild up day...resumption of the decline - #msg-810798 Mar 03/03 · A mild turn back up Wednesday afternoon - #msg-808219 Mar 03/03 · Think we will at least visit sub 1300 territory this week - #msg-808208 Mar 02/03 · Market behaving worse than mid January, post the 1/6 call - #msg-805950 Feb 28/03 · Could continue this distribution for another week - #msg-803388 Feb 28/03 • Extremely dangerous level here; reiterate "run to the hills" - #msg-802739 Feb 27/03 · Attack on Iraq could be delayed until close to April - #msg-800746 Feb 27/03 · Still in a very dangerous area here on the Naz - #msg-800400 Feb 25/03 · The great majority of the technical indicators are still bearish - #msg-794954 Feb 25/03 · Phase I may not have more than a week to 2½ to go - #msg-794927 Feb 25/03 · Not bullish here yet - #msg-794876 Feb 23/03 · Maybe we are now in the early March 2-3 week run - #msg-788682 Feb 23/03 · We often get these false breakouts - #msg-788657 Feb 23/03 · Could easily drop more than 25 on the Naz tomorrow - #msg-788430 Feb 23/03 · After mid-year, the surprise could be a cyclical bull move - #msg-788375 Feb 22/03 · End of Phase I is still 1197/1223 - #msg-787342 Feb 22/03 · IMTO, this is a classic bull trap - #msg-786780 Feb 20/03 · By the end of next week, we should be in full retreat - #msg-781704 Feb 19/03 · Just an oversold relief run - #msg-776993 Feb 18/03 · I think that by the end of the day tomorrow we will be red - #msg-775342 Feb 18/03 · How can one turn bullish? IMTO, it is a trap - #msg-775293 Feb 17/03 · Bear suit still fully zipped - #msg-772918 Feb 17/03 · Bet is that tomorrow we get our traditional G&C - #msg-772059 Feb 15/03 · Bet is that we are turned back from the 1321/35 area - #msg-768059 Feb 14/03 · By the end of the month we should be testing 1197/1223 - #msg-766889 Feb 14/03 · We have not had excess pessimism - #msg-765528 Feb 13/03 · The early March bounce topped at 1327 - #msg-764223 Feb 12/03 · The low 1200s will be reserved for later this month - #msg-760470 Feb 11/03 · Now 1263 will be less of an obstacle to additional declines - #msg-756957 Feb 10/03 · We need 3 phases: complacency, concern, panic selling - #msg-753915 Feb 10/03 · Options expiration, precipitous decline, breach of today's low - #msg-753579 Feb 10/03 · No end in sight until sentiment indicators blow - #msg-753274 Feb 10/03 · 1312 is possible - #msg-753176 Feb 10/03 · I think we continue lower than 1275 - #msg-752907 Feb 10/03 · Dark siders are back in the driver seat - #msg-752529 Feb 06/03 · At least another 80 Naz points before first leg done - #msg-743382 Feb 05/03 · Low opening seems to be the path of least resistance now - #msg-740615 Feb 05/03 · We are not even close to a turning point - #msg-740370 Feb 05/03 · Sox is already failing to make a new HOD - #msg-738755 Feb 05/03 · Running into top of the box, fear we will be hit hard after that - #msg-738695 Feb 05/03 · Top of the box is still 1332 ± 5 - #msg-737722 Feb 03/03 · Expecting a bounce from 1263 - #msg-733246 Feb 03/03 · More pain is due - #msg-733033 Feb 03/03 · 1332 ± 5 will serve as strong resistance - #msg-731598 Feb 03/03 · Still calling for sub 1300 before the week is out - #msg-731274 Jan 31/03 · A red close on the Naz and under 1300 by next week - #msg-726227 Jan 30/03 · By the end of next week, 1300 will be kissed "good bye" - #msg-724032 Jan 30/03 · Tomorrow might be a good time to get out of weak longs - #msg-723740 Jan 30/03 · We are still in a major downtrend - #msg-722458 Jan 29/03 · Using the equity P/C ratio - #msg-720389 Jan 29/03 · Still have that 1377 as the barrier here - #msg-719278 Jan 28/03 · VIX collapsed today, we may not reach bottom of 1357/77 - #msg-716112 Jan 26/03 • Dow hit list for 2003 - #msg-710613 Jan 26/03 · Breach 1327, then an anemic bounce to 1357/77 - #msg-710582 Jan 25/03 • New tentative schedule for the next five/six months - #msg-708849 Jan 25/03 · Target for the Dow first leg down was already exceeded - #msg-708735 Jan 24/03 · Now well into completing the first leg of the Nassacre - #msg-706195 Jan 23/03 · Each stock has its own ideal entry (on the dark side) - #msg-704222 Jan 23/03 · The window is open until about next Wednesday - #msg-703463#msg-703478 Jan 23/03 · Strong Naz day...just an anemic bounce - #msg-703292 Jan 22/03 · Still expect a bounce back to just under 1400 - #msg-700192 Jan 22/03 · Expect a run to 1391/7 with a possible max at 1414 - #msg-698686 Jan 21/03 · Equity P/C ratio at .42; extremely bearish - #msg-696553 Jan 21/03 · A turn tomorrow maybe to the 1391/7 area - #msg-696433 Jan 19/03 · 1391/7 will be a very strong overhead resistance - #msg-691142 Jan 18/03 · This year, Nasdaq from 1521 down to around 950 - #msg-689755 Jan 18/03 · Bottom of the first leg lowered to 1198/1223 - #msg-689476 Jan 18/03 · A bounce before we continue this first leg down - #msg-689373 Jan 17/03 · Resuming the first leg of a major decline - #msg-686497 Jan 16/03 · BTK - #msg-685638#msg-685666#msg-686505 Jan 15/03 · Within two months, 1263 and maybe lower - #msg-681069 Jan 14/03 · Staggered retreat with some SOX companies still climbing - #msg-679170 Jan 14/03 · "Run for the Hills" stands - #msg-678044 Jan 12/03 · We may still reach just above 1500 on the Nasdaq - #msg-672791 Jan 10/03 · End of day: Still in bear suit; out with 68% cash - #msg-669945 Jan 10/03 · If we close above 1447, "run to the hills" is cancelled - #msg-668918 Jan 10/03 · Don't have us going past 1520 - #msg-668901 Jan 10/03 · Short term now calls for a neutral to bearish stance - #msg-668371 Jan 09/03 · Reiterating "Run for the Hills" call here - #msg-665700 Jan 09/03 · Expecting 1447 to hold as a top - #msg-665399 Jan 08/03 · Minor double top of 1447, possibly next week - #msg-662286 Jan 06/03 • Dividend taxation; no economic stimulus impact - #msg-658687 Jan 06/03 · Take about 100 Naz points off each of the targets - #msg-658572 Jan 06/03 · This run was extremely underwhelming - #msg-657702 Jan 06/03 · The risk is too high here - #msg-657407 Jan 06/03 • Here at 1424, the turnips are issuing a "To the hills call" - #msg-657325 Jan 06/03 · January rally may stall badly here - #msg-657151 Jan 04/03 · If volume picks up early next week, we should be doing fine - #msg-653236 Jan 04/03 · First battle probably 1391/7, then 1426 - #msg-653062 Jan 04/03 · In risk averse environment, money goes to Dow stocks - #msg-652969 Jan 01/03 • Forecast for first half of 2003 - #msg-647289 Dec 31/02 · Lack of conviction on the sell side - #msg-646388 Dec 31/02 · No 'run for the hills'; staying with low cash position - #msg-645731 Dec 30/02 · 1391/7 probably a barrier to any advance - #msg-644348#msg-644297 Dec 28/02 · Still think seasonal influences will reestablish themselves - #msg-641639 Dec 27/02 · Still sticking to the seasonal theme of expected strength - #msg-640961 Dec 27/02 · Nasdaq at 1347, but new lows only hit 45 - #msg-640734 Dec 26/02 · Review of Nov-Jan forecasts; still bullish here - #msg-639614 Dec 26/02 · Pre invasion run, post invasion relapse - #msg-639193 Dec 25/02 · Reducing the January high to 1550 - #msg-638162 Dec 25/02 · Still expect mild bullish trend - #msg-638161 Dec 23/02 · A solid week behind schedule - #msg-636861 Dec 23/02 · Still expecting seasonal strength until January - #msg-636638 Dec 23/02 · Not as bullish here - #msg-636623 Dec 21/02 · Don't get too bearish here - #msg-634492 Dec 21/02 · Expecting a a short term run in the SOX - SI #reply-18361963 Dec 19/02 · Still quite bullish - #msg-631960 Dec 19/02 · Should run hard into the end of the year - #msg-631451 Dec 19/02 · After this week, party should start - #msg-631082 Dec 14/02 · Not going into a 1929 depression - #msg-624925 Dec 14/02 • Quite bullish for the next 4 weeks - #msg-624829 Dec 14/02 · Probably the end of the down move - #msg-624596 Dec 13/02 · Prior tops of significance - #msg-624115 Dec 13/02 · Sept 11/02 top (1347) is major line in the sand - #msg-624043 Dec 12/02 · May close above 1470 next week - #msg-622016 Dec 12/02 · Meandering next week as well - #msg-621945 Dec 09/02 · No major move up until next week - #msg-617611 Dec 09/02 · Next week mostly up - #msg-616871 Dec 09/02 · Very bullish stance here - #msg-616495 Dec 07/02 • Forecast for first half of 2003 - #msg-614572 Dec 07/02 · Not the time to short - #msg-614538 Dec 05/02 · Bullish here around 1400 on the Naz - #msg-611879 Dec 04/02 · Still expect backing and filling - #msg-610086 Dec 04/02 · Donning not so shiny pair of horns - #msg-609508 Dec 04/02 · 1378 is the next target - #msg-609399 Dec 03/02 · First two weeks of December - #msg-607798 Nov 30/02 · Possibility of 1940 high next year - #msg-602499 Nov 25/02 • Next 7 weeks II - #msg-598082 Nov 24/02 • Next 7 weeks I - #msg-595913 Nov 23/02 · SOX target of 184 in next six to nine months - SI #reply-18268199 Nov 02/02 · Expecting a retrenchment in the semis - SI #reply-18187796 Oct 10/02 · Expecting a strong move in the semis - SI #reply-18100366 Sep 07/02 • 950 target for the bottom - #msg-491054 Jan 27/02 • Forecasted turning points since early 2000 - SI #reply-16967797 Dec 29/01 • Market scenario for 2002 (long post) - SI #reply-16842549 Apr 23/00 • Prediction of bear market - SI #reply-13483082
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