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The 10 Top/Bottom S&P 500 Index percent net change performers
By: Thom Hartle | March 4, 2024
• Today (8:33 CST), the 10 top/bottom percent net change performers in the S&P 500 Index.
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The 10 Top/Bottom NASDAQ 100 Index percent net change performers
By: Thom Hartle | March 4, 2024
• Today (8:33 CST), the 10 top/bottom percent net change performers in the NASDAQ 100 Index.
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AI-generated Buy and Sell Daily Signals
By: Hedgeye | March 4, 2024
• This is free access to our brand-new AI-generated buy and sell signals.
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US equity funds saw significant inflows of $7.66 billion over the past week, reflecting investors' optimism in the potential returns of the US stock market
By: Isabelnet | March 2, 2024
• Flow
US equity funds saw significant inflows of $7.66 billion over the past week, reflecting investors' optimism in the potential returns of the US stock market.
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S&P 500: The Sell Side Indicator, which tracks Wall Street strategists' equity allocation, increased by 33bp in February. The current level suggests that the S&P 500 may experience positive gains over the next 12 months
By: Isabelnet | March 2, 2024
• S&P 500
The Sell Side Indicator, which tracks Wall Street strategists' equity allocation, increased by 33bp in February. The current level suggests that the S&P 500 may experience positive gains over the next 12 months.
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The best performing stocks in the S&P 500 over the last 30 years...
By: Charlie Bilello | March 3, 2024
• The best performing stocks in the S&P 500 over the last 30 years...
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THE S&P 500 $SPY IS REBALANCING
By: Evan | March 1, 2024
• THE S&P 500 $SPY IS REBALANCING
Super Micro $SMCI and Deckers $DECK will be replacing Whirlpool $WHR and Zion Bancorporation $ZION in the S&P 500 before the markets open on March 18th
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$QQQ Every negative to positive MACD flip since October has sparked a multi-day rally for the Nasdaq...
By: TrendSpider | March 2, 2024
• $QQQ Every negative to positive MACD flip since October has sparked a multi-day rally for the Nasdaq...
Happened again yesterday.
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CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
By: Hedgopia | March 2, 2024
• Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of February 27, 2024.
E-mini S&P 500: Currently net short 224.2k, up 5.7k.
The last time the weekly RSI at 76.82 was as overbought was January 2020, when the S&P 500 then came under slight pressure but only to rally anew to subsequently peak in February, followed by a five-week, 35.4-percent drubbing. The Covid-19 virus was the catalyst back then for the sell-off. For lack of a catalyst, the current frenzy can go on. But the kind of giddy exuberance as is seen today always ends.
The large cap index is up north of 25 percent from last October’s lows. It is up in 16 of 18 weeks. Caution is warranted. Yet, the monthly RSI at 67.33 is yet to hit 70, which the bulls must be eyeing – at least.
Nasdaq (mini): Currently net long 10.2k, down 15.3k.
One more roadblock bit the dust. The Nasdaq 100 had been stopped at 18000 since February 9th. Friday, the tech-heavy index rallied 1.4 percent to score yet another breakout, albeit mini. For the week, it jumped two percent. This was the 16th up week in 18. From last October’s lows, it is up an insane 30.4 percent – and up 75.6 percent from October 2022. Unreal!
On Friday last week, Nvidia (NVDA) backed off after tagging $824, dropping to $771 this Thursday. By Friday, bulls were testing last week’s high, with the stock closing at $823. This is setting up as yet another opportunity for the stock to push higher. Rightly or wrongly, this has become a go-to stock for now and will help the overall market should it break out.
Russell 2000 mini-index: Currently net short 18.2k, down 6k.
The Russell 2000 had a strong week – up three percent to 2076 – but it is yet to convincingly take out the December 27th high of 2072. Back then, the small cap index stopped at that price after a two-month rally that began at 1634 on October 27th.
Small-cap bulls have an opportunity to at least go attack 2100, which is a measured-move target following a 200-point – between 1900 and 1700 – range breakout on December 13th.
US Dollar Index: Currently net long 2.1k, up 537.
The US dollar index suffered a back-to-back down week, but only nominally this week, down 0.1 percent to 103.80. This follows a weekly spinning top two weeks ago and a shooting star before that. Last week’s could be a hanging man, and this week’s is a doji.
The point is, the chart points to a lot of indecision. Understandably so, as the index has hovered around 103-104, which goes back to December 2016, for several weeks now. Post-Fed pivot on December 13th, it sliced through that horizontal support. It has made a return trip to that level, but reclaiming it is proving difficult for dollar bulls. Odds favor the bears for now.
VIX: Currently net short 40.7k, up 1.6k.
VIX this week gave back 0.29 points to 13.11 – ever so close to a rising trend line from December 12th when VIX bottomed at 11.81; this gets breached at 13. Right here and now, odds favor the bears – volatility bears, that is.
The current lack of momentum for the bulls is highlighted by the fact that the weekly RSI is turning lower at the median.
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Just an absolutely brutal time in history to be a tech bear
By: TrendSpider | March 2, 2024
• Just an absolutely brutal time in history to be a tech bear.
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$SPX Don’t change a winning team and since no warning levels are broken to the downside we must look higher
By: Intelligent Investing | March 1, 2024
• $SPX
Don’t change a winning team and since no warning levels are broken to the downside we must look higher.
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The Best and Worst Performing S&P 500 Stocks of February 2024
By: Bespoke Investment Group | March 1, 2024
The average S&P 500 stock rose 3.87% in February even though the index itself was up more than 5%. You can check out the performance of various ETFs across asset classes in February in this post, but below we take a look at the best and worst-performing individual S&P 500 names during the month.
While NVIDIA (NVDA) got a lot of attention (as always) after its most recent blowout earnings report, two stocks outdid the "King of AI" in February: Constellation Energy (CEG) and Ralph Lauren (RL).
Additional big winners in February included 20%+ gainers like Quanta Services (PWR), GE HealthCare (GEHC), Axon Enterprise (AXON) -- the maker of Tasers and video software for police departments, Tapestry (TPR), and Uber (UBER). Other notables include Diamondback Energy (FANG), NXP Semi (NXPI), General Electric (GE), Vulcan Materials (VMC), and Eli Lilly (LLY). And finally, even Disney (DIS) managed to make the list of the 30 biggest winners in February with a gain of 16.17%.
Not everything went up during the month, however. In fact, of the S&P's 500 stocks, 350 were up and 150 were down in February. That's pretty weak breadth for a 5%+ up month.
Below is a list of the 30 S&P 500 stocks that fell the most in February. Notably, three of the five biggest losers were from the Communication Services sector: Paramount (PARA), Charter (CHTR), and Warner Bros. (WBD). Other big blue chips that fell in February include Amgen (AMGN), Adobe (ADBE), Palo Alto Networks (PANW), Comcast (CMCSA), and Deere (DE).
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Ex-2020 S&P 500 Flatter Election Year March
By: Almanac Trader | March 1, 2024
But after 4 months of solid gains the market is poised for a modest pullback of maybe 3-6%.
S&P 500 Support: 4800 old ATH.[/img]
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$SPY Millions worth of deep ITM calls being added
By: Cheddar Flow | March 1, 2024
• $SPY Millions worth of deep ITM calls being added
These are being opened because there is 0 open interest on the contracts
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AI-generated Buy and Sell Daily Signals
By: Hedgeye | March 1, 2024
• This is free access to our brand-new AI-generated buy and sell signals.
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S&P 500 Best on First trading Day of March Last 24 Years
By: Almanac Trader | February 29, 2024
First trading days of months have a bullish reputation and March is not an exception. Reviewing the last 24 years of data reveals S&P 500 has the best record, advancing 66.7% of the time with an average gain of 0.35%. NASDAQ is second best based upon frequency of gains, up 62.5% of the time examined with an impressive 0.63% average gain. DJIA has been modestly softer, also up 62.5% of the time with an average advance of 0.27%.
March’s first trading day strength has not been limited to just the last 24 years. Since 1950, DJIA has advanced 50 times in 74 years (67.6%) with an average gain of 0.23%. S&P 500 has been nearly as consistent, up 63.5% with an average gain of 0.24%. NASDAQ has also been a solid performer since 1971, up 33 times in 53 years (62.3%) with a respectable 0.35% average.
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Money managers Increased their exposure to the US Equity markets since last week...
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NAAIM Exposure Index
February 29, 2024
The NAAIM Number
88.99
Last Quarter Average
67.81
»»» Read More…
$SPX Mixed flow after PCE this morning. No directional bias so far
By: Cheddar Flow | February 29, 2024
• $SPX Mixed flow after PCE this morning
No directional bias so far
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$QQQ $13+ Million Unusual Call Prints
By: Cheddar Flow | February 29, 2024
• $QQQ $13M+ Unusual Call Prints
These only have 2 weeks until expiration and are above the ask to show urgency
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The 10 Top/Bottom S&P 500 Index percent net change performers
By: Thom Hartle | February 29, 2024
• Today (8:36 CST), the 10 top/bottom percent net change performers in the S&P 500 Index.
Read Full Story »»»
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The 10 Top/Bottom NASDAQ 100 Index percent net change performers
By: Thom Hartle | February 29, 2024
• Today (8:36 CST), the 10 top/bottom percent net change performers in the NASDAQ 100 Index.
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S&P 500: In the fourth year of a new President's term, the US stock market tends to regain momentum in Q2 and perform well through to the end of the year
By: Isabelnet | February 29, 2024
• S&P 500
In the fourth year of a new President's term, the US stock market tends to regain momentum in Q2 and perform well through to the end of the year.
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AI-generated Buy and Sell Daily Signals
By: Hedgeye | February 29, 2024
• This is free access to our brand-new AI-generated buy and sell signals.
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The AAII Investor Sentiment
By: AAII | February 29, 2024
Bullish 46.5%
Neutral 32.2%
Bearish 21.3%
• Historical 1-Year High
Bullish: 52.9%
Neutral: 39.5%
Bearish: 50.3%
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It's hard to be bearish when this many $SPX members are making new 52-week highs every day! 20% on Friday, 14% on Monday...
By: David Keller | February 28, 2024
• It's hard to be bearish when this many $SPX members are making new 52-week highs every day! 20% on Friday, 14% on Monday...
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As long as the $SPX stays above the dotted colored warning levels, the Bulls remain in charge, and we can allow for another push higher
By: Intelligent Investing | February 28, 2024
• Our premium members know that as long as the $SPX stays above the dotted colored warning levels, the Bulls remain in charge, and we can allow for another push higher.
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NDR's S&P 500 Intermediate Breadth Thrust just triggered!
By: Dinesh | February 28, 2024
• NDR's Intermediate Breadth Thrust just triggered!
12-month forward returns 20-0 with a median gain of 16.55%
Always has occurred in a bull market as well
This is the first for this bull market
Prior signal was May 2020
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$NDX - Update. Holding that Re-Entry of the Bear 'Wedge'. Yet failing to get beyond my Arrowed Target for a tap of the Uppr-Parallel...
By: Sahara | February 28, 2024
• $NDX - Update.
Holding that Re-Entry of the Bear 'Wedge'. Yet failing to get beyond my Arrowed Target for a tap of the Uppr-Parallel...
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$SPX - Update. Holding outside the Uppr-Band after tapping the Arrowed Target. Still the pot'l for an Overhrow towards 5150-5250 Target Level (I showed prior)...
By: Sahara | February 28, 2024
• $SPX - Update.
Holding outside the Uppr-Band after tapping the Arrowed Target. Still the pot'l for an Overhrow towards 5150-5250 Target Level (I showed prior)...
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DJIA and S&P 500 Down 15 of Last 19 on February’s Last Day
By: Almanac Trader | February 28, 2024
Before the market can close the books on February, it still must contend with its historically weak last trading day. Since 1996, the S&P 500 has declined 20 times in 28 years on the last day of February. DJIA and NASDAQ have been just as bearish. Average losses on the last day range from –0.48% by DJIA to –0.39% from NASDAQ. The best gain on the day for the major averages was in 2000 while the worst decline was in 2008.
In the leap years since 1950, DJIA and S&P 500 still lean bearish. DJIA has been down nine times in thirteen occurrences and S&P 500 has declined eight times. Average performance is –0.07% for DJIA and –0.06% for S&P 500. NASDAQ is slightly better in leap years, up five of nine, but down four of the last five. NASDAQ’s average performance is a meager +0.01%.
More recently weakness appears to have only been intensifying as DJIA and S&P 500 have been down nine straight and 11 of the last 12. NASDAQ has tried to buck this bearish trend with three gains in the last four years. Should February’s last day see declines again this year, it could be a solid setup for the historically bullish first trading day of March.
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$TQQQ $2+ Million Aggressive OTM Call Sweepers
By: Cheddar Flow | February 28, 2024
• $TQQQ $2M+ Aggressive OTM Call Sweepers
These are opening orders (Vol > OI) and are highly unusual prints, due to their near-term expiration and strike
This ticker is the 3x Bull ETF for $QQQ
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AI-generated Buy and Sell Daily Signals
By: Hedgeye | February 28, 2024
• This is free access to our brand-new AI-generated buy and sell signals.
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$QQQ $3+ Million OTM Puts
By: Cheddar Flow | February 27, 2024
• $ARKK & $QQQ $3M+ OTM Puts
These are at/above the ask and opening orders
They also both include a near-term expiration
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$SPX Mixed Calls/Puts
By: Cheddar Flow | February 27, 2024
• $SPX
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The 10 Top/Bottom S&P 500 Index percent net change performers
By: Thom Hartle | February 27, 2024
• Today (8:36 CST), the 10 top/bottom percent net change performers in the S&P 500 Index.
Read Full Story »»»
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The 10 Top/Bottom NASDAQ 100 Index percent net change performers
By: Thom Hartle | February 27, 2024
• Today (8:36 CST), the 10 top/bottom percent net change performers in the NASDAQ 100 Index.
Read Full Story »»»
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AI-generated Buy and Sell Daily Signals
By: Hedgeye | February 27, 2024
• This is free access to our brand-new AI-generated buy and sell signals.
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$SPY $2.4 Million Short-Duration Puts Hitting the Tape
By: Cheddar Flow | February 26, 2024
• $SPY $2.4M Short-Duration Puts Hitting the Tape
These are likely day-traders attempting to catch an intraday drop
*Above the Ask*
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$SPX Back like they never left with Calls
By: Cheddar Flow | February 23, 2024
• $SPX Back like they never left
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The 10 Top/Bottom S&P 500 Index percent net change performers
By: Thom Hartle | February 23, 2024
• Today (8:33 CST), the 10 top/bottom percent net change performers in the S&P 500 Index.
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The Nasdaq Composite is up nearly 3%, with fewer than 55% of issues advancing
By: Jason Goepfert | February 23, 2024
• Unusual situation developing.
The Nasdaq Composite is up nearly 3%, with fewer than 55% of issues advancing.
All 5 precedents according to SentimenTrader occurred between 1999-2001.
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$NDX - Update. We got a Re-Entry to the Bear 'Wedge'.
By: Sahara | February 23, 2024
• $NDX - Update.
We got a Re-Entry to the Bear 'Wedge'.
Yet only just, and it's at an Uppr-Parallel & BB's with a pot'l for a 'Dbl-Top' and no go signal to re-enter long on the Daily SPX Ratio so stay cautious..
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March: Historically Solid, but Plagued by Steep Losses in Election Years 1980 & 2020
By: Almanac Trader | February 23, 2024
As part of the Best Six/Eight Months featured in the 2024 Stock Trader’s Almanac, March has historically been a solid performing month with DJIA, S&P 500, NASDAQ, Russell 1000 & 2000 all advancing more than 64% of the time with average gains ranging from 0.7% by Russell 2000 to 1.1% by S&P 500.
March has a mixed track record in election years. Average performance is hammered lower by steep declines in 2020 and 1980. DJIA and S&P 500 have both advanced in 11 of the last 18 election-year Marchs, but the forementioned declines drag average performance to just 0.2% and 0.4% respectively. NASDAQ, Russell 1000 and Russell 2000 are hit even harder due to fewer years of data. Declines in 2020 were the result of the covid-19 pandemic while 1980’s losses can be attributed to surging inflation that peaked at 14.6%.
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AI-generated Buy and Sell Daily Signals
By: Hedgeye | February 23, 2024
• This is free access to our brand-new AI-generated buy and sell signals.
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:::::::::::: Welcome to S&P 500 & Nasdaq Analysis and Trends :::::::::::::
• The purpose of this board is to help others with Short & Long term S&P 500 & Nasdaq analysis and direction.
• This is strickly an educational board helping traders to learn market direction, swing and bottom trading.
• I ask that everyone respect opinions on the board whether you agree with them or not. We are all here to make money and avoid the
minimum loss we can.
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Most of this board's WATCHERS are "lurkers" who appreciate info available without the need to sift through tons of "empty" posts.
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*Information Posted on this Board is not Meant to Suggest any Specific Action, But to Point Out the Technical Signs That Can Help Our Readers Make Their Own Specific Decisions. Your Due Deligence is a Must.
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