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optionking

02/07/06 2:14 PM

#71776 RE: ajtj99 #71774


AJTJ...looking at CSCO open interest...CSCO looks like a short to 17.50 or lower

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The Freep

02/07/06 2:24 PM

#71778 RE: ajtj99 #71774

AJ -- I appreciate the chart, but just cuz you call that a left shoulder doesn't make it one. Where would the neckline be over there? It doesn't form a shoulder, does it? It's got a bunch of candles up above it, but no clear touch on what would be the neckline -- no touch on what defines shoulder shape. I'm guessing that's why you didn't draw the neckline to the left, which was what my question was about!

I prefer Newly's simpler chart and, as we've discussed before, it comes up with a very similar target. But FOR ME, it's a chart that's clear and identifiable and doesn't make me come up with a take on the weekly that doesn't jibe with what the daily is doing.
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Newly2b

02/07/06 2:25 PM

#71779 RE: ajtj99 #71774

$OEX

Sorry, AJ, gotta agree with the Freep on this -- ya ain't got no stinkin' left shoulder there.

Price has to rise into a H&S Top. Even if you consider this a complex H&S top with multiple left and right shoulders, then your neckline has to begin at the drop between the two left shoulders on 12/8, not at the drop between the second left shoulder and the head on 12/30 as you have it, and if the neckline is drawn there, it is far below the drop between the head and first right shoulder on 1/25. Just ain't happenin' in my world.

Newly