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dffhogs

07/25/13 3:54 PM

#137 RE: 10 bagger #136

Good to know. Moving back up now that the overhang is gone....
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Enterprising Investor

07/26/13 6:42 PM

#138 RE: 10 bagger #136

Possess a different view.

BNCC is merely suffering from TARP Overhang Syndrome.

However, I have been picking up shares for several accounts. BNCC is now my largest holding since departing C after seven and one-half years with a retirement account fully-allocated with common stock.
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free_bee

07/27/13 8:08 PM

#139 RE: 10 bagger #136

Feel like start calling you Mr 9 and half bagger for leaving BNCC early.
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vpagano

07/29/13 10:24 AM

#140 RE: 10 bagger #136

Can I ask how you are running your valuation to say it is fully valued?

I posted this before:

http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=89246332

Friday fun with numbers:

- $800 MM in assets
- median ROA% for North Dakota Q1 2013 = 1.03%

source: http://www.fdic.gov/bank/analytical/stateprofile/Kansascity/ND/ND.pdf

800MM * 1.03% = $10.4 MM

10X earnings multiple = $104 MM or ~ $31.50 per share potential

They just have to keep on performing.



I was pretty close on the assets number, and let's assume the ROA% sits around 1%. Now if we triangulate between a 10X earnings multiple at approximately $30 per share and and 1.5X BV multiple(a fair multiple for growth I believe) at the low $20's, we get a combined mid-$20's valuation or a half off sale currently.

Do you believe non-interest income will take a hit? Growth will stop in the Bakken? Competition from larger players? Just curious, TIA.

-Pagz

FD: ~10% holding