I posted this before:
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=89246332
Friday fun with numbers:
- $800 MM in assets
- median ROA% for North Dakota Q1 2013 = 1.03%
source: http://www.fdic.gov/bank/analytical/stateprofile/Kansascity/ND/ND.pdf
800MM * 1.03% = $10.4 MM
10X earnings multiple = $104 MM or ~ $31.50 per share potential
They just have to keep on performing.
I was pretty close on the assets number, and let's assume the ROA% sits around 1%. Now if we triangulate between a 10X earnings multiple at approximately $30 per share and and 1.5X BV multiple(a fair multiple for growth I believe) at the low $20's, we get a combined mid-$20's valuation or a half off sale currently.
Do you believe non-interest income will take a hit? Growth will stop in the Bakken? Competition from larger players? Just curious, TIA.
-Pagz
FD: ~10% holding
Twitter: @VincePagano
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