Replies to post #10750 on Simply Politics and News (GOV)

[hap0206]

morning novo -- here is some data that I like -- Susie (and many others) said that the country is becoming more divided because of Bush

-- so

If in 2000 92% of Blacks voted for Gore/8% for Bush and
this year apparently the split is Kerry 84%/Bush 16% -- does this mean the Blacks are getting more divided or less divided ???

Other selected info:
California
2000 Results: Bush 41.2, Gore 53.6, Nader 3.8 (Gore +12.4)
2001 - 10/27 Bush 42 -- Kerry 49 - (Kerry +7)
(Does this mean CA is more divided of less ???)

Hawaii
2000 Results: Bush 37.5, Gore 55.8, Nader 5.9 (Gore +18.3)
2001 RCP 10/20 - - 44.7 Kerry 43.8 - (Bush +0.9)
(Does this mean HI is more divided of less ???)

New Jersey
2000 Results: Bush 40.3, Gore 56.2, Nader 3 (Gore +15.9)
2001 RCP 10/29 - - 42.3 Kerry 48.0 2.0 Kerry +5.7
(Does this mean NJ is more divided of less ???)

Massachusetts
2000 Results: Bush 32.5, Gore 59.8, Nader 6.4 (Gore +27.3)
2001 9/25-10/5Bush 36 Kerry 50 Nader 2 Kerry +14
(Does this mean MA is more divided of less ???)

[hap0206]

And novo -- for the "battle ground states" -- this is the polling data that means the most

==================
(From -- #msg-4437865)

Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of Bush?
---------- - -FL AR CO OH IA MI MO NH NV WV OR PA WI MN NM
Favorable-- 51 51 52 48 49 45 49 48 53 50 45 46 46 46 51
Neutral---- 10 09 10 11 12 12 12 12 10 12 10 11 10 14 12
Unfavorable 39 39 38 41 39 43 39 41 37 37 45 43 43 40 37

Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of Kerry?
---------- - -FL AR CO OH IA MI MO NH NV WV OR PA WI MN NM
Favorable-- 42 40 38 41 39 44 40 44 41 39 45 42 44 43 43
Neutral---- 13 14 17 41 18 15 18 18 13 18 15 15 15 16 13
Unfavorable 42 45 45 18 43 41 42 39 46 43 40 43 41 41 44



If the 2004 presidential election were held today, would you vote for:
------------ - -FL AR CO OH IA MI MO NH NV WV OR PA WI MN NM
Kerry-Edwards 45 43 43 46 44 47 44 47 44 43 50 48 48 47 45
Bush-Cheney-- 49 51 50 48 49 45 49 46 50 51 44 46 46 48 49
Others-------- 1 N/A 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 N/A 1 N/A 1 1 1
Undecided----- 5 06 05 05 07 06 06 05 04 06 05 06 05 04 05

Do you approve or disapprove of George W. Bush's overall job performance as President?
----------- - --FL AR CO OH IA MI MO NH NV WV OR PA WI MN NM
Approve----- N/A 51 NA 50 52 48 50 49 NA 52 45 47 48 NA N/A
Disapprove---N/A 42 NA 45 43 47 44 45 NA 41 48 47 46 NA N/A
Undecided--- N/A 07 NA 05 05 05 06 06 NA 07 07 07 06 NA N/A