Poll results
MSNBC/Knight-Ridder polls conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling
and Research from Oct. 27 through Oct. 29, 2004
Updated: 8:01 p.m. ET Oct. 30, 2004
Here are presidential race results from battleground states polled by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research for MSNBC, Knight-Ridder and in New Mexico, the Santa Fe New Mexican and KOB-TV.
Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of Bush?
FL AR CO OH IA MI MO NH NV WV OR PA WI MN NM
Favorable 51 51 52 48 49 45 49 48 53 50 45 46 46 46 51
Neutral 10 9 10 11 12 12 12 12 10 12 10 11 10 14 12
Unfavorable 39 39 38 41 39 43 39 41 37 37 45 43 43 40 37
Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of Kerry?
FL AR CO OH IA MI MO NH NV WV OR PA WI MN NM
Favorable 42 40 38 41 39 44 40 44 41 39 45 42 44 43 43
Neutral 13 14 17 41 18 15 18 18 13 18 15 15 15 16 13
Unfavorable 42 45 45 18 43 41 42 39 46 43 40 43 41 41 44
If the 2004 presidential election were held today, would you vote for:
FL AR CO OH IA MI MO NH NV WV OR PA WI MN NM
Kerry-Edwards 45 43 43 46 44 47 44 47 44 43 50 48 48 47 45
Bush-Cheney 49 51 50 48 49 45 49 46 50 51 44 46 46 48 49
Others 1 N/A 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 N/A 1 N/A 1 1 1
Undecided 5 6 5 5 7 6 6 5 4 6 5 6 5 4 5
Do you approve or disapprove of George W. Bush's overall job performance as President?
FL AR CO OH IA MI MO NH NV WV OR PA WI MN NM
Approve N/A 51 N/A 50 52 48 50 49 N/A 52 45 47 48 N/A N/A
Disapprove N/A 42 N/A 45 43 47 44 45 N/A 41 48 47 46 N/A N/A
Undecided N/A 7 N/A 5 5 5 6 6 N/A 7 7 7 6 N/A N/A
Do you feel things in the country are on the right track, or do you feel they are on the wrong track?
FL AR CO OH IA MI MO NH NV WV OR PA WI MN NM
Right track N/A 43 N/A 45 47 41 47 43 N/A 48 41 43 47 N/A N/A
Wrong track N/A 47 N/A 50 44 52 46 50 N/A 44 53 51 47 N/A N/A
Not sure N/A 9 N/A 5 9 6 7 7 N/A 8 6 6 6 N/A N/A
Which ONE of the following candidate qualities will be MOST IMPORTANT in determining your vote for president this year:
FL AR CO OH IA MI MO NH NV WV OR PA WI MN NM
The Economy N/A 23 N/A 23 20 27 22 23 N/A 22 25 22 22 23 N/A
Jobs N/A 6 N/A 8 7 12 7 6 N/A 11 11 7 6 N/A N/A
Terrorism and Homeland Security N/A 25 N/A 24 24 23 23 23 N/A 25 21 25 24 25 N/A
Health care, including Medicare N/A 13 N/A 15 15 9 14 14 N/A 11 9 17 16 7 N/A
Iraq N/A 11 N/A 14 16 13 13 16 N/A 12 16 12 15 19 N/A
Moral issues & Family values N/A 16 N/A 12 13 12 13 11 N/A 13 12 12 11 14 N/A
Taxes N/A 4 N/A 4 3 2 4 5 N/A 4 2 3 3 N/A N/A
Other N/A 1 N/A N/A 1 1 1 2 N/A 1 1 1 1 4 N/A
Not Sure N/A 1 N/A 1 2 1 3 1 N/A 2 2 2 1 N/A N/A
Regardless of which presidential candidate you support, whom do you trust to handle jobs and the economy?
FL AR CO OH IA MI MO NH NV WV OR PA WI MN NM
Only George W. Bush N/A 41 N/A 36 38 35 38 36 N/A 40 35 37 35 N/A N/A
Only John Kerry N/A 32 N/A 37 37 41 36 38 N/A 33 40 39 39 N/A N/A
Do you trust both N/A 8 N/A 12 12 9 10 10 N/A 10 8 8 11 N/A N/A
Or, do you trust neither? N/A 14 N/A 14 11 12 13 12 N/A 13 14 14 10 N/A N/A
Not sure / Refused N/A 5 N/A 2 3 3 4 4 N/A 3 4 4 4 N/A N/A
Do you approve or disapprove of the decision to go to war in Iraq
FL AR CO OH IA MI MO NH NV WV OR PA WI MN NM
Strongly approve N/A 32 N/A 31 31 29 34 33 N/A 33 32 32 30 N/A N/A
Somewhat approve N/A 16 N/A 17 18 16 15 16 N/A 18 15 14 18 N/A N/A
Somewhat disapprove N/A 12 N/A 14 13 14 15 11 N/A 12 11 10 13 N/A N/A
Strongly disapprove N/A 34 N/A 34 31 36 33 35 N/A 33 38 38 35 N/A N/A
Not sure N/A 6 N/A 5 7 5 5 5 N/A 6 5 6 4 N/A N/A
Do you think of the war with Iraq as part of the war on terrorism, or do you think of it as separate from the war on terrorism?
FL AR CO OH IA MI MO NH NV WV OR PA WI MN NM
Major Part N/A 44 N/A 41 41 38 39 39 N/A 41 40 41 41 N/A N/A
Minor Part N/A 10 N/A 10 12 11 14 11 N/A 11 11 11 10 N/A N/A
Separate N/A 40 N/A 45 41 46 42 45 N/A 41 45 41 44 N/A N/A
Not Sure N/A 6 N/A 4 5 6 5 6 N/A 6 4 7 6 N/A N/A
Thinking about job opportunities where you live, would you say there are jobs generally available in your community, or are jobs generally hard to find?
FL AR CO OH IA MI MO NH NV WV OR PA WI MN NM
Available N/A 41 N/A 42 47 38 47 48 N/A 35 35 39 47 N/A N/A
Hard N/A 48 N/A 50 43 53 45 42 N/A 56 55 52 42 N/A N/A
Not Sure N/A 11 N/A 8 10 9 9 10 N/A 9 10 9 11 N/A N/A
• Print this
The Mason-Dixon Minnesota Poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from October 27 through October 29, 2004. A total of 625 registered Minnesota voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they were likely to vote in the November general election.
Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county.
The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a regional or gender grouping.
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. conducted these polls from October 15 through October 18, 2004. A total of 625 likely voters in each state were interviewed by telephone. Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turnout by county. The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or regional grouping.
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