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TrueFlaco

06/24/09 3:58 PM

#201069 RE: MikeDDKing #200950

Did you guys close out your VVDL position? Wondering why it isn't on the list...
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Rawnoc

06/25/09 9:11 AM

#201131 RE: MikeDDKing #200950

Dress Barn To Buy Tween Brands For $157M In Stock

Last Update: 6/25/2009 8:57:57 AM

By Nicholas Casey
Of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL

Women's retailer Dress Barn Inc. (DBRN) said Thursday it would acquire Tween
Brands Inc. (TWB) in an all-stock deal valued at roughly $157 million, in a sign
the weak retail market is spurring consolidation.

Dress Barn, of Suffern, N.Y., will swap 0.47 shares for each Tween Brands share,
a premium of roughly 20% to Tween Brands shareholders based on Wednesday's
closing prices.

Investors applauded Dress Barn's efforts to diversify from apparel for career
women into the so-called tween segment, sending shares up 2% premarket to $13.90.
Tween jumped 19% to $6.29.

Discounter Dress Barn targets professional women with its 841 namesake stores and
younger women with 716 Maurices stores. Tween Brands, of New Albany, Ohio,
operates 908 Justice stores that target seven- to 14-year-olds with low-priced
fashion items like dresses and graphic t-shirts.

The combined company would operate 2,465 stores and generate annual sales of
about $2.4 billion.

David R. Jaffe, Dress Barn's chief executive, said Tween Brands complements his
company's portfolio of value-priced stores for young and professional women.
While "not as big a market" as its two women's brands, Mr. Jaffe said the preteen
market has "only has one big player," Tween Brands, with a nationwide footprint.

The acquisition shows how the economy has turned laggards into takeover targets.
In the quarter ended May 2, Tween Brands posted a loss of $1.4 million on a 23%
drop in sales at stores open more than a year. The company has struggled under
$165 million in debt and covenants that restricted its capital spending to $10
million a year. Tween's outstanding bank debt will be repaid under the deal.

The company was "down on luck because of their debt," said Mr. Jaffe. Now "the
handcuffs are removed."

Mr. Jaffe said he plans to retain Tween Brands executives, including Chief
Executive Mike Rayden, who will continue to manage Justice and report to Mr.
Jaffe. Mr. Rayden said in an interview that in the next three to five years,
Justice has the potential to have more than 1,000 stores, expanding into outlet
centers where Dress Barn already has a presence.

Dress Barn, like its peers, has been cutting costs and inventory amid the drop in
consumer spending that has hurt nearly all clothing retailers. But it got a boost
from a strong reception to its spring merchandise, helping result in the recent
sales gain.

Though Dress Barn has fared better during the recession, the acquisition isn't
without risk. Preteens remain one of the most fickle consumer groups. Unlike
Dress Barn's older patrons, younger women have traditionally shown less brand
loyalty and exhibit more rapidly changing tastes.

Additionally, preteen spending is closely tied to parents' income for allowances,
and such cash is often the first clawed back during a recession.

Justice also faces new competition from Aeropostale Inc. Last week, the discount
teen retailer opened a new concept called "P.S. from Aeropostale" aimed at
preteen boys and girls. The company said it plans to open nine additional stores
during the fiscal 2009 year as well as an e-commerce site.

-By Nicholas Casey, The Wall Street Journal; nicholas.casey

(Tess Stynes contributed to this article.)

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

June 25, 2009 08:57 ET (12:57 GMT)
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Rawnoc

07/02/09 5:51 PM

#202246 RE: MikeDDKing #200950

+73.1% = YTD SWINGTRADE FAVORITES AS OF 7/2/09:

http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=38973118
SYMBOL	ENTRY	JUL 2	% GAIN 
EGMI 0.37 1.19 221.62
TWB*x 2.14 6.60 208.41
IEC 1.50 3.85 156.67
DAAT 0.34 0.74 117.62
GSB*x 0.89 1.85 107.87
UVEx 2.43 3.60 52.26
STVIx 0.70 0.88 25.71
PWEB* 0.13 0.16 24.00
VVDL*x 0.18 0.20 11.11
REPR 0.18 0.20 10.61
RBCL 0.53 0.41 (22.50)
VBDG 0.14 0.09 (35.71)
--------------------------------------
AVERAGE RETURN 73.1%

Entry = Closing price of 12/31/08 or price at entry for new favorites of 2009.
* = New picks of 2009.
x = trade completed
These are our top favorite holdings. The average return is an average equal-weight as of the date & closing prices of this post or the price of the stock at the time posted as a completed trade and therefore removed from favorites.
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Rawnoc

07/02/09 5:57 PM

#202252 RE: MikeDDKing #200950

+108.5% = YTD POTENTIAL SWINGTRADE FAVORITES AS OF 7/2/09

http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=38973118
SYMBOL	ENTRY	HOY	% GAIN 
EGMI 0.37 1.40 278.38
TWB* 2.14 6.94 224.30
IEC 1.50 4.00 166.67
UVEd 2.43 5.96 154.32
GSB* 0.89 2.20 147.19
DAAT 0.34 0.80 135.29
VBDG 0.14 0.25 78.57
STVI 0.70 1.08 54.29
VVDL* 0.18 0.24 33.33
PWEB* 0.13 0.16 24.00
REPR 0.18 0.20 11.11
RBCL 0.53 0.50 (5.48)
--------------------------------------
AVERAGE RETURN 108.5%

Entry = Closing price of 12/31/08 or price at entry for new favorites of 2009.

* = new pick of 2009
d = dividend(s) paid included but only those paid up until the 2009 high

These are our top favorite holdings. The average return is an average equal-weight from beginning of the year (or price at time new pick is entered) until the highest price of 2009. This represents the potential return in theory one that the opportunity to sell for.
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Rawnoc

07/04/09 2:30 AM

#202340 RE: MikeDDKing #200950

PWEB 7/4/09 Update:

WHY I THINK PWEB WILL BE A MULTI-BAGGER FROM CURRENT LEVELS:

PWEB = potential mutli-bagger that is a profitable debt-free sleeper stock that just started very rapidly growing. Margins are very huge. Earned nearly .01/share last Q and forecasts huge acceleration going forward. +.02 EPS or more should be in the cards for Q2 which is +.08 annualized. Conservative PE of 10-15 = $1.00 to $1.50/share which is a massive justifiable price rise from current levels.

6/30 - PR - "the number of paying customers has increased in excess of 140% for the second quarter ending today when compared to the first quarter ending March 31, 2009"
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Pacific-WebWorks-Announces-bw-2126311900.html?x=0&.v=1

6/10 - PR -- "We are now in a position to double or triple our customer base with limited costs going forward"
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Pacific-WebWorks-Builds-bw-715214105.html?x=0&.v=2

6/3 - PR forecasting a huge jump in Q2 sales:
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Pacific-WebWorks-Offers-Q2-bw-1562802450.html?x=0&.v=3

5/26 - Q1 incredible earnings PR:
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Pacific-WebWorks-Reports-1st-bw-357771038.html?x=0&.v=5

all IMO
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Rawnoc

07/13/09 8:55 AM

#203065 RE: MikeDDKing #200950

BBI.B = multi-bagger in the making IMO

Analyst estimates are for EPS +.19/share for 2009, and +.21 EPS for 2010 for a very tiny PE. Book value .463/share. A PE of even 10 should put the stock at $2.00.

Why I think the street has BBI.B all wrong and why I think it will be a multi-bagger (#s 1-7 taken from Q1 CC):

(1) Weak title lineup industry-wide hurt Q1. This has all drastically changed since May 2009. There is a false belief that competitive pressures from Netflix & Redbox is hurting blockbuster's results, but, for example, in Canada they have no significant by-mail nor vendor competitor (i.e. -- no Netflix nor Redbox) yet same-store sales were down roughly the same there as the USA. Biggest competitor was actually theatre itself in Q1 which saw all time record attendance up 14%, which is 3 million more people every week this year, with 7 films grossing $100 million+ a piece vs. just 2 films last year combined with weak rental titles in the quarter. Those blockbuster titles began to hit the rental stores in May and will continue throughout the rest of the year giving blockbuster a strong title lineup Q2 onward.

(2) Beginning in Q2, new "choose your own pricing" plans in the stores after testing for 12-18 months various pricing models has resulted in greater traffic in all markets.

(3) $200 mil reduction in SG&A expected in 2009 which includes renegotiated lower rents on real estate.

(4) Management expects the recession to positively impact sales as people based on historical recessions as new customers tend to "rediscover" the value of renting over time.

(5) 3,000 Blockbuster kiosks to be launched by end of 2009 that would have double the unit capacity of Redbox and may offer games.

(6) Weak dollar Q2 will help foreign operations. Q1 was hurt by the strong dollar.

(7) Q3 will have no olympics viewership to compete against this year.

(8) The BBI.B shares are much more attractively priced than the BBI shares which are identical in every which way and are entitled to the same exact earnings per share, potential dividends, and potential buyout premium. From Blockbuster's own website:

http://www.b2i.us/profiles/investor/QAForumView.asp?QAID=11204&GoTopage=1&BzID=553&sm_quote_field=BBI&Category=1398

What is the difference between BBI and BBI.B?
Blockbuster has two classes of common stock, both of which have voting rights: Class A, which is entitled to one vote per share, and Class B, which is entitled to two votes per share. Blockbuster’s Class A common stock began trading on August 11, 1999, following Blockbuster’s initial public offering. Blockbuster’s Class B common stock began trading on October 14, 2004 in conjunction with Blockbuster’s divestiture from Viacom. There is no difference between the two classes except for voting rights; they generally trade within a close price range of each other. There are, however, far more shares of Class A common stock outstanding, so most of the trading occurs in that class.

(9) Carl Icahn is on the board of directors and owns a big chunk of both classes of shares. A potential wild card is if he decides to try to wrestle for control of the company like he's done with so many other companies, the first thing he would likely buy are the BBI.B shares since they get double the votes yet are priced cheaper.

===================

Conclusion -- IMO, BBI.B is going to smash analyst estimates over the next 1-3 quarters and explode.
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MikeDDKing

07/15/09 9:58 AM

#203337 RE: MikeDDKing #200950

I'm closing out IEC from the favorites list at $4.52. IEC has made a huge run. Margins may be slightly lower sequentially in the June quarter based upon company guidance. Also, there will be some one-time charges relating to their AMEX listing (e.g. CEO bonus). I like the company for long term growth but not for the near term at the present price.
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Rawnoc

07/18/09 4:13 PM

#203774 RE: MikeDDKing #200950

SWINGTRADE BOARD FAVORITES BY Rawnoc&MikeDDKing (07/18/09 update):

* BBI.B - New Pick - Turnaround play expected to make some big bottom line bucks going forward in the movie rental/on-demand/download/mail-order/kiosk industry.
* MikeDDKing's thoughts - writeup coming soon!
* Rawnoc's thoughts - http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=39479064
Board - http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/BBI

PWEB - Rapidly growing provider of web site creation tools, internet payment systems and related services
MikeDDKing's thoughts - http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=38972778
* Rawnoc's thoughts - http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=39669427
Board - http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/PWEB

EGMI - Rapidly growing & profitable makers of the electronic game & lottery card.
Rawnoc's thoughts - http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=37840804
MikeDDKing's thoughts - http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=33924042
Board - http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/EGMI

DAAT - Fast growing & profitable maker of gun cleaning kits & other household items.
MikeDDKing's thoughts - http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=38153125
Rawnoc's thoughts - http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=37882296
Board - http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/DAAT

VBDG - Dramatic turnaround consumer product stock seeing rapid growth from their new retail biz plan.
Rawnoc's thoughts - http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=38108317
MikeDDKing's thoughts - http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=34021586
Board - http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/VBDG

REPR - Rapidly growing & profitable makers of the only home, FDA & medicare approved syringe infusion system.
Rawnoc's thoughts - http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=34875406
Board - http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/REPR

RBCL - Fast growing & profitable maker of nutritional and medical products.
MikeDDKing's thoughts - http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=34863948
Rawnoc's thoughts - http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=34059146
Board - http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/RBCL

*updated since last posting

This list is in no particular order (except that the most recently updated tends to be toward the top) nor are they owned in equally weighted amounts as some we may have a LOT of money in while others very little as of the last update. Any links are thoughts as of the date and time they are written which may not be current. Also some symbols and/or links may be dropped from time to time without further update as the information/opinions mentioned simply become outdated. Please verify all claims and info, and do your own homework in addition.