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*~1Best~*

01/25/09 8:02 PM

#13866 RE: *~1Best~* #13865

Futures are miserably bleeding again.

@ES 817.50 -6.00 -0.73%
@NQ 1155.50 -8.75 -0.75%











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*~1Best~*

01/26/09 10:20 AM

#13874 RE: *~1Best~* #13865

The Eco news is helping the market this morning, and we will likely see improved economic statisitcs in the future even though we may see initial fluctuation of the data.

Economics has much to do with number management which is translated to various activities and transactions. To be successful, the number management has to be effective and efficient.

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re Existing Home Sales Posts Surprise 6.5% Gain

HOUSING, HOME SALES, REAL ESTATE, ECONOMY, ECONOMIC DATA,
The Associated Press
| 26 Jan 2009 | 10:06 AM ET

A real estate group says sales of existing homes rose 6.5 percent from November to December, closing out the worst year for the U.S. real estate market in more than a decade.

The National Association of Realtors said Monday that sales of existing homes rose to an annual rate of 4.74 million in December, from a downwardly revised pace of 4.45 million in November.

December's sales had been expected to fall to a pace of 4.4 million units. according to Thomson Reuters.

The median sales price plunged to $175,400, down 15.3 percent from $207,000 a year ago.

That was the lowest price since May 2003 and the biggest year-over-year drop on records going back to 1968.
© 2009 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

URL: http://www.cnbc.com/id/28854489/

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01/26/09 10:38 AM

#13875 RE: *~1Best~* #13865

Markets are trading above the recent intraday downtrend resistances, and now HOD intraday R SPX 852, even though we have light volume tradings so far, with improved market price actions; I think that many will begin to realize that markets are gathering for strength.

We already have major tech companies earning reports even though we still have other companies to report; however, we all know that the 4Q2008 earning reports would be terrible and have discounted the bad news. Furthermore, markets already anticipated bad economic news coming into the new administration.

With the market price improvement which can be clearly seen on the charts, the Administration can work better by continuing to provide visible, clearly defined plans for our economic recovery.

Economic recovery is about number game which is based on rational and intelligent decision making based on the projected activities and transactions. Therefore, it is Economic Intelligence number crunching -- better it is done, better our lives will be.

For Obama, a lot of graphical presentation by him to show the plans and goals will be more convincing.




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01/26/09 11:09 AM

#13877 RE: *~1Best~* #13865

Markets are showing low trading volumes because many are sitting on cash and are fearful; but, I think that many will trade based on Technical readings when we are not sure.

Market sentiment is very pessimistic as I read most of news reports on many sites and news feeds. The bottomline is that market technical will trump over fundamentals; and will lead - often.

I think that many are sitting on cash looking for a break out and a confirmation signal.

~ Market Volumes & Breadth ~



















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01/26/09 7:19 PM

#13883 RE: *~1Best~* #13865

16:35 ET Dow +38.47 at 8116.46, Nasdaq +12.17 at 1489.46, S&P +4.62 at 836.57:

[BRIEFING.COM] Financials threatened to undercut the broader market's gains, but stocks still posted a healthy advance amid a heavy flow of headlines Monday.

Financial stocks finished the session as the worst performing economic sector. They had been up more than 4% in the early going, but finished with a 2.1% loss. The initial advance seemed to come on the back of a rebound in European financial stocks, which have been dogged by profit concerns and fears of nationalization. Still, the gains proved unsustainable and as finacials slipped so, too, did the broader market.

Health care (-0.2%) stocks finished modestly lower, weighed down by Pfizer (PFE 15.65, -1.80). The pharmaceutical giant is acquiring Wyeth (WYE 43.39, -0.35) for $68 billion, or $50.19 per share. The offer comes as a 29% premium to where WYE shares closed before The Wall Street Journal first reported the companies were in talks. Pfizer is looking to fund the offer with a mix of cash, stock, and debt.

Though the deal will help Pfizer bolster its portfolio and further develop its drug pipeline, investors were disappointed when the company announced that in connection with the transaction it will halve its quarterly dividend to $0.16 per share. Coupling that with downside guidance sent shares of PFE to new January lows. As for the latest quarter, Pfizer topped earnings expectations, but Wyeth fell short of the quarterly consensus earnings estimate.

Despite Pfizer's announcement, tight credit conditions are weighing on merger activity elsewhere. Dow Chemical (DOW 13.24, -1.09) announced this morning that it does not intend to close the pending acquisition with Rohm & Haas (ROH 57.10, -8.72) on or before tomorrow. The announcement wasn't a total surprise, though. Tighter credit and a severed deal between Dow and a Kuwaiti petrochemicals outfit put have had the deal on tenuous footing for weeks. Shares of DOW and ROH weighed on the materials sector (-1.5%), as did DuPont (DD 23.18, -0.98). DuPont, which is a Dow component, reports its latest results ahead of tomorrow morning's opening bell.

Caterpillar (CAT 32.28, -3.38) fell to a new multiyear low after reporting dissapointing earnings and issued downside guidance. Challenging macro conditions have the firm looking to cut roughly 20,000 jobs.

One bright spot for the session, McDonald's (MCD 58.51, +0.49) bested the consensus quarterly earnings forecast and indicated that global comparable sales continue to be strong in January. Same-store sales increased more than 7% in the fourth quarter. However, many investors continue to question how long McDonald's can continue logging strong comparables.

Stocks began the session in a relatively quiet manner, but quickly climbed to a gain of 2.5% after it was announced December existing home sales increased 6.5% to an annualized rate of 4.74 million units. The December number was better-than-expected (consensus was 4.40 million). Though the headline alone qualifies as relatively good news, it was supported by a 9.3% drop in median home prices. That is the biggest drop since the 1930s. The month's supply of unsold homes at the current sales rate fell to 9.3 in December from 11.2 in November.

The Federal Open Market Committee begins its two-day meeting tomorrow. It will announce its latest monetary policy decision Wednesday. Tomorrow's focus, then, will be on earnings results from Verizon (VZ 30.99, +0.55), Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY 22.25, -0.14), Yahoo! (YHOO 11.17, -0.15), and a raft of other reports, which are tomorrow morning.
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01/27/09 8:17 AM

#13891 RE: *~1Best~* #13865

We may see EOM market actions -- As Jan. goes, so goes the year -- even though it is not always the case, it will help market sentiment if markets close positive for the month.

2009 YTD Major Market
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01/27/09 9:14 AM

#13892 RE: *~1Best~* #13865

Pivotal SPX 860+/- R -- market swings repeatedly fading morning gap because of low volume trading.

Breaking above 860 is pivotal for market sentiment, and a failure of the break upside during the EOM is not a good sign. If markets can break above, we will see more upside with better technical readings.


















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01/27/09 8:42 PM

#13903 RE: *~1Best~* #13865

Qs is trading at 29.65 +/- near daily 20dma resistance. Yahoo is at 11.93 up 6.8% after the earning report -- helping Qs. In addition, we are in EOM period which is generally positive for markets. Markets briefly rallied for a few days, New Year rally, then suddenly dropped 8-11% in six trading days during 1/6-1/20/2009. So far, Qs retraced about 50% of the New Year rally sell-off. Continuing to trade up above 29.60 and 30 will trigger retracing Jan 6 top. In AH, Qs is trading above downtrend resistances, so, we could see filling the 1/7/2009 gap retracing to 31.50 +/-.



SPY is trading, in AH, at 85.35 which is corresponding to SPX 855 +/- and which is a resistance level as Qs trading near at 29.65 R.

Daily price actions are showing up-momentum which is now aligned with weekly up momentum -- that is an encouraging sign as the Obama admin is working hard to stabilize and to revive our economy with stimulus programs. Even though markets are not expecting much from the Fed, with the Fed announcement, we could see volatility tomorrow. Good luck

~~~~

I commented earlier on the markets:
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=35122100

SPX HOD 850 R and Jan 2009 Gaps: SPX 930 +/- and 855 +/-
Corresponding SPY price level: 92 +/- and 85 +/-

Markets are trading above the pivotal supports and market actions during this week is pivotal as breaking higher or lower end of the recent trading range will trigger more selling or buying actions.

The dreaded earning reports are almost over as markets anticipated horrible earnings which those were, but IBM, AAPL, and GOOG earnings were hopeful.

Breaking above the noted market resistances will triggers upside price actions as technical reading is improving, and markets would be pricing a bit of economic bounce with stimulus program.


















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01/28/09 11:48 AM

#13911 RE: *~1Best~* #13865

Qs, $SOX (+4.3%), and Nasdaq are stronger YTD.

http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=35141893

~~ Major Markets ~~












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01/29/09 1:55 PM

#13928 RE: *~1Best~* #13865

Major markets sold off about 45%-57% since Oct 2007 and many stocks have sold off 90% of its value -- so many long term investors will be seeing less value in the investment even though some % are sitting on cash. With the very short term trading around the international financial world, less Americans will be interested in long term investment in the future.

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01/29/09 7:41 PM

#13933 RE: *~1Best~* #13865

Politicians are well paid: re Worst GDP In 26 Years?

Obviously, politicians, hedge funds, economists, and other speculators are well paid, holding cash, or other safe deposits which are shielded from the current economic crisis. As a whole, they make various crisis while the rest is getting affected by their decisions and manipulation.

It seems that many republicans and politicians are sitting on cash, having good paying jobs, investing in hedge funds, or other money making situation; so that they are not putting much effort to revive economy -- by doing nothing or not-much, they are becoming wealthy as a by-product of others' crisis.

As many as workers are out-of-jobs and markets sold-off; it actually is better for them as their money is worth more.

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Worst GDP In 26 Years?
Posted By: Lee Brodie | Web Editor
CNBC staff and wire reports
| 29 Jan 2009 | 06:07 PM ET

Investors are bracing themselves for Friday’s market action. It could be nasty after the government releases GDP.

It’s no secret that the number will probably show that the U.S. economy has suffered its worst slump in 26 years -- however hopes are dimming that the data will mark the bottom of the current recession.

"We're in the first quarter and the stimulus has not been enacted," says Jonathan Basile, economist at Credit Suisse in New York. "So we're still going through the abrupt correction to the downside after the shock that the financial crisis gave the economy."

Economists have been ratcheting up their forecasts for the fourth-quarter contraction and now they expect a drop of 5.4 percent on an annualized basis, according to a Reuters poll.

That would be the worst since the first quarter of 1982, when gross domestic product dropped by 6.4 percent, and it would dwarf the 0.5 percent decline in the third quarter of last year.

Sounds pretty bleak, but many investors are hoping the $1 trillion Obama stimulus will get us out of this mess. But will it?

Democrats suggest that spending on infrastructure and other “shovel ready” projects will spark a turnaround much like FDR’s New Deal did in the 1930’s. However Republicans say any stimulus needs to focus on tax cuts.

Pete Najarian and Zach Karabell advocate spending while Jeff Macke and Guy Adami prefer tax cuts.

“I think we need both,” adds Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moodys.com. He feels it takes too long for spending to get into the economy while tax cuts work more quickly.

In fact, Zandi, like many economists think the Obama stilumus plan needs to be larger. Perhaps much larger. “The fact that things are so uncertain means that we need to be more aggressive and if we’re going to err we should err on the side of bigger rather than smaller.”

Jeff Macke doesn’t feel that way. He says, “if you don’t know where you’re going that answer is not – speed up.”

What do you think? Tell us now!





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