Markets remained in a trading range during the Obama Inauguration week. We have Geithner confirmation hearing on Mon, the Fed Tues and the announcement on Wed, 1/4 of SPX earning reports, and heavy eco news for the week as shown on the Economic calendar.
Obama Admin is working hard to revive our economy while market sentiment is quite pessimistic. My reading of major market price actions are mixed; however, as noted before, we have a good chance that markets will trade up based on economic bounce with the economic stimulus program.
Daily price actions show a potential C&H formation if the pivotal supports are held, and could develop into Inv H&S formation market bounce with the 1/20 CIT speculation. While we could see market bounce to upside to develop Inv H&S formation, breaking below the noted pivotal supports negates my anticipation of the market bounce, rather to retest the recent lows.
Worse cases are regressively breaking the pivotal supports, retesting the 11/21 low, and trading to lower/low supports – e.g. SPX 741, SPX 700 +/-. The SPX long term chart is in the iBox and have shown long term analysis in the previous posts.