Replies to post #5221 on Mining Sector Ideas

[gfp927z]

Bigworld, It sounds like Trump is leaning toward declaring victory and getting out. But how long before his next deranged social media tirade? Did he wake up grumpy today? Did a media slight send him into a rage? Helluva way to run a railroad, and the world is watching.






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[gfp927z]

Bigworld, Well, at least the metals are climbing. But unfortunately they usually drop along with the broader markets when things fall apart. Here's a comparison of GLD to the S+P 500 during previous crashes / bear markets (approx figures) -


2008 Financial Crisis -

S+P 500 -- (down 58%)
GLD ------- (down 39%)


2020 Covid Crash -

S+P 500 -- (down 35%)
GLD ------- (down 14%)


2022 Rate Hikes -

S+P 500 -- (down 28%)
GLD ------- (down 21%)


2025 Tariff Crash -

S+P 500 -- (down 20%)
GLD -------- (down 6%)


2026 Iran War - (late Feb to Mar bottom)

S+P 500 -- (down 9%)
GLD ------- (down 18%)




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[gfp927z]

Bigworld, Looking at Trump's own posts on his 'Truth Social' site, it's surprising how many posts / day he makes. His daily blab-fest can also seem emotionally 'over the top', which is one reason why his comments seem so shocking when quoted out of context by the regular media.

Investment-wise, rather than trying to navigate the lunacy, I'll probably just stay on the sidelines. With the mid-terms coming, Trump will try to keep the stock market buoyant, but will that be enough? Even if the war ends immediately, are we still heading into recession? At the risk of missing out on trading gains, I figure cash / T-bills make the most sense for now (rather than stocks / S+P 500).



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