Price does speak — and right now it’s contradicting your thesis.
1. “AMRN mirrors XBI” is factually wrong.
You can’t argue decoupling on the upside but recoupling on the downside without evidence. Correlation works both ways or it doesn’t. AMRN has already outperformed XBI on multiple legs post–reverse split. Selective correlation is narrative, not TA.
2. Reverse split = bear magnet is lazy analysis.
RS didn’t “chase away big money” — dilution, debt, and uncertainty do. Since the split, volatility has compressed, spreads have tightened, and downside follow-through has weakened. Bears thrive on panic; this tape shows exhaustion.
3. “No buyers except retail” is disproven by the tape.
Repeated failures at resistance without follow-through lower is not absorption — it’s supply depletion. If sellers were in control, price wouldn’t keep reclaiming VWAP and higher lows wouldn’t keep printing.
4. Tax-loss selling into year-end 2026?
That’s not TA — that’s astrology. You’re projecting a calendar narrative almost a year out while ignoring nearer-term structure and catalysts.
5. Your $11.11 target assumes static fundamentals.
You openly admit your thesis collapses on R-IT–type news — yet you still anchor a precise year-end price. That alone tells everyone this is a conditional bear fantasy, not a probability-weighted outcome.
You’re mistaking frustration at resistance for failure, volatility for weakness, and selective macro fear for inevitability.
Price speaks — but only if you listen to all of it, not just the parts that fit a short thesis.
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