News Focus
News Focus
icon url

skitahoe

11/06/25 2:42 PM

#796603 RE: Doc logic #796601

Doc, while I might love a hostile offer, as it would drive up the share price and perhaps lead to a feeding frenzy as other offers drove the price even higher, I think we all know LP's price is dramatically higher. With the organization she's put together today, I suspect that her valuation in a buyout is now in the $30 billion range, or higher.

Don't get me wrong, we'll get there, but we need the approval of both DCVax-L and EDEN, and then things will start happening.

I have no idea precisely when approval will occur, but if it's several weeks before years end, I expect that other things will happen by the end of the year that takes are market cap to the $5 to $10 billion range. If not this year, it won't take that long after approval next year.

If LP is looking for a buyout, and if $30 billion or more is her target, than a market cap of $15 billion or more makes it possible as few buyouts are for more than double the market cap prior. Depending on what's announced in the several months after approval, such a market cap should be possible next year.

I don't favor a buyout, I believe that if our vaccines are being utilized pretty much worldwide, this company could develop a triple digit billion dollar market cap, or larger in less than a decade. I'd like to see BP partnerships with BP's taking equity at prices over perhaps $20 a share, but we need a $10 price for that to happen.

Gary
Bullish
Bullish
icon url

GoodGuyBill

11/06/25 4:03 PM

#796623 RE: Doc logic #796601

Doc Logic, Thanks for your thoughtful reply. I agree. Any formal buyout would legally require shareholder approval and would likely be contingent upon MHRA clearance.

My post, however, was narrowly focused on the timing and structural implications of the Advent acquisition, not the full procedural path to a deal. You're absolutely right that the board would issue a recommendation, and depending on the governance structure, it might take more than a simple majority to override it.

But the deeper question is: Why unify the full stack (manufacturing, IP, trial data) right before a regulatory decision, after firewalling it for over a decade? That firewall, in my opinion, was strategic, as it prevented hostile takeovers, preserved licensing leverage, and kept NWBO structurally unattractive to opportunistic bidders.

Collapsing that firewall prematurely (without a deal in motion) would expose the company to acquisition risk at its most vulnerable moment: before regulatory approval, before market validation, and before any revenue. It would mean giving up the structural defense that protected the crown jewel, DCVax-L manufacturing, without securing a strategic upside in return.

So, unless a deal was already made (on the condition of shareholder approval, of course), the timing makes little sense. LP, with merger and acquisition experience, wouldn't dismantle a major defense mechanism unless her next move was already locked in, rendering the mechanism obsolete.

So yes, the mechanics matter. But the timing feels like a setup—not for defense, but for something strategic.

I appreciate your engagement—these exchanges help sharpen my lens.