Replies to post #315654 on Anavex Life Sciences Corp (AVXL)

[powerwalker]

P.P.S. BP believes if the $$ is high enough (e.g., Medarex), a weak management team and s/holders will accept it.

We don't have a weak management team or s/holders, but as Xena pointed out years ago, let's limit the tutes to 30% as they will sell this company down the river in a NY minute if they are controlling 50% or more and can double their $$$.




ANAVEX NOW ... RIGHT NOW ... MONO-STYLE ... for LIFE ... and for ALL AGES!!![/quote]

[turn144]

Jesus - that is a rather bleak perspective - unfortunately I think you are more right than wrong.

There will be powerful forces out there to protect their power over the market and the ones who lose are people like us who would benefit from the life saving research.

This makes me angry to think you might be right.

[Double-Trouble]

We should copy and post this message from powerwalker and use as rally call to all the Reddit apes.
Same thing they are fighting with GME is big pharma and big Bio screw the people for their own gains!

[HMB2010]

I cannot discount any options due to Billions of dollars annual income on the line for CEO's and shareholders.
I too enjoy the fantasy of 1249 however, think somehow we lowly, peon shareholders will be thwarted to a much lower price before pipeline is cannibalized. If "they" want it bad enough a "way" will be found; break up a monopoly, patent infringement, yet to be announced legislation, etc.

But I will gladly take $500 a share and access to 2-73 any day !!

[boi568]

This contingency is why Missling maintained a White Knight defense by getting authorization for 100M more shares.

[RedShoulder]

Red, IMO, this is how it will go down.

1) As the efficacy of Anavex's drugs are understood (it only takes the understanding of one drug's MoA to realize the power of the other "family" members), one of the Consortium (Merck and/or Takeda) will bring together 5-8 other BP to digest what the future will be like if Anavex continues to advance forward.

2) Once that realization sets in, i.e., the revenues of BP declines by 70-80% within 10 years, BP decides to react.

3) The question it faces is: Do they split Anavex up for each firm's particular interest or do the companies decide to "Deep Six" all of Anavex drugs?

4) If they act on the former, i.e., acting like a cabal, the SP offered will be lower than if BP wants to terminate the pipeline ... think Keystone. If it were the later, the offer must be overwhelming to get the necessary shares.

5) BP will attempt to move before Anavex receives approval (not disclosure of the results) at any level.

6) This is likely to happen before the end of 2022 as long as BP can thwart/delay any approval by TGA et al.

P.S. I believe when there are significant "technological breakthroughs" looming, American/European business do not play fair, but will do everything in its power to prevent that transformational event from happening.

... and I have the scars, wounds and depleted bank account to prove it.

Powewalker, thanks for your interesting take on "IMO, this is how it will go down."

It's just a matter time of when Anavex will succeed, and when that happens something is indeed going to go down, there is too much at stake in many ways.

I hope Anavex survives intact and independent but it may come down to votes, and there is the weak spot IMO, for some Institutions with heavy holdings taking the fast buck. IMO I think missling wants Anavex to remain independent, and will not be swayed for the dollar offer, it's more than just how much he could sell the company for it appears, I think he wants to take it all the way developing all the potentials leading to being the CEO of a big pharma owning the large CNS lucrative market, .

"BP will attempt to move before Anavex receives approval (not disclosure of the results) at any level."

If Anavex gets Adult Rett FDA approval, or even TGA and/or Europe, that is not in the distant future and leaving little time for developing a plan like that it seems; but when it comes to markets as big as CNS, I do realize the big guys will go for a win any way they can get it.

Where would Blackrock, Vanguard, etc stand?

"... and I have the scars, wounds and depleted bank account to prove it."

I think you will see some healing and repletion soon, starting with the release of the two PRs for this month.

[wildcard235]

...the revenues of BP declines by 70-80% within 10 years...

Something like that could possibly happen with Biogen, but I don't think it could happen with the others. Most of the other big pharma companies aren't in CNS drugs and are not pursuing them. A2-73 may apply outside CNS, but the other fields are far more competitive. I don't think big pharma as a whole will see Anavex as an existential threat, so I don't think the rest of your scenario will play out.

[tredenwater2]

This is likely to happen before the end of 2022 as long as BP can thwart/delay any approval by TGA et al.

Thats why I think Dr M peaks early at the ph3 Alzheimer’s, at 6 months. He knows their end game and has it written in the protocol to peak early if the confidence is there and the conditions are right.

God willing!

[stoxjock]

Great post, 5*****.

AVXL to the MOOOON....Calling the APE Army to buy Up AVXL at this Very Cheap PPS & Prevent the Hedgie-BP Shortie Cabal from Killing this Great Company!

[nidan7500]

YUP-PW-Red

Red, IMO, this is how it will go down.

1) As the efficacy of Anavex's drugs are understood (it only takes the understanding of one drug's MoA to realize the power of the other "family" members), one of the Consortium (Merck and/or Takeda) will bring together 5-8 other BP to digest what the future will be like if Anavex continues to advance forward.

2) Once that realization sets in, i.e., the revenues of BP declines by 70-80% within 10 years, BP decides to react.

3) The question it faces is: Do they split Anavex up for each firm's particular interest or do the companies decide to "Deep Six" all of Anavex drugs?

4) If they act on the former, i.e., acting like a cabal, the SP offered will be lower than if BP wants to terminate the pipeline ... think Keystone. If it were the later, the offer must be overwhelming to get the necessary shares.

5) BP will attempt to move before Anavex receives approval (not disclosure of the results) at any level.

6) This is likely to happen before the end of 2022 as long as BP can thwart/delay any approval by TGA et al.

P.S. I believe when there are significant "technological breakthroughs" looming, American/European business do not play fair, but will do everything in its power to prevent that transformational event from happening.

I am on the same page w/youze guys. Have witnessed while medical docs/records got shredded to cover issues of international consequence. Shocked me but learned it goes on all the time. EU in particular and Asia. No one should be surprised that many have no problem telling medical -clinical untruths, making it up as they go.

THIS IS GONNA BE (maybe already is) HARDBALL. AVXL has set up a sequence of WW actions which is not stoppable (unless it is stopped) in the natural flow of natural solutions must prevail. BP WW and all related finance/medical worlds are about to be nuked and some can see it coming. I hope Dr.M. has a food taster on staff.

IMO, using Precision Medicine and AI AVXL is pushing the BP world to carefully assess how their respective products and the human consequences of their use are literally unknown or incompletely understood and may be toxic in many evolutionary circumstances.

Actually, stealth makes a lot of sense if this is going the way it looks right now.

[tradeherpete]

Powerwalker, I enjoyed reading this post.

Dr. Missling has said partnering for AD was planned so until then He’s playing hard to get.

I think he’s done what he can to execute his plan. We have the Shareholder Protection Plan too, which will give me about 50% more than current. I’m guessing with all the long time holders here, that would amount to similar or greater for many.