So, if you played punchboard, bought 500 $1 punches, and didn't get a prize, wouldn't you begin to suspect the punchboard was rigged? Hard to say for sure, but we'd both have to agree, the punchboard owner was $500 richer.
There have been 500 holes drilled on-land in Israel in the past 50 years, and no big prize. You have to wonder, is there a big prize? Hard to say for sure, but we'd both have to agree, the people getting rich are the ones who look for, but never find, the oil.