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Re: Democritus_of_Abdera post# 4585

Saturday, 03/17/2012 6:01:57 PM

Saturday, March 17, 2012 6:01:57 PM

Post# of 30493
Correct. New supply of iron ore anywhere in the world—assuming it happens at all—will have a higher operating cost per ton than the existing mines of large and mid-sized companies such as BHP, VALE, and CLF.

Iron-ore mines in China have an especially high operating cost due to the low ore quality, and they generally shut down quickly during a period of price weakness (such as what occurred in 2009).

VALE’s executives make these points ad nauseam on the company’s quarterly CC’s.

“The efficient-market hypothesis may be
the foremost piece of B.S. ever promulgated
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