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Sunday, February 20, 2011 2:20:41 PM
CLF Reports Record 4Q10 Results
[CLF, a global iron and coal miner, has been one of the best-performing stocks in the entire market during the past two years; the share price is up almost nine-fold (!) from the 2009 low.
In addition to benefitting from higher commodity prices generally, changes in CLF’s business model have boosted results. In prior years, CLF served Asian demand from its iron ore in Western Australia and its higher-cost iron ore from the North American Great Lakes region was consumed by US steel mills. In 2010, however, CLF began shipping a significant amount of ore from North America into the seaborne export market. These seaborne shipments will accelerate in the coming years as a consequence of CLF’s acquisitions of the Wabush (#msg-42447258) and Consolidated Thompson mines in Eastern Canada and CLF’s business relationship with Wuhan Iron & Steel, China’s third-largest steel producer (#msg-58708254). Additionally, CLF’s coal business was helped in 4Q10 by the floods in Australia’s Queensland state, which caused a spike in the global price of met coal.
All told, the business-model changes described above make CLF an even stronger participant than ever in The Global Demographic Tailwind.
Turning to the financials, 4Q10 EPS of $2.82 on $1.4B of revenue was the best quarterly result ever (and was more than triple the 4Q09 EPS of $0.82); although this torrid pace may not be sustainable, full-year 2011 EPS of $10+ is now plausible and some analysts have forecasts as high as $15.50.
CLF does not issue EPS guidance per se, but it gives detailed forecasts for production volume, average price per ton, accounting cost per ton, and cash cost per ton (excluding DD&A), which allows investors to gauge future EPS fairly accurately for a given assumption about commodity prices. CLF even provides info on how sensitive its guidance is to changes in pricing assumptions (about 2/3 of the way into the PR), which is something that no other company I know of does on a regular basis.
What, then, is the bear case for CLF? Well, iron and coal prices could conceivably collapse if there were a major hit to the global economy from someone that cannot be foreseen. Additionally, I’ve expressed doubts about the ability of CLF’s management team to manage CLF’s increasingly complex businesses without screwing something up (e.g. #msg-50547871, #msg-43909449); to date, however, the execution has been flawless. Finally, CLF has stated its intention to raise capital to partially offset the capital expended on the Consolidated Thompson acquisition by selling shares sometime in 2011 (most likely after the acquisition closes in 2Q11, according to the 4Q10 CC).
Given the colossal appreciation in the share price, the kneejerk reaction is to take some profits. On the other hand, CLF has a desirable portfolio of assets that makes it a logical acquisition for a mining giant such as BHP or VALE, who have more than enough financial resources to engineer such a deal.]
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Cliffs-Natural-Resources-Inc-prnews-16512334.html?x=0&.v=1
›Wednesday February 16, 2011, 4:30 pm EST
• Full-Year Revenues Double to a Record $4.7 Billion, with Net Income of Over $1 Billion, or $7.49 Per Diluted Share
• Cash from Operations Increases More Than 600% to $1.3 Billion, from $186 Million in 2009
• Record Iron Ore Sales Volume Achieved in North America and Asia Pacific
• Fourth-Quarter Revenues Reach a Record $1.4 Billion, With Net Income of $384 Million, or $2.82 Per Diluted Share
CLEVELAND, Feb. 16, 2011 /PRNewswire/ -- Cliffs Natural Resources Inc. (NYSE:CLF) today reported fourth-quarter and full-year results for the period ended Dec. 31, 2010. Record full-year revenues of $4.7 billion increased $2.3 billion, or over 100%, from the previous year. Full-year operating income increased to $1.3 billion, up 450% from $230 million in 2009. Net income was $1 billion, or $7.49 per diluted share, up from $205 million, or $1.63 per diluted share, in the prior year. Fourth-quarter net income increased to an all-time quarterly record of $384 million, or $2.82 per diluted share. Increased sales volumes and favorable pricing for both periods contributed to the Company's record-breaking results.
Joseph A. Carrabba, Cliffs' chairman, president and chief executive officer, said, "Our impressive year-over-year earnings momentum is directly attributable to the strategic efforts to increase our business' exposure to seaborne pricing over the past five years. I expect this trend to continue as we execute on our previously announced acquisition of Consolidated Thompson Iron Mines Limited which, upon closing, will further diversify Cliffs' customer base and lever the Company's sales to seaborne pricing."
2010 Highlights [the acquisition of Consolidated Thompson is not mentioned here because it happened in Jan 2011]
In 2010, Cliffs executed a number of strategic transactions and accomplished several financial, operational and sustainability milestones, positioning the Company among the fastest growing in the S&P 500 Index. These included:
• Achieving record-breaking annual revenues, operating income, net income, diluted earnings per share and cash from operations;
• The purchase of INR Energy's coal operations, furthering Cliffs' exposure to metallurgical coal;
• Acquiring the remaining 73% interest in Wabush Mines, resulting in 4 million tons of additional seaborne iron ore exposure annually [this deal was announced in 2009 and closed in 2010];
• Successfully closing the Freewest Resources acquisition and acquiring Spider Resources, which together provide Cliffs control of three premium chromite deposits in Northern Ontario, Canada;
• Raising $1.4 billion in two public debt offerings with investment-grade ratings from Standard & Poor's and Moody's;
• Announcing plans to increase production capacity at the Company's Asia Pacific Iron Ore operations to 11 million from nine million tons;
• Increasing the quarterly cash dividend rate by 60%;
• Being named No. 9 in Bloomberg Businessweek's ranking of the top 50 best performers in the S&P 500;
• Being named No. 97 in the Global 1000 Sustainable Performance Leaders Ranking, issued by CRD Analytics, a leading provider of independent sustainability investment analytics;
• Being named No. 23 in the Maplecroft Climate Innovation Indexes, which ranks 350 U.S. companies for climate-related innovation and carbon management programs; and
• Celebrating the 50th anniversary of the Company's listing on the New York Stock Exchange.
Fourth-Quarter Consolidated Results
Consolidated fourth-quarter revenues were $1.4 billion, a 74% increase compared with $821 million in the same quarter last year. The increase was driven by higher sales volume and pricing due to greater exposure to seaborne markets and higher global demand for steelmaking raw materials.
In the fourth quarter, Cliffs' consolidated sales margin increased 175% to $482 million, from $175 million in the same period of 2009. The increase was the result of increased sales volumes and higher year-over-year pricing in each of the Company's business segments.
Consolidated operating income for the fourth quarter increased 155% to $397 million, from $156 million in the prior year's comparable quarter. Fourth-quarter 2010 net income increased 255% to $384 million, or $2.82 per diluted share, from $108 million, or $0.82 per diluted share, in the fourth quarter of 2009.
During the quarter, Cliffs completed a legal entity restructuring related to the Amapa project that primarily resulted in a deferred tax benefit of $78 million. The Company indicated this tax benefit was a non-recurring, non-cash item.
*Excludes revenues and expenses related to freight, which are offsetting and have no impact on sales margin.
**Cash cost per ton is defined as cost of goods sold and operating expenses per ton less depreciation, depletion and amortization per ton.
Fourth-quarter 2010 North American Iron Ore pellet sales volume was 7.6 million tons, a 14% increase from the 6.6 million tons sold in the fourth quarter of 2009. The increase in sales volume is attributed to better demand for iron ore pellets, reflecting a steady North American steel industry capacity utilization of approximately 70%, compared with a lower utilization rate of nearly 60% in the fourth quarter of 2009. Successful marketing of additional iron ore pellets available for sale from Cliffs' acquisition of its former partners' interests in Wabush Mines also contributed to the quarter's increase in sales volume from the same period in the prior year. The Company indicated payment timing and several days of severe weather conditions on the Great Lakes prohibited Cliffs from recognizing revenue for approximately 600,000 tons of pellets during the fourth quarter of 2010. Cliffs said this impacted North American Iron Ore revenue and sales margin by approximately $80 million and $38 million, respectively. These shipments and the related revenue will be realized in the first quarter of 2011.
North American Iron Ore revenue per ton was $107.38 during the fourth quarter, compared with $80.44 in the fourth quarter of 2009. Per-ton revenues in the quarter were positively impacted by an increase in seaborne iron ore prices and hot band steel prices, both of which are pricing factors in Cliffs' customer supply agreements. During the fourth quarter, the Company prevailed in one of its two previously disclosed arbitrations with customers. The binding decision by the American Arbitration Association entitled Cliffs to use a pricing increase in excess of 95% for seaborne blast furnace pellets in the pricing formula for a customer's supply agreement. The customer is maintaining a court application to vacate the arbitration award, which Cliffs is vigorously contesting. The Company indicated its other previously disclosed arbitration is ongoing.
Cost per ton in North American Iron Ore was $67.66, up 22% from $55.24 in the year-ago quarter. The increase was driven primarily by higher profit sharing, employment-related and materials costs, along with royalties and the effect of Cliffs' 100% ownership of Wabush Mines, offset by lower idle expenses. Additionally, prior-year costs benefited from Cliffs purchasing tonnage from some of the mine partners of its non-wholly owned mines at variable cost.
*Excludes revenues and expenses related to freight, which are offsetting and have no impact on sales margin.
**Cash cost per ton is defined as cost of goods sold and operating expenses per ton less depreciation, depletion and amortization and other non-cash expenses per ton.
North American Coal sales volume increased 24% to 927,000 tons from the 748,000 tons sold in 2009's fourth quarter. The increase was primarily driven by 615,000 tons of incremental sales volume from the coal operations of INR Energy, which were acquired in mid-2010. The year-over-year decrease in sales volume for Cliffs' Pinnacle and Oak Grove mines was attributed to the effects of continued adverse geological conditions at both mines. Recently, Cliffs installed a new longwall plow system and refurbished its coal preparation plant at Pinnacle Mine in West Virginia. Cliffs noted that Pinnacle Mine was producing at very low levels during the installation and start-up of the longwall plow system, which was successfully completed by quarter end. The Company is also in the midst of installing a new mine shaft at its Oak Grove Mine in Alabama.
Revenue per ton increased 29% to $116.83 compared with the fourth quarter of 2009. Cost per ton increased 39% to $141.85, from $102.01 in the comparable quarter last year. Cost per ton at both Pinnacle and Oak Grove mines was negatively impacted by the low production yields given adverse geological conditions experienced at both mines during the quarter. The unfavorable costs experienced at these mine sites were offset by lower per-ton costs at the recently acquired coal operations of INR Energy.
*Cash cost per metric ton is defined as cost of goods sold and operating expenses per metric ton less depreciation, depletion and amortization per metric ton.
Fourth-quarter 2010 Asia Pacific Iron Ore sales volume was 2.6 million tons, a 24% increase from the sales volume of 2.1 million tons in the 2009 comparable quarter. The increase was driven by higher volumes from Cliffs' Cockatoo Island joint venture, which resumed production in the third quarter of 2010 and is anticipated to produce approximately 700,000 tons of high-grade fines product annually for Cliffs through 2012.
Fourth-quarter revenue per ton in Asia Pacific Iron Ore more than doubled to $135.47, compared with $64.45 in the fourth quarter of 2009. The increase was due to significantly higher prices in the seaborne market for iron ore products. Cliffs indicated that pricing mechanisms utilized for a vast majority of its customers in the Asia Pacific Iron Ore business segment have evolved through 2010 with some contracts based on mechanisms more closely correlated with spot prices. Other sales continue to be contracted based on quarterly pricing mechanisms.
Per-ton cost increased 19% to $65.74 in 2010's fourth quarter, from $55.12 in the fourth quarter of 2009. The increase was primarily driven by unfavorable foreign exchange rates and increased royalty costs when compared with the same period in the prior year.
Sonoma Coal and the Amapa Iron Ore Project
In the fourth quarter of 2010, Cliffs' share of sales volume for its 45% economic interest in Sonoma Coal was 500,000 tons. Revenues and sales margin generated for Cliffs' share were $69 million and $22.9 million, respectively. Revenue per ton at Sonoma was $137.90, with costs of $92.19 per ton.
Cliffs has a 30% ownership interest in the Amapa Iron Ore Project. During the fourth quarter, Amapa produced a total of 1.2 million tons and earned equity income of $5.6 million for Cliffs' share of the project.
Capital Structure, Cash Flow and Liquidity
At year end, Cliffs had $1.6 billion of cash and cash equivalents, with no borrowings drawn on its $600 million revolving credit facility excluding, letters of credit. For the year, Cliffs generated more than $1.3 billion in cash from operations. Cliffs noted that the Company did not receive the previously disclosed settlement payment of $129 million related to the arbitration resolution with one of its North American Iron Ore customers until Jan. 6, 2011. As such, this payment was not reflected in Cliffs' 2010 cash from operations or in cash and cash equivalents at Dec. 31, 2010.
Major uses of cash in 2010 included approximately:
* $270 million for capital expenditures; and,
* $1.1 billion for acquisitions completed in 2010.
At Dec. 31, 2010 Cliffs had $1.7 billion in long-term borrowings, comprised of $325 million in private placement senior notes and $1.4 billion in public senior notes. The Company indicated that the majority of the long-term borrowings mature in 2020 and beyond. Depreciation, depletion and amortization for full-year 2010 was $322 million.
OUTLOOK [excluding contribution from Consolidated Thompson because the deal has not yet closed]
The Company anticipates global steel production will continue to grow in 2011, primarily driven by emerging economies such as China, India and Brazil. Based on these dynamics, Cliffs continues to have an optimistic outlook for its businesses.
Subsequent to year end, Cliffs announced it had entered into a definitive arrangement agreement with Consolidated Thompson Iron Mines Limited to acquire all of its shares outstanding in an all-cash transaction valued at approximately $4.9 billion Canadian (including net debt), which was unanimously approved by Consolidated Thompson's board of directors. In addition, Cliffs entered into a support agreement with Consolidated Thompson's largest shareholder, Wuhan Iron and Steel (Group) Corporation of China, along with the directors and certain senior officers of Consolidated Thompson. This transaction is expected to close in early second quarter of 2011, subject to the satisfaction or waiver of various closing conditions. After closing this transaction, Cliffs anticipates including this business in subsequent market outlooks.
North American Iron Ore Outlook (Long tons)
Cliffs said it is increasing its 2011 North American Iron Ore sales volume expectation to approximately 28 million tons, partially as a result of the additional 600,000 tons of sales volume indicated above, it expects to recognize in the first quarter of 2011, with the balance due to improved market conditions.
Cliffs' North American Iron Ore 2011 revenue-per-ton expectation is $140 - $145, based on the following assumptions:
* 2011 U.S. blast furnace utilization of approximately 70%;
* 2011 average hot rolled steel pricing of $650 - $700;
* 2011 settled annual pellet increases of 35% from 2010's pricing; and
* Successful collection of $300 million associated with the pending arbitration discussed above.
The revenue-per-ton expectation also considers various contract provisions, lag-year adjustments and pricing caps and floors contained in certain supply agreements. Actual realized average revenue per ton for the full year will ultimately depend on increases or decreases for blast furnace pellets from annual 2010 seaborne pellet prices, sales-volume levels, customer mix, production input costs and/or steel prices (all factors in the Company's formula-based pricing in the North American Iron Ore business segment) and the final award for the ongoing arbitration.
In addition, Cliffs said the following approximate sensitivities would impact actual realized prices:
• For every 10% change from the above expectation for annual blast furnace pellet prices, Cliffs expects its average realized revenue per ton in North American Iron Ore to change by approximately $6; and
• For every $25 change from the estimated 2011 hot rolled steel prices noted above, Cliffs expects its average revenue per ton in North American Iron Ore to change by $0.55.
Cliffs expects its North American Iron Ore 2011 production volume to be approximately 28 million tons. At this production level, the Company anticipates its cost per ton to be $65 - $70, with approximately $5 per ton comprised of depreciation, depletion and amortization.
North American Coal Outlook (Short tons f.o.b the mine)
Cliffs said it is maintaining its 2011 North American Coal sales and production volumes expectation of approximately 6.5 million tons, comprised of 1 million tons of thermal coal, 1.5 million tons of high-volatile metallurgical coal and 4 million tons of low-volatile metallurgical coal.
Cliffs' North American Coal 2011 revenue-per-ton expectation is $135 - $140. This revenue-per-ton estimate is based on the following factors:
• Virtually all of the expected thermal coal sales volume committed at an average price of $71 per ton;
• 95% of the expected high-volatile metallurgical coal sales volume committed at an average of $115 per ton;
• 70% of the expected low-volatile metallurgical coal sales volume committed at an average of $150 per ton; and
• Uncommitted tons of low-volatile metallurgical coal priced at $185 per ton.
In 2011, Cliffs anticipates cost per ton for the year of approximately $105 - $110, with approximately $15 per ton comprised of depreciation, depletion and amortization.
Asia Pacific Iron Ore Outlook (Metric tons f.o.b the port)
Asia Pacific Iron Ore 2011 sales and production volumes are expected to be 9 million tons. Cliffs' 2011 Asia Pacific Iron Ore revenue-per-ton expectation is $175 - $180, based on the following assumptions:
• The Platts spot price of $187 per ton (c.i.f. China) as of Jan. 31, 2011, is maintained for the remainder of 2011;
• Pricing for the majority of Chinese customers, which represents approximately 80% of the expected sales volume, continues to use a mechanism closely correlated to spot prices;
• Pricing mechanisms for the majority of Japanese customers, which represents approximately 20% of the expected sales volumes, continue to use quarterly lag spot prices; and
• A product mix of approximately 50% lump and 50% fines.
Costs per ton are expected to be approximately $70 - $75. The year-over-year increase in the average cost expectation is primarily driven by higher royalties, higher stripping costs and a less favorable foreign exchange rate. Depreciation, depletion and amortization costs per ton are expected to be $12.
The following table provides a summary of Cliffs' 2011 guidance for these three business segments:
(1) North American Iron Ore tons are reported in long tons.
(2) North American Coal tons are reported in short tons f.o.b. the mine.
(3) Asia Pacific Iron Ore tons are reported in metric tons f.o.b the port.
Outlook for Sonoma Coal and the Amapa Iron Ore Project (Metric tons f.o.b the port)
In 2011, the Company expects its equity sales and production volume at Sonoma Coal to be 1.6 million tons. The approximate product mix is expected to be two thirds thermal coal and one third metallurgical coal. Cliffs expects per-ton costs to be $105 - $110. The year-over-year increase in the average cost expectation is primarily driven by higher royalties and an unfavorable exchange rate variance.
Cliffs expects the Amapa Iron Ore Project to be modestly profitable in 2011.
SG&A Expenses and Other Expectations
SG&A expenses are anticipated to be approximately $200 million in 2011. In addition, Cliffs intends to incur the following additional cash outflows:
* Approximately $50 million to $55 million related to its global exploration activities;
* Approximately $35 million related to its chromite project in Ontario, Canada; and
* Approximately $50 million related to Sonoma Coal partner profit sharing.
The Company anticipates an effective tax rate of approximately 30% for the year and depreciation, depletion and amortization of approximately $360 million.
2011 Capital Budget Update and Other Uses of Cash
Based on the above outlook, Cliffs expects to generate more than $2.7 billion in cash from operations in 2011. The Company expects capital expenditures of approximately $700 million, comprised of approximately $300 million in sustaining capital and approximately $400 million in growth and expansion, including the following projects within Cliffs' business segments:
North American Iron Ore
* $125 million related to the previously disclosed extension of Cliffs' Empire Mine in Michigan to 2014
* $20 million related to increasing production at Wabush to 5.5 million tons by 2013
North American Coal
* $45 million related to bringing Lower War Eagle, a high-volatile metallurgical coal mine in West Virginia, into production
* $16 million related to the previously disclosed mine shaft construction at Cliffs' Oak Grove Mine in Alabama
* $14 million related to the previously disclosed longwall installation at Cliffs' Pinnacle Mine in West Virginia
Asia Pacific Iron Ore
* $146 million related to the previously disclosed infrastructure upgrades at Cliffs' Koolyanobbing Mine in Western Australia
Cliffs will host a conference call to discuss its 2010 fourth-quarter and year-end results tomorrow, Feb. 17, 2011, at 10 a.m. ET. The call will be broadcast live on Cliffs' website: www.cliffsnaturalresources.com. A replay of the call will be available on the website for approximately 30 days.
About Cliffs Natural Resources Inc.
Cliffs Natural Resources Inc. is an international mining and natural resources company. A member of the S&P 500 Index, we are the largest producer of iron ore pellets in North America, a major supplier of direct-shipping lump and fines iron ore out of Australia and a significant producer of high and low volatile metallurgical coal. With core values of environmental and capital stewardship, our colleagues across the globe endeavor to provide all stakeholders operating and financial transparency as embodied in the Global Reporting Initiative (GRI) framework. Our Company is organized through three geographic business units:
The North American business unit is comprised of six iron ore mines owned or managed in Michigan, Minnesota and Canada and six coal mines located in West Virginia and Alabama. The Asia Pacific business unit is comprised of two iron ore mining complexes in Western Australia and a 45% economic interest in a coking and thermal coal mine in Queensland, Australia. The Latin American business unit includes a 30% interest in the Amapa Project, an iron ore project in the state of Amapa in Brazil.
Other projects under development include a biomass production plant in Michigan and Ring of Fire chromite properties in Ontario, Canada. Over recent years, Cliffs has been executing a strategy designed to achieve scale in the mining industry and focused on serving the world's largest and fastest growing steel markets.‹
[CLF, a global iron and coal miner, has been one of the best-performing stocks in the entire market during the past two years; the share price is up almost nine-fold (!) from the 2009 low.
In addition to benefitting from higher commodity prices generally, changes in CLF’s business model have boosted results. In prior years, CLF served Asian demand from its iron ore in Western Australia and its higher-cost iron ore from the North American Great Lakes region was consumed by US steel mills. In 2010, however, CLF began shipping a significant amount of ore from North America into the seaborne export market. These seaborne shipments will accelerate in the coming years as a consequence of CLF’s acquisitions of the Wabush (#msg-42447258) and Consolidated Thompson mines in Eastern Canada and CLF’s business relationship with Wuhan Iron & Steel, China’s third-largest steel producer (#msg-58708254). Additionally, CLF’s coal business was helped in 4Q10 by the floods in Australia’s Queensland state, which caused a spike in the global price of met coal.
All told, the business-model changes described above make CLF an even stronger participant than ever in The Global Demographic Tailwind.
Turning to the financials, 4Q10 EPS of $2.82 on $1.4B of revenue was the best quarterly result ever (and was more than triple the 4Q09 EPS of $0.82); although this torrid pace may not be sustainable, full-year 2011 EPS of $10+ is now plausible and some analysts have forecasts as high as $15.50.
CLF does not issue EPS guidance per se, but it gives detailed forecasts for production volume, average price per ton, accounting cost per ton, and cash cost per ton (excluding DD&A), which allows investors to gauge future EPS fairly accurately for a given assumption about commodity prices. CLF even provides info on how sensitive its guidance is to changes in pricing assumptions (about 2/3 of the way into the PR), which is something that no other company I know of does on a regular basis.
What, then, is the bear case for CLF? Well, iron and coal prices could conceivably collapse if there were a major hit to the global economy from someone that cannot be foreseen. Additionally, I’ve expressed doubts about the ability of CLF’s management team to manage CLF’s increasingly complex businesses without screwing something up (e.g. #msg-50547871, #msg-43909449); to date, however, the execution has been flawless. Finally, CLF has stated its intention to raise capital to partially offset the capital expended on the Consolidated Thompson acquisition by selling shares sometime in 2011 (most likely after the acquisition closes in 2Q11, according to the 4Q10 CC).
Given the colossal appreciation in the share price, the kneejerk reaction is to take some profits. On the other hand, CLF has a desirable portfolio of assets that makes it a logical acquisition for a mining giant such as BHP or VALE, who have more than enough financial resources to engineer such a deal.]
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Cliffs-Natural-Resources-Inc-prnews-16512334.html?x=0&.v=1
›Wednesday February 16, 2011, 4:30 pm EST
• Full-Year Revenues Double to a Record $4.7 Billion, with Net Income of Over $1 Billion, or $7.49 Per Diluted Share
• Cash from Operations Increases More Than 600% to $1.3 Billion, from $186 Million in 2009
• Record Iron Ore Sales Volume Achieved in North America and Asia Pacific
• Fourth-Quarter Revenues Reach a Record $1.4 Billion, With Net Income of $384 Million, or $2.82 Per Diluted Share
CLEVELAND, Feb. 16, 2011 /PRNewswire/ -- Cliffs Natural Resources Inc. (NYSE:CLF) today reported fourth-quarter and full-year results for the period ended Dec. 31, 2010. Record full-year revenues of $4.7 billion increased $2.3 billion, or over 100%, from the previous year. Full-year operating income increased to $1.3 billion, up 450% from $230 million in 2009. Net income was $1 billion, or $7.49 per diluted share, up from $205 million, or $1.63 per diluted share, in the prior year. Fourth-quarter net income increased to an all-time quarterly record of $384 million, or $2.82 per diluted share. Increased sales volumes and favorable pricing for both periods contributed to the Company's record-breaking results.
Joseph A. Carrabba, Cliffs' chairman, president and chief executive officer, said, "Our impressive year-over-year earnings momentum is directly attributable to the strategic efforts to increase our business' exposure to seaborne pricing over the past five years. I expect this trend to continue as we execute on our previously announced acquisition of Consolidated Thompson Iron Mines Limited which, upon closing, will further diversify Cliffs' customer base and lever the Company's sales to seaborne pricing."
2010 Highlights [the acquisition of Consolidated Thompson is not mentioned here because it happened in Jan 2011]
In 2010, Cliffs executed a number of strategic transactions and accomplished several financial, operational and sustainability milestones, positioning the Company among the fastest growing in the S&P 500 Index. These included:
• Achieving record-breaking annual revenues, operating income, net income, diluted earnings per share and cash from operations;
• The purchase of INR Energy's coal operations, furthering Cliffs' exposure to metallurgical coal;
• Acquiring the remaining 73% interest in Wabush Mines, resulting in 4 million tons of additional seaborne iron ore exposure annually [this deal was announced in 2009 and closed in 2010];
• Successfully closing the Freewest Resources acquisition and acquiring Spider Resources, which together provide Cliffs control of three premium chromite deposits in Northern Ontario, Canada;
• Raising $1.4 billion in two public debt offerings with investment-grade ratings from Standard & Poor's and Moody's;
• Announcing plans to increase production capacity at the Company's Asia Pacific Iron Ore operations to 11 million from nine million tons;
• Increasing the quarterly cash dividend rate by 60%;
• Being named No. 9 in Bloomberg Businessweek's ranking of the top 50 best performers in the S&P 500;
• Being named No. 97 in the Global 1000 Sustainable Performance Leaders Ranking, issued by CRD Analytics, a leading provider of independent sustainability investment analytics;
• Being named No. 23 in the Maplecroft Climate Innovation Indexes, which ranks 350 U.S. companies for climate-related innovation and carbon management programs; and
• Celebrating the 50th anniversary of the Company's listing on the New York Stock Exchange.
Fourth-Quarter Consolidated Results
Consolidated fourth-quarter revenues were $1.4 billion, a 74% increase compared with $821 million in the same quarter last year. The increase was driven by higher sales volume and pricing due to greater exposure to seaborne markets and higher global demand for steelmaking raw materials.
In the fourth quarter, Cliffs' consolidated sales margin increased 175% to $482 million, from $175 million in the same period of 2009. The increase was the result of increased sales volumes and higher year-over-year pricing in each of the Company's business segments.
Consolidated operating income for the fourth quarter increased 155% to $397 million, from $156 million in the prior year's comparable quarter. Fourth-quarter 2010 net income increased 255% to $384 million, or $2.82 per diluted share, from $108 million, or $0.82 per diluted share, in the fourth quarter of 2009.
During the quarter, Cliffs completed a legal entity restructuring related to the Amapa project that primarily resulted in a deferred tax benefit of $78 million. The Company indicated this tax benefit was a non-recurring, non-cash item.
*Excludes revenues and expenses related to freight, which are offsetting and have no impact on sales margin.
**Cash cost per ton is defined as cost of goods sold and operating expenses per ton less depreciation, depletion and amortization per ton.
Fourth-quarter 2010 North American Iron Ore pellet sales volume was 7.6 million tons, a 14% increase from the 6.6 million tons sold in the fourth quarter of 2009. The increase in sales volume is attributed to better demand for iron ore pellets, reflecting a steady North American steel industry capacity utilization of approximately 70%, compared with a lower utilization rate of nearly 60% in the fourth quarter of 2009. Successful marketing of additional iron ore pellets available for sale from Cliffs' acquisition of its former partners' interests in Wabush Mines also contributed to the quarter's increase in sales volume from the same period in the prior year. The Company indicated payment timing and several days of severe weather conditions on the Great Lakes prohibited Cliffs from recognizing revenue for approximately 600,000 tons of pellets during the fourth quarter of 2010. Cliffs said this impacted North American Iron Ore revenue and sales margin by approximately $80 million and $38 million, respectively. These shipments and the related revenue will be realized in the first quarter of 2011.
North American Iron Ore revenue per ton was $107.38 during the fourth quarter, compared with $80.44 in the fourth quarter of 2009. Per-ton revenues in the quarter were positively impacted by an increase in seaborne iron ore prices and hot band steel prices, both of which are pricing factors in Cliffs' customer supply agreements. During the fourth quarter, the Company prevailed in one of its two previously disclosed arbitrations with customers. The binding decision by the American Arbitration Association entitled Cliffs to use a pricing increase in excess of 95% for seaborne blast furnace pellets in the pricing formula for a customer's supply agreement. The customer is maintaining a court application to vacate the arbitration award, which Cliffs is vigorously contesting. The Company indicated its other previously disclosed arbitration is ongoing.
Cost per ton in North American Iron Ore was $67.66, up 22% from $55.24 in the year-ago quarter. The increase was driven primarily by higher profit sharing, employment-related and materials costs, along with royalties and the effect of Cliffs' 100% ownership of Wabush Mines, offset by lower idle expenses. Additionally, prior-year costs benefited from Cliffs purchasing tonnage from some of the mine partners of its non-wholly owned mines at variable cost.
*Excludes revenues and expenses related to freight, which are offsetting and have no impact on sales margin.
**Cash cost per ton is defined as cost of goods sold and operating expenses per ton less depreciation, depletion and amortization and other non-cash expenses per ton.
North American Coal sales volume increased 24% to 927,000 tons from the 748,000 tons sold in 2009's fourth quarter. The increase was primarily driven by 615,000 tons of incremental sales volume from the coal operations of INR Energy, which were acquired in mid-2010. The year-over-year decrease in sales volume for Cliffs' Pinnacle and Oak Grove mines was attributed to the effects of continued adverse geological conditions at both mines. Recently, Cliffs installed a new longwall plow system and refurbished its coal preparation plant at Pinnacle Mine in West Virginia. Cliffs noted that Pinnacle Mine was producing at very low levels during the installation and start-up of the longwall plow system, which was successfully completed by quarter end. The Company is also in the midst of installing a new mine shaft at its Oak Grove Mine in Alabama.
Revenue per ton increased 29% to $116.83 compared with the fourth quarter of 2009. Cost per ton increased 39% to $141.85, from $102.01 in the comparable quarter last year. Cost per ton at both Pinnacle and Oak Grove mines was negatively impacted by the low production yields given adverse geological conditions experienced at both mines during the quarter. The unfavorable costs experienced at these mine sites were offset by lower per-ton costs at the recently acquired coal operations of INR Energy.
*Cash cost per metric ton is defined as cost of goods sold and operating expenses per metric ton less depreciation, depletion and amortization per metric ton.
Fourth-quarter 2010 Asia Pacific Iron Ore sales volume was 2.6 million tons, a 24% increase from the sales volume of 2.1 million tons in the 2009 comparable quarter. The increase was driven by higher volumes from Cliffs' Cockatoo Island joint venture, which resumed production in the third quarter of 2010 and is anticipated to produce approximately 700,000 tons of high-grade fines product annually for Cliffs through 2012.
Fourth-quarter revenue per ton in Asia Pacific Iron Ore more than doubled to $135.47, compared with $64.45 in the fourth quarter of 2009. The increase was due to significantly higher prices in the seaborne market for iron ore products. Cliffs indicated that pricing mechanisms utilized for a vast majority of its customers in the Asia Pacific Iron Ore business segment have evolved through 2010 with some contracts based on mechanisms more closely correlated with spot prices. Other sales continue to be contracted based on quarterly pricing mechanisms.
Per-ton cost increased 19% to $65.74 in 2010's fourth quarter, from $55.12 in the fourth quarter of 2009. The increase was primarily driven by unfavorable foreign exchange rates and increased royalty costs when compared with the same period in the prior year.
Sonoma Coal and the Amapa Iron Ore Project
In the fourth quarter of 2010, Cliffs' share of sales volume for its 45% economic interest in Sonoma Coal was 500,000 tons. Revenues and sales margin generated for Cliffs' share were $69 million and $22.9 million, respectively. Revenue per ton at Sonoma was $137.90, with costs of $92.19 per ton.
Cliffs has a 30% ownership interest in the Amapa Iron Ore Project. During the fourth quarter, Amapa produced a total of 1.2 million tons and earned equity income of $5.6 million for Cliffs' share of the project.
Capital Structure, Cash Flow and Liquidity
At year end, Cliffs had $1.6 billion of cash and cash equivalents, with no borrowings drawn on its $600 million revolving credit facility excluding, letters of credit. For the year, Cliffs generated more than $1.3 billion in cash from operations. Cliffs noted that the Company did not receive the previously disclosed settlement payment of $129 million related to the arbitration resolution with one of its North American Iron Ore customers until Jan. 6, 2011. As such, this payment was not reflected in Cliffs' 2010 cash from operations or in cash and cash equivalents at Dec. 31, 2010.
Major uses of cash in 2010 included approximately:
* $270 million for capital expenditures; and,
* $1.1 billion for acquisitions completed in 2010.
At Dec. 31, 2010 Cliffs had $1.7 billion in long-term borrowings, comprised of $325 million in private placement senior notes and $1.4 billion in public senior notes. The Company indicated that the majority of the long-term borrowings mature in 2020 and beyond. Depreciation, depletion and amortization for full-year 2010 was $322 million.
OUTLOOK [excluding contribution from Consolidated Thompson because the deal has not yet closed]
The Company anticipates global steel production will continue to grow in 2011, primarily driven by emerging economies such as China, India and Brazil. Based on these dynamics, Cliffs continues to have an optimistic outlook for its businesses.
Subsequent to year end, Cliffs announced it had entered into a definitive arrangement agreement with Consolidated Thompson Iron Mines Limited to acquire all of its shares outstanding in an all-cash transaction valued at approximately $4.9 billion Canadian (including net debt), which was unanimously approved by Consolidated Thompson's board of directors. In addition, Cliffs entered into a support agreement with Consolidated Thompson's largest shareholder, Wuhan Iron and Steel (Group) Corporation of China, along with the directors and certain senior officers of Consolidated Thompson. This transaction is expected to close in early second quarter of 2011, subject to the satisfaction or waiver of various closing conditions. After closing this transaction, Cliffs anticipates including this business in subsequent market outlooks.
North American Iron Ore Outlook (Long tons)
Cliffs said it is increasing its 2011 North American Iron Ore sales volume expectation to approximately 28 million tons, partially as a result of the additional 600,000 tons of sales volume indicated above, it expects to recognize in the first quarter of 2011, with the balance due to improved market conditions.
Cliffs' North American Iron Ore 2011 revenue-per-ton expectation is $140 - $145, based on the following assumptions:
* 2011 U.S. blast furnace utilization of approximately 70%;
* 2011 average hot rolled steel pricing of $650 - $700;
* 2011 settled annual pellet increases of 35% from 2010's pricing; and
* Successful collection of $300 million associated with the pending arbitration discussed above.
The revenue-per-ton expectation also considers various contract provisions, lag-year adjustments and pricing caps and floors contained in certain supply agreements. Actual realized average revenue per ton for the full year will ultimately depend on increases or decreases for blast furnace pellets from annual 2010 seaborne pellet prices, sales-volume levels, customer mix, production input costs and/or steel prices (all factors in the Company's formula-based pricing in the North American Iron Ore business segment) and the final award for the ongoing arbitration.
In addition, Cliffs said the following approximate sensitivities would impact actual realized prices:
• For every 10% change from the above expectation for annual blast furnace pellet prices, Cliffs expects its average realized revenue per ton in North American Iron Ore to change by approximately $6; and
• For every $25 change from the estimated 2011 hot rolled steel prices noted above, Cliffs expects its average revenue per ton in North American Iron Ore to change by $0.55.
Cliffs expects its North American Iron Ore 2011 production volume to be approximately 28 million tons. At this production level, the Company anticipates its cost per ton to be $65 - $70, with approximately $5 per ton comprised of depreciation, depletion and amortization.
North American Coal Outlook (Short tons f.o.b the mine)
Cliffs said it is maintaining its 2011 North American Coal sales and production volumes expectation of approximately 6.5 million tons, comprised of 1 million tons of thermal coal, 1.5 million tons of high-volatile metallurgical coal and 4 million tons of low-volatile metallurgical coal.
Cliffs' North American Coal 2011 revenue-per-ton expectation is $135 - $140. This revenue-per-ton estimate is based on the following factors:
• Virtually all of the expected thermal coal sales volume committed at an average price of $71 per ton;
• 95% of the expected high-volatile metallurgical coal sales volume committed at an average of $115 per ton;
• 70% of the expected low-volatile metallurgical coal sales volume committed at an average of $150 per ton; and
• Uncommitted tons of low-volatile metallurgical coal priced at $185 per ton.
In 2011, Cliffs anticipates cost per ton for the year of approximately $105 - $110, with approximately $15 per ton comprised of depreciation, depletion and amortization.
Asia Pacific Iron Ore Outlook (Metric tons f.o.b the port)
Asia Pacific Iron Ore 2011 sales and production volumes are expected to be 9 million tons. Cliffs' 2011 Asia Pacific Iron Ore revenue-per-ton expectation is $175 - $180, based on the following assumptions:
• The Platts spot price of $187 per ton (c.i.f. China) as of Jan. 31, 2011, is maintained for the remainder of 2011;
• Pricing for the majority of Chinese customers, which represents approximately 80% of the expected sales volume, continues to use a mechanism closely correlated to spot prices;
• Pricing mechanisms for the majority of Japanese customers, which represents approximately 20% of the expected sales volumes, continue to use quarterly lag spot prices; and
• A product mix of approximately 50% lump and 50% fines.
Costs per ton are expected to be approximately $70 - $75. The year-over-year increase in the average cost expectation is primarily driven by higher royalties, higher stripping costs and a less favorable foreign exchange rate. Depreciation, depletion and amortization costs per ton are expected to be $12.
The following table provides a summary of Cliffs' 2011 guidance for these three business segments:
(1) North American Iron Ore tons are reported in long tons.
(2) North American Coal tons are reported in short tons f.o.b. the mine.
(3) Asia Pacific Iron Ore tons are reported in metric tons f.o.b the port.
Outlook for Sonoma Coal and the Amapa Iron Ore Project (Metric tons f.o.b the port)
In 2011, the Company expects its equity sales and production volume at Sonoma Coal to be 1.6 million tons. The approximate product mix is expected to be two thirds thermal coal and one third metallurgical coal. Cliffs expects per-ton costs to be $105 - $110. The year-over-year increase in the average cost expectation is primarily driven by higher royalties and an unfavorable exchange rate variance.
Cliffs expects the Amapa Iron Ore Project to be modestly profitable in 2011.
SG&A Expenses and Other Expectations
SG&A expenses are anticipated to be approximately $200 million in 2011. In addition, Cliffs intends to incur the following additional cash outflows:
* Approximately $50 million to $55 million related to its global exploration activities;
* Approximately $35 million related to its chromite project in Ontario, Canada; and
* Approximately $50 million related to Sonoma Coal partner profit sharing.
The Company anticipates an effective tax rate of approximately 30% for the year and depreciation, depletion and amortization of approximately $360 million.
2011 Capital Budget Update and Other Uses of Cash
Based on the above outlook, Cliffs expects to generate more than $2.7 billion in cash from operations in 2011. The Company expects capital expenditures of approximately $700 million, comprised of approximately $300 million in sustaining capital and approximately $400 million in growth and expansion, including the following projects within Cliffs' business segments:
North American Iron Ore
* $125 million related to the previously disclosed extension of Cliffs' Empire Mine in Michigan to 2014
* $20 million related to increasing production at Wabush to 5.5 million tons by 2013
North American Coal
* $45 million related to bringing Lower War Eagle, a high-volatile metallurgical coal mine in West Virginia, into production
* $16 million related to the previously disclosed mine shaft construction at Cliffs' Oak Grove Mine in Alabama
* $14 million related to the previously disclosed longwall installation at Cliffs' Pinnacle Mine in West Virginia
Asia Pacific Iron Ore
* $146 million related to the previously disclosed infrastructure upgrades at Cliffs' Koolyanobbing Mine in Western Australia
Cliffs will host a conference call to discuss its 2010 fourth-quarter and year-end results tomorrow, Feb. 17, 2011, at 10 a.m. ET. The call will be broadcast live on Cliffs' website: www.cliffsnaturalresources.com. A replay of the call will be available on the website for approximately 30 days.
About Cliffs Natural Resources Inc.
Cliffs Natural Resources Inc. is an international mining and natural resources company. A member of the S&P 500 Index, we are the largest producer of iron ore pellets in North America, a major supplier of direct-shipping lump and fines iron ore out of Australia and a significant producer of high and low volatile metallurgical coal. With core values of environmental and capital stewardship, our colleagues across the globe endeavor to provide all stakeholders operating and financial transparency as embodied in the Global Reporting Initiative (GRI) framework. Our Company is organized through three geographic business units:
The North American business unit is comprised of six iron ore mines owned or managed in Michigan, Minnesota and Canada and six coal mines located in West Virginia and Alabama. The Asia Pacific business unit is comprised of two iron ore mining complexes in Western Australia and a 45% economic interest in a coking and thermal coal mine in Queensland, Australia. The Latin American business unit includes a 30% interest in the Amapa Project, an iron ore project in the state of Amapa in Brazil.
Other projects under development include a biomass production plant in Michigan and Ring of Fire chromite properties in Ontario, Canada. Over recent years, Cliffs has been executing a strategy designed to achieve scale in the mining industry and focused on serving the world's largest and fastest growing steel markets.‹
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