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Re: CoalTrain post# 36693

Saturday, 10/19/2002 11:47:36 AM

Saturday, October 19, 2002 11:47:36 AM

Post# of 704044
I would not go by Prechter. His long-term record is very bad despite a few good calls.

His call for Dow 1000 strikes me as absurd barring something like a nuclear bomb going off in downtown Manhattan. The grizzly bears I respect -- people like Saville, Hussman, and Alan Newman -- talk about the bear troughing around Dow 5000-6000.

I am frankly agnostic on where the ultimate trough will be. What I am quite sure is that the recent lows will be tested again in the not too distant future -- possibly before the end of this year. And that this rally will be substantially corrected soon after the election.


“The things that will destroy us are: politics without principle; pleasure without conscience; wealth without work; knowledge without character; business without morality; science without humanity; and worship without sacrifice.” Mahatma Gandhi

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