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Re: Ace Hanlon post# 36685

Saturday, 10/19/2002 10:35:41 AM

Saturday, October 19, 2002 10:35:41 AM

Post# of 704044
George:

The number of years I have been trading is measured in years not decades so I have never seen a bear market like this one ever. Pretcher is calling for DOW 1000. Not Dow 10k but dow 1k.
First stop he says is DOW 4k in a few months. Then several years from now DOW 1K. This market get cut in half again I have no problem believing at all. Even without benifit of having seen a gnarly bear like this before it is easy to see that people are still in denial. A few months ago when I was in Silicon Valley almost everyone I meet that found out that I was a trader asked me if it was time yet to get back in the market. Many seemed to think that soon they could buy and hold again like through the ninetys and get rich. The one guy I know involved in running a mutual fund is in such massive denial he can't even seem to carry on a conversation about the market going lower next year.

Dow 4k I believe. DOW 1k?? I thought this guy is a bear gone psycho or he has a book to sell and is grandstanding. Then I looked at a long term chart of the dow from 1900 to now. It makes a little more sense to me after looking at the chart but I still find this very hard to imagine. Do you think there is any way we could see any thing lower than 4k on the DOW as a final bottom?

CT

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