A.I.M. Users Bulletin Board

[Conrad]

Hello AIM Or Bust,

I think you will get plenty of advice on this and not all of it will be the same. The most important issue here is your evaluation of the SciTech fund at about 15 percent of its high value. The first question you should answer, or find an answer to is: Is SciTech worth Buying?

If the answer is Yes the this implies that it will very likely survive any possible decline in the economy as a whole. My advice is to jump in at 60-80 % cash. This prepares you for a substantial drop an you can buy extra cheap shares. If the stock starts rising right away and you think(beliefs are of no use here) that the rise is structural then you should jump in with the rest of the cash. This would follow the method of the Vortex Stop/Buy or the MACRO method of Don Carlson.

For the Vortex Demo Funds I have selected a current CER of 80/20, but I am the proverbial Optimist. I thought that the Recovery would take off on September 11th, and I was wrong on that. So for I others I advise a restrained optimism, and: Don't be scared. Be Bold! Go for it.

For the other stock the same principles apply. These days is what I call Opportunity Time:

Buying one cake and eating two!


Conrad