Thursday, May 20, 2010 2:08:29 AM
S&P 500 P/E ratios.
The current ratio is 20.22 which includes the financials having the advantage of an extremely steep yield curve to boost their earnings. The S&P closed 2007 with a P/E ratio of 22.19. The historical average is around 16 and in the the late 70's and early 80's the P/E ratio was around 10. The low was a P/E of 4.78 in the early 1920's then shot up to a P/E ratio in the 35 range prior to the 1929 crash then fell to high single digits after the crash of 1929. The the P/E ratio shot up over 20 again in the early 1930's only to fall back down to the 12 range in the late 1930's. If the financials perform the way I think they will earnings for the S&P will be affected in a big way. All that has happened is the debt was just moved onto government balance sheets around the world nothing has been fixed. Time will tell.
The current ratio is 20.22 which includes the financials having the advantage of an extremely steep yield curve to boost their earnings. The S&P closed 2007 with a P/E ratio of 22.19. The historical average is around 16 and in the the late 70's and early 80's the P/E ratio was around 10. The low was a P/E of 4.78 in the early 1920's then shot up to a P/E ratio in the 35 range prior to the 1929 crash then fell to high single digits after the crash of 1929. The the P/E ratio shot up over 20 again in the early 1930's only to fall back down to the 12 range in the late 1930's. If the financials perform the way I think they will earnings for the S&P will be affected in a big way. All that has happened is the debt was just moved onto government balance sheets around the world nothing has been fixed. Time will tell.
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