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Re: The Grabber post# 570

Tuesday, 02/19/2002 3:56:08 PM

Tuesday, February 19, 2002 3:56:08 PM

Post# of 48301
Hi Steve, Here's a couple things on JZGalt's analysis of tech stock growth vs price.....

http://www.siliconinvestor.com/stocktalk/msg.gsp?msgid=12307287&s=quadrant

which will lead you to:
http://www.confirmatoryanalysis.com/zdtech/index.html

which shows this graphic:


I guess this is a bit different than the quadrants about which I was refering but still in the same vein. Dave looked at the life cycle of the company and overlayed it with a P/E valuation and then pointed to where the stocks could be played. I always thought AIM could work in almost any of the quadrants, but that different levels of Cash Reserve should be allocated for each. In quadrant I for instance, it might be best to never use "vealies" and let the cash reserve run as high as AIM would take it because of the very high P/Es and expectations. That way when the bubble pops we can ease that cash back in when the stock shifts even possibly to Q II.

My thought is that a company heads for Q III or QIV that it might be time to either shift it to a different level of our Investment Pyramid or eliminate it from our holdings completely.

Best regards, Tom





Port Washington, WI 53074

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