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Re: Myself °¿° post# 3344

Sunday, 03/07/2004 1:28:34 PM

Sunday, March 07, 2004 1:28:34 PM

Post# of 69601
On the Semiconductor Holders (SMH) side up-date...
Analysis based on SMH component share weight and price…
Once again, not a prediction but advantage points of interest

Any combination of;
flat movement on some, large moves down on few OR all components dip just a bit could cause a gap fill for SMH…
Close price $41.25 – 12.5% = $36.09 + or – pennies closes the early Oct. gap on the Daily…
So, sell the news or unmet expectations/outlook/forecasts for some, sympathy from others… could do it.
Don’t get me wrong; some of these look ready to run again:)

*** just Interesting

Lets start with the semiconductor tracking stock SMH
SMH D/W/M I/V Charts Semiconductor Holders
#msg-2403235 Under100ma now.
Falling resistance= recent highs point to the “Top Bbands $43.10… Bbands tightening.
$36.00+ / - pennies early Oct. gap, may never see it… BUT:::::::::::
On the Weekly; it keeps bumping it’s head onThe200ma, 50ma=$35.50 and rising…
Monthly 13ema $37.33 ema’s flow more dramatic than ma’s, so the timing of a drop could make it all line up with the gap.
::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::

SMH Components that COULD force SMH that low

INTC D/W/M I/V Charts 30shareWeight of SMH #msg-2403180 Daily; early Oct. gap filled?
200ma$28.29, top bbands and 50ma=$31.26 + or - a penny… Weekly; underThe200ma, resistance?

TXN D/W/M I/V Charts 22shareWeight of SMH #msg-2403143 see week and month chart… No comment.

AMAT D/W/M I/V Charts 13shareWeight of SMH #msg-2403116 No comment

MU D/W/M I/V Charts 9.0shareWeight of SMH #msg-2403062 ***

ATML D/W/M I/V Charts 8.0shareWeight of SMH #msg-2403010 Quick trip long slide or is it done?

ALTR D/W/M I/V Charts 6.0shareWeight of SMH #msg-2402970

ADI D/W/M I/V Charts 6.0shareWeight of SMH #msg-2402928 ***


Higher price medium weight stocks would not need to fall much, making a big difference for the SMH

XLNX D/W/M I/V Charts 5.0shareWeight of SMH #msg-2402896 Weekly, support? Monthly… Hmmmm
MXIM D/W/M I/V Charts 5.0shareWeight of SMH #msg-2402864


Get my drift? Anyway…… more

LSI D/W/M I/V Charts 5.0shareWeight of SMH #msg-2402846 ***

LLTC D/W/M I/V Charts 5.0shareWeight of SMH #msg-2402821 Big one, medium weight w/a gap…
Funny how the Bbands wont give up the ghost for the early Oct. gap and the 300ema


AMD D/W/M I/V Charts 4.0shareWeight of SMH #msg-2402785
VTSS D/W/M I/V Charts 3.0shareWeight of SMH #msg-2402742 ***
TER D/W/M I/V Charts 3.0shareWeight of SMH #msg-2402684
NSM D/W/M I/V Charts 3.0shareWeight of SMH #msg-2402651ouch or lets go again? Looks like it was lets go again…now what?
KLAC D/W/M I/V Charts 3.0shareWeight of SMH #msg-2402620 radical… Still radical?
NVLS D/W/M I/V Charts 2.0shareWeight of SMH #msg-2402581Holy Red % - &$ Batman… Now that was an OUCH!
BRCM D/W/M I/V Charts 2.0shareWeight of SMH #msg-2402525
AMKRD/W/M I/V Charts 2.0shareWeight of SMH #msg-2402477 Ok… Now what?
SNDK D/W/M I/V Charts 1.0shareWeight of SMH #msg-2402413 Interesting Monthly chart, just split, I’m not sure yet how this affects SMH…
SNDK still shows 1 share weight on the web page http://www.nasdaq.com/structuredeq/holdrs_smh.stm

My SMH Charts roadmap...
SMH components weight and charts #msg-2403351


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