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Sunday, 02/22/2004 4:41:15 PM

Sunday, February 22, 2004 4:41:15 PM

Post# of 69601
On the Semiconductor Holders (SMH) side…
Analysis based on SMH component share weight and price…
Once again, not a prediction but advantage points of interest

Any combination of flat movement on some, large moves down on few OR all components dip just a bit could cause a gap fill for SMH… Close price $41.55 – 13% = $36.14 close to the gap on the Daily… so, sell the news or unmet expectations/outlook/forecasts for some… could do it.
Don’t get me wrong; some of these look ready to run again:)

*** Very Interesting


SMH D/W/M I/V Charts Semiconductor Holders #msg-2403235 Sitting@100maNow…$36.00+ / - pennies gap, may never see it… but on the Weekly it bumped it’sHead onThe200ma, 50ma$34.86 and rising… Monthly 13ema $36.76 ema’s flow more dramatic than ma’s, so the timing of a drop could make it all line up with the gap.

SMH Components that COULD force SMH that low
INTC D/W/M I/V Charts 30shareWeight of SMH #msg-2403180 Daily,$28.75gap + / - pennies, 200ma$27.79… Weekly;TripleTop&underThe200ma, resistance?

TXN D/W/M I/V Charts 22shareWeight of SMH #msg-2403143 Daily,Lower Bband=$31.94 100ma$29.07rising,200ma$24.69 rising… weekly20ma=$29.43rising,200ma resistance?

AMAT D/W/M I/V Charts 13shareWeight of SMH #msg-2403116 Daily,LowerBband$21.13, 200ma$20.17,300ma$17.94… Weekly,Lower Bband$20.12, 50ma$19.10rising,200ma$22.34 resistance? MonthlySpeaksFor it’sSelf

MU D/W/M I/V Charts 9.0shareWeight of SMH #msg-2403062 Daily,gap!&50ma$14.51rising support$15.00… Weekly, bumped it’s head on 100ma$16.93 resistance?

ATML D/W/M I/V Charts 8.0shareWeight of SMH #msg-2403010 Weekly,$5.00support?$8.36resistance?

ALTR D/W/M I/V Charts 6.0shareWeight of SMH #msg-2402970
ADI D/W/M I/V Charts 6.0shareWeight of SMH #msg-2402928 Higher price medium weight stocks would not need to fall much to make abig difference on the SMH

XLNX D/W/M I/V Charts 5.0shareWeight of SMH #msg-2402896 Weekly, support $40.00? Monthly… Hmmmm
MXIM D/W/M I/V Charts 5.0shareWeight of SMH #msg-2402864
LSI D/W/M I/V Charts 5.0shareWeight of SMH #msg-2402846 ***
LLTC D/W/M I/V Charts 5.0shareWeight of SMH #msg-2402821 big one medium weight w/a gap
AMD D/W/M I/V Charts 4.0shareWeight of SMH #msg-2402785
VTSS D/W/M I/V Charts 3.0shareWeight of SMH #msg-2402742 ***
TER D/W/M I/V Charts 3.0shareWeight of SMH #msg-2402684
NSM D/W/M I/V Charts 3.0shareWeight of SMH #msg-2402651ouch or lets go again?
KLAC D/W/M I/V Charts 3.0shareWeight of SMH #msg-2402620 radical
NVLS D/W/M I/V Charts 2.0shareWeight of SMH #msg-2402581 Now That was an OUCH! Daily 300ma resistance Or buy this hammered one?

BRCM D/W/M I/V Charts 2.0shareWeight of SMH #msg-2402525
AMKRD/W/M I/V Charts 2.0shareWeight of SMH #msg-2402477
SNDK D/W/M I/V Charts 1.0shareWeight of SMH #msg-2402413 just split… I’m not sure yet how this affects SMH… It still shows 1 share weight on the web page http://www.nasdaq.com/structuredeq/holdrs_smh.stm

My SMH Charts roadmap... SMH components weight and charts #msg-2403351

Anyway… I want to set up a portfolio that runs on auto so I can go on vacation this summer and not have to worry about entries or exits… I don’t want to take my PC in my tank bag… I just want to ride… I’m tired of sitting in front of this thing playing options.



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