Thursday, January 01, 2026 11:07:20 PM
On Oct 23, 2022 on the morning following a close of $6.61 I predicted a decline to the $1 range over time if JM and Dr Lebby's claims failed to be validated.
Here's what I wrote:
No director, no other boatd member, no analyst, no industry insider, no hedge fund or institutional representative, no technical expert, no partner - no one else has confirmed or validated the specific claims to commercial viability being made by these two individuals.
That’s highly significant... If the claims of these two men are not validated the stock will move back down to the $1 range over time because their words were the reason the price moved up from the low dollar range in the first place.
The price did go below $1 in April following the revelation that Dr Lebby's claims failed to be validated late in 2024 and as the months continued to pass with little news.
On Jan 11, 2025 after hearing from Yves and the day following a close of $1.94 I predicted $1-4 for the year:
I"d guess $1-4 range over the next year. If it drifts close to 1 then delisting could become a major concern. I'm thinking that probably won't happen this year though unless it is mostly crickets with no interesting announcments
JimJet, $1 - 4 may have seemed like a real 'miss' since it was around $5 when you posted this very false characterization of things I've done and said, including the prediction. I don't recall saying I'd sell at $4 -- just that it was the range I thought the price was likely to be in throughout the year. While we spiked above it for a month or so, we ended at $3.18.
Now that 2026 has arrived, it is time for another prediction.
This one is tricky because we now have actual VALIDATION that I've been looking for since June of '22 that the industry is actually taking Lightwave seriously. But stage 3 is a long stage requiring foundry runs that can take months - used to take 6-9 months, so potentially a long wait and with no guarantees of the result.
OTOH we have some things that could happen before then that could positively affect the price:
1. more stage 3 announcements
2. successful announcements from first Stage 3 partner
3. 2nd Global 500 moves out of provisional into formal stage 3
4. reliability successes on devices in stage 3 announced
5. names of any of the stage 3 partners or foundries announced
6. possible analyst coverage - perhaps driven by the recent large investors - which positions Lightwave positively
7. surprise leap-frog in plasmonic technology with realistic near term commercialization announcement
8. possible Coherent interest shown as a result of our recent hire away from Coherent.
Any of the above announcements could move the stock above $5 and a combination of 2 or more of those factors could push it into double digits.
Yves said that a move into Stage 3 is very likely to lead to a commercial product. My take is that it materially increases the odds but is not nearly a guarantee, as many things can fail to pan out. BUT, the momentum is positive. LIGHTWAVE IS FINALLY BEING TAKEN SERIOUSLY BY THE INDUSTRY. That is likely to continue to be the case and be amplified throughout the year...which will be seen and heard about..
My prediction: Price will reach $8 by mid-year. Beyond that I have no prediction.
Recent LWLG News
- Form 144 - Report of proposed sale of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 03/18/2026 08:44:44 PM
- Lightwave Logic High-Speed Modulator Platform Now Available in GDS Factory PDK for GlobalFoundries Silicon Photonics Platform • ACCESS Newswire • 03/16/2026 12:30:00 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 03/13/2026 10:00:07 PM
- Form 144 - Report of proposed sale of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 03/12/2026 07:49:41 PM
- Lightwave Logic stock surges 30% after Tower Semiconductor partnership announcement • IH Market News • 03/12/2026 11:04:40 AM
- Lightwave Logic and Tower Semiconductor Announce Development Agreement to Enable High-Speed, Low-Power Modulators on Tower's PH18 Silicon Photonics Platform • ACCESS Newswire • 03/11/2026 08:30:00 PM
- Lightwave Logic, Inc. Provides Update on Commercial Pipeline and Announces Timing of Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Earnings Call • ACCESS Newswire • 02/24/2026 12:30:00 PM
- Form 144 - Report of proposed sale of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/17/2026 10:18:24 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/05/2026 11:04:44 AM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/05/2026 11:03:11 AM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/05/2026 11:02:32 AM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/05/2026 11:01:49 AM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 01/29/2026 12:04:50 AM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 01/28/2026 12:44:51 AM
- Form 144 - Report of proposed sale of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 01/27/2026 09:37:39 PM
- Form 10-Q/A - Quarterly report [Sections 13 or 15(d)]: [Amend] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 01/20/2026 01:35:19 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 01/20/2026 01:30:24 PM
- Lightwave Logic, Inc. and QPICs Announce Partnership to Advance the Use of Electro-Optic Polymers in Quantum Processors • ACCESS Newswire • 01/15/2026 09:30:00 PM
- Form 3 - Initial statement of beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 01/15/2026 09:25:42 PM
- Lightwave Logic, Inc. Announces Appointment of Dr. Aref Chowdhury as Chief Technology Officer & Head of Strategy • ACCESS Newswire • 01/12/2026 12:30:00 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 01/08/2026 01:00:22 PM
- Lightwave Logic, Inc. to Attend 28th Annual Needham Growth Conference • ACCESS Newswire • 01/08/2026 12:30:00 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 01/06/2026 02:25:43 AM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 01/06/2026 02:24:27 AM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 01/06/2026 02:23:03 AM
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