I think RVNC is a solid buy for long-term investors. The company is now almost assured to launch a best-in-class product in a fast-growing market in the next two years or so.
Moreover, the addressable market is truly global. As emerging middle classes in formerly poor countries gain more disposable income, one of the things they want to spend it on is looking good.
As of today’s market close, RVNC’s enterprise value on a fully-diluted basis is about $1.0B (see #msg-136731006 and #msg-136731078), which is about 9% less than it was when you posted yesterday. I previously estimated that AGN’s Botox franchise (including aesthetic and therapeutic indications) had a net present value of $24B (#msg-127654469), so there is plainly a lot of headroom here.
“The efficient-market hypothesis may be the foremost piece of B.S. ever promulgated in any area of human knowledge!”
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