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Hey Al, so far, the expected number of votes in PA hasn't changed since election day. So that 100,000 mystery vote stuff ... I just chalk that up to red state america's way of being "snowflakes" now that the shoe is on the other foot.
And I would sorta take the THREE MILLION MORE POPULAR VOTES as a hint, lol.
As well as social justice advocates who have lost their minds .... And clearly can't do even basic arithmetic.
Those false claims of racism by the brainwashed progressives ... It's the lie that won't die.
Hey Al, Looks like my back of an envelope (I literally used the back of an envelope) is still holding up.
My thought for the day: do the BLM rioters understand that if THEY STOPPED COUNTING VOTES YESTERDAY AFTERNOON Biden would have the 270 electoral votes he needs to get elected ? Idiots, lol.
Lol - I bet Borowitz wishes he had come up with that one.
Hi arizona1, if you're pointing out to me that people's minds are clouded and they're lost the ability to think critically, I already know that.
So who does europe blame for their total failure ? I keep looking for that but no one ever wants to assign blame to anyone there.
Hey Al, freelance a few months every 2 years, take the money and run !
Hi bbotcs, as you are well aware, my vote in Maryland is meaningless.
As for the end of the world stuff, automation and AI 10 years from now maybe will be our undoing.
Also, I suspect that when the 2020 census redoes the allocation of representatives to states, there will be far fewer rural America representatives.
And I'm also guessing that 10 years from now fembot girlfriends will be affordable and it will change things for women forever.
So President K. Harris is the least of our problems.
Hi Al, it's only anti-Trump in the minds of Trump is never wrong extremists. To normal people, it's called objectivity.
On another subject - you've out performed the professional polsters twice now - have ya considered how much money you could make working for them leading up to election time ? I'm thinking 6 figures. :)
Hi Al, thanks for posting that extremist view of things.
The irony is that I don't have the fortitude to tell my fox news hating friends that in someways it is now a more reliable (but not much more, lol) information source than CNN.
Calling AZ for Biden - meanwhile CNN has yet to - was good to see.
I like "The Five" at 5pm. But like all 24/7 cable news, I can only watch it for like 10 - 15 mins before I have to change the channel. :)
Good morning Al, so here's my PA prediction --
Currently Trump has 2.97M votes and Biden has 2.35M votes.
But only 75% of the votes have been counted.
So that means there are 1.8M mail-in votes left to be counted. If 75% of those are from registered democrats, then when its all done, Biden will have 3.6M (51%) votes and Trump will have 3.5M (49%). Even if this happens, you were right about the polls being off again. So it'll be close.
When I looked at fivethiryeight.com's projections for the last month, I subtracted 2% -3% from their polls to be safe. This seems to be how much they were off by in PA.
But its fun watching CNN squirm so many different ways to assure its viewers things arent as bleak as they seem.
hey al, no matter how this turns out, you were definitely right about the hidden trump vote. certainly in Florida at least.
well by your reasoning he must be killing people in France and Spain too. so get over it.
I think it's hilarious seeing you twist yourself into pretzel defending europe's horrifyingly bad virus daily case count.
Adjusted for population, France and Spain's case and death totals are just as bad as the USA's.
The UK's totals per million people is 2/3 of ours. Still nothing to brag about.
But keep pretending how wonderful they're doing cuz they have a "national strategy".
Hi arizona1, I understand that when europe f's up and closes the barn door after the horses have left, it's ok for you and millions of TDS'ers.
But not ok when the US does the same thing.
By the way, there have been lockdown protests all over western europe for the past several days. Not a single red MAGA hat to been seen.
Also, don't compare us to small asian island or peninsula nations. Or china. The US is an open country, we're overweight (higher risk), 35% of us are african american or hispanic (also higher risk).
Just admit that whatever "national strategy" western european nations had the we didn't have didn't work.
By the way, mask wearing and social distancing isn't a strategy, it's a stop gap policy. The real strategy - get a vaccine and other treatments - that until now took years to create - available in less than a year - now that's a strategy.
France - 49,000 new cases yesterday. 545 deaths. Adjusted for population that would be like 300,000 new cases here and 3200 deaths. Italy, Spain, and the UK are just as bad. Germany seems to be doing ok though. Someone should tell Wolff Blitzer cuz I dont think he knows, lol.
I dont know what "national strategy" France had but clearly it wasnt working. Not that you'd know any of this from watching CNN.
Hi bbotcs, I understand your view. And I understand many Trump supporters like you and Al, look past his extreme behavior. I can't. Nor can many many other people who are moderate conservative. Its driving them nuts.
I saw first hand what was happening in 2012 with the voting machines in Central Maryland.
Yeah dont even get me started on that one. I voted - asked for my receipt (paper proof of who i voted for) and they said there isnt one. I was stunned. But regarding voting fraud, you have to think in numbers - what percent of the vote can be messed with? 1% ? 2% ? And remember - president isnt the only item on the ballot. So local officials have an interest in correctly counting all ballots. I'm expecting Biden to get 270 electoral votes in states where the margin is currently 5% or more. So claims of voting fraud, real or imagined, won't matter.
As for the devil you know ...... well that would have been a reason to vote for Hillary Clinton.
I've posted here that the pandemic response team was doing fine in Feb and March. And people claiming there's no national strategy - they're idiots. You dont need a national strategy to know to wear a mask or a seatbelt. But getting the vaccine out 3 times faster than its ever been done before - now THAT'S a strategy. Notice how CNN never points that out.
But after March - dismissing mask wearing - somehow letting the extreme right wing turning it into a ideological/political issue .... and all the other unhelpful stuff he said and keeps saying - I have an issue with that.
And then there's the little issue of him energizing a militant and ready to start shooting right wing.
And on a final note - can we get the Maryland governor term limits lifted ? I'd vote for Governor Hogan again.
Hey Al - and here's what that means: so imagine you're 30ish, like my kids are, and imagine ever since you were in jr high school, the last 20 year have been all you've known.
I'd say once a month I say to my kids "On behalf of all baby boomers everywhere, I sincerely apologize for the past 20 years". lol
After graduating from college (with B.S. degrees) Instead of multiple companies wanting to hire them, the economy was melting down due to the real estate bubble collapse. 8 years later when they finally getting career traction - coronavirus.
And of course gross income inequality and social unrest.
Their coming of age/ early adulthood was nothing like ours was in the 80s and 90s.
lol hey Al ! I wasnt a fan of his presidency, but the country didnt go socialist/communist under him either. Although it might have tried a little
Hi bbotcs - its not MY party.
Its not just his personality - his behavior and his statements are so erratic that you never know what he is planning to do next. I'd rather not have a guy like that running our country.
I have issues with him making wearing masks a political/ideologic issue
I have issues with him saying (even if he could be kidding) that he doesnt plan to honor the election results - and questioning the legitimacy of the election as an excuse.
I mean - what kind of person does such things ? Not a person I want as our president.
Its really that simple and you shouldn't get upset over it.
Hi bbotcs, this is not about supporting anyone or anything.
This is about getting rid of someone who's a loose cannon, an egomanic @$$hole, and is all over the map.
This time around, policy has nothing to do with it.
Hey Al, now that I know Pennsylvania wont ever START counting its 1M+ mail-in ballots until election day, I expect there will be several days of "peaceful protesting" until PA can declare who won. Good times.
David Blackmon is entitled to say whatever he wants, but when Trump has to go to Arizona to BEG for votes, he knows he's on the defensive.
As for early voting of dems peaking - yeah - cuz the dems filled out their ballots and mailed them in right away. We mailed ours 1 week after week got them. Its a sign of voter intensity. The rest of the Biden voters waited for early voting to open up.
In 2016, the polls were off by 2% in 3 states. Even if they're off by 3% this time, Biden will have 270+ electoral votes.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/
So how's Europe doing ?
France - 40,000 new cases
Germany - 11,000 new cases
UK - 21,000 new cases
Spain 21,000 new cases
Italy - 16,000 new cases
Total = 109,000 new cases yesterday with a population of 320 million (90% of the US population) so adjusted for the difference in their population vs. ours - 120,000 new cases
US new cases yesterday = 75,000 - and that's with a misguided anti mask, anti social distancing movement in red state America.
If you add up the death in those 5 countries you get 160K which when adjusted, is the equivalent of 176K deaths - not that much better than the US's.
So let me know when Vox and Salon publish articles about Europe's coronavirus mismanagement.
Hi Ayock, you keep forgetting that income inequality has always been an issue with me. I'm guillotine adverse, lol.
A real progressive would insist minoring in "gender studies" or "white men are to be hated" be a mandatory requirement for getting a college degree.
hi Arizona1, your comment that I'm a good little trump soldier is yet another left wing false accusation tactic which pretty much invalidates everything you posted (from mostly left leaning sources) after it.
there's article after article and interview after interview from governors and others that said they got everything they requested from the Feds.
So look I how's Europe doing ? looking forward to you posting articles from Vox and Salon saying how much worse they're doing than we are at the moment.
Hi bbotcs, well we're not an Islamic state and as long as the Fed is able to print trillions, interest rates remain low, and there's a vaccine in sight, our economy will be just fine. But it wont be the economy we were spoiled by in the 1980s - early 2000s.
But dont worry, it'll come crashing down soon enough no matter which party is in power. But in the meantime, lets change the long term capital gains tax on the wealthy, let's move $100B of wasteful defense spending to health care and technical training (not useless BA degrees for our privileged princes and princesses). Let's give Millenials and Gen-Zs a chance to have lives we boomers got to have.
By 2030, Self driving cars and automation will wipe out A LOT of starter jobs. Undergraduate degrees in just about everything will not guarantee a job in a nice safe space office (or work from home) world. (unless you're exceptionally good looking, lol)
So that will screw with our social security and medicare ponzi scheme, which by the mid 2030s will both be in big trouble. As well as the older people who are relying on them. That's when the fun will really begin.
Hi Arizona1, I'm not sure what you're getting at. But you seem to be cherry picking - again a common left wing tactic.
Also, I dont care what Gov. Cuomo said in early March and neither should you. Even at that early stage, NY knew they were in trouble so they were screaming for whatever help they could get - and they got it. They got the ventilators, THEY GOT A HOSPITAL SHIP, they got everything they needed. NO ONE DIED FROM LACK OF MEDICAL SUPPLIES (like they did in Italy).
So in conclusion, the pandemic task force did a great job .... until the whole "we'll be opening back up by Easter - masks are evil" nonsense started happening.
Did I mention that for the past 2 weeks, the US has been doing BETTER THAN Europe ? The left loves to compare us to Europe when they are doing better than us, but are surprisingly silent when we are doing better. Hmmmmm. Cherry picking.
Hi bbotcs, didnt everyone say that when Obama was elected ?
Keep your powder dry.
Hey Al, and my passport even dryer, lol.
He did nothing just like his entire nothing presidency.
Hi arizona1, this is called revisionist history. A common trick used by the left to fool people. But we both know it's not true.
No one knew China would allow this thing to spread out of control. Europe sure didnt.
And the conventional CDC playbook to surround the outbreak and deal with it doesnt work when the virus shows up in dozens of places at the same time and spreads when people are asymptomatic.
Once the govt figured out the CDC f'ed up - just 2 - 3 weeks into it, they formed the pandemic task force - and pretty much saved NYC as well as many other places.
As for the anti-mask crusade ..... well that's definitely on him.
Does CNN or MSNBC mention for the past 2 weeks, western Europe - on a population adjusted basis, has far more cases and deaths than the US ? Of course they don't. And the US has more "higher risk" people than Europe does. So when you factor that in - Europe - who left wingers keep saying we should be more like - is doing far worse than we are. (of course that might change in the next week or two if they decide to clamp down again).
The pitchforks are coming...
And ironically, the affluent, privileged, BLM supporting suburban women will have no clue why the pitchforks will be pointed at them.
Hi bbotcs, I dont think he'll get either. And if the media doesnt declare FL or PA for Biden on election night, we're gonna stay with friends a little further from DC for a few days.
hey Al, I don't think your posts qualify as rubbing it in. That could only happen if Trump wins and you badger everyone with "I told you so".
i'm not sure where this landslide stuff is coming from. He won in 2016 through the magic of the electoral college. Read the stuff scrolling up the screen in this Simpsons video and you'll get a feel about how the voting will go.
https://www.the-sun.com/news/1629548/the-simpsons-2020-presidential-election-halloween-homer-vote/
Hi arizona1, I think they did but imagine trying to shutdown travel to europe before the virus had spread very far. Europe nor the media would have been very happy. Just imagine how mental the MSM would have gone.
And it wouldn't have mattered cuz people coming back to all over the US from January cruises would have caused outbreaks everywhere anyways.
Andddddd did you notice that many parts of the US are doing better that western europe right now ? Hmmmmmm.
Hey Al, I think it's important to remember that those 220,000 deaths occurred during an economic shutdown, many many people everyone learning from home and with masks and social distancing.
Without those measures the number would probably be closer to 1 million.
And unlike "flu season", summertime does not appear to have made corona virus go away.
Pretty scary.
The words describing this chart: China let people carrying the virus travel the world thereby infecting people all over the US and making it impossible to contain.
While the MSM was obcessed with the Trump impeachment and called him a racist when he restricted travel from Asia.
It's important to point out the most of europe is current just as bad off as the US. In fact a lot of the East Coast is doing BETTER than most of western europe (cuz we know to social distance ourselves and wear masks around other people in public)
Soooo in conclusion, 2000 was the #1 strangest election ever.
Hey Al, with 2 weeks to, 25 million people have already voted. I bet 75 million will vote BEFORE election day.
It will be the 2nd strangest election in our country's history (Bush winning FL by 500 votes is #1 strangest).
lol
New York, Hawaii and New Mexico ? Really ?
if you take away NY, Pa (6 point lead), MI, MN, Nm, & Hi, that's 90 electoral going to Biden, not Trump.
which leaves Biden only needing Wisconsin (7 point lead) and/or Florida (only 3 point lead and we know not to trust a 3 pt lead), to win.
I dunno Al, I think the "silent majority" is voting to remove Trump.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/
Unlike 2016, you won't see many green or libertarian votes, which threw the election to Trump.
https://www.politico.com/2016-election/results/map/president/pennsylvania/
But don't worry, in 2024 they'll vote to remove Biden ... unless Ms. Harris is President by then. :)
Thanks Al. Timing is everything. :)
Remember gold has already gone from 1400 to 1900 in a year (?). And silver 16 to 24.
I'm not bearish on the markets yet. An uncontested (or very short congested) Biden win will send markets higher ..... until people see the legislation planned for the first hundred days.