Your Economy (No Politics)

[ChrisJP]

Good morning Al, so here's my PA prediction --

Currently Trump has 2.97M votes and Biden has 2.35M votes.

But only 75% of the votes have been counted.

So that means there are 1.8M mail-in votes left to be counted. If 75% of those are from registered democrats, then when its all done, Biden will have 3.6M (51%) votes and Trump will have 3.5M (49%). Even if this happens, you were right about the polls being off again. So it'll be close.

When I looked at fivethiryeight.com's projections for the last month, I subtracted 2% -3% from their polls to be safe. This seems to be how much they were off by in PA.

But its fun watching CNN squirm so many different ways to assure its viewers things arent as bleak as they seem.