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How is my favorite TLONer Bio doing?...I figured I would stop by to see if this gem was already trading at 10 bucks but not yet...just remember you will be a zillionnaire on or before 2015...hold on my good man..you do in fact have my blessing...just sit strong and even if it goes down just keep on buying and averaging down...that is the srtrategy the pros use.
Nope...not enough. This will get sub-dollar pretty soon. Other than a not so appealing drug in the pipeline this company has nothing. The oncology drug was the value and the value has been removed.
Bio I feel it for you. You are a true beliver and that's remarkable. We need more people like that at the helm of this country. Just hold onto your shares. I think in time TLON will be at 10 dollars so the reward ratio for you will be huge. Just hold on to them...they are worth a lot of money...
Yes I think your prediction was spot on. Just hold onto the stock
Yeah I think so too but not before hitting the 1.60 range. The 3 will come again though just not now but I agree. Just hold your shares...remember you don't lose until you sell. In my case I sold at 2.98 but I ll buy back at the sub 2 levels...but my advice to the rest of you is to hold
That's the problem when emotions get in the way of investing. That's when people lose money. And just like kookiekook mentioned and is spot on the statement: you can predict the movement of a stock and everytime I buy or sell I am doing so. That is how most savvy investors manage their portfolios. Just like I can tell you that this still has more downside ...probably the .50's. I can almost smell some sort of dilution coming as this has all the signs posted. But time will tell right?..
There are 2 differences between successful traders and amateurs:
A) Successful traders play both directions of the market and stocks therefore profiting from the ups and the downs.
B) We do not trade on emotions but rather on knowledge, market conditions, historical data, charts, previous performance from investments etc.
Keep on with your strategies..I am happy with mine
Was I right or what?!...being doing this for a long time kids...0.60's as predicted yesterday by me. You can call me daddy
Well Biorecruiter I guess you can't say I did not tell you. You should have sold your shares yesterday. TLON ain't no VVUS
As I stated before..dilution will be coming. I have seen this way too many times to know better specially if is an OTC company. Tomorrow we may re visit the 0.60's.
And that's where the FDA kicks in...I am thinking a 65/35 chance of approval which is not that reassuring for investors..a good run up play though
Well..at least an intelligent answer..however, I followed up on the fda meeting live yesterday, where Adam F was providing the updates in a live basis. The focus on the small group was very strong with at least 4 panel members trying to swing the vote to negative. Yes I agree the FDA had worked closely with TLON and establish such parameters but the results of survival were not impressive. It was calculated at 2 months survival increase but none of the patients were there to truly testify as most had already died. Then it was the issue of quality of life vs increased survival and it seemed that Marquibo had more side effects during its treatment course meaning that yes it does prove the 2 month survival increase but at the expense of a longer poorer quality of life during treatment. Think about it. Let's say your life expectancy is 6 months. What would you prefer 6 months of at least less side effects and a more peaceful enjoyable last 6 months; or 8 months of life with the caveat of stronger side effects. It's a difficult proposition in my view. However, I do agree that it presents a run up opportunity but I genuinely think this will go lower first..at least to the 0.50's
The stock dropped from 1.10 to the high 0.70's. What does that tell you if you know how to read? It tells you that investors did not take the news as uberly positive. Look at VVUS. Panel vote 11-2. Very contundent. Therefore VVUS kept the high. Read the tape and don't get blindsided by your emotions.
I was spot on in the panel vote. I said either the company will get a vote against it or if a yes it would be tight by 1. I was right 7-4 with 2 abstain. The 2 abstains are viewed as NO's for the most part so it would be a 7-6. The FDA will consider the really tight vote and then will say "you know what TLON...we like you but here is a CRL ..kindly conduct another study"...Mark my words.
The company will be further diluted prior to FDA decision. Why? Simple. The odds of approval are not that high specially because the validation studies were not large enough. TLON, knowing that or anticipating the fact will have to raise more capital to continue the larger study after the CRL. I think we will be seeing 0.50's very soon.
I think this will go sub 0.50 as TLON will do another dilution round probably in the next few days.
I agree. The only problem is that TLON is like..let me see..0.40 cents away from 1.24...Let' start if it could even hold at the 0.80's
Sorry man..I hate to be right sometimes..!!
No it wasn't. The 2 abstains count as "no's" so the decision is a 7-6 like I had predicted. So in a case like this it is almost solely up to the FDA to decide and guess what FDA will focus on confirmatory trials because of the size of the trials are too small currently. So I am issuing my recommendation which is a CRL for an additional trial.
SOLD ALL - WILL NOT GET A POSITIVE RESPONSE AND IF IT DOES IT WILL BE VERY VERY THIGHT LIKE 6 TO 5 OR SOMETHING.
Global I was in BPAX and so were you..early on. Unfortunately I am not seeing the reward on this. Instead of massive buying we are seeing massive selling. The tape does not lie.
Agreed. This will be at 0.15 tomorrow
Cadillac most of the posters here are pumpers...you shall say I am very pleased with the agenda everyone has here...this is not a technical pullback but rather a the news have leaked and the sophisticated investors are selling. Who gets stuck with the bag? Guys like yourself.
But before all of that you mention, it will touch $3..at which time I will buy the calls...
I would not advertise $5.00 or higher by noon. It will only make you look bad. This over the next few days along with market correction will get back to $3. This is why I bought the puts...and a s*t load of them. Timing is about knowing how to play the market. I agree MM's will manipulate this down and most likely they will hang on the argument that the 7-4 vote was a tight one.
Seems like you were wrong. Glad I sold my shares at 4.20 AH and now bougth the March 17 $3 puts. This will get back to 3. Many plays outthere.
Gotta love BPAX ..made a killing in the stock run up including calls and now shorting it since .99...just covered at 0.76..weeeeee!!
You are a dummy cicimici- who told you to invest a few days ago. With FDA plays you get in early - like 2 months before. I got in at .47 and made a killing with both stock and options. Now I moved my money to TLON which has FDA on March 31.
Let s take that 300K shares wall at 1.40
next leg
Doubled position
I agree. Bought the march calls too
Me too Rickoculous - we made money on BPAX. Took a 15K starter at 1.14
No reason to nag. The stock is up almost 200% from entry. You guys should have come in when it was trading in the .40's like I did. Buy the rumor and pre FDA and sell the news and move to another stock. Wash Rinse Repeat. Now if you came in at 0.90 ...are you kidding me? FDA by rule you get in 2 months before if you want to make moneyh
I am starting to think this may be a turd. Hope I am wrong.
Most likely this was approved or is approved. It is written all over the wall. Simmes would not come out to an Investor Presentation tomorrow to announce bad news or corporate update. Most of the time this is done for good news. Plus he also said that they would be monitoring the stock price closely. I assume that aside from approval he is going to update on Libigel and possible on the vaccines...a triple whammy....
This was posted on July 2011 - it is ok to want the stock to go up but there is a big difference between stating an educated opinion and something very different to resort to old news in order to get the point across. That only screams......AGENDA!!!!
So much for the good news!!
This is the way I see it - The stock was a good opportunity for those of us who go in really early. You can read my previous posts and I had almost 100K shares between 0.44 & 0.51 plus almost 400 calls spread between March (300 contracts), June (100) at an average of 0.125 cents. I sold 75% of my position between 0.88 & 1.03 plus half my march options at 0.55. So I made a lot of money. Now for you got in just during the run up and did not sell well is a good opportunity to average down. Bpax has multiple catalysts coming up this year to allow for the PPS to increase significantly. These are plays where you have to get in early - before everybody else shows up - At least 2 months in advance in my opinion. I am now looking to increase my June calls heavily plus get back in probably at 0.75. While I believe Bio-T gel adds confidence to the company's ability to secure partners and get products approved, I do not think it should have a major impact. Why? Because Bpax will only get 1.5M in an upfront payment and some royalties down the road. Really not much to write home about. However, the true value and major catalyst is Libigel which does not have a partner yet and the vaccine data. Those are the major scorers here. Nah sayers will keep on with the Libigel is dead tune, but of course, that is tied to an agenda. I am looking forward to the vaccine data as well. And of course there is the acquirer or acquiree option on the table. GLTA
Gents - The fundamentals do not change. Bpax is set for a Feb 14 date, Libigel is not dead, the company is sitting in a lot of cash, has a strong cancer vaccine pipeline and - as stated by its CEO- it's looking for suitable acquisitions - that is without considering Bpax as a company is a potential acquisition at a multiple all and in itself. So - obviously there is an agenda in motion. If anything, this is about turning this into a re-entry buying opportunity. I sold 75% of my position yesterday including a substantial amount of calls. Always take profits. But this - allows me to re-entry.
@ the moderator: can you not limit my posts to one a day. Thanks.