I seem to remember that either MOS or POT have a joint venture with one of the Russian ollies but I suspect that is for russian domestic production and use. As a county Russia in not a large importer or exporter of potash.
So my answer, which may or not be correct, is that it will have no large impact except as to the upheaval the conflict is causing in all dealings. Specifically potash as a product will not be involved.
All this is my opinion and based on some of my recent choices I would take this with a grain of salt. I seem to be going the wrong way lately.
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