Replies to post #190534 on Tornado Alley (PROG)

[arizona1]

As ‘Frankenstorm’ Barrels Towards East Coast, Newspaper Coverage Ignores Connection To Climate Change

Media have dubbed the hurricane barreling toward the mid-Atlantic and northeast a “Frankenstorm.” But despite the hysteria surrounding Hurricane Sandy, not one major newspaper has reported the scientifically established link that carbon pollution fuels more extreme weather.

In the last week, Sandy has been mentioned in at least 94 stories in major newspapers. Yet a Nexis search found that zero of these stories mentioned “climate change,” “global warming,” or even “extreme weather.”



For example, a New York Times article reported, “forecasters say, the storm could become, to use a technical term from meteorology, a whopper.” The Washington Post writes “It has the makings of a rare breed of storm, a confluence of things over a densely populated swath of America that may never have seen weather arrive with quite the same force or threaten to linger so long.” Tens of dozens of other Sandy reports don’t include even a passing mention that climate change makes this “whopper” more likely.

While a growing majority of Americans believe climate change is caused by humans, there is still a gulf between public understanding and the scientific consensus (and an even wider gulf on the need for action). There are a few reasons at work. The presidential candidates have been notoriously silent on climate change this election cycle, and left the issue untouched in the debates for the first time since 1988. Coordinated climate denial campaigns from groups like Heartland Institute also seek to undermine the science. However, the journalist habit of “false balance” only serves to elevate climate deniers’ platform.

Scientific studies show that global warming fuels deadlier storms and more flooding. Without action to cut carbon pollution, climate change means these storms are no longer “unprecedented” events.
http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2012/10/26/1097761/frankenstorm-sandy-climate/

[Susie924]

A full moon next week adds to it. Potential for even more flooding.

[DesertDrifter]

well, i think any individual weather event doesn't prove anything, much like a single poll doesn't necessarily forecast the outcome of the election.
But trends are our friends, and nowadays we can analyze weather trends in ways that were just not possible a generation ago. There may be some effect that due to the internet we are aware of more events that didn't used to make the newspaper outside of the affected areas. things like increased ocean temperatures and the increased energy inputs to the atmosphere from the warmer water are measurable and cannot help but have significant effects. But it is really hard to build a deterministic model at a small scale because there just isn't robust information available from an similar event such as global warming because it is unprecedented, at least since any records with very much precision have been recorded.

Things like carbon dioxide concentrations trapped in gas bubbles in glaciers are correlative for some parameters, but definitely not at a shorter or local scale. Or so in my opinion.