Good summary. CLF needs to show investors a quarter or two in which there are no operational screw-ups or unlucky breaks (such as the tornado that knocked out the Alabama facility a few quarters ago). If they can manage this, iron-ore prices will take care of themselves, IMHO.
p.s. RIO today forecast a pickup in China during 2H12 and it has maintained iron-ore production guidance for the year. (They are the world's second-largest iron-ore producer after VALE.)