Gaping holes in Iraq's new cabinet By Valentinas Mite
May 6, 2005
PRAGUE - The new Iraqi cabinet sworn in Monday remains incomplete, with several key ministerial positions - including those for oil and defense - yet to be filled.
The partly formed cabinet reflects one of Iraq's most persistent problems: how to bring in representatives from the minority Sunni community. The community dominated Iraq under former leader Saddam Hussein, but mostly boycotted the January election of the new National Assembly.
The Shi'ite coalition that won most seats in the election is willing to give several key posts to Sunnis, including the crucial Defense Ministry. But negotiators so far have failed to agree on who should have the post.
One sign of the extent of the disagreements may have been the absence of outgoing President Ghazi Ajil al-Yawir, a Sunni, from the swearing-in ceremony for the cabinet. Many observers took his absence as a sign of overall Sunni dissatisfaction with the process of forming the government.
But Yahia Said, a researcher on Iraq and other transitional nations at the London School of Economics, says Yawir's absence could equally be due to a rivalry for power now going on among different Sunni groups.
"Al-Yawir is not a representative in any way of the vast majority of Sunnis," said Said. "He got into parliament because he was voted for by his tribe. He's not close in any way to those involved with the insurgency. [Sunnis] don't necessarily accept him as a legitimate and authoritative representative."
Said says three or four Sunni groups appear to be vying to have representatives in the government.
He also says one difficulty with resolving the deadlock is that politicians have no criteria for selecting between the rival groups.
"Because Sunnis largely boycotted the elections and really the only people who voted is the tribe of Ghazi al-Yawir, it is very difficult," he said. "There is no objective process to selecting Sunni representatives for government positions or for any other positions."
The lack of Sunni representation concerns not only the Sunni community but all of Iraq. Insurgents are most active in the Sunni areas and US and Iraqi officials have hoped that a credible Sunni presence in the government would help curtail the violence.
Said says the new government needs not just Sunnis but influential political figures to put down the insurgency.
"You don't need just any Sunni participation because you have Ghazi al-Yawir as vice president," he said. "But you need a particular kind of Sunni participation that will cut, undermine the insurgency. So you need people who are close to the insurgency being involved in the government."
Meanwhile, David Hartwell, a Middle East expert with the London-based publication Jane's Sentinel Security Assessments, says there are additional problems bedeviling efforts to choose Sunni members for the cabinet.
He says that while Shi'ite and Kurdish politicians want to bring Sunnis into the government, they are reluctant to take on board those Sunnis who collaborated with the former regime. Most influential Sunnis, he said, "are the same influential Sunnis who were around under Saddam Hussein".
The analyst says that the Shi'ite majority wants to pursue a de-Ba'athification campaign and has criticized the former cabinet for taking former Ba'ath party members into the government, police, and army. He says this negative attitude leaves only small numbers of Sunni politicians, who usually have little influence, acceptable.
Prime Minister Ibrahim Jaafari, a Shi'ite, sought to strike a conciliatory note Tuesday. Addressing insurgents, he said that Iraqi people "are ready to forgive you provided you have no blood on your hands".
But Hartwell says that, psychologically, it is difficult for Sunnis - who actually ruled Iraq from the very creation of the state - to accept the new reality of power being in the hands of Shi'ites and Kurds.
The partly formed cabinet sworn in consists of 15 Shi'ites, seven Kurds, four Sunnis, and one Christian.
The Sunnis hold only 17 seats in the 275-member National Assembly. That number of seats underrepresents the Sunni proportion of Iraq's population, which is estimated at 15 to 20%.
According to Iraq's interim constitution, Jaafari must make appointments to the empty posts by May 7. If he fails, he will be compelled to resign and the president will have to appoint another prime minister.