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DewDiligence

03/03/11 1:22 PM

#115812 RE: DewDiligence #115811

AMLN/ALKS/LLY—How’s this for a rationalization?

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-03-03/amylin-alkermes-fall-after-bydureon-doesn-t-best-victoza-in-diabetes-test.html

“We didn’t hit the primary endpoint, but the results do actually reinforce the fact that this product has a very robust effect,” Amylin Chief Executive Officer Dan Bradbury said in a telephone interview today.

Stop spinning, Dan. These results are an unmitigated calamity for your company.
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DewDiligence

03/03/11 1:37 PM

#115814 RE: DewDiligence #115811

Survey revisit: The Most Overhyped Drug of All Time

Survey #124 on this board (http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/board_surveymenu.asp?board_id=1418 ) asked readers to name the “most overhyped drug of all time.” 43 people voted with the following tally:

Rogaine 35%
Exubera 21%
Torcetrapib 16%
Provenge 14%
Acomplia 9%
Vectibix 5%

Bydueron was not an answer choice in this survey, but it might get my vote if I were voting in a new survey today.
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jq1234

03/03/11 5:36 PM

#115840 RE: DewDiligence #115811

Novo Nordisk CEO Lars Sørensen gave interview to PinkSheet last week. He gave really good overview what he saw in diabetes market.

Q: Novo Nordisk also has a once-weekly version of Victoza in development; What do you think about the potential of this product?

A: It still escapes me whether there is a compliance benefit by being once weekly as opposed to being once daily. I have a hunch that the compliance will be worse in fact, because it is easier to do something once a day then to remember did I do it on Sunday? And you can't do it twice because if you did take a big dose on Sunday then you are going to get very nauseated. Then there is another, more subtle, aspect, which is this notion of should you really tell people that they only need to worry about their diabetes on Sundays.

… but then we got the impression from the regulators that they were a little bit concerned about considering to go to such a regimen so that also built on my notion. The reason we are talking about once weekly is a competitive issue rather than a compliance issue….For defensive reasons we're going to develop it. We don't want to get caught flat-footed.

Q: Amylin plans to release data from a head-to-head trial comparing Bydureon to Victoza later this year. What impact might this study have?

A: If you made a statistical analysis of head-to-head studies you would find that the one that initiates the trial more often than not wins the trial. You can only get a certain maximum level of blood glucose control on the GLP-1 receptor and we have achieved that with Victoza. We should get the same blood glucose lowering effect [in the study] -- if they dose Victoza high enough to get that effect. If they are not doing that then, of course, we can get a different result. On the side-effect parameters, there might be differences.



I am sure he is pleastantly surprised right now. I wonder if NVO would abondon its own once weekly version.
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Tamhas

03/04/11 7:51 PM

#115897 RE: DewDiligence #115811

I get that it would have been a whole lot nicer if the Bydureon results were equal or better than Victoza, but we are also comparing a once a week to a once a day medication regime, which still seems like a big appeal to the user. Given a choice between once a day and once a week at an average of 87% effectiveness, it seems like there are a lot of people, particularly those who don't have as big of a control problem, would still find this an attractive choice.
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jq1234

11/16/11 10:57 AM

#131186 RE: DewDiligence #115811

GSK/HGSI's albiglutide, an investigational once weekly glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) agonist did not meet the pre-specified primary endpoint of non-inferiority to once daily liraglutide (95% CI: 0.08 - 0.34%).

Head-to-head study primary end point did not meet non-inferiority, but results support progression towards registration

GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) today announced that topline results have been received from the first of eight Phase III studies of albiglutide to complete in type 2 diabetes.

The study, known as Harmony 7, is a head-to-head study designed to compare albiglutide, an investigational once weekly glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) agonist, to once-a-day liraglutide, an approved treatment for type 2 diabetes, in the same class. The primary endpoint of the study was reduction in HbA1c, a marker of the amount of glucose in the blood.

Results showed a reduction in HbA1c of 0.78% for patients receiving albiglutide compared to a reduction of 0.99% for liraglutide. While albiglutide did demonstrate a statistically significant reduction in HbA1c from baseline (p<0.001), it did not meet the pre-specified primary endpoint of non-inferiority to liraglutide (95% CI: 0.08 - 0.34%).

http://www.fiercebiotech.com/press-releases/gsk-receives-initial-data-first-completed-phase-lll-study-albiglutide-type-