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ardent jd

11/30/02 12:29 PM

#50427 RE: wahz #50420

wahz

The P/E you give for the S&P is based on optimistic assumptions about growth, and on "operating" earnings. On reported earnings, the P/E may be double what you say, especially given the inevitable large hits for pension underfunding. I agree with some of the reasons you have stated in your posts why the market may move higher, but valuation is not one of them.

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Emptyhead

11/30/02 3:41 PM

#50455 RE: wahz #50420

Wahz

Interesting thoughts. You have made some valid points. My only concern going forword is the debt levels the consumer has to digest,or I should say the percentage of debt;debt/income.
I can only hope the comsumer continues to spend and spend more. The slash and burn stradgies of corporate restructurings will not be enough to maintain a rally of any significance if the consumer does not play his/her part.

Thanks for all you do here. It is a pleasure reading your posts.