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Alchemist

11/19/02 8:43 AM

#46844 RE: Zeev Hed #46834

Morning Volatility Report

Yesterday was a trend day in all three indexes. Interestingly, none of the indices had a wide range day. Also, many Nasdaq stocks I follow had narrow range days yesterday.

So based on volatility conditions there may be more down (this is also in line with Zeev's analysis) as trend days often have continuation, particularly if they aren't really wide range.

Because of the fairly narrow range yesterday and lots of stocks with NR7s, there is also a smaller possibility we could break UP. I'll watch my shorts carefully for that potentiality.

I looked at the INVN chart last night and noticed that there were two back to back NR7 days that led to yesterday's trend day. It was also a WR7 (widest range of last 7 days) so today could see some choppy back and forth action. But because INVN made a new 20 day low, there is also the possibility for more followthrough on the downside. I'll play it like a chop-day and see if I can scalp some on the long side to reduce my current loss on my first position. I bought my second position yesterday at an average price of 29.70 after a bit of scalping. But because of the 20 day low I'll watch carefully for another trend day possibility.

Based on the chart INVN also has had some miraculous recoveries from really wide range days down.

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Public Heel

11/19/02 9:15 AM

#46853 RE: Zeev Hed #46834

Looks like GNSS is going to be snorting in the other direction, now... downgraded to Sell by RBC. The people who engineered the short squeeze yesterday may try to ambush the shorts jumping in today, but I still think this one has turned to the downside over the foreseeable future.

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Public Heel

11/19/02 9:56 AM

#46872 RE: Zeev Hed #46834

VLNC/TYC agreement - http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/021119/netu020_1.html

Herb Greenberg comments (from thestreet.com): "Boy, Tyco (TYC:NYSE) must be desperate. Its Electronics Power Systems group hooked up with Valence Technology (VLNC:Nasdaq) to work on evaluating and developing Valence's Saphion lithium-ion technology as a standby power solution for the telecommunications industry. Valence, as I've written quite a bit, has a history of promising more than it can deliver. A LONG history, at that."


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Doug Lim

11/19/02 10:24 AM

#46887 RE: Zeev Hed #46834

Zeev, what do think of QCOM here? it's trading at the low end of the new range now.