MORNING WATCH, Apr. 18
By Frederic Ruffy, Optionetics.com
4/18/2005 6:15 AM EST
Stocks are set to open mixed Monday, as investors await for signs that stocks can recover from last week’s three-day slide. A decline in oil prices and merger news might help lift the market in early trading. However, trading is expected to remain cautious after overseas markets suffered sharp losses and ahead of a busy week for corporate earnings.
Another takeover in the software sector is making news this morning. In the latest deal, Adobe Systems (ADBE) agreed to buy Macromedia (MACR) for $41.86 a share, or 25% above last Friday’s closing price. The stock deal brings together two of the largest companies that provide means to distribute video, documents, and other media over the computer.
In other merger news, the Financial Times is reporting that the Nasdaq Stock Market (NDAQ) is buying Instinet Group (INGP) for $1.8 billion. Meanwhile, General Electric (GE) said it would buy Bomardier’s (BBD) financing division for $1.4 billion. The financing division employs 480 workers in Vermont and will merge into GE’s commercial finance unit.
Earnings from 3M (MMM) and Bank of America (BAC) might help lift the market in early trading. In fact, stock index futures moved out of the red early Monday after 3M posted profits of $1.03 a share, two cents better than estimates, and also reaffirmed its full year outlook. Bank of America posted earnings of $1.16 a share and well ahead of analyst estimates of .97 cents. After being down more than five points early Monday, S&P 500 Index futures moved higher on the news.
Earnings will remain in focus throughout the week with a heavy calendar of reports on tap. Ely Lilly (LLY), Texas Instruments (TXN), and Novellus (NVLS) release results today. General Motors (GM), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), and Pfizer (PFE) report tomorrow before the opening bell.
No economic data is due out today, but falling oil prices might influence trading. Crude fell 54 cents to $49.95 a barrel early Monday. A sustained move below $50.00 a barrel might have a favorable impact on the stock market this week.
Trading is expected to remain cautious, however, given the recent decline in stock prices. Last week, concerns about the economy and corporate profit growth sent the Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbling for its biggest loss since 2003. Furthermore, global equity markets were falling once again Monday morning. Japan’s Nikkei index plummeted 3.8% to 10938.44. Therefore, investor sentiment towards equities remains bearish and it might therefore be difficult for the market to make much headway in the near term.
Frederic Ruffy
Senior Writer
Optionetics.com ~ Your Options Education Site