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Justa Werkenstiff

11/14/04 11:23 AM

#322121 RE: Zeev Hed #322114

Z: Re: "I still think that shorting here is to try and catch a top."

But the greater risk is holding long here and gaming the top and failing to recognize it and thus end up holding the bag.

Re: "in manias"

I don't see that here so far.

Re: " I am sticking by my scenario of a relatively mild retrench, I don't know wherefrom."

With all due respect, I don't see much left of your orignal scenario to stick by at this juncture.

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westpacific

11/14/04 11:25 AM

#322122 RE: Zeev Hed #322114

Short too early and get creamed, DOW is showing easy mid 11s and SPX 1253 minimum before game is over.

The downside is limited in the next three months.
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jrintl

11/14/04 12:25 PM

#322133 RE: Zeev Hed #322114

You looking then for (A) spikey up the entire week (into Friday) -without retrench for 5 days or (B)some kind of pullback into mid-week (but since we won't get all the way back to Max) then spikey up into EOW?
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Burk

11/14/04 1:08 PM

#322137 RE: Zeev Hed #322114

Zeev, I read you to think we have more upside into Friday before a possible retrench to 2000 level...or will this retrench happen before Friday, ya think? Thanks.
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rajaram46

11/14/04 3:42 PM

#322170 RE: Zeev Hed #322114

A spike up on expiry?....not down?