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Re: Justa Werkenstiff post# 322112

Sunday, 11/14/2004 9:03:25 AM

Sunday, November 14, 2004 9:03:25 AM

Post# of 704041
I still think that shorting here is to try and catch a top, and typically, in manias, the first retrench is bought heavily. I am sticking by my scenario of a relatively mild retrench, I don't know wherefrom, followed by a run into January/February before a grand Nassacre develop late in the winter lasting at least into April/May. Note that Max pain on the QQQ is probably around $36/7, and we are close to $$39, fuel for delta hedging late next week... and thus a spiky (up) expiry next Friday.

AZH

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