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11/03/04 1:25 PM

#318276 RE: marketmaven #318273

mm, I know you didn't ax me , but hb are still making a ton of dough. Im surprised they didn't crack yet. They will. STopped out last week... watching for reentry
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Joe Stocks

11/03/04 1:36 PM

#318287 RE: marketmaven #318273

>>homebuilders rising in a rising rate environment?<<

I started to rebuild a trading short position today. It looks like a set-up to me. HB's have been weak relative to the market today. I would think that 'smart' money would start lightening up with rising rates. The index is butting up against resistance. Makes for a tight stoploss. Careful, BZH reports Friday. The way BZH is priced I think we may see a 'sell the news'. I won't be short BZH but will some others.
Last quarter BZH showed new orders up just 2.9%(as I recall). Orders down in 3 of 4 regions.
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cy esp

11/03/04 3:24 PM

#318387 RE: marketmaven #318273

I think the Merril call on lower interest rates may explain their performance

Merrill Lynch: Sees 3.5% 10-Yr. Treasury in '05

http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=4468084