Replies to post #294063 on Zeev's Turnips Patch-No Politics (ZEEV)

[Smart_Money]

I was talking way back when they first mentioned FL. I think just about everyone had 5% odds at that time. It's the fear factor for Florida that has everyone scared.

Now that we have more of an ideal of the path of IVAN the odds seems to favor Florida. But I personally think the path is unpredictable even at this stage.

[Smart_Money]

Notice how IVAN moved farther west in the predictions. Before you know it Florida could be out of the picture all together. NOAA has around 5 possible paths and all seem to land very close to each other. One would think some models would totally disagree with others. Hence the reason to have more than one model.