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Dances-W-waves

08/16/04 9:15 PM

#285012 RE: lee kramer #285011

U da man...go get em!

:o)
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Bob Zumbrunnen

08/16/04 9:26 PM

#285013 RE: lee kramer #285011

I've got a paper-trade position on QQQ options. I think it's called a "straddle"? I've got it written down at the office, but if I remember right, it's 100 Aug32 puts and 200 Aug33 calls, entered Friday. Was way down on the combined position today.

Basically, a paper bet that the coin won't even come close to landing on its edge.

I'm pretty busy these days with non-market activities (SI Rewrite is solidly on the home stretch), but am putting a little bit of my spare time into learning and analyzing max pain theory. I want to see if it can be applied semi-reliably and programmatically to a large basket of stocks that have relatively small institutional involvement, since hedge positions can seriously skew things.

Basically, I want to see if max pain is reliable when it's assumed the only players are smart market-makers with lots of buying/selling power and relatively unsophisticated retail investors with much less market clout.