Replies to post #284413 on Zeev's Turnips Patch-No Politics (ZEEV)

[Zeev Hed]

The Chinese are very pragmatic, they cannot dump their dollars fast enough without incurring a major loss themselves, I doubt they will do anything drastic. As fas as Taiwan, I think they have a 25 years plan for it, slowly transit to a centralised capitalistic system (hybrid between normal capitalism and centralised economy) into which Taiwan will have less of an objection to rejoin. Thus, unless Taiwan insists on declaring independence, just smoke, but no real fire.

[otraque]

deleted

[otraque]

The hitch on Taiwan i see is the present leader of Taiwan, he is flashing indications he will be pushing for Taiwan statehood.
This would be a monkey wrench in China 25year plan, and , as they make clear; totally intolerable and will be confronted if this move occurs.
Point being, if Taiwan makes an aggressive move for statehood, China ceases to be pragmatic.
i have a friend that just returned from teaching english in China and like an 8 year old raises his hand saying 'Teacher! Teacher! what about Formosa, what is U.S. view on Formosa'---young whipper-snapper:)
So the my point is IF Taiwan makes a move for statehood, and U.S. is perceived as supportive, this is the one area where China will cease to be pragmatic, imo.
That is JUST 'a what if?' scenario.

[otraque]

Delete-MY STUPIDITY LEVEL IS AT MAX I JUST POSTED A REPLY TO MYSELF TWICE!