ftd info ~ vol info ~ monthly pps info .. part 3 ---
i think the most important take away i have ~ having spent hours on this ~ is very simply this
when jav took control of the fccn shell ~ ftds <that had been in place since 2005> were never cleaned up ~ and since i've tended to focus on aero since they came public in oct of 07 ~ this was a good exercise ~ <because i just reacquainted myself with filings from 2007> i'd completely forgotten about the ftd's in the fccn shell
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for new eyes ~ before it gets too *involved* ~ jav took control of the fccn shell ~ shown via the 8k filing on 8/16/06 ~ essentially they were hired to clean up the fccn shell for aero to come public thru ~ that was originally planned for jun of 2007 and was then pushed out to sep/oct of 2007 ~
again .. if one is really interested ~ in comparing and contrasting ~ go to the first of these posts <link back> and click on the links at the bottom ~ and print out all of this info ~ it's all there in black and white ~ but it takes a while to digest ~
the reality is aero lost at a minimum ~ 2 consecutive q's in 2008 ~ due to other events ~ but what is really without dispute ~ is folks didn't get *shaken* out ~ not from the jav *promo* ~ that was waning in early 2007 ~ not from aero coming public via the r/m in oct 2007 ~ <remember that 2 week period from 10/5/07 to 10/19/07 ... lol> and even when things looked *bleak* back in april of 2008 ~ when the pps was *broken* to .0005 ~
it would take ~ hunsaker's gift on a silver platter of those 125M shares that hit the float after 10/3/08 ~ to bring the pps back down to .0005 and yep to a new 52 week low ~ of .0001
it's crystal clear to me that aerp has a massive NSS position ~ i'm not asking anyone to agree with my take ~ this isn't something that can be *learned* in a weekend ~ i've spent over a year ~ educating myself
just want to remind the longs ~ that aero's *true* valuation will have no correlation ~ to what *they* will have to run the pps to ~ just one of the reasons i'm so looking forward to the upcoming 8k's being *filed* ~
won't it be nice to play these sobs at their own game ~ for over 2 years ~ they have beaten down the pps ~ <based on everything i've been *digesting*> ~ my figure of 1B is most likely conservative ~ i'm still working on the months of jan 2007 to july of 2007 ~
if you print out all of the links i've provided ~ you'll see *GAME ON* as of jan 2007 ~ and since i'd never factored those months <silly me> i have to do some re-figuring ~
----- the sequence starts when ~
jav publicly id's *aero* in a pr on 12/12/08 ~ the *promotion* was well underway ... ;-)
it's why one should pay attn to both volume ~ and pps of course back then i suspect it was a ggi and vfin *story*
remember all those 5k partials from the summer of 2007 and the magic penny ~ ah .. for hand off info ~ from those months ~
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ok let's start with the volume ~ here's a company that came public with approx 1.7B shares in oct of 2007
this info covers jan of 2007 - feb 2009
starting in jan 2007 ~ there are 4 months ~ where volume is above 300M
notice the first month ~ with *volume* ~ the promotion was waning ~ the pps *intra day* hit a high of .065 ~ actually 2 days ~ back to back ~ that would be the beginning of the *erosion* on the pps ~ and it really never looked back ~
AUG 2007 ~ VOL ~ 91,806,547 shares JAN 2008 ~ VOL ~ 56,266,488 shares SEP 2008 ~ VOL ~ 86,365,398 shares DEC 2008 ~ VOL ~ 70,384,253 shares
and even more interesting ~ to me is the pps ~ and the relentless erosion and *assault* ~ i've also listed out by month ~ where the pps closes *higher* .. *lower* and lastly the months the pps opens and closes <the month> at the same pps ~
HIGHER
APR 2007 ~ VOL ~ APPROX 145M shares ~ pps opens at .0115 ~ pps closes at .013 MAY 2007 ~ VOL ~ APPROX 135M shares ~ pps opens at .013 ~ pps closes at .017 AUG 2007 ~ VOL ~ 91,806,547 shares ~ pps opens at .01 ~ pps closes at .0115 SEP 2007 ~ VOL ~ 356,622,208 shares ~ pps opens at .011 ~ pps closes at .029 JAN 2008 ~ VOL ~ 56,266,488 shares ~ pps opens at .0029 ~ pps closes at .0035 MAY 2008 ~ VOL ~ 297,046,682 shares ~ pps opens at .0009 ~ pps closes at .0013 JUN 2008 ~ VOL ~ 249,302,387 shares ~ pps opens at .0011 ~ pps closes at .0012 JAN 2009 ~ VOL ~ 197,676,840 shares ~ pps opens at .0002 ~ pps closes at .0006
suspect may and aug were in anticipation of the r/m's expected close <originally jun of 07> that was pushed out to sep of 07 ~ finally completed in oct of 07 ~
jan 2008 ~ def 14c filed ~ name and ticker changed <aerp> may 2008 ~ was the *reaction* to the *termination* of javelin jun 2008 ~ aero pr'd their intent to uplist to the otc bb jan 2009 ~ was the result of the jones exhaust DA being 8k'd and comments out by both companies ~ no dr. gas loi .. here
LOWER
JAN 2007 ~ VOL ~ APPROX 370M shares ~ pps opens at .028 ~ pps closes at .018 FEB 2007 ~ VOL ~ APPROX 120M shares ~ pps opens at .018 ~ pps closes at .015 MAR 2007 ~ VOL ~ APPROX 130M shares ~ pps opens at .015 ~ pps closes at .012 JUN 2007 ~ VOL ~ APPROX 175M shares ~ pps opens at .0165 ~ pps closes at .0009 OCT 2007 ~ VOL ~ 460,002,122 shares ~ pps opens at .0255 ~ pps closes at .0085 NOV 2007 ~ VOL ~ 147,864,780 shares ~ pps opens at .008 ~ pps closes at .0037 DEC 2007 ~ VOL ~ 108,020,428 shares ~ pps opens at .004 ~ pps closes at .0029 FEB 2008 ~ VOL ~ 187,004,615 shares ~ pps opens at .0033 ~ pps closes at .0012 MAR 2008 ~ VOL ~ 247,533,795 shares ~ pps opens at .0012 ~ pps closes at .0008 JUL 2008 ~ VOL ~ 170,465,626 shares ~ pps opens at .0012 ~ pps closes at .0011 SEP 2008 ~ VOL ~ 86,365,398 shares ~ pps opens at .001 ~ pps closes at .0009 OCT 2008 ~ VOL ~ 118,443,944 shares ~ pps opens at .0009 ~ pps closes at .0005 NOV 2008 ~ VOL ~ 117,024,773 shares ~ pps opens at .0004 ~ pps closes at .0003 FEB 2009 ~ VOL ~ 193,012,012 shares ~ pps opens at .0004 ~ pps closes at .0003
PPS OPENED THE MONTH/CLOSED THE MONTH ~ AT THE SAME PPS ~
JUL 2007 ~ VOL ~ APPROX 95M shares ~ pps opens at .009 ~ pps closes at .009 ARP 2008 ~ VOL ~ 344,188,862M shares ~ pps opens at .0009 ~ pps closes at .0009 AUG 2008 ~ VOL ~ 141,814,432 shares ~ pps opens at .001 ~ pps closes at .001 DEC 2008 ~ VOL ~ 70,384,253 shares ~ pps opens at .0003 ~ pps closes at .0003
--- one other link folks might want to check out ~ it shows the consecutive dates aerp hit the reg sho ~ particularly of interest to me ~ is the consecutive days hit from July 2, 2008 thru Aug 4, 2008 ~ <remember when the folks at finra confirmed the app? that was friday 8/8/08> and remember ~ otc bb uplist was ~ Aug 26, 2008 ~ reg sho *triggered* again on Aug 27,2008 went thru to Sep 16, 2008 ~
jav was essentially responsible for things ~ from aug of 2006 thru 10/4/07
aero comes public ~ oct of 07 ~ and pursues their business plan ~ that is to switch out from low vol indy dealers to a distribution network ~ which means hiring a national sales manager ~ which they did ~ their coup are allied and henschel ~ and the folks who made the calls know just what it took ~ to complete henschel's first order ~ <that was may 08>
a few things happened in fairly short order ~ their loi on dr. gas <didn't progress> ~ their interim cfo resigned <another jav special> due to an sec investigation on another co. from 2003 ~ and aero terminated jav adv group ~ due to *loose lips* and anyone making a call and asking knows exactly what i'm talking about ~ re: events there
aero's management entered *stealth* back in mar/apr of 2008 ~ and with hindsight .. i don't blame them one iota
if you click on the website for the media archive ~
you'll find something interesting ~ the pr's keep *diminishing*
since oct 1, 2008 <and the move to business wire .. :)> aerp has put out 16 pr's ~ this includes the newsletters ~ which most regulars know are a re-cap of the pr's ~ so that is 16 total in almost 6 months ~
to give you a comparison ~ from jan 2008 to end of apr 2008 ~ 26 pr's were generated ~ 4 months .. hmm ~
one thing most who've done the due ~ can't accuse aero's management of ~ since may of 2008 ~ is putting out ~ pr's
as a matter of fact as an aero sor since jan of 2007 ~ i get a wee bit cranky when we go without news for over 8 weeks ~ and i'm not the only sor who feels that way ~ nor am i shy in letting *utah* know my feelings ~
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i'm still working on the no.s for the nss ~ and as not to aggravate ~ those who don't believe NSS *exists* .. lol ..
once i've completed that aspect ~ i'll be more than happy to shoot folks that info via pm's ~
which brings me to the MM's
there is a very interesting pattern that emerges
unfortunately as i mentioned earlier ~ i didn't track the *players* until aug of 2007 ~ so the breakdown on the mm's starts then ~ too bad .. i would have loved to have seen the mm monthly breakdowns for jan thru jul ~ 2007
Jan 2008 ~ 1) NITE @ 154M .2) UBSS @ 15M ..3) HDSN @ 8M Feb 2008 ~ 1) NITE @ 161M .2) UBSS @ 11M ..3) ABLE @ 5M
hmmm ~ can that hole get dug any deeper ~
of the 19 months i have the info on the mm's monthly *breakdown* of volume
NITE Is in the no. 1 spot ~ 15 months ~ tellingly one of the months they *miss* is aug of 2008 ~ when aero was uplisting to the otc bb ~ and in oct of 2007 ~ when there is virtually no difference between their volume and sbsh ~
one might notice ~ for most of 07 and early into 08 it's nite and sbsh ~ with seab and vfin in the supporting roles
starting in may of 2008 ~ it's still nite ~ but it's now ubss as the secondary player ~ glbt is interesting to me ~ suspect they were first used in jun of 2008 to dispose of shane's shares <50M> ~ and one will notice as seab falls by the wayside after the *termination* ~ glbt pops up on occasion ~
last 4 months ~ the lion's share of all all volume done on aerp ~ is done by nite ~ it's actually quite stunning to see ~ previously the volume was more *evenly* split out
no longer ~
--- as always .. best to all aero sor may we see the news we are looking for with in the next few days ~
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