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Replies to #73377 on Biotech Values
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DewDiligence

02/18/09 9:18 PM

#73379 RE: srsmgja #73377

Re: Copaxone, Tysabri market shares

After just 2 years on the market (actual detailing did not begin until Jan 2007), Tyasbri's market share is 7.5%. I believe Copaxone has been on the market for approx. 10+ years.

What should be troubling to you (if you’re long BIIB or ELN) is that the drug that’s relatively new (Tysabri) has already flatlined in market share, while the drug that’s been around since the beginning of time (Copaxone) is still gaining share.

p.s. As far as prices are concerned, I think you need to do more digging to ascertain the ASP of each drug on a worldwide basis.
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masterlongevity

02/18/09 9:36 PM

#73387 RE: srsmgja #73377

"Tysabri's unit increase for JUST the 4th quater was 6%."

How is this so? Tysabri sales were lower in Q4 than in Q3. Tysabri has a window of growth, but it is going to quickly close.