Well only a handful of folks would know how many shares a former director would have and non of us on the board would have known about his recent surgery. So I don't doubt its him.
If Warren Buffet was coming in Monday, we'd definately see some major volume. We can dream right? :-)
You may be just joking about "Buffet", when you say "that probably is really Buffet", but, joking aside, would Warren Buffett really be likely to forget how his own last name is spelled?
On the other hand, your first idea seems quite appropriate. Without checking the "Roger" claim back to an independent objective source I see little value in it.
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