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MarketTurmoil

04/10/04 12:04 PM

#228977 RE: Zeev Hed #228971

Zeev this might be a legit! What do you think. I bought some for 2.30 back on March 10 when Lee loaded up.

Background
Arotech (ARTX 2.24 +0.06) is a defense and security products company, engaged in three business areas: 1) interactive simulation for military, law enforcement and commercial markets; 2) batteries and charging systems for the military; and 3) high-level armoring for military, paramilitary and commercial vehicles.

Key Points
New Focus: Last year, the co repositioned itself as a strong defense and security company, with products in growing markets.
Turnaround: The year 2003 was a turn-around year for Arotech. Just two months into 2004, the co already had a backlog of $17.6 mln, which is more than its revenues were for all of 2003 - and its revenues in 2003 were the highest in its history. The co believes that 2004 will be a year of increased revenue, EBITDA profitability and positive cash flow.
Strong Sales Growth: Revenues for 2003 increased to $17.3 mln vs just $6.4 mln in 2002, an increase of 170%. Although much of this is due to an acquisition. For 2004, Arotech anticipates revs in excess of $37-$42 mln. Revenues are projected to be stronger in the second half than in the first half, with revenues by quarter growing throughout the year.
Cash Flow Positive: Adjusted EBITDA improved in 2003 to a $(2.2) million loss vs $(3.5) mln for 2002. However, the co anticipates being cash-flow positive for the full year of 2004, with adjusted EBITDA profits beginning in the second half.
Bottom Line: Security stocks are receiving a lot of attention lately with increased security fears providing opportunities for traders to buy overlooked small cap names. We like how ARTX is trading, approaching a 2+ year high on increasing volume. The stock is very liquid with nearly 2 mln in average daily volume with a 6% short interest. The co is expected to double sales and be cash flow positive this year.
Note: Small Cap Trading Alerts is a new service where we will periodically present near term trading ideas. We caution readers that these ideas are generally more speculative and short term in nature, not appropriate for longer term investors.

Above taken Briefing.com I can't write that well.

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profit_guy

04/10/04 12:32 PM

#228979 RE: Zeev Hed #228971

zeev, what is your thinking on INTC here?...the last 5 earnings periods it has had a pre-earnings run, followed by some selling off...however, this time INTC has basically sold off hard for 3 months in advance of earnings...thus i think that a ANY further dip has to be bot here, as INTC is quite likely to gap up big time after hrs on tues (maybe as high as $30)...it may even start to move a bit sooner if NVLS has a good report monday after hrs

thanks in advance for your thoughts,


pg


...as well, when does the window for 2011 close?...and do you still think it is likely to be hit, before we move higher (keeping in mind that next week is expiry)?





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Bullwinkle

04/10/04 1:54 PM

#228987 RE: Zeev Hed #228971

CYCLE Turn on/around April 16th

My analysis FWIW...
http://investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=2816466
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TexasTech

04/10/04 9:21 PM

#229009 RE: Zeev Hed #228971

Hi Zeev,
That post was "selective memory" I went back further and found you had the NAZ between 1900 and 5200 from since April 2000, and that has been accurate to date. Also, we haven't breached your DOW ranges of 6000 or 13,500 in the last four years either. Sorry. http://www.siliconinvestor.com/stocktalk/msg.gsp?msgid=13483082

Those ranges you predicted are a little general and large distances between, where anyone short or long could make and lose a fortune.

IMHO I don't think this year may be the best for any long-term gains for index investors because of the uncertain geopolitical climate. Just like your miscalculations of the market directions in 2000 the year 2004 could bode just as ominous.

I hope you have a great Easter and God Bless.