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Replies to #60844 on Biotech Values
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tony111

04/01/08 12:37 AM

#60845 RE: DewDiligence #60844

I think management will lower Recothrom's price to match bovine thrombin if sales doesn't pick up. I guess the good thing about ZGEN is they got atacicept and lambda in their pipeline to keep investors hopes alive. I hope ZGEN won't dissapoint me on interferon lambda data.

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dewophile

04/01/08 9:30 AM

#60861 RE: DewDiligence #60844

the difference between tyzeka and recothrom is that the former is widely perceived to be an inferior agent in the marketplace, and US guidelines establishing very narrow indications for its use was the nail in the coffin

if you are going to use a hep B drug analogy perhaps baraclude is a better example. both baraclude and recothrom offer advantages to the current SOC at the time. both are priced at a premium. baraclude had pathetic us sales at launch (7M in its first 6 months!), and baraclude didn't even have to go through a hospital formulary process that inherently creates a lag until sales ramp

only time will tell if recothrom is the next tyzeka or the next baraclude, but the profile of the product relative to the competition makes me a believer that it will be closer to the latter